Analysis Topic: Commodity Markets - Metals, Softs & Oils
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.Monday, November 19, 2007
Gold Comes Under Selling Pressure / Commodities / Gold & Silver
Gold prices and the GLD are under pressure again today. Let's notice that the GLD has violated Thursday's reaction low at 77.30, which triggered new selling pressure that points next to 76.00 -- on the way to my optimal target zone of 74.00. At this juncture, only a rally that hurdles and sustains above 79.00 will neutralize my still-bearish outlook.Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, November 19, 2007
Silver Bull Market Blow Off Forecast for 2008 / Commodities / Gold & Silver
Bulls climb a wall of worry and bears slide down the slope of hope. So go two well-known investment proverbs. The first one could apply to gold and silver investors.
As silver and gold break out into new highs, we begin to hear the calls for an end of the precious metals bull market. This may come in articles, which state that the US Dollar plunge is now over or perhaps high prices have finally unleashed new supply onto the markets. I even read one article that stated that though gold had advanced over one hundred dollars above its last major high of $730 back in May 2006, it was STILL in a correction phase. Come on guys, a bit of common sense would not go amiss here, in my book gold breaking $100 above old highs is not a correction, it's a bull market!
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Monday, November 19, 2007
Gold Gives Back Early Gains as Dollar & Yen Rally; Oil Rises Again After US Treasury-Bond Yields Turn Negative / Commodities / Gold & Silver
SPOT GOLD PRICES gave back most of an early $6 rally on Monday morning, trading below $788 per ounce by midday in London after losing 5.7% last week – the biggest one-week decline since March.Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, November 19, 2007
Long-term Energy Bull Prepared to Ride out Short-term Weakness / Commodities / Energy Resources
OK, I'll admit it. I've been basically long-term bullish on energy since I came into this business in the mid-1980s.Long term, of course, I've been spot on. My first ever article recommending actual stocks was entitled “There's Still Money to Be Made in Oil,” and it featured the very un-utility like FREEPORT-MCMORAN, a diversified energy and minerals producer then trading under the symbol FTX. That company's myriad spinoffs and mergers have multiplied the value of a January 1987 investment many times.
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Sunday, November 18, 2007
COAL The Next Energy Resource Boom / Commodities / Coal
The US is often called the Saudi Arabia of coal. And there's a good reason for that: The nation has more than 27 percent of the world's known coal reserves and some of the highest-quality deposits in the world. That's 90 billion metric tons more than Russia, the nation with the second-largest reserves.
With a resource so vast, it may come as a surprise that the US isn't a major player in the global coal trade. After all, the nation ranks only seventh in terms of coal exports, exporting less than 20 percent as much as Australia, the world's largest coal exporter. In fact, US coal exports have been declining steadily since the late 1980s. (See the chart “US Coal Exports.”)
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Sunday, November 18, 2007
Gold Short-term Uncertainty, Long-term Bullish - Technically Precious with Merv / Commodities / Gold & Silver
A double whammy and some minor moves and gold is down 5.6% on the week. Is this just the start or near the end -- who knows?
GOLD : LONG TERM
One week does nothing from the long term term perspective. The indicators change very slowly so one week is but a blip. The P&F chart has reversed direction but is a long way from any change in trend. The momentum and volume indicators are well in the positive zones and the moving average is still pointing upwards. All is still well and the long term rating remains BULLISH .
Sunday, November 18, 2007
Gold and Silver Analysis - Is the Fed All Talk? / Commodities / Gold & Silver
“The power of the Fed to literally change the game… cannot be ignored. Anti-gold forces now stand as ready as ever to force a consolidation in precious metals. There's also a rising probability that the dollar will at last see at least a relief rally, which could have metals trading weaker … so, the game plan continues to be resisting the temptation to short without confirmation and using the 5-week sma in gold and the 5-day sma in silver to signal a major reversal. Curiously, a 38.2% Fibonacci retrace of the move off the summer '06 lows in gold would bring us back to the May '06 highs.” ~ Precious Points: Judgments Affirmed! November 11, 2007Read full article... Read full article...
Saturday, November 17, 2007
What is the Real Price of Gold and Whose Buying? / Commodities / Gold & Silver
It's become a knee-jerk reaction to look at the gold price in the U.S. $ and to comment on its moves in that currency. And there is good reason to do so, for the U.S.$ is the global reserve currency at present even if it is beginning to look of dubious value. Why don't we measure it in a strong currency such as the Euro? Although that is an ‘up and coming' reserve currency, it has not taken a sufficient hold of the world's monetary system to be accepted as the U.S. $'s equal.Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, November 16, 2007
Invest in Gold ETF To Gain Gold Price Exposure / Commodities / Gold & Silver
Three years ago on November 18th a landmark event polarized the gold world. The first gold exchange-traded fund to trade in the United States , the StreetTracks Gold Shares, was launched. Although born in controversy, even GLD's original detractors cannot argue with this ETF's stunning success since.
Nearing its third birthday, GLD just reported massive holdings of 19.3m ounces of gold held in trust for its investors. When your gold holdings get this large though, you don't even measure them in ounces anymore. Instead you switch to metric tonnes. This week, GLD reported nearly 600 tonnes of physical gold bullion under management for American investors. This is a staggering amount of gold.
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Friday, November 16, 2007
Gold Short-term Tedhnical Damage / Commodities / Gold & Silver
GoldGold was down $26.70 to $785.70 per ounce in New York yesterday and silver was down 57 cents to $14.42 per ounce. Gold has since traded sideways in Asia and European trading and is at $790.10 per ounce at 1200 GMT. Tentative dollar strength and oil weakness may have contributed to the sell off. Gold was also down in GBP and EUR but not by as much. It is trading at £387 GBP (from £392.80) and €541 EUR (down from €549.80).
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Friday, November 16, 2007
Gold Holds in $5 Range as Yen Rises Again; Link with Oil Prices Weakening; Gold Mining Output Falling "Much Faster" than Expected / Commodities / Gold & Silver
SPOT GOLD PRICES held steady in a $5 range early Friday, rising above $790 per ounce by the Morning Fix in London but standing more than 5% below their level of this time last week.
"After yesterday's sell-off, the Gold Market will be watching closely for the next move," said Standard Bank's gold note from Johannesburg earlier.
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Friday, November 16, 2007
China Stocks, Gold and Commodities - Where to next? Answer Inside ... / Commodities / Resources Investing
Larry Edelson writes: If you think you've seen high prices for gold, oil, or any other natural resource, think again.
In a minute I'll show you why natural resource prices have much more to go on the upside and why the most important driver behind them — Asia — does too.
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Thursday, November 15, 2007
Robust Global Gold Demand - Rising by 19% in Third Quarter / Commodities / Gold & Silver
GoldGold was up $15.40 to $812.40 per ounce in New York yesterday and silver was up 44 cents to $14.99 per ounce. It traded sideways in Asia and has sold off in European trading and is at $803.50 per ounce at 1200 GMT. Gold is flat in GBP and EUR. It is trading at £392.90 GBP (from £393) and €549.80 EUR (down from €550).
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Thursday, November 15, 2007
Gold Gives Back Overnight Rally as British Pound Slumps, Bonds Rise & Stock Markets Slide on Fresh Economic Worries / Commodities / Gold & Silver
THE SPOT GOLD PRICE failed to hold onto its overnight gains early on Thursday, dropping back to bounce off $802 per ounce after recording an AM Fix in London of $806.Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, November 15, 2007
Uranium Stocks Continue to Drift Lower / Commodities / Uranium
Another dull uranium trading day but it just might get more interesting. For the day the Merv's Daily Uranium Index closed up 0.44 points or 0.96%. There were 30 stocks on the up side, 15 stocks on the down side and 5 on no side. As for the performance of the top five stocks by market value, Cameco gained 1.0%, Denison lost 1.7%, Paladin lost 3.8%, UEX gained 7.2% and Uranium One gained 0.5%. Another mixed day. The best performer today was Max Res. with a gain of 13.9% while the worst performer was Consolidated Abaddon with a loss of 6.5%.Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, November 15, 2007
Hinde Gold Hedge Fund Funds Overly Complicates Investing in Gold to Profit From Management Fees / Commodities / Gold & Silver
"...If you need to chase 25% gains each year to get a good night's sleep, then the City of London's got just the 'structured' gold fund you might be looking for..."
WHY MAKE SOMETHING SIMPLE when you can make it complex?
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Wednesday, November 14, 2007
Sugar Set to Blast Off! - Where Technology and Hot Commodities Meet! / Commodities / Ethanol
Sean Brodrick writes: I was recently in New Orleans and man, that place is coming back strong! Good thing, since NOLA is one of America's most important cities. It's the busiest port system in the world by gross tonnage, and has shaped our country's music, food, architecture and economic history.
The city also has a very strong connection to technological innovations and two hot commodities — cotton and sugar. The story perfectly illustrates the close relationship between new techniques and natural resource demand.
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Wednesday, November 14, 2007
Gold Breakdown Below $800 - What is Happening? / Commodities / Gold & Silver
Well, gold has broken through the 800 barrier and climbed as high as 845. What gives? Why is gold moving on like this? I can say it a hundred times but never enough times really. This is not about gold. Gold is merely a barometer.
True, the gold barometer has been broken for a long time due to intervention by others. But I believe that barometer is back together again and in working order. As always gold merely reflects the circumstances around it. By the way. It looks like 800 just may become the new floor price for gold and not its ceiling.
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Wednesday, November 14, 2007
Silver in the Process of Breaking Out / Commodities / Gold & Silver
'Thought I'd broken out didn't you' - GOTCHA!! Actually, silver is in the process of breaking out, and a reaction back into pattern was inevitable if gold hit the skids. With the picture for silver now looking at least as bullish longer term the reaction of the past two days is viewed as providing a buying opportunity.Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, November 14, 2007
Gold and Silver Correction is Normal and Necessary for the Bull Market to Continue / Commodities / Gold & Silver
Although yesterday's reaction may have seemed severe, it is was actually perfectly normal, and served to bring things off the boil, which is necessary if the larger uptrend in gold and silver is to continue. We were expecting trouble last week on the site when it was made clear that the dollar was deeply oversold and gold was extremely overbought, and it was advised to take profits in most Traded Options (Calls) - and it was further pointed out that impending weakness would provide an excellent opportunity to increase positions in big gold and silver stocks, especially those that had run away and become ridiculously overbought, and big golds especially, such as Newmont, got hammered yesterday.Read full article... Read full article...