Analysis Topic: Commodity Markets - Metals, Softs & Oils
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.
Thursday, September 15, 2016
Gold Waiting on the US Dollar to Begin its Intermediate Decline / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016
By: Gary_Savage
Gold is flagging above the 200 week moving average while it waits for the dollar to generate the downward leg of its intermediate cycle.
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Thursday, September 15, 2016
Precious Metals Entering, Stocks and Bonds Exiting Bull Market / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016
By: Jeb_Handwerger
Summary
A)Stocks have been in an uptrend for more than five years and the Dow Jones Industrial Average has more than tripled since 2008 lows.
B)I am concerned that these gains are overinflated and pumped higher through these policies of the Central Bankers and stocks are way overvalued and extremely overbought.
C)Because we have not seen a meaningful correction in the Dow in more than seven years, the chance of a significant bear market remains higher than ever.
D)I believe the Dow-Gold ratio is about to turn in favor of precious metals in a big way.
E)The Fed raising rates could be good for precious metals as investors may finally rotate out of overvalued stocks in search for equities backed by precious metals.
Wednesday, September 14, 2016
Crude Oil Price Trend Forecast 2016 Update / Commodities / Crude Oil
By: Nadeem_Walayat
At the start of the year the prevailing mood in the oil market was not just one of doom and gloom but of catastrophe as the oil price sunk below $30, skidding by the middle of February to virtually touch $25, a period during which many prominent analysts and investment banks such as Goldman Sachs all of whom were bearish on the prospects for oil price this year even suggesting that the oil price could sink to as low as $10 (Standard Chartered) which meant that the oil producers, the frackers and even a string of nations such as Russia, Nigeria and Venezuela were on the fast track towards going bust in as their oil profits that financed state spending budget deficits evaporated.
Wednesday, September 14, 2016
The Gold To Housing Ratio As A Valuation Indicator / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016
By: Dan_Amerman
The Gold to Housing ratio is a quite useful measure for evaluating relative values between real estate and gold, and also has an interesting historical track record for identifying turning points in long-term gold price trends. In light of the surge in gold prices in 2016, and the continuing strength in housing – it is worthwhile revisiting this basic measure, because the results aren't at all what most people likely think they are.
Wednesday, September 14, 2016
GDXJ Gold Stocks - A Diamond in the Rough / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2016
By: Rambus_Chartology
It wasn’t until yesterday that I could draw in a possible bottom rail of a possible diamond pattern on the GDXJ. This potential diamond pattern has been forming since the first of July. As it stands right now the diamond pattern has completed five reversal points which theoretically puts it into a reversal pattern category. With that said the bounce yesterday may have started the all important 6th reversal point to the upside which if completed would make this diamond a consolidation pattern to the upside. Keep in mind this potential diamond is still developing with no resolution either way yet.
Tuesday, September 13, 2016
There Is Only One Right Way to Do a Precious Metals IRA / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016
By: MoneyMetals
A small handful of outfits in our industry recently sprang up and started heavily promoting a so-called “self-storage” or “LLC” IRA. The pitch is for you to establish an LLC company to store the metals on behalf of your IRA in your home (or nearby).
At first glance, it sounds like an attractive option. Investors buy metals to increase privacy and control. Some do not want to rely on third-party vaults and would prefer having personal access to their metals 24 hours a day, 7 days a week. We totally agree with this sentiment when it comes to precious metals that you personally and directly own. But anyone considering this “self-storage IRA” scheme should be extremely careful and aware of the risks.
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Tuesday, September 13, 2016
How Gold Bugs can Have their cake and eat it too by Embracing the trend / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2016
By: Sol_Palha
Executive ability is deciding quickly and getting somebody else to do the work.John G. Pollard
Many individuals sit back and look wistfully at the 1st stage of the Gold Bull Market they missed. It is interesting that people focus on what they lost but not what they might miss. Since Gold topped out in 2011, many sectors took off; one could have deployed a portion of one’s funds in any of these sectors and walked away with healthy gains. Instead, the classic Gold bug clung to Gold and let all these opportunities slide away.
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Tuesday, September 13, 2016
You Didn’t See This Bubble Burst Coming / Commodities / Agricultural Commodities
By: Harry_Dent
I keep saying that in the next great crash, everything will get swept up in the onslaught – with virtually no exceptions.And that goes too for what we eat!
The 30-Year Commodity Cycle peaked in mid-2008 and has been the first major bubble to crash and burn.
The CRB (Commodity) Index has been down as low as 67%, with the potential for 74% or lower in the next few years.
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Tuesday, September 13, 2016
Sorry, You Can’t Have Your Gold - Own Physical, Allocated Gold / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016
By: GoldCore
“Sorry, You Can’t Have Your Gold” by Jeff Thomas via InternationalMan.com
In this publication, we warn regularly of the risk involved in storing wealth in banks. They’ve made the removal of your deposits increasingly difficult in addition to colluding with governments to allow them to legally freeze or confiscate your money.
To add insult to injury, they’re creating reporting requirements with regard to the contents of safe deposit boxes and restricting what can be stored in them – again, at risk of confiscation.
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Tuesday, September 13, 2016
Gold Boom! End Game Nears As Central Banks Buying Up Gold Mining Companies! / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016
By: Jeff_Berwick
When you watch mainstream media or listen to central bankers, gold is constantly deemed to be the redheaded stepchild of the investment industry.
Just that alone, is unbelievable, considering that gold has been one of the best performing investments of the 21st century. On December 31st, 1999, gold closed at $290.25. As of today it is trading at $1327.80.
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Tuesday, September 13, 2016
Correction in Gold and Silver Markets Continues / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016
By: The_Gold_Report
Technical analyst Jack Chan charts the latest moves in the multiweek correction in the gold and silver markets.
Tuesday, September 13, 2016
Gold and United States Imported Oil / Commodities / Crude Oil
By: DeviantInvestor
The US has imported crude oil for many decades. The following data (1970 – 2015) comes from the Energy Information Administration of the US government. This data shows reported barrels of crude oil imported into the US.
(Note: This is not a comprehensive analysis of imported energy, nor does it compensate for exports of crude oil, imports or exports of coal, natural gas or other energy sources.)
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Tuesday, September 13, 2016
Silver Will Be A Top Performing Asset In The Next Financial Crisis / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016
By: Chris_Vermeulen
The much awaited Jackson Hole speech by the Fed Chair Janet Yellen – and the subsequent nonfarm payrolls data failed to ignite the prospects of a rate hike this September of 2016. The market now forecasts only a 21% probability of a rate hike in this month, according to the CME FedWatch Tool. The probability of a rate hike in December of 2016 stands at just above 50%.
Time and again, I have explained why the Fed cannot hike rates in 2016. Contrary many market experts, my view has stood the test of time and has come to fruition. According to my research, the chances of a rate hike in December of 2016 are also very bleak. Nonetheless, the Fed speakers will continue to “jawbone” the dollar, the way they have been doing for the whole year.
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Sunday, September 11, 2016
Gold vs Stocks: The New Normal / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016
By: Nicholas_Kitonyi
Stock prices have always been deemed to have an inverse relationship with the price of gold mainly because unlike the yellow metal, investors tend to fancy them when global economies are doing well. Gold is often seen as a fallback plan when things go caput in the stock market.
Stocks are income driven and if the economy is doing well, then equity prices are likely to improve to mirror the change in the overall economic outlook. Income driven investments tend to provide better returns than currency investments in a strong economy.
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Sunday, September 11, 2016
Gold and Gold Stocks Correction Continues / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2016
By: Jordan_Roy_Byrne
The failure of Gold and gold stocks to sustain recent gains coupled with a strong selloff to close the week dashes any hope that the correction ended last week. The charts and probabilities argue that the sector remains in a larger correction and perhaps has started the C portion of a typical A-B-C (down-up-down) correction.
Saturday, September 10, 2016
GDX Stocks Update.. : Welcome to “The Zone” / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2016
By: Rambus_Chartology
Welcome to PM Trader’s Nightmare.
We’ve been following the GDX as a proxy for the rest of the PM stock indexes which is showing the on going correction or consolidation phase of the first big move up off the January low. This first daily chart shows the unbalanced double top which is the first reversal point in this new consolidation phase. The double top has a price objective down to the 24.50 area which was almost touched late last week. As you can see the double top trendline has held resistance on two separate occasions with the second one taking place this week. At this point we still don’t have a confirmed low which could launch the second reversal point to the upside yet. The price action is in the middle of no man’s land presently.
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Saturday, September 10, 2016
Gold And Silver Are Money. Everything Else Is Debt. Globalist’s Biggest Scam / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016
By: Michael_Noonan
Last week, in “Fiat ‘Dollar’ Says Gold And Silver Will Struggle,” we said the following:
[See 4th paragraph]
Money does not exist in this country. In fact, money does not exist anywhere in the world. What is money? So few people know, and many who profess to know do not. Money is a commodity with a recognized value. Gold and silver remain the last known standard of real money. Remember J P Morgan’s famous words: “Gold is money. Everything else is credit.”
The globalists, through their creation of the Federal Reserve, have sold the biggest lie ever to the world and continue to get away with it. People everywhere believe the fiat-created Federal Reserve Note, falsely called the “dollar,” is actually a monetary dollar. We have often stated how Federal Reserve Notes are evidences of debt issued by the Fed. We also always add that debt is not and can never be money, yet almost every American wrongly believes debt is money because they believe the Fed “dollar” is money.
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Friday, September 09, 2016
Gold Stocks Massive Price Correction / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2016
By: Zeal_LLC
Gold stocks have suffered a terrible month, plunging in a serious selloff. The resulting carnage has left investors and speculators shaken, wondering if this red-hot sector’s blistering new bull this year has already run out of steam. These fears are misplaced, as massive corrections are common in major gold-stock bulls. They create bulls’ best buying opportunities in sentimental, technical, and fundamental terms.
It’s easy to understand why gold-stock sentiment is so bearish today, as this sector has been trashed since early August. In less than a month the gold miners went from 2016’s overwhelmingly-dominant top-performing sector to bear-market-grade losses! Falling from heroes to zeroes in such a short span of time is enough to test the resolve of even the most-hardened contrarians. It’s a tough turn of events to weather.
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Friday, September 09, 2016
Gold During Presidential Election Cycle / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016
By: Arkadiusz_Sieron
Let’s analyze the chart below which shows how gold performed each year of the presidential election cycle. The first year of a presidency is a post-election year, the second is called the midterm election year, the third is the pre-election year, and the last year is an election year. For the yellow metal, the post-election year is the worst, as it gains only 2.27 percent, on average. On the contrary, the second year of the presidency is the best for the price of gold, as the shiny metal rallies 12.82 percent, on average. The pre-election (11.21 percent) and election (8.99 percent) years are between, but gold’s highest performance is evidently closer to the midterm year.
Friday, September 09, 2016
Sugar Price Set To Correct / Commodities / Agricultural Commodities
By: Austin_Galt
The sugar price has experienced a solid move up off the lows putting in a high back in July at $21.10. Since then price looks to be in a process of distribution and I expect a more substantial correction to take place.
Let's take a bottom up approach to the analysis beginning with the daily chart.
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