Analysis Topic: Commodity Markets - Metals, Softs & Oils
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.
Friday, September 04, 2015
Gold-Silver Ratio in Gear / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015
By: Gary_Tanashian
Now that the US stock market has gotten in sync with the rest of the world in its ups and downs, it also joins the rest of the world in generally (and loosely; it’s not a minute-by-minute relationship) being inverse to the Gold-Silver ratio (GSR, AKA the “metallic credit spread” –Hoye).
Here is the daily view of the GSR, showing a gap up and spike that came with the stock market’s big disturbance and a consolidation down that has come with its relief bounce. This is a bullish chart and so, it is a short-term bearish chart for US and global stocks. GSR broke out and is bullish while above the MA 50’s, MACD and RSI are positive and AROON is trend up.
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Friday, September 04, 2015
What IF Gold is Just in a Great Big Bull Consolidation Pattern ? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015
By: Rambus_Chartology
The gold charts which are showing gold is at a critical level right here. Below is the daily chart for gold that shows its comb triangle / H&S consolidation pattern. I have shown you on the precious metals indexes the same combo consolidation pattern. The only real difference is the PM stock indexes reached their respective price objectives while gold has yet to reach its. So there is a big divergence between the Pm stocks and the metal. This counter trend rally that started at the August low finally ran into some serious resistance as shown by the red circle.
Thursday, September 03, 2015
Marc Faber Warns “No Safe Assets Anymore” So “Focus On Precious Metals” / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015
By: GoldCore
DAILY PRICES
Today’s Gold Prices: USD1130.05, EUR 1005.88 and GBP 739.63 per ounce.
Yesterday’s Gold Prices: USD 1140.00, EUR 1010.73 and GBP 746.46 per ounce.
(LBMA AM)
Thursday, September 03, 2015
Crude Oil Price Sinking or Rebounding? / Commodities / Crude Oil
By: Nadia_Simmons
Trading position (short-term; our opinion): No speculative positions are justified from the risk/reward perspective.
On Tuesday, crude oil reversed and declined sharply as weak Chinese data weighed on investors' sentiment. As a result, the commodity approached support levels, but will they encourage oil bulls to act in the coming days?
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Thursday, September 03, 2015
How OPEC’s Attempt to Save Face Affects the Crude Oil Market / Commodities / Crude Oil
By: ...
Well, that somebody is OPEC, and there is much more behind this development, leading to today’s discussion.
In its monthly report released on Monday, OPEC indicated it is now willing to discuss production levels with other non-OPEC countries. This is the first indication that the low crude oil price environment has been creating serious problems inside the cartel.
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Thursday, September 03, 2015
Crude Oil Price Forecast 2015 and 2016 - Video / Commodities / Crude Oil
By: Nadeem_Walayat
The crude oil price has relentlessly trended lower all year to an unimaginably low price low of $37 of just a few days ago, falling from $100 a year ago. The severe bear market has not only caught many market commentators off guard but has had a devastating impact on several major economies that are heavily reliant on high oil prices such as Russia, the gulf states, and other emerging markets reliant on their energy sector tax revenues to finance state spending and of course Britain's very own Scotland that a year ago was toying with idea of committing social and economic suicide (independence referendum).
Wednesday, September 02, 2015
Gold Coin Sales Surge 306% YoY In August, Silver Sales More Than Double / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015
By: GoldCore
strong>DAILY PRICESToday’s Gold Prices: USD 1140.00, EUR 1010.73 and GBP 746.46 per ounce.
Yesterday’s Gold Prices: USD 1141.90, EUR 1012.23 and GBP 744.10 per ounce.
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Tuesday, September 01, 2015
OPEC Divorce And Self-Destruction Thanks To Saudi Crude Oil Strategy? / Commodities / Crude Oil
By: OilPrice_Com
"If you are the world's leading energy economy, you produce energy, that's what you do."
"A government can stay irrational longer than it can stay solvent."
"Even in the short term, you're dead, if you commit suicide."
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Tuesday, September 01, 2015
Silver Price Set To Start 70s Style Rally? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015
By: Hubert_Moolman
In terms of gold, silver is currently better value than at the beginning of the bull market in 2001. In November of 2001, when silver bottomed, the Gold/Silver ratio was about 66 compared to 78 today. In other words, gold has actually outperformed silver since the beginning of this precious metals bull market.
It is actually the historical norm for gold to outperform silver for most part of a bull market, except for the very last part. For example, this happened in the 70s, when gold was up on silver from the beginning of the bull market (let's say about 1971) until almost the very end (about October 1979). So, during an almost ten-year bull market, silver only overtook gold about three months before the end.
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Tuesday, September 01, 2015
Is Crude Oil Price Bouncing Into Recovery? / Commodities / Crude Oil
By: Harry_Dent
The global economy has $57 trillion more debt now than it did at the last bubble peak in 2008. The energy sector alone has $248 billion in junk bond debt – some of the riskiest debt there is!Entire industries have been built upon this credit-fueled bubble, driven by the easy-money policies of central banks around the world.
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Tuesday, September 01, 2015
Gold Price Up 3.5% In August, Stocks Fall 6% to 12% / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015
By: GoldCore
DAILY PRICES
Today’s Gold Prices: USD 1141.90, EUR 1012.23 and GBP 744.10 per ounce.
Yesterday’s Gold Prices: Bank Holiday in UK
Friday’s Gold Prices: USD 1,125.50, EUR 998.23 and GBP 730.99 per ounce.
(LBMA AM)
Tuesday, September 01, 2015
Crude Oil Price Forecast 2015 and 2016 / Commodities / Crude Oil
By: Nadeem_Walayat
The crude oil price has relentlessly trended lower all year to an unimaginably low price low of $37 of just a few days ago, falling from $100 a year ago. The severe bear market has not only caught many market commentators off guard but has had a devastating impact on several major economies that are heavily reliant on high oil prices such as Russia, the gulf states, and other emerging markets reliant on their energy sector tax revenues to finance state spending and of course Britain's very own Scotland that a year ago was toying with idea of committing social and economic suicide (independence referendum).
Monday, August 31, 2015
Silver and Warnings From Exponential Markets / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015
By: DeviantInvestor
For the past 15 – 40 years, debt and prices in most markets have moved upward, broadly speaking, in exponential trends. See the following log-scale graphs.
US T-Bonds: T-Bonds have been rallying in their bull market since the early 1980’s. Will they continue, correct, or crash? Doug Noland says it is “The Beginning of the Great Global Unwind.” See chart.
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Monday, August 31, 2015
Gold Price Set for Best Month Since January as Stock Market Rout Lifts Safe Haven / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015
By: GoldCore
DAILY PRICES
Today’s Gold Prices: Bank Holiday in UK today
Friday’s Gold Prices: USD 1,125.50, EUR 998.23 and GBP 730.99 per ounce.
(LBMA AM)
Monday, August 31, 2015
Silver and The Mechanics of False Reality / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015
By: Dr_Jeff_Lewis
“All truth passed through three stages: First it is ridiculed. Second it is violently opposed. Third it is accepted as being self evident”. - Arthur Schopenhauer
Once the truth about silver value becomes evident, it will probably be time to move on.
For now, watching price action can be torture.
Sunday, August 30, 2015
Gold’s 7 Point Broadening Top / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015
By: Austin_Galt
Gold looks to have made a short term high and now looks headed back down. Let’s revise the daily and monthly charts.Read full article... Read full article...
Sunday, August 30, 2015
Gold Seasonality And Average Intraday Price Movement / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015
By: Jesse
It will be interesting to see how gold moves in the latter half of this year.
As for the intraday movement, the impact of the London - New York on the gold trade is hard to miss.
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Sunday, August 30, 2015
Gold Price Rally Marked by Short Covering / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015
By: Dan_Norcini
If there was ever any doubt that the majority of buying by the hedge fund category in the gold market over the past 3-4 weeks has been of the nature of short covering, this week’s COT should put that theory to rest.
Since the third week of July, the hedge fund category alone has covered or lifted 40,000 short positions. That against the addition of only 16,000 or so new long positions over the same time span. By a better than 2:1 margin, hedge funds have been covering shorts, not instituting fresh purchases of gold.
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Saturday, August 29, 2015
Gold Shares Lows are Near / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2015
By: Aden_Forecast
As most of you know, many mining companies have fallen by over 90%. The HUI Gold Bugs index has fallen 83% since its 2011 peak in the second longest bear market in gold shares on record. It's fallen twice as much as gold's bear market loss of 43%.
But looking at the next two charts, both are saying the lows may already be in.
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Friday, August 28, 2015
Silver Sold, then Squeezed / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015
By: Alasdair_Macleod
While gold consolidated its recent gains, silver was sold down this week along with other metals and energy. The whole commodity complex suffered badly in the stock-market fall-out, before a sharp bear-squeeze across commodity markets pushed silver, copper and oil sharply higher yesterday (Thursday). Silver is now down 6.8% on the year and gold 5%. Prices were slightly firmer this morning in Asian trade, before the European opening.