Analysis Topic: Currency Market Analysis
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.
Monday, April 25, 2011
Euro USD Currency Elliott Wave Technical Analysis / Currencies / US Dollar
By: Tony_Caldaro
We have written about the Euro in sections of various reports before, but this is the first report dedicated just to the EURUSD. The Euro, the currency of the European Union, replaced the ECU, a basket of european currencies, in 1999 on a 1:1 basis. For the record the Euro officially started trading in 1999. However, we do have charts for the ECU going back to 1991. In the 1990′s the basket of ECU currencies contained twelve different currencies.
Sunday, April 24, 2011
US Dollar DX Index Very Long Term Charts / Currencies / US Dollar
By: Jesse
The DX Index I normally show is the continuous futures contract on the DX index. The front month is now June.
The Fed also publishes two other dollar indices: major currency index, and the broad currency index. The major currency index is essentially the basis for the Wall Street DX futures index.
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Thursday, April 21, 2011
The U.S. Dollar Cycle / Currencies / US Dollar
By: Toby_Connor
For many months now I've been warning we were going to have a dollar crisis and that dollar crisis would drive the final leg up in gold's ongoing two year C-wave advance. We are now on the verge of the panic selling stage of this three year cycle.Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, April 14, 2011
U.S. Dollar Review and Outlook / Currencies / US Dollar
By: Axel_Merk
We believe that continued U.S. dollar weakness may be a consequence of the diverging monetary approaches central banks are taking around the globe. While many international central banks have been on a tightening path, raising rates (i.e. central banks of: Australia, Brazil, Canada, China, India, Norway, Sweden, to name but a few), the U.S. Federal Reserve (Fed) has been conspicuous in its continued easing monetary policy stance. Indeed, while other central banks have been shrinking the size of their balance sheets, the U.S. Fed’s balance sheet continues to expand on the back of ongoing quantitative easing policies.
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Wednesday, April 13, 2011
U.S. Dollar Index Down Trend Intact / Currencies / US Dollar
By: Guy_Lerner
In my last look at the Dollar Index, I pointed out that the Dollar doesn't seem relevant anymore, and as long as the down trend was under control, then all seem to be ok. The trend is still down, and the technicals would suggest that we will be visiting the all time lows last seen in 2008 at some point in the near future. At that point, I surmise things will start to get interesting.
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Friday, April 08, 2011
U.S. Dollar Crisis Looms, Spike in Interest Rates Following End of QE2 / Currencies / US Dollar
By: Chris_Kitze
Chris Martenson writes: As a major currency crisis looms in the west, there are some things that we should all expect. Lifestyle changes that we don't have to imagine, but ones we can see happening right in front of us today. Now the catalyst for the beginning of a major currency crisis could be several things. To note just a few, QE2 ending would cause a spike in interest rates, banking crisis, and inevitably a debt crisis that would lead to a dollar crisis.
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Thursday, April 07, 2011
Government Operations to Sieze Precious Metals, The "Crime" of Private Money / Currencies / Fiat Currency
By: Robert_Murphy
Bernard von NotHaus was convicted last month in federal court on conspiracy and counterfeiting charges for his development of silver "Liberty Dollars." He faces up to 25 years in prison. Earlier this week the feds moved to seize about $7 million of precious metals from the operation as well.
Tuesday, April 05, 2011
The Falling US Dollar / Currencies / US Dollar
By: Tony_Pallotta
Below is a monthly chart of the USD index (DXY) since 2000. In that period of time it has died a slow death down 37%. A currency is like a stock in a company and this is one company shareholders continue to sell. Whether it be the shrinking manufacturing base, millions in lost jobs, rising debt, weak leadership, lack of new products in the pipeline to fuel growth, this company (excuse me country) is in trouble right now.
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Friday, April 01, 2011
Bulls in EUR/JPY Remain a Driving Force / Currencies / Euro
By: Seven_Days_Ahead
Long term support in EUR/JPY remains around a 76.4% pullback level (recently retested), and a better recovery is still a prospect following the recent brief sell-off.
Friday, April 01, 2011
Sterling Euro Suggests Further Sterling Weakness / Currencies / British Pound
By: Seven_Days_Ahead
The outlook for Sterling against the other major currencies seems more or less unchanged - except against the Euro.
Thursday, March 31, 2011
Geithner's Blatant Lies at the G20 Meeting; Four-Pronged Solution / Currencies / Fiat Currency
By: Mike_Shedlock
Proving that he cannot find his ass with two hands and a road map, Treasury secretary Tim Geithner says inflexible currencies are biggest monetary problem.
Read full article... Read full article...Tightly controlled exchange rate regimes are the main flaw in the international monetary system and the solution is simple, U.S. Treasury Secretary Timothy Geithner told a G20 meeting on Thursday.
Wednesday, March 30, 2011
U.S. Dollar Has Cancer and its Metastasising / Currencies / US Dollar
By: GoldSilver
All you can do is play the hand you are dealt.
This is not going to be pretty. When it happens, it is not going to be good for most people. It's only going to be good for a few. Those who hold physical gold and silver.
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Tuesday, March 29, 2011
Japanese Yen Big Surprise / Currencies / Japanese Yen
By: Tony_Caldaro
As a followup to our recent long term report on the Japan Nikkei equity index we present our a long term analysis on the JPYUSD. The Yen is a western economy currency which generally follows the CHFUSD long term currency cycle model, as opposed to commodity sensitive currencies like the AUDUSD, CADUSD and ZARUSD. The CHFUSD model displays Cyclical tops and bottoms every 16-17 years, with the bottoms occurring only 6-7 years after the tops. The long term charts of the JPYUSD display this currency cycle quite well with a slight variation at the lows.
Tuesday, March 29, 2011
The Death of the "Dollar Carry Trade" / Currencies / US Dollar
By: Money_Morning
Shah Gilani writes:
By maintaining a Federal Funds rate below the 0.25% level - and injecting $600 billion into the banking system through a second round of quantitative easing - the U.S. Federal Reserve has orchestrated a bubble-like surge in commodity prices, an uptick in global inflation and a historic resurgence in U.S. stock prices.
The low-interest-rate strategy has enabled the U.S. central bank to achieve another important objective - a massive depreciation in the value of the U.S. dollar.
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Monday, March 28, 2011
US Dollar, Making a Case for the Greenback / Currencies / US Dollar
By: Submissions
R.F. Lee writes: The US Dollar has been on a pronounced downtrend since the middle of 2010, and has been threatening its record lows as of this writing at the end of March 2011. In the week of 21 March 2011, the greenback registered new lows against Gold and the Australian Dollar, and also reached a 31-year low against silver.
Saturday, March 26, 2011
US Dollar Under Acute Pressure As World seeks an Alternative Reserve Currency / Currencies / US Dollar
By: Bob_Chapman
The days and years of manipulation, fraud and criminal behavior are fast coming to an end. New alliances are evolving, as are outspoken advocates of a new world reserve currency. As a result more and more foreigners are bypassing Treasury and Agency bonds, as well as other US dollar denominated investments. We watch as other major nations accumulate gold and cannot help but think that the new world reserve currency will be gold backed.
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Friday, March 25, 2011
Recent Blow-off Move in USD/JPY? / Currencies / Japanese Yen
By: Seven_Days_Ahead
After some of the dust has settled since last week’s sharp, brief sell-off some initial ideas have formulated. These might begin to excite the bulls, but it is too early to draw conclusions yet.
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Wednesday, March 23, 2011
U.S. Dollar Collapse Inevitable, Gold Wealth Protection / Currencies / US Dollar
By: Jeff_Clark
What will happen to the U.S. economy and the dollar in the near term? Will inflation increase dramatically? What is the outlook for gold, and where should you put your money? BIG GOLD asked a world-class panel of economists, authors, and investment advisors what they expect for the future. Caution: strong opinions ahead...
Wednesday, March 23, 2011
Japanese Currency Intervention, How Does Disaster Promote a Strong Currency? / Currencies / Japanese Yen
By: Robert_Murphy
After the catastrophic earthquake, the tsunami, and the nuclear-reactor scares, the Japanese currency ironically strengthened quite sharply. In response, the Bank of Japan and other major central banks last week launched a coordinated "intervention" into the currency markets in order to intentionally weaken the yen.
Monday, March 21, 2011
U.S. Dollar Breakdown or Reversal? / Currencies / US Dollar
By: John_Hampson
The US Dollar has now broken beneath long term rising support, as shown in the first chart below of the US Dollar index. There are other support levels below, around 75 and then 72, but beneath that we would enter unchartered territory, as shown in the second longer term chart, and the weakness of the latest dollar bounce is notable.