Most Popular
1. It’s a New Macro, the Gold Market Knows It, But Dead Men Walking Do Not (yet)- Gary_Tanashian
2.Stock Market Presidential Election Cycle Seasonal Trend Analysis - Nadeem_Walayat
3. Bitcoin S&P Pattern - Nadeem_Walayat
4.Nvidia Blow Off Top - Flying High like the Phoenix too Close to the Sun - Nadeem_Walayat
4.U.S. financial market’s “Weimar phase” impact to your fiat and digital assets - Raymond_Matison
5. How to Profit from the Global Warming ClImate Change Mega Death Trend - Part1 - Nadeem_Walayat
7.Bitcoin Gravy Train Trend Forecast 2024 - - Nadeem_Walayat
8.The Bond Trade and Interest Rates - Nadeem_Walayat
9.It’s Easy to Scream Stocks Bubble! - Stephen_McBride
10.Fed’s Next Intertest Rate Move might not align with popular consensus - Richard_Mills
Last 7 days
Dubai Deluge - AI Tech Stocks Earnings Correction Opportunities - 18th Nov 24
Why President Trump Has NO Real Power - Deep State Military Industrial Complex - 8th Nov 24
Social Grant Increases and Serge Belamant Amid South Africa's New Political Landscape - 8th Nov 24
Is Forex Worth It? - 8th Nov 24
Nvidia Numero Uno in Count Down to President Donald Pump Election Victory - 5th Nov 24
Trump or Harris - Who Wins US Presidential Election 2024 Forecast Prediction - 5th Nov 24
Stock Market Brief in Count Down to US Election Result 2024 - 3rd Nov 24
Gold Stocks’ Winter Rally 2024 - 3rd Nov 24
Why Countdown to U.S. Recession is Underway - 3rd Nov 24
Stock Market Trend Forecast to Jan 2025 - 2nd Nov 24
President Donald PUMP Forecast to Win US Presidential Election 2024 - 1st Nov 24
At These Levels, Buying Silver Is Like Getting It At $5 In 2003 - 28th Oct 24
Nvidia Numero Uno Selling Shovels in the AI Gold Rush - 28th Oct 24
The Future of Online Casinos - 28th Oct 24
Panic in the Air As Stock Market Correction Delivers Deep Opps in AI Tech Stocks - 27th Oct 24
Stocks, Bitcoin, Crypto's Counting Down to President Donald Pump! - 27th Oct 24
UK Budget 2024 - What to do Before 30th Oct - Pensions and ISA's - 27th Oct 24
7 Days of Crypto Opportunities Starts NOW - 27th Oct 24
The Power Law in Venture Capital: How Visionary Investors Like Yuri Milner Have Shaped the Future - 27th Oct 24
This Points To Significantly Higher Silver Prices - 27th Oct 24

Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

How to Protect your Wealth by Investing in AI Tech Stocks

What Use is Gold Indeed!

Commodities / Gold & Silver Jun 18, 2007 - 11:55 AM GMT

By: Andre_D_F_Oosthuizen

Commodities

What use is gold? Gerry Hiles raised the question, June 7, 2007. Good question indeed and all the points raised are true and thought provoking up to a point.

What follows is another interpretation of the utility of gold.

Mr. Hiles in fact answers all his questions by asking them but not following it through with the logical conclusions.


First I will quote Mr. Hiles, then follow with comments.

"All you can do is swap your gold back into some fiat currency ... if you meanwhile have not been robbed and killed."

History shows that always when the need arises that gold needs to be swapped for fiat currency there is someone willing to do the trade. One will never be "stuck" with gold.

"Or you might "own" some kind of certificate that you have a call on some gold in some vault or other, but that piece of paper is no better than fiat currency, because you really have no idea whether or not there is sufficient physical gold to cover your own and all others claims. (Back to the original banking system, in effect, and the original failure of the "gold standard", because all you really own is a piece of paper which "promises" to deliver what probably does not exist.)"

If you actually own gold, you may store it at your banking institution where you hold your accounts, in their vaults, at a negligible cost, same as with any other valuables and/or documents.

All the comments about scarcity confirm at least one economic law that most seem to agree upon. Scarcity increases the value of anything that has utility.

The only question that remains is whether gold does have utility. As with everything, it is a matter of perception. The following points are put forward for consideration.

It may be idiocy for mines all over the world to employ labor and capital to mine gold. However, they are doing it and thus we can conclude there is some demand for it. There is a direct correlation between the gold price and the cost of labor and capital. Mines will discontinue when costs rise above income. A strange phenomenon remains that fiat money credit is still being used in some cases to continue operations. Gold must obviously be good enough collateral for the banks. Why lend to mines while discrediting gold as a barbarous relic?

It is believed that as much as 80% of gold is held in private hands and thus even if the gold price may or may not be manipulated on the surface, it can not be cornered like strategic products such as oil and uranium by governments and corporations. There is an argument that gold can be confiscated again as was the case in America in the past, but that is a problem for if and when that may occur.

The so-called flow ratio of newly mined gold to existing above ground supply allows for less volatility and also prevents serious disruption to the availability of gold should all mining be halted for any reason.

The greatest utility of gold probably lies in the fact that it acts as a barometer (policeman or guard) over the activities of regimes and central banks.

Due to the fact that technological advances in production are made as fast in mining as in any other field of endeavor, one can then immediately see how the cost of capital is being manipulated by the central bank system. The more the cost of labor and the cost of capital become unbalanced it necessarily starts showing up in the gold price. Reality will not be thwarted.

As sophisticated as labor may become, it will always be necessary and there will always be a relation between it and the cost of capital. As technology improves in all fields at more or less the same pace, the ratios between cost of labor and capital will remain fairly constant with speculating/investing opportunities arising as economic sectors may move ahead or fall behind each other on a temporary basis, or become obsolete.

Will gold become obsolete? Personally, I do not believe that. But that is my perception. History seems to be on my side.

By André D. F. Oosthuizen
Email: di-verse@iafrica.com

André D. F. Oosthuizen Archive

© 2005-2022 http://www.MarketOracle.co.uk - The Market Oracle is a FREE Daily Financial Markets Analysis & Forecasting online publication.


Post Comment

Only logged in users are allowed to post comments. Register/ Log in