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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Stock-Markets

Tuesday, November 28, 2023

Stock Market Santa Rally to S&P 4600+ / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2023

By: Nadeem_Walayat

Dear Reader

It's your lucky day! You got access to my latest stock market brief that are usually only exclusively made available to patrons.

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, November 28, 2023

Can A Stock Market Crash Be Averted... For Now? / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2023

By: Avi_Gilburt

It has certainly been an interesting year or so since we struck the low in October of 2022. If you remember, most were looking for the market to head considerably lower at the time. But, then again, what else is new? Most expect the market to continue linearly in whatever trend is in place at any point in time.

Yet, we were strongly suggesting that most investors begin to look upward, as we maintained that the market would rally to the 4300+ region from the 3500 region lows we expected before we bottomed. In fact, I was even outlining to members that the potential was in place to rally as high as 4505SPX off the 3500SPX region, even before we bottomed. And, amazingly, the market even exceeded my expectations by 100 points.

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, November 28, 2023

The Stock Market Trend and the Policy Behind it / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2023

By: Gary_Tanashian

An excerpt from this week’s edition of Notes From the Rabbit Hole, NFTRH 785 on the state of the US stock market bubble as developed and sustained by another bubble (in policy-making)

NFTRH 785 started off with a lot of opinions (based on facts and indicators) before settling in to a more normal report covering key markets as usual. Meanwhile, the opening segment is more an unvarnished screed than actual market analysis, which is NFTRH’s normal mode and which we do reliably each week.

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Stock-Markets

Thursday, November 23, 2023

Stock Market Ignoring Hawkish Fed / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2023

By: Monica_Kingsley

S&P 500 entered yesterday‘s session on a corrective note, but similarly to recovering from Barkin‘s hawkish message, it did the same following FOMC minutes. Not even NVDA earnings volatility could take the ES below 4,535 – clients‘ long gains whether in swing or intraday publications, are growing – and the result really comes down to when you enter and how you work with risk along the way. Crucial question to ask – are these the circumstances favoring outsized bets, or not?

It boils down to what you think about the bond market – are we see another 10y yield rising episode?

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Stock-Markets

Wednesday, November 22, 2023

Stock Market Trend Trajectory into Year End 2023 / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2023

By: Nadeem_Walayat

Are you ready to rumble! Lets see of earnings season volatility can deliver some more buying opps in target stocks over the next couple of weeks.

Where the S&P is concerned the expectation for an early October bottom at just below 4200 was freakily ac hived in terms of price and time and as my market brief illustrated going into October.

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Stock-Markets

Saturday, November 18, 2023

Quad Witching Cracks Stock Market Nuts / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2023

By: Nadeem_Walayat

The S&P is complying with trend forecast expectations that saw Friday's Quad Witching day end down 1.22% at 4450, where some hours before the open I commented -

"It's QUAD Witching DAY. There is a 90% probability for a STRONG DOWN DAY! Which given where the likes of Apple are perched just above support should act as a catalyst for the the sell off into October."

Whilst apparently someone called Cem Karson was eager to convince folks that a correction was 'almost impossible!'

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Stock-Markets

Wednesday, November 08, 2023

Stock Market SP500 Trend Expectations / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2023

By: Nadeem_Walayat

The S&P is complying with trend forecast expectations that saw Friday's Quad Witching day end down 1.22% at 4450, where some hours before the open I commented -

"It's QUAD Witching DAY. There is a 90% probability for a STRONG DOWN DAY! Which given where the likes of Apple are perched just above support should act as a catalyst for the the sell off into October."

Whilst apparently someone called Cem Karson was eager to convince folks that a correction was 'almost impossible!'

Read full article... Read full article...

 


Stock-Markets

Wednesday, November 08, 2023

Stock Market SPX Bounce Underway, but Resistance Upcoming / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2023

By: Gary_Tanashian

This article discusses one diverse component of the broad global markets; the US S&P 500. The market has some poor underpinnings that we routinely keep track of in NFTRH and are beyond the scope of this public article. Also beyond the scope are macro risk indicators, including the US dollar and its relationship with the Gold/Silver ratio.

Filtering all of that out, we have anticipated a seasonal bounce or rally due to market sentiment well biased to over-bearish, oversold conditions and the seasonal pattern (on average) for SPX that has turned up, as per this graphic first presented in NFTRH 779 on October 15.

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Stock-Markets

Wednesday, November 08, 2023

Stock Market Investing - Aren't We Here To Make Money? / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2023

By: Avi_Gilburt

All I have heard over the last year is that we are about to head into a recession – an economic construct suggesting a negative market environment. And, this has kept many quite bearish of the stock market, with most looking at the rally from 3500 to 4600SPX as the market being “wrong.” Well, I have some news for you, which was well said by the legendary Jesse Livermore:

“A prudent speculator never argues with the tape. Markets are never wrong, opinions often are.”

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Stock-Markets

Sunday, November 05, 2023

Stock Market Seasonal and Presidential Cycle Analysis, Bitcoin Final Warning! / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2023

By: Nadeem_Walayat

Your analyst back from scam central (Istanbul), tourists need to factor in a getting scammed tax when visiting. Since my last article the S&P hit a low of 4333 followed by an ABC rally to a swing high of 4533, whilst a consolidation of the advance was expected, still this was more powerful than how I imagined it would play out ahead of targeting sub 4200 by Mid October and thus presents a significant deviation against my original trend forecast of some 11 months go.

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Stock-Markets

Thursday, November 02, 2023

Stock Market US Presidential Election Cycle Seasonal / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2023

By: Nadeem_Walayat

Seem's like everyone's woken upto the importance of the US presidential election cycle. However as is the case with the seasonal pattern it is not the holy grail, has a similar 75% hit rate to the all years seasonal pattern where the real value is when one puts both together. In which respect confirms September should end DOWN, October higher whilst November and December could switch places, i.e a weak November would imply a strong December and visa versa.

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Stock-Markets

Thursday, November 02, 2023

Stock Market Seasonal Trend Analysis / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2023

By: Nadeem_Walayat

The seasonal pattern suggested that after a pause in Feb the stock market should trend higher into early May for a weak May before correcting into late June follower by a strong July rally into Mid August before ending flat on the month, then followed by a weak September likely into early October that resolves in a rally into late December.

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Stock-Markets

Thursday, November 02, 2023

Stocks Are In a Rally Mode – Is This Just a Correction? / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2023

By: Paul_Rejczak

S&P 500 went closer to 4,300 level again – will the uptrend resume?

The S&P 500 index gained 1.05% on Wednesday as it got back above the 4,200 level following FOMC monetary policy release. Recently the market kept selling-off on geopolitical uncertainty, strong U.S. dollar, among other factors. Last Friday’s low was at 4,103.78 and it was the lowest since May 12. Yesterday’s daily high was at 4,245.64.

In early October stocks were rallying from their local lows along 4,220 level and on October 17 the index reached a local high of 4,394. There’s still a lot of uncertainty about monetary policy, economic growth and geopolitics.

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Stock-Markets

Sunday, October 29, 2023

Stock Market Ready to Tumble Trend Forecast / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2023

By: Nadeem_Walayat

Your analyst back from scam central (Istanbul), tourists need to factor in a getting scammed tax when visiting. Since my last article the S&P hit a low of 4333 followed by an ABC rally to a swing high of 4533, whilst a consolidation of the advance was expected, still this was more powerful than how I imagined it would play out ahead of targeting sub 4200 by Mid October and thus presents a significant deviation against my original trend forecast of some 11 months go.

Read full article... Read full article...

 


Stock-Markets

Sunday, October 29, 2023

The Report that Will Change the Way You View the Markets Forever! / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2023

By: EWI

Dear Reader,

When investors and traders first discover the Elliott Wave Principle, they're often most impressed by its ability to predict where a market will head next.

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Stock-Markets

Friday, October 20, 2023

Nuclear Power - America is Finally righting its 100-year Wrong / Stock-Markets / Investing 2023

By: Stephen_McBride

Herb Kelleher was a chain-smoking attorney who often consumed 100 cigarettes a day.

He founded Southwest Airlines (LUV) in the late ‘60s. His mission: Disrupt air travel by launching America’s first low-cost airline in Texas.

But his competitors tried to stop Southwest from ever getting off the ground.

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Stock-Markets

Thursday, October 19, 2023

How I BEAT The Greatest Stock Market CRASH in History - Black Monday October 19th 1987 / Stock-Markets / Stock Market Crash

By: Nadeem_Walayat

It's that time of the year again when the stock market doom merchants are at their most vocal as they focus on the historic apex of the darkest month for stocks of the year, October the 19th, the 29th anniversary of the 1987 Black Monday stock market crash that few saw coming but ever since many expect to repeat. So regardless of what the stock market has actually done thus far, by this point of the year the perma bears can always be seen literally jumping up and down like demented rabbits proclaiming that a crash is once more imminent as they point to a myriad of harbingers of the stock market apocalypse. So it is no wonder that October tends to be an unusually irrational month for where stock market expectations are concerned.

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Stock-Markets

Thursday, October 19, 2023

Unjustified Stock Market Investors Gloom and Doom / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2023

By: Stephen_McBride

I’m sensing a lot of unjustified doom and gloom from investors.

Legendary investor Jeremy Grantham recently told Bloomberg, “No one should invest in the US.”

I have great respect for the guy, but c’mon… he’s been predicting Armageddon for a decade straight.

And look at all these exciting breakthroughs going on…

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, October 17, 2023

Stock Market Earnings Season Trend Big Picture / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2023

By: Nadeem_Walayat

Since the stock market topped out at 4610 the trend has been down in line with my road map of over 10 months ago!

Stock Market Analysis and Trend Forecast Oct 2022 to Dec 2023

S&P targets a trend to 4600 by Mid Summer 2023 before correcting to below 4100 by late October.

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, October 17, 2023

Michael Burry Nothing Burger Stock Market CRASH Warnings / Stock-Markets / Stock Market Crash

By: Nadeem_Walayat

Apparently Michel 'Nothing Berger' Burry has put BIG SHORT position on the stock market to the tune of $1.6 billion, as reports the fear mongering MSM.

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