Analysis Topic: Currency Market Analysis
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.
Monday, January 13, 2020
British Pound GBP Trend Forecast Review / Currencies / British Pound
By: Nadeem_Walayat
Get Brexit DONE just as Take Back Control before it won the day for the LEAVE camp (Tory party) after they finally managed to pry Remainer Theresa May's fingers from the doors of No 10, planting LEAVER Boris Johnson in her place.
Right from the outset Boris Johnson was perceived by all as being a tough sell to the public and just maybe the Corbyn socialist hard left brigade could pull off another surprise performance just as they had in 2017 that caught everyone by surprise.
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Sunday, December 29, 2019
Does Bitcoin Have Value; Is It Money? / Currencies / Bitcoin
By: Kelsey_Williams
Writing about Bitcoin is a challenge for several reasons. It has a short history (ten years), it is highly complex, and there is a certain vagueness to the logic behind the concept. When reading about it, or listening to explanations, I wonder whether or not I understand it adequately. I also wonder how many others do.
Much has already been written and discussed, such that further commentary might be superfluous. But some additional perspective likely won’t hurt. So, for those who asked…
What is it? Bitcoin, simply stated, is a form of digital currency. That is how most people describe it when pressed for an acceptable answer. That does not make Bitcoin unique, though, since most of our money supply today is in the form of digital currency.
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Wednesday, December 18, 2019
Setting Up A U.S. Dollar Crash And Metals Rise / Currencies / US Dollar
By: Avi_Gilburt
I know that many investors follow correlations as if they were gospel. But, do they really understand what a correlation represents?
You see, markets are not linear in nature. While two different markets may be traveling in the same direction for a period of time, unless you understand each chart on its own, how will you ever know when a seeming correlation will break? And, if you assume that they will align indefinitely, how long does it take for you to cut your losses in determining that a seeming correlation has broken?
Remember, when you are following a correlation, all you are doing is assuming a relationship will continue indefinitely in a linear manner, despite the fact that markets are simply not linear in nature.
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Saturday, December 14, 2019
Australian Dollar At an Important Juncture / Currencies / Austrailia
By: Nadia_Simmons
It can be certainly said that AUD/USD has surprised on the upside recently. Having reached several important resistances, and attempting breakout above them, what else can be said about the pair’s current and upcoming performance?
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Friday, December 13, 2019
The ABC’s of Fiat Money / Currencies / Fiat Currency
By: Rob_Kirby
The machinations and bravo sierra excuses that are being “served up” attempting to explain the onset of massive Fed liquidity “adds” are fogging up my glasses. As a savant I once worked with in the institutional capital markets told me many, many years ago when I first parked my butt in a chair on a trading desk fresh out of University told me, “Kirby, what happens in here is really quite simple – we deal with money and the only things you can do with that are: buy it, sell it, borrow it or lend it. It isn’t rocket science”.When the Fed adds “liquidity” [aka fresh fiat money] they purchase debt – either on a temporary basis [repo] or a permanent basis by outright purchases [expanding their balance sheet]. Fresh fiat money is the oil that greases the wheels of our debt based money system. When the Fed purchases debt they are signalling concern that the wheels of our money system are seizing up.
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Monday, December 09, 2019
British Pound Struggling At New Resistance / Currencies / British Pound
By: Nadia_Simmons
For many weeks running, GBP/USD has been trading sideways in the pink consolidation. After moving higher recently, just what are the chances of the breakout sticking?
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Tuesday, December 03, 2019
The Rise and Evolution of Bitcoin / Currencies / Bitcoin
By: Steve_Marks
With 2019 slowly coming to an end, bitcoin completes its 11 years in the cryptocurrency marketplace. It was not only the first ever cryptocurrency to get launched as a guinea pig, but also became the most expensive cryptocurrency across the world.
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Friday, November 22, 2019
The Financial Implications of Bitcoin Casinos in Japan / Currencies / Gambling
By: Dylan_Moran
In 2018, Forbes magazine announced that Japan’s next economic boom would be fueled by bitcoin and cryptocurrencies. The country has suffered from decades of economic malaise, but the speculative demand for cryptocurrencies is in particularly high demand in Japan, both in industry and amongst ordinary people hoping to turn a profit and play the market. For this reason, bitcoin has also infiltrated the Japanese leisure market, with Bitcoin casinos more popular here than anywhere else in the world. Sounds like a lot of fun, but what exactly are the financial implications of these Bitcoin casinos? Here’s a high-level summary of everything you need to know:Read full article... Read full article...
Sunday, November 17, 2019
All You Need To Know About Cryptocurrency / Currencies / BlockChain
By: Sumeet_Manhas
A little historyThe financial world is ever-changing and is always on a constant rotation, doing away with the absolute and welcoming the new methods of trade. Traditionally, if you were to go back in time, you will find out that there was a generation when people exchanged goods for goods. If you were a farmer, you would exchange your produce for something else like tools with a blacksmith. Or hunting tools for meat or leather, so on and so forth. This form of trade, however, had certain drawbacks where people felt their exchanges were not equally quantified. And for that reason, the currency was invented.
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Thursday, November 14, 2019
7 days of Free FX + Crypto Forecasts -- Join in / Currencies / Forex Trading
By: EWI
Hi Wave Trader,
The end of the year is fast approaching. Have you met your 2019 trading goals?
We can help.
In fact, our Forex FreeWeek event is worth your time even if you're not actively trading forex.
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Wednesday, November 13, 2019
7 days of FREE FX + Crypto Market Forecasts / Currencies / Forex Trading
By: EWI
Hi Reader,
The end of the year is fast approaching. Have you met your 2019 trading goals?
Our friends at Elliott Wave International (EWI) can help.
In fact, their upcoming Forex FreeWeek event is worth your time even if you're not actively trading forex.
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Monday, November 11, 2019
Avoid Emotional Investing in Cryptocurrency / Currencies / BlockChain
By: Submissions
Cryptocurrency is famously volatile. Unlike many other markets, Bitcoin, Litecoin and Ethereum are likely to spike and dip in value very frequently. Those swings have led to many investors making considerable amounts of money from wise purchases; however, it has also left other traders feeling a sense of panic and even deep regret. Seasoned experts in crypto trading advise that it is worth waiting for the peaks but for many people who are just getting started with digital currency, avoiding emotional investment can be very difficult.
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Tuesday, November 05, 2019
Is the Run on the US Dollar Due to Panic or Greed? / Currencies / US Dollar
By: Ellen_Brown
What’s going on in the repo market? Rates on repurchase (“repo”) agreements should be about 2%, in line with the Federal Reserve funds rate. But they shot up to over 5% on Sept. 16 and got as high as 10% on Sept. 17. Yet banks were refusing to lend to each other, evidently passing up big profits to hold onto their cash—just as they did in the housing market crash and Great Recession of 2008-09.
Because banks weren’t lending, the Federal Reserve Bank of New York jumped in, increasing its overnight repo operations to $75 billion, and on Oct. 23, it upped the ante to $120 billion in overnight operations and $45 billion in longer-term operations.
Why are banks no longer lending to each other? Are they afraid that collapse is imminent somewhere in the system, as with the Lehman collapse in 2008?
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Tuesday, November 05, 2019
Larger Bullish Move in USD/JPY May Just Be Getting Started / Currencies / Japanese Yen
By: MarketsToday
Summary
- Once current retracement is complete the USD/JPY has a good chance of exceeding last week’s high.
- Pair still in early stages of following through on bullish breakout of a large head and shoulders bottom.
- Upside target zone around $110.51 to $110.70.
Following an upside breakout of a large head and shoulders bottom pattern several weeks ago, the USD/JPY pulled back to test support of the neckline last week. So far, the area of the neckline has held as support around $107.88. Whether it continues to do so remains to be seen.
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Sunday, November 03, 2019
Is US Dollar Topping? / Currencies / US Dollar
By: ElliottWaveForecast
The Fed’s monetary stance has turned 180 degree this year. Recall last year the Fed talked about shrinking the balance sheet on auto pilot and raising interest rate. The QT (Quantitative Tightening) of $50 billion a month, according to former Fed Chair Janet Yellen, should be boring like watching paint dry. By July this year, the $50 billion monthly rundown has ended. Instead, the Fed embarks in another balance sheet inflation to the tune of 60 billion a month. In mid-September, short term funding in repo market spiked to 10% from 2% overnight. This suggests stress in the financial system as some banks and financial institution can’t find necessary cash in the market. The Fed quickly points out this balance sheet expansion is different than asset purchase from years ago. Below is the chart of the Fed’s balance sheet. It has dropped steadily from 2017 and reverses higher this year.
Friday, November 01, 2019
Near-term bearish signs for Bitcoin Cash / Currencies / Bitcoin
By: MarketsToday
Summary
- Bearish doji candlestick pattern occurs after seven days up.
- Occurs on test of neckline of large bearish head & shoulders topping pattern.
- Potentially significant drop possible to below most recent swing low.
Sunday, October 27, 2019
Here is why Bitcoin jumped 20% (2019-10-25) / Currencies / Bitcoin
By: readtheticker
If you are having trouble finding the news behind the bitcoin price move, don't fret here is the answer.
1) Gold and silver starting to react to US FED repo non QE US Dollar creation.
2) Congress questioning of Zuck on Libra did not surprise.
3) Bitcoin price hit trusted outer demand channel line (see chart below).
Sunday, October 27, 2019
Latin America Sinks Under The Weight Of Its Third-Rate Currencies / Currencies / Fiat Currency
By: Steve_H_Hanke
Latin America is plagued with many endemic economic problems. As a result, slow growth and economic instability are the order of the day. Latin America is sinking. In the grand scheme of things, it’s become irrelevant.
When it comes to listing culprits that account for the zombie growth rates in Latin America, the laundry list usually includes: high levels of corruption, a weak application of the rule of law, poor public services, a lack of public safety, and so on.
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Friday, October 18, 2019
British Pound Brexit Chaos GBP Trend Forecast / Currencies / British Pound
By: Nadeem_Walayat
The Pound fell sharply following the announcement that Parliament would be suspended so as to enable a hard Brexit. However subsequent chaos of the Governments loss of control of Parliament with Remainer's taking control of business of the house has seen a sharp bounce in sterling which is contrary to what one would expect given extreme chaos and uncertainty.
Taking a look at the British Pound since Theresa May took office July 2016 against key Brexit events paints a different picture of what is driving the British Pound where the Brexit factor is concerned.
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Thursday, October 17, 2019
Currencies Show A Shift to Safety And Maturity – What Does It Mean? / Currencies / Forex Trading
By: Chris_Vermeulen
Recent rotation in multiple foreign currencies hints at the fact that a new stage of the “Capital Shift” process is taking place and that skilled technical investors need to pay very close attention to how these currencies continue to react over the next 3 to 6+ months. In the recent past, most of the world’s foreign currencies were declining in value while the US Dollar continued to strengthen. In fact, we authored many research articles about these trends and how weakness in foreign currencies will drive new foreign investment into the US stock markets for two simple reasons; strength and security.
Now that a few of the world’s most mature economies, and some that may surprise you, are starting to change directions, we may be beginning a new stage of the “capital shift” process that may open up multiple new opportunities for skilled technical traders. As the old saying goes, “follow the money”. At this point, if our research team is correct about these price trend changes, following the money may mean opening our eyes to new investment opportunities across the Pacific and Atlantic – as well as very near to the US.
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