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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Analysis Topic: Investor & Trader Education

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

InvestorEducation

Saturday, August 06, 2022

Elliott Waves: Your "Rhyme & Reason" to Mainstream Stock Market Opinions / InvestorEducation / Elliott Wave Theory

By: EWI

R.N. Elliott's stock market observations fell together "into a general set of principles"

It's understandable why investors with little experience consult the market opinions of professionals.

But many of these new investors are left scratching their heads. Two headlines from July 29 indicate why:

  • [Fundstrat Managing Partner] says the 2022 bear market is over, stocks could hit new highs before year-end (CNBC)
  • Stock market's post-Fed bounce is a 'trap,' says Morgan Stanley's [Chief Investment Officer] (Marketwatch]

Yes, two directly opposing opinions that were published on the same day.

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InvestorEducation

Monday, July 18, 2022

The Psychology of Investing in a Stocks Bear Market / InvestorEducation / Learning to Invest

By: Nadeem_Walayat

Every bull market is followed by a bear market and every bear market is followed by a bull market, where courtesy of the electron and inflation mega-trends the general indices are on an upwards exponential trend trajectory. Thus all bear markets are living on borrowed time and thus ones focus should be on accumulating positions in good stocks i.e. those that actually generate earnings and have good prospects for continuing earnings growth that courtesy of bear market negative sentiment results in prices trading to under value stocks i.e. to under X18 earnings, where everything above X18 is carrying a premium which is why I completely sold out of many stocks last year such as Amazon and Nvidia even though they had yet to peak due to the risks of a valuation reset as I covered in my in-depth analysis of August 2021

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InvestorEducation

Sunday, July 10, 2022

Does Selling Put Options During A Market Downturn Provide A Safety Net? / InvestorEducation / Options & Warrants

By: Chris_Vermeulen

In a significant market downturn, bearish sentiment, if not outright fear, can drive down the share price of good companies rather drastically.  When the market is in a sustained selling mood, there can be a substantial disconnect between the long-term fundamentals and the technical price action we see on the chart. 

The Temptation to Bottom Fish

What can we do when good companies are trading at what appear to be bargain prices?  We could “stick our toe in the water” and buy shares.  But what if we’re wrong about whether a bottom in the share price is in place?  Or what if the stock takes a very long time to build a base and goes nowhere for an extended period?

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InvestorEducation

Tuesday, June 28, 2022

Technical Analysis: Why You Should Expect a Popularity Surge / InvestorEducation / Technical Analysis

By: EWI

Here's when a "rebirth of interest" in cycles and waves occurs

You probably know that the term "technical analysis" refers to analyzing the behavior of financial markets themselves -- such as the stock market -- as opposed to "fundamental" analysis, which is based on news and events outside of financial markets.

Well, in recent years, technical analysis has been out of favor.

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InvestorEducation

Sunday, June 19, 2022

Useful Things You Need To Know About Tweezer Top Candlestick Pattern / InvestorEducation / Technical Analysis

By: Steve_Barker

The tweezer top candlestick pattern was popularized by Steve Nison in the West through his book ‘Japanese Candlestick Charting Techniques’. Tweezers have varied in appearance, but there are certain traits that they have in common. Their appearance at market-turning points makes it possible to use them for analysis purposes. At times, they specify the likelihood of a reversal. When the price direction of an asset changes, it is known as a reversal.

These candlestick charts have been used by the Japanese to trade commodities since the 17th century. They monitor the prices of commodities in an aesthetically pleasing manner.

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InvestorEducation

Friday, June 03, 2022

FREE Japanese Candlesticks Trading Course / InvestorEducation / Learn to Trade

By: EWI

Hi reader,

One of the best ways to get an edge in trading is to hand-pick a few select tools for your arsenal.

Japanese Candlesticks are one such tool. In skilled hands, they can really show you the trend and alert you to trend reversals.

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InvestorEducation

Sunday, May 29, 2022

Managing Emotions – How FOMO Affects Your Trading And Your Life / InvestorEducation / Learn to Trade

By: Chris_Vermeulen

Managing emotions you say? Often we hear that we are supposed to trade without emotion as if we’re robots.   That’s a big fat myth. 

If you can keep your head when all about you are losing theirs….
From “If,” by Rudyard Kipling

We’re in a challenging market.  Here are some thoughts on how to not just survive but thrive as we work through a significant peaking phase of the economic and market cycles. 

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InvestorEducation

Tuesday, May 10, 2022

How to Recognize a Less\ Than Obvious Opportunity (In focus: Corn) / InvestorEducation / Elliott Wave Theory

By: EWI

When I was growing up, my father owned and operated a furniture manufacturing company. Its products stocked the shelves of several well-known retail stores across the country, including Walmart.

On the cover of one of his most popular products, a simple D.I.Y. end table, was a picture of the fully assembled table with a framed photograph of a smiling young girl holding a Persian cat. That young girl was me, and the cat was my childhood pet Princess.

Naturally one day the inevitable happened. My dad and I were shopping at Walmart, and we passed a woman with one of his boxed DIY tables in her cart. She looked at me, then at the face staring back at her on the cover of the box, and then again at me.

Visibly shaken, she braved her way over to my dad and asked if, in fact, I was the girl on the box. Without skipping a beat, he grinned and said he saw the resemblance but no, I was not her and we were on our way. I couldn't help looking back to see the woman, standing there glued in place with an utterly baffled expression.

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InvestorEducation

Tuesday, March 29, 2022

Learn to Value Stocks Using the Earnings Growth Factor / InvestorEducation / Learning to Invest

By: Nadeem_Walayat

After the current panic passes I will revert to posting my primary AI stocks table as the main table for data, presently the table retains my original pre-panic buying levels as of 22nd November 2022 for comparison purposes with levels achieved in red against those that remain pending. Remember all of these levels once upon a time seemed far out of reach, who could have imagined Nvidia would fall from $336 to $236 over a couple of months! Google to $2625! Microsoft to $282, Intel to $48, okay I'll give you Intel, but many of the levels have now been achieved and then some!

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InvestorEducation

Sunday, March 20, 2022

Your Journey to High-Confidence Stock and Commodity Markets Trading Starts Now With Corrective Elliott Wave Patterns / InvestorEducation / Elliott Wave Theory

By: EWI

Soybeans and Apple stock (AAPL): Corrective patterns signaled opportunities in these disparate markets. Your market could be next!

The last 2 years have been a time of immense global adversity with the most challenging human health crisis in over a century.

But it has also been a time of immense personal growth. The uncomfortable realization of our dependence on others for everything from entertainment, education, nourishment, and income came into stark, swift focus. And with it, how quickly those things can be taken away without warning because of that dependence.

In turn, the pandemic saw an insatiable industry of online self-improvement crash courses emerge on home garden horticulture, podcast making, home building, home schooling, and -- learning to trade financial markets to "ensure a steady livelihood despite economic setbacks."

The problem is, learning to trade isn't like learning to plant tubers in your backyard. It's much more complicated and can't be fully conveyed with mock "trials" or simulated positions. At best, many of such courses get people in the door, but not seated at the table of real-world practice and risk-management.

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InvestorEducation

Friday, March 04, 2022

The Put / Call Ratio – A Technique Used To Gauge Stock Market Extremes / InvestorEducation / Technical Analysis

By: Chris_Vermeulen

Perhaps you’ve heard of the “Put / Call Ratio” (PCR) and been unsure of exactly what it is or when and how to use it.

First, a quick review of what Calls and Puts are. Calls are option contracts that increase in value from a RISE in the price of the underlying stock or index. Puts are option contracts that increase in value from a DROP in the price of the underlying stock or index.

Let’s jump in and see what’s “under the hood” and how we might use that to better inform our decision-making as traders and investors.

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InvestorEducation

Thursday, January 20, 2022

How to Get Rich in the MetaVerse / InvestorEducation / Metaverse

By: Nadeem_Walayat

Whilst my forthcoming in-depth analysis will point out the primary mechanisms and strategies for becoming wealthy, however here is what one needs to do to fully capitalise on the metaverse where basically you get out what you put in in terms of effort.

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InvestorEducation

Wednesday, December 22, 2021

FREETRADE - What Value FREE SHARES Can You Expect to Get When Signing Up? AMD, Apple, Microsoft? UK / InvestorEducation / Learning to Invest

By: Nadeem_Walayat

FREE TRADE is probably one of the best UK trading platforms for Stocks and shares ISA's, with it's commission free trading and fractional shares and low F/X fee of 0.45% AND they give a free share currently worth between £10 and £200 when signing up through a referral link. However what free share can people expect to get will it be an AMD? Apple, maybe a Microsoft as I show what my 7 FREE shares were that I got via referring others to FREE TRADE, so this is a good realistic expectation of what one is likely to get from FREE TRADE.

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InvestorEducation

Saturday, December 04, 2021

INVESTING LESSON - Give your Portfolio Some Breathing Space / InvestorEducation / Learning to Invest

By: Nadeem_Walayat

Investing is accumulating positions in good corporations for the long-run and not trying to swing trade as some appear to be doing. My primary tools for monitoring my portfolio are Excel spread sheets that I only tend to update prior to posting an article that contains the list of AI tech stocks as I am used to not constantly looking at the state of my portfolio i.e. in years past I would update the prices usually once every couple of months or so given that it is a manual exercise.

Folks, you need to give both your portfolio and yourselves some breathing space, peace of mind as staring at the your stock tracker app's blinking red and green is going to drive you nuts! Don't use trackers, don't use app's. Just use a spread sheet and update your holdings manually once in a while then get on with the rest of your life, don't let your portfolio rule your life!

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InvestorEducation

Saturday, November 27, 2021

Stock Market Investing LESSON - Buying Value / InvestorEducation / Learning to Invest

By: Nadeem_Walayat

INVESTING LESSON - BUYING VALUE

Remember folks when investing one is not trying to buy the bottoms, one is trying to buy VALUE! There are many metrics for measuring value but for most investors the easiest way to measure value is the P/E Ratio, it is simple and easy to determine and virtually every investment site features the P/E ratios for stocks. Though from my experience many of the sites posted P/E ratios tend to out of date or inaccurate i.e. I calc virtually all of the PE ratios myself by dividing the share price by the earnings per share for the last 4 quarters and that is how one gets the P/E ratio i.e. how many YEARS it would take for the corporation to EARN it's share price.

Now there are many more metrics than that which can be just as important such as whether the corporation printing it's own shares Powell style, Brrrr, so shareholder dilution is another metric I watch among 15 that go towards generating the EC ratio, a quick way to see how expensive or cheap a stock is.

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InvestorEducation

Friday, November 26, 2021

Stock Maket Trading Lesson - How to REALLY Trade Markets / InvestorEducation / Learn to Trade

By: Nadeem_Walayat

Stock Market Conclusion

Stock market correction so far has been fairly mild with the tech stocks not reaching levels to offer enough of a discount to justify exposure to in the face of the coming inflation storm. Whilst October is not done with yet i.e. we could yet see a final leg down, especially given the potential for earnings surprises form the tech giants due over the next 10 days.. However with each passing day such an outcome diminishes, thus the stock market appears to be gearing up for another run to new all time highs which given the mild correction so far suggests that the Dow could trade nearer to 40k, than 37k by the end of this year.

However, my outlook for 2022 sees worsening conditions that will see transitory inflation become permanent, so there is going to come a time when investors will do the math of what high inflation means for future corporate earnings, i.e. lower earnings due to rising costs and less disposable incomes. Hence it remains highly probable that most stocks will trade to below their October 2021 lows during 2022.

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InvestorEducation

Tuesday, November 16, 2021

Investing Tips For New Investors / InvestorEducation / Learning to Invest

By: Mark_Adan

1.         Know Your Investment Goals
There are several key questions every potential investor should ask themselves before venturing into the industry.  Your reasons for investing and how long are two of the key questions you should have an answer to before you can venture into the stock market. Are you looking to grow your wealth, saving for retirement, or hoping for a house deposit?  It is only after identifying and defining your investment goals that you’ll be able to determine what stocks to invest in and for how long.

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InvestorEducation

Saturday, November 13, 2021

Tips For Investment Success / InvestorEducation / Learning to Invest

By: Mark_Adan

We live in an information society - however, the information that we receive cannot always be relied upon. That information is supplied by the mass media and is often the product of pundits in cyberspace - that obviously might not be those who are the best sources of information. However - as a logical human being you may very well have more logical ideas. But - even given that insight there are some hints and tips that can provide guidelines that will improve the performance of your portfolio.

So here are some hints and tips from those who know a portfolio and how to make it provide them with an income in a time of high uncertainty.

There is a tremendous amount of information that is available to those who want to enter into the realm of cyberspace. The print media still has a gravitas that is not easy to match. Then there are friends and family - and they can be tremendously influential in shaping your thoughts. Given all these inputs, how do we find that path towards a personal investment that actually delivers,

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InvestorEducation

Thursday, October 14, 2021

How to Protect Your Self From a Stock Market CRASH / Bear Market? / InvestorEducation / Learning to Invest

By: Nadeem_Walayat

Stock Market CRASH / Correction

We will soon be moving into the window for a stock market correction where I penciled the probable expectations for it to take place sometime between Mid Sept to Mid October, though it could start earlier hence why I was not willing to wait around and de risked ahead of the window.

How much could the general indices such as the Dow drop? I have in mind a drop of somewhere between 15% to 20% as being the most provable outcome, though it is early days, so it could be less or it could a more but 15% to 20% is what I have had in mind for the likes of the Dow for some time.

Whether it will be just a correction and resume it's raging bull market or signal start of a bear market proper is uncertain, probability favours continuation but this is not 2011 when we were in a hated stealth bull market that few took seriously instead now every tom dick and harry thinks that stocks can only go up! And so will assume that buying the dip is a one way bet to stock market riches. Which is why one needs to focus on VALUATIONS! Buy when Stocks are CHEAP! For it allows one to survive BEAR MARKETs and not end up with a 20 year Dead Parrots like Cisco and Intel!

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InvestorEducation

Thursday, October 14, 2021

Why "Losses Are the Norm" in the Stock Market / InvestorEducation / Learning to Invest

By: EWI

"I can measure the motions of bodies, but I cannot measure human folly."

Did you know that Sir Isaac Newton "lost his shirt" in the South Sea Bubble of the 1720s?

This great scientist and mathematician lost more than the equivalent of a million 2021 dollars.

Here's a brief description of Newton's investment actions from Robert Prechter's landmark book, The Socionomic Theory of Finance:

[Sir Isaac Newton] invested a little bit early in the trend and "wisely" took a small profit. Watching the trend continue, he finally bet heavily and "wisely" held on for the long run. He eventually sold out at a near-total loss.

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