Best Financial Markets Analysis Article Since the start of the year, the Shanghai Composite Index is down about 12%. But this composite peaked back in August, 2009, and it is down about 17% from those highs. We can debate the reasons why the Chinese market is down, but there is no doubt that US equity bulls should be concerned that the Chinese market has been diverging from the US indices.

After all, the Shanghai Composite led the US markets off the bottom back in late 2008 and early 2009. US Equity bulls appear to be ignoring the fact (or just living in a vacuum) that the stock market of one of the world's leading economies has not made a high in over 8 months.

Figure 1 is a weekly chart of the Shanghai Composite Index. Key pivot points are identified by the black dots. Support comes in at 2675 or some 200 points or 7% lower.

Figure 1. Shanghai Composite Index/ weekly

Figure 2 is a daily chart of the Shanghai Composite Index. Key pivot points are identified by the black dots. Resistance is at 2936 and support comes in at 2669.

Figure 2. Shanghai Composite Index/ daily

I would look for the Shanghai Composite to bottom around 2675 and this might be a signal that the burgeoning sell off in US equities has run its course as well.

By Guy Lerner

http://thetechnicaltakedotcom.blogspot.com/

Guy M. Lerner, MD is the founder of ARL Advisers, LLC and managing partner of ARL Investment Partners, L.P. Dr. Lerner utilizes a research driven approach to determine those factors which lead to sustainable moves in the markets. He has developed many proprietary tools and trading models in his quest to outperform. Over the past four years, Lerner has shared his innovative approach with the readers of RealMoney.com and TheStreet.com as a featured columnist. He has been a regular guest on the Money Man Radio Show, DEX-TV, routinely published in the some of the most widely-read financial publications and has been a marquee speaker at financial seminars around the world.

© 2010 Copyright Guy Lerner - All Rights Reserved
Disclaimer: The above is a matter of opinion provided for general information purposes only and is not intended as investment advice. Information and analysis above are derived from sources and utilising methods believed to be reliable, but we cannot accept responsibility for any losses you may incur as a result of this analysis. Individuals should consult with their personal financial advisors.

Guy Lerner Archive

Only logged in users are allowed to post comments. Register/ Log in

The Market Oracle is a FREE Financial Markets Forecasting & Analysis web-site.
(c) 2005-2024 MarketOracle.co.uk (Market Oracle Ltd) - Market Oracle Ltd asserts copyright on all articles authored by our editorial team and all comments posted. Any and all information provided within the web-site, is for general information purposes only and Market Oracle Ltd do not warrant the accuracy, timeliness or suitability of any information provided on this site. nor is or shall be deemed to constitute, financial or any other advice or recommendation by us. and are also not meant to be investment advice or solicitation or recommendation to establish market positions. We do not give investment advice and our comments are an expression of opinion only and should not be construed in any manner whatsoever as recommendations to enter into a market position either stock, option, futures contract, bonds, commodity or any other financial instrument at any time. We recommend that independent professional advice is obtained before you make any investment or trading decisions. By using this site you agree to this sites Terms of Use. From time to time we promote or endorse certain products / services that we believe are worthy of your time and attention. In return for that endorsement and only in the cases where you purchase directly though us may we be compensated by the producers of those products.