Most Popular
1. It’s a New Macro, the Gold Market Knows It, But Dead Men Walking Do Not (yet)- Gary_Tanashian
2.Stock Market Presidential Election Cycle Seasonal Trend Analysis - Nadeem_Walayat
3. Bitcoin S&P Pattern - Nadeem_Walayat
4.Nvidia Blow Off Top - Flying High like the Phoenix too Close to the Sun - Nadeem_Walayat
4.U.S. financial market’s “Weimar phase” impact to your fiat and digital assets - Raymond_Matison
5. How to Profit from the Global Warming ClImate Change Mega Death Trend - Part1 - Nadeem_Walayat
7.Bitcoin Gravy Train Trend Forecast 2024 - - Nadeem_Walayat
8.The Bond Trade and Interest Rates - Nadeem_Walayat
9.It’s Easy to Scream Stocks Bubble! - Stephen_McBride
10.Fed’s Next Intertest Rate Move might not align with popular consensus - Richard_Mills
Last 7 days
Stock Market Rip the Face Off the Bears Rally! - 22nd Dec 24
STOP LOSSES - 22nd Dec 24
Fed Tests Gold Price Upleg - 22nd Dec 24
Stock Market Sentiment Speaks: Why Do We Rely On News - 22nd Dec 24
Never Buy an IPO - 22nd Dec 24
THEY DON'T RING THE BELL AT THE CRPTO MARKET TOP! - 20th Dec 24
CEREBUS IPO NVIDIA KILLER? - 18th Dec 24
Nvidia Stock 5X to 30X - 18th Dec 24
LRCX Stock Split - 18th Dec 24
Stock Market Expected Trend Forecast - 18th Dec 24
Silver’s Evolving Market: Bright Prospects and Lingering Challenges - 18th Dec 24
Extreme Levels of Work-for-Gold Ratio - 18th Dec 24
Tesla $460, Bitcoin $107k, S&P 6080 - The Pump Continues! - 16th Dec 24
Stock Market Risk to the Upside! S&P 7000 Forecast 2025 - 15th Dec 24
Stock Market 2025 Mid Decade Year - 15th Dec 24
Sheffield Christmas Market 2024 Is a Building Site - 15th Dec 24
Got Copper or Gold Miners? Watch Out - 15th Dec 24
Republican vs Democrat Presidents and the Stock Market - 13th Dec 24
Stock Market Up 8 Out of First 9 months - 13th Dec 24
What Does a Strong Sept Mean for the Stock Market? - 13th Dec 24
Is Trump the Most Pro-Stock Market President Ever? - 13th Dec 24
Interest Rates, Unemployment and the SPX - 13th Dec 24
Fed Balance Sheet Continues To Decline - 13th Dec 24
Trump Stocks and Crypto Mania 2025 Incoming as Bitcoin Breaks Above $100k - 8th Dec 24
Gold Price Multiple Confirmations - Are You Ready? - 8th Dec 24
Gold Price Monster Upleg Lives - 8th Dec 24
Stock & Crypto Markets Going into December 2024 - 2nd Dec 24
US Presidential Election Year Stock Market Seasonal Trend - 29th Nov 24
Who controls the past controls the future: who controls the present controls the past - 29th Nov 24
Gold After Trump Wins - 29th Nov 24
The AI Stocks, Housing, Inflation and Bitcoin Crypto Mega-trends - 27th Nov 24
Gold Price Ahead of the Thanksgiving Weekend - 27th Nov 24
Bitcoin Gravy Train Trend Forecast to June 2025 - 24th Nov 24
Stocks, Bitcoin and Crypto Markets Breaking Bad on Donald Trump Pump - 21st Nov 24
Gold Price To Re-Test $2,700 - 21st Nov 24
Stock Market Sentiment Speaks: This Is My Strong Warning To You - 21st Nov 24
Financial Crisis 2025 - This is Going to Shock People! - 21st Nov 24

Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

How to Protect your Wealth by Investing in AI Tech Stocks

US Jobs Report Points to an “Economy Mired in Crisis”

Economics / US Economy Jan 06, 2013 - 12:50 PM GMT

By: Barry_Grey

Economics

The December employment report released Friday by the US Labor Department reflects an economy mired in crisis. It shows that five years after the official onset of recession and three and a half years after the recession’s official end, the US has failed to generate a recovery in jobs and incomes for the vast majority of the American people.

US non-farm payrolls saw a net increase of 155,000 jobs, somewhat lower than economists’ projections and barely sufficient to keep pace with the normal monthly growth of the working-age population. The official unemployment rate was set at 7.8 percent, the same as the rate for November, which was upwardly revised from 7.7 percent.


The net increase in jobs in December was in line with the monthly average for 2012 of 153,000. At that rate, according to various estimates, it will take between 7 and 12 years to return to the employment levels that prevailed prior to the start of the recession in December of 2007.

The number of unemployed people actually rose by 164,000 to reach 12.2 million. More people—192,000—entered the labor market, but the number of people with a job rose by only 28,000.

Fewer than one in five unemployed workers found a job last month, and the total number of jobs remained 4 million below the peak at the start of 2008.

Some 22.7 million people were either unemployed or “underemployed” in December, meaning they were jobless or working part-time but wanting a full-time job. The broader official jobless rate—including those who are unemployed, underemployed or wanting work, but not actively looking because they have become discouraged—was 14.4 percent.

Long-term unemployment (jobless for 27 or more weeks) remained at post-World War II record levels. Some 39.1 percent of the 12.2 million unemployed—4.8 million people—have been out of work for more than half a year.

According to the National Employment Law Project, more than 6 million workers have totally exhausted their unemployment benefits since the recession began in December 2007, and that number will continue to climb as a result of a reduction in the duration of federal extended jobless benefits brokered by the Obama administration last February and cuts in benefits being imposed at the state level.

The New York Times quoted John Ryding, chief economist at RDW Economics, as saying, “Job creation might firm a little bit, but it’s still looking nothing like the typical recovery year we’ve had in deep recessions in the past… We’re a long way short of the 300,000 job growth that we need.”

The response of the Obama administration to the Labor Department report was predictable. As in previous months, administration spokesmen oozed complacency and indifference in the face of a social disaster that is engulfing ever-wider layers of the population.

Alan Krueger, chairman of the White House Council of Economic Advisers, said the report provided further evidence that the US economy “is continuing to heal from the wounds inflicted by the worst downturn since the Great Depression.”

Secretary of Labor Hilda Solis declared, “For nearly three years, steady gains have occurred across different sectors of the economy, and December finishes a strong year of consistent growth.”

These statements make it clear that the administration has no intention of proposing policies to address the worst jobs crisis since the Great Depression or the growth of poverty, hunger and homelessness resulting from that crisis. Instead, it will continue to focus its efforts on protecting and expanding the wealth of the corporate-financial elite. Central to that effort is keeping unemployment at historically high rates so that big business can use the scarcity of jobs to drive down wages and working conditions.

A major factor in the continuing crisis is the attack on public sector jobs, which continued in December. While private-sector payrolls grew by 168,000, federal, state and local payrolls fell by a net 13,000.

Since the recession officially ended in June of 2009, the public sector has lost 645,000 jobs—including 21,000 federal, 102,000 state, and 522,000 local jobs, with most of the local losses in education.

New York Times economic columnist Floyd Norris placed the unprecedented assault on public jobs under Obama in historical perspective in a blog post on Friday. He pointed out that there were 697,000 fewer government jobs in December than at the end of 2008, a decline of 3.1 percent. This was “by far the largest four-year decline in government employment since the 1944-48 term,” when government jobs plunged after the end of World War II.

The only other post-1948 four-year decline was during Reagan’s first term, when public jobs fell 0.6 percent.

Norris noted that the December jobs figures showed there were 725,000 more private sector jobs last month than at the end of 2008, a gain of only 0.6 percent. Taking into account the massive decline in public jobs, the total number of people with jobs in the United States today is up by a paltry 28,000—or 0.02 percent—from four years ago.

The assault on public jobs, bound up with brutal cuts in social services and programs, will only intensify as Obama focuses his second term on cutting basic entitlement programs such as Medicare, Medicaid and Social Security in the name of deficit-reduction.

There are many indications of stagnation and likely decline in the private sector as well. Retailers cut 11,300 jobs in December, further evidence of depressed holiday sales.

The retail giant Target reported Thursday that its sales in December were flat, and Macy’s said it would close six stores in 2013. Bookseller Barnes & Noble reported a 10.9 percent fall in sales at its stores and on its web site in the nine-week holiday period to the end of December.

Sales at stores open for at least a year rose on average 2.3 percent in December among 19 retailers that reported figures on Thursday, according to Thomson Reuters. This is well below the 3.5 percent figure for December 2011.

The tepid holiday sales reflect the mounting economic distress of working families across the country. Meanwhile, the banks, corporations and speculators are celebrating record profits and bulging stock portfolios. They are benefiting from government policies designed to push up stock prices and subsidize Wall Street even as the real economy continues to flounder and the living standards of the broad masses of people continue to fall.

In particular, the Federal Reserve is pumping nearly $100 billion into the financial markets every month and holding interest rates down to near-zero, effectively handing the banks free money, with no strings attached. The banks, for their part, are using the money to make super-profits from various forms of speculative activities, while refusing to invest in job-creating productive ventures.

In an article published last week and headlined “Can Bank Stocks Continue to Party in New Year?” the Wall Street Journal noted that the financial sector of the Standard & Poor’s 500 stock index soared 25 percent in 2012, more than twice as much as the overall S&P 500 index.

Bank of America stock rose 104 percent, Citigroup jumped 48 percent, and JPMorgan Chase, Wells Fargo, Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley each racked up increases of 23 percent or more.

World Socialist Web Site

Barry Grey is a frequent contributor to Global Research. Global Research Articles by Barry Grey

© Copyright Barry Grey , Global Research, 2013

Disclaimer: The views expressed in this article are the sole responsibility of the author and do not necessarily reflect those of the Centre for Research on Globalization. The contents of this article are of sole responsibility of the author(s). The Centre for Research on Globalization will not be responsible or liable for any inaccurate or incorrect statements contained in this article.


© 2005-2022 http://www.MarketOracle.co.uk - The Market Oracle is a FREE Daily Financial Markets Analysis & Forecasting online publication.


Post Comment

Only logged in users are allowed to post comments. Register/ Log in