Most Popular
1. It’s a New Macro, the Gold Market Knows It, But Dead Men Walking Do Not (yet)- Gary_Tanashian
2.Stock Market Presidential Election Cycle Seasonal Trend Analysis - Nadeem_Walayat
3. Bitcoin S&P Pattern - Nadeem_Walayat
4.Nvidia Blow Off Top - Flying High like the Phoenix too Close to the Sun - Nadeem_Walayat
4.U.S. financial market’s “Weimar phase” impact to your fiat and digital assets - Raymond_Matison
5. How to Profit from the Global Warming ClImate Change Mega Death Trend - Part1 - Nadeem_Walayat
7.Bitcoin Gravy Train Trend Forecast 2024 - - Nadeem_Walayat
8.The Bond Trade and Interest Rates - Nadeem_Walayat
9.It’s Easy to Scream Stocks Bubble! - Stephen_McBride
10.Fed’s Next Intertest Rate Move might not align with popular consensus - Richard_Mills
Last 7 days
Stock Market Rip the Face Off the Bears Rally! - 22nd Dec 24
STOP LOSSES - 22nd Dec 24
Fed Tests Gold Price Upleg - 22nd Dec 24
Stock Market Sentiment Speaks: Why Do We Rely On News - 22nd Dec 24
Never Buy an IPO - 22nd Dec 24
THEY DON'T RING THE BELL AT THE CRPTO MARKET TOP! - 20th Dec 24
CEREBUS IPO NVIDIA KILLER? - 18th Dec 24
Nvidia Stock 5X to 30X - 18th Dec 24
LRCX Stock Split - 18th Dec 24
Stock Market Expected Trend Forecast - 18th Dec 24
Silver’s Evolving Market: Bright Prospects and Lingering Challenges - 18th Dec 24
Extreme Levels of Work-for-Gold Ratio - 18th Dec 24
Tesla $460, Bitcoin $107k, S&P 6080 - The Pump Continues! - 16th Dec 24
Stock Market Risk to the Upside! S&P 7000 Forecast 2025 - 15th Dec 24
Stock Market 2025 Mid Decade Year - 15th Dec 24
Sheffield Christmas Market 2024 Is a Building Site - 15th Dec 24
Got Copper or Gold Miners? Watch Out - 15th Dec 24
Republican vs Democrat Presidents and the Stock Market - 13th Dec 24
Stock Market Up 8 Out of First 9 months - 13th Dec 24
What Does a Strong Sept Mean for the Stock Market? - 13th Dec 24
Is Trump the Most Pro-Stock Market President Ever? - 13th Dec 24
Interest Rates, Unemployment and the SPX - 13th Dec 24
Fed Balance Sheet Continues To Decline - 13th Dec 24
Trump Stocks and Crypto Mania 2025 Incoming as Bitcoin Breaks Above $100k - 8th Dec 24
Gold Price Multiple Confirmations - Are You Ready? - 8th Dec 24
Gold Price Monster Upleg Lives - 8th Dec 24
Stock & Crypto Markets Going into December 2024 - 2nd Dec 24
US Presidential Election Year Stock Market Seasonal Trend - 29th Nov 24
Who controls the past controls the future: who controls the present controls the past - 29th Nov 24
Gold After Trump Wins - 29th Nov 24
The AI Stocks, Housing, Inflation and Bitcoin Crypto Mega-trends - 27th Nov 24
Gold Price Ahead of the Thanksgiving Weekend - 27th Nov 24
Bitcoin Gravy Train Trend Forecast to June 2025 - 24th Nov 24
Stocks, Bitcoin and Crypto Markets Breaking Bad on Donald Trump Pump - 21st Nov 24
Gold Price To Re-Test $2,700 - 21st Nov 24
Stock Market Sentiment Speaks: This Is My Strong Warning To You - 21st Nov 24
Financial Crisis 2025 - This is Going to Shock People! - 21st Nov 24

Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

How to Protect your Wealth by Investing in AI Tech Stocks

Stock Market Quietly Correcting....

Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013 Jun 04, 2013 - 10:53 AM GMT

By: Jack_Steiman

Stock-Markets

Markets find a way when the time is right. And they also find a way when the time is right. Confused? I'll explain. When they want to correct they do so. No amount of good news will take the market higher. Good economic reports will simply be ignored. On the other hand, when the market wants to correct, but not get slaughtered, they'll find a way to hang in there even when the very worst of news hits the street. We got that type of news today in a very big way. The ISM Manufacturing Report came out at 49.00. Gulp! Contraction! 


The economy is in recession. Will it be longer term? Will it be just a month or so? No way to know but what we do know for sure is that it is in recession at this moment in time. The market got hit on the news but by day's end you can see there really wasn't very much if any selling at all. Big money protecting both sides. Market needs to correct, but the market needs to hold as well as the Fed is still the protection everyone craves. It's not going away. So even the very worst of news couldn't kill the market. Even good news last week couldn't keep it moving higher. The market has an agenda. Nothing is going to get in its way of completing its chore. It wants to unwind. It wants to hold up as well. Agnostic as she goes Captain.

Lots of huge slaughters today. The froth stocks took a beating. One by one they took it on the chin. Biogen Idec Inc. (BIIB), SolarCity Corporation (SCTY), Tesla Motors, Inc. (TSLA), and many, many more. The list too long. That's how markets unwind themselves. They find the most overbought situations. They find the most frothy stocks and they punish them hard creating technical breakdowns through key moving averages or gaps. The moves down mostly preceded by negative divergences. They kick in and the selling is on in a very big way.

The technical breakdowns are such that getting back to their old highs for the short- to mid-term is nearly impossible. That's how the market stays agnostic and frustrates the masses. Hey, this stock was rocking and now it can't bid. Market must be done. I give up. Bear market here we come. Sentiment unwinds and the cycle continues. Wash, rinse and repeat. The market will need time based on some of these nasty moves today but there's still nothing at all bearish taking place. These breakdowns are healthy for the longer term.

The market may need a lot more time of whipsawing about and it's reasonable to think we'll see 1575, or so, on the S&P 500. It doesn't have to and we have great support at the 50-day exponential moving average at 1606 on the S&P 500. The 1600/1606 area is very powerful support so that may be all we get but if we fell to 1575 that would not mean things are falling apart. Time is the one thing traders don't like when it comes to corrections.

The problem is over playing so please be aware of that for the short-term or you'll feel the wrath of the whipsaw. Learn to sit on your hands and let things play themselves out. There will be bounces, but be careful not to run in every time we get a small bounce. It feels to me as if the market still needs more time, but there's nothing bearish taking place through this process of unwinding both the oscillators on the daily and weekly charts and unwinding sentiment. While nothing is classic in terms of overbought, the oscillators and sentiment could use a little more time.

Peace,

Jack

Jack Steiman is author of SwingTradeOnline.com ( www.swingtradeonline.com ). Former columnist for TheStreet.com, Jack is renowned for calling major shifts in the market, including the market bottom in mid-2002 and the market top in October 2007.

Sign up for a Free 15-Day Trial to SwingTradeOnline.com!

© 2013 SwingTradeOnline.com

Mr. Steiman's commentaries and index analysis represent his own opinions and should not be relied upon for purposes of effecting securities transactions or other investing strategies, nor should they be construed as an offer or solicitation of an offer to sell or buy any security. You should not interpret Mr. Steiman's opinions as constituting investment advice. Trades mentioned on the site are hypothetical, not actual, positions.


© 2005-2022 http://www.MarketOracle.co.uk - The Market Oracle is a FREE Daily Financial Markets Analysis & Forecasting online publication.


Post Comment

Only logged in users are allowed to post comments. Register/ Log in