Unusual Gold Rally is on the Cards
Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013 Jul 28, 2013 - 06:05 PM GMTGet ready for a rally in the most important ratio you're not following... the "gold-to-oil" ratio.
Most folks don't know about it, but there is an interesting world of trading ideas that can be termed "ratio trades." These aren't the conventional "buy a stock and hope it goes up" trades. They involve trading one asset against another asset. For example, one of the most important ratios in this group is the "gold-to-oil" ratio.
Since they are both commodities that have intrinsic value, gold and oil can be affected by the same buying and selling pressure in the market. But their values can get "out of whack." When this happens, traders can step in to sell gold and buy oil... or buy gold and sell oil. The profit on these trades depends on how the two assets move against each other... rather than moving in U.S. dollar terms. We used this analysis to time – almost to the day – the epic 2008 bottom in crude oil.
Over the past 10 months, the gold-to-oil ratio has fallen from 20 to 12. This means gold has collapsed in value relative to oil. Now, the whole world hates gold... and hedge funds hold massive short bets against it. Conversely, hedge funds hold massive long bets on crude oil. Look for "hated" gold to rally against "loved" crude oil.
The DailyWealth Investment Philosophy: In a nutshell, my investment philosophy is this: Buy things of extraordinary value at a time when nobody else wants them. Then sell when people are willing to pay any price. You see, at DailyWealth, we believe most investors take way too much risk. Our mission is to show you how to avoid risky investments, and how to avoid what the average investor is doing. I believe that you can make a lot of money – and do it safely – by simply doing the opposite of what is most popular.
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Disclaimer: The above is a matter of opinion provided for general information purposes only and is not intended as investment advice. Information and analysis above are derived from sources and utilising methods believed to be reliable, but we cannot accept responsibility for any losses you may incur as a result of this analysis. Individuals should consult with their personal financial advisors.
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