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Are Weak Gold Prices an Opportunity of a Lifetime Investors?

Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013 Nov 27, 2013 - 10:30 AM GMT

By: Profit_Confidential

Commodities

Michael Lombardi writes: Given the recent further weakness in the price of gold bullion, should investors be running for the exit doors?

Some well-known “gold bugs” have recently turned bearish on the precious metal. But I’m on the opposite side of the spectrum; I see the pullback in gold prices as an opportunity of a lifetime for contrarian investors.


The gold bullion price chart below shows the long-term trend in gold bullion is still intact. Since 2001, the precious metal’s price has marched higher. Note there have been many pullbacks along the way, but in all cases, gold bullion prices recovered and moved higher after their pullback. And I believe we will see gold prices recover again from their current price correction.

Chart courtesy of www.StockCharts.com

From a fundamental point of view, demand for the precious metal remains robust. Many central banks have become net buyers of gold bullion over the last couple of years, and consumer buying in gold is very strong.

So the question is: with so much negativity towards the precious metal, have we reached peak pessimism on gold bullion? My answer is that I believe we are slowly getting there.

Just yesterday, Bloomberg ran a story saying hedge fund manager John Paulson would not be investing more of his own money in his gold fund at this time “because it’s not clear when inflation will accelerate.” (Source: Bloomberg, November 25, 2013.)

While investors seem to have turned very bearish on gold bullion, I see it as a bullish sign. If history has taught us one thing, it’s that when there’s increasing pessimism on any investment, a bottom is usually not far away.
So far this year, gold prices have fallen about 30% while the S&P 500 is up about 30%. I can’t see how this trend will continue in an environment where stock prices seem to be rising on nothing else but easy monetary policy. My wager is that in the years ahead, we will look back at 2013 and say, “What a great year that was to buy gold-related investments.”

This article Weak Gold Prices an Opportunity of a Lifetime for Contrarian Investors? is original publish at Profitconfidential

Michael Lombardi, MBA for Profit Confidential

http://www.profitconfidential.com

We publish Profit Confidential daily for our Lombardi Financial customers because we believe many of those reporting today’s financial news simply don’t know what they are telling you! Reporters are trained to tell you the news—not what it can mean for you! What you read in the popular news services, be it the daily newspapers, on the internet or TV, is the news from a “reporter’s opinion.” And there’s the big difference.

With Profit Confidential you are receiving the news with the opinions, commentaries and interpretations of seasoned financial analysts and economists. We analyze the actions of the stock market, precious metals, interest rates, real estate and other investments so we can tell you what we believe today’s financial news will mean for you tomorrow!

© 2013 Copyright Profit Confidential - All Rights Reserved

Disclaimer: The above is a matter of opinion provided for general information purposes only and is not intended as investment advice. Information and analysis above are derived from sources and utilising methods believed to be reliable, but we cannot accept responsibility for any losses you may incur as a result of this analysis. Individuals should consult with their personal financial advisors.


© 2005-2019 http://www.MarketOracle.co.uk - The Market Oracle is a FREE Daily Financial Markets Analysis & Forecasting online publication.


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