British Pound GBP Soars to Resistance, Bearish Turn Ahead?
Currencies / British Pound Feb 12, 2014 - 09:50 PM GMTCable remains near its high and shows no sign of turning lower. Resistance is 1.6624 and the bearish view demands a turn lower from beneath this level. With no signs a turn is underway confidence is low. -- Jim
Feb 12 2014 11:27 AM ET: Cable hasn't eliminated the bearish view but it shows no sign of having peaked either. Unless it turns lower from current levels we'll have to adopt the alternate count and allow for a new high above 1.6668. -- Jim
Feb 12 2014 9:34 AM ET: Cables recovery has far exceeded expectations. As a result, any forecast is considered low confidence. There are better opportunities elsewhere.
That said, this chart shows a couple possibilities. The bearish one is shown with the data as it adheres to the strong dollar outlook. But it has its problems. First and foremost, the small degree wave ((1)) and ((2)) are far larger than the larger degree first and second waves. This is not a rule violation but it does pressure the concept of "the right look." For that reason an alternate is shown. It recognizes that the decline from 1.6668 is in three waves and could be a correction. Wave ((c)) traveled 1.618 times the distance covered in wave ((a)) and that's the second most common relationship after equality. -- Jim
Feb 12 2014 6:45 AM ET: The firmer than expected support seen here for the cable needs close attention. Although this upward movement can still be regarded as the final rise of a circled second wave correction, it must end fairly soon (preferably under a projected 0.786 retracement level at 1.6579) and give way to an impulsive decline back under 1.6425 for our still bearish view in order to remain reasonably plausible. Otherwise, a more bullish count would have to be considered if a continued climb through 1.6579 and on toward the recent top at 1.6668 was observed instead. John Hunter
Today's Forex Updates
The above is a small excerpt of the daily forex analysis available through Noon Eastern time Wednesday, Feb. 19 - 100% FREE!
FreeWeek is absolutely free to anyone with a Club EWI user ID and password. There's no obligation to buy, and no credit card information is required.
FreeWeek gives you complete, free access to our trader-focused Currency Pro Service (valued at $494/month).
Put yourself in the seat of a paying subscriber -- see exactly what they see!
Enjoy unrestricted, 24/7 access to intraday, daily, weekly and monthly forecasts -- including all the forex-trading analysis, charts, and videos -- for the world's 11 most-popular FX markets:
EUR/USD | EUR/JPY |
USD/CHF | EUR/CAD |
GBP/USD | EUR/GBP |
USD/JPY | GBP/JPY |
AUD/USD | AUD/JPY |
USD/CAD |
Discover why so many subscribers regard EWI's Currency Pro Service an essential part of their forex trading.
FreeWeek at elliottwave.com runs until 12:00 NOON on Wednesday, Feb. 19.
Learn more and get free, instant access to EWI's FreeWeek of FOREX analysis and forecasts now >>
Warmest Regards,
EWI
P.S. . FreeWeek is one of EWI's most popular programs, and it's perfect for anyone curious about EWI's subscription services. Please don't hesitate to forward this email to your friends.
About the Publisher, Elliott Wave International
Founded in 1979 by Robert R. Prechter Jr., Elliott Wave International (EWI) is the world's largest market forecasting firm. Its staff of full-time analysts provides 24-hour-a-day market analysis to institutional and private investors around the world.
© 2005-2022 http://www.MarketOracle.co.uk - The Market Oracle is a FREE Daily Financial Markets Analysis & Forecasting online publication.