Most Popular
1. It’s a New Macro, the Gold Market Knows It, But Dead Men Walking Do Not (yet)- Gary_Tanashian
2.Stock Market Presidential Election Cycle Seasonal Trend Analysis - Nadeem_Walayat
3. Bitcoin S&P Pattern - Nadeem_Walayat
4.Nvidia Blow Off Top - Flying High like the Phoenix too Close to the Sun - Nadeem_Walayat
4.U.S. financial market’s “Weimar phase” impact to your fiat and digital assets - Raymond_Matison
5. How to Profit from the Global Warming ClImate Change Mega Death Trend - Part1 - Nadeem_Walayat
7.Bitcoin Gravy Train Trend Forecast 2024 - - Nadeem_Walayat
8.The Bond Trade and Interest Rates - Nadeem_Walayat
9.It’s Easy to Scream Stocks Bubble! - Stephen_McBride
10.Fed’s Next Intertest Rate Move might not align with popular consensus - Richard_Mills
Last 7 days
THE GLOBAL WARMING CLIMATE CHANGE MEGA-TREND IS THE INFLATION MEGA-TREND! - 3rd May 24
Banxe Reviews: Revolutionising Financial Transactions with Innovative Solutions - 3rd May 24
MRNA - The beginning of the end of cancer? - 3rd May 24
The Future of Gaming: What's Coming Next? - 3rd May 24
What is A Split Capital Investment Trust? - 3rd May 24
AI Tech Stocks Earnings Season Stock Market Correction Opportunities - 29th Apr 24
The Federal Reserve's $34.5 Trillion Problem - 29th Apr 24
Inflation Still Runs Hot, Gold and Silver Prices Stabilize - 29th Apr 24
GOLD, OIL and WHEAT STOCKS - 29th Apr 24
Is Bitcoin Still an Asymmetric Opportunity? - 29th Apr 24
AI Tech Stocks Earnings Season Opportunities - 28th Apr 24
S&P Stock Market Detailed Trend Forecast Into End 2024 - 25th Apr 24
US Presidential Election Year Equity Performance in the Presence of an Inverted Yield Curve- 25th Apr 24
Stock Market "Bullish Buzz" Reaches Highest Level in 53 Years - 25th Apr 24
Managing Your Public Image When Accused Of Allegations - 25th Apr 24
Friday Stock Market CRASH Following Israel Attack on Iranian Nuclear Facilities - 19th Apr 24
All Measures to Combat Global Warming Are Smoke and Mirrors! - 18th Apr 24
Cisco Then vs. Nvidia Now - 18th Apr 24
Is the Biden Administration Trying To Destroy the Dollar? - 18th Apr 24
S&P Stock Market Trend Forecast to Dec 2024 - 16th Apr 24
No Deposit Bonuses: Boost Your Finances - 16th Apr 24
Global Warming ClImate Change Mega Death Trend - 8th Apr 24
Gold Is Rallying Again, But Silver Could Get REALLY Interesting - 8th Apr 24
Media Elite Belittle Inflation Struggles of Ordinary Americans - 8th Apr 24
Profit from the Roaring AI 2020's Tech Stocks Economic Boom - 8th Apr 24
Stock Market Election Year Five Nights at Freddy's - 7th Apr 24
It’s a New Macro, the Gold Market Knows It, But Dead Men Walking Do Not (yet)- 7th Apr 24
AI Revolution and NVDA: Why Tough Going May Be Ahead - 7th Apr 24
Hidden cost of US homeownership just saw its biggest spike in 5 years - 7th Apr 24
What Happens To Gold Price If The Fed Doesn’t Cut Rates? - 7th Apr 24
The Fed is becoming increasingly divided on interest rates - 7th Apr 24
The Evils of Paper Money Have no End - 7th Apr 24

Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

How to Protect your Wealth by Investing in AI Tech Stocks

Bitcoin Market Provides Clues for Investors

Currencies / Bitcoin Aug 26, 2014 - 05:29 PM GMT

By: Mike_McAra

Currencies

Briefly: we support long speculative positions in the Bitcoin market, stop-loss at $440, take-profit at $620.

The Chamber of Digital Commerce (CDC), an initiative to promote digital currencies, has moved to form a political action committee to support Bitcoin, the Hill reported:

The Chamber of Digital Commerce, a month-old trade group for digital currencies and assets like bitcoin, registered a political spending group with the Federal Election Commission this month, according to recently disclosed documents.


The group is still in its infancy and has no immediate plans to support individual candidates, CEO Perianne Boring told The Hill. Still, formation of the PAC is a sign of increasing maturity for bitcoin and a signal that politicians could face political pressure to support virtual currencies.

“We’re in the very earliest stages of setting up,” Boring told The Hill on Monday.

“We haven’t really decided exactly what we’re doing. We’re just being prepared for next year, is really what we’re doing. “

This is a further sign of developments in the Bitcoin community. While the CDC is not really sure what it’s doing, the fact that a PAC is being formed shows that the Bitcoin initiative is more than a passing fad. This is also a sign that in the future, Bitcoin might have a chance of being treated seriously by politicians. It seems that the first steps have just been taken.

For now, let’s turn to the charts.

Bitcoin went down on BitStamp yesterday but the move wasn’t strong and the volume didn’t support it. A day of depreciation made us wonder whether the case for Bitcoin was still bullish. This is probably the same thought you’re considering. We provide our answer in the paragraphs to follow.

Quoting from yesterday’s alert:

Compared with Friday, the situation is less favorable for a move up today but the environment hasn’t changed enough to suggest a short-term move down just now. In this light, our commentary from Friday remains unchanged in that the outcome we’re betting on still would be a move up.

The action later in the day didn’t actually provide evidence to the contrary. Today (this is written after 11:00 a.m. ET), the move has been up, stronger than yesterday. The volume might end up being higher than yesterday but it isn’t strong by itself.

Overall, the move looks like a bounce up from $500 but it doesn’t necessarily suggest that a new rally has visibly begun.

Recall what we wrote about BTC-e yesterday:

The consolidation is below $550 which looks bearish at first. On the other hand, the moves haven’t actually brought Bitcoin back below $500. If the most recent move has been down, the volume doesn’t support such action. Because of this, it doesn’t seem that the action is about to pick up and bring Bitcoin south.

The mixture of relatively weak moves down intertwined with appreciation and of low volume suggests a possibility that the depreciation we saw over the weekend isn’t really representative of the direction in which the market is headed.

What might be concerning is the fact that Bitcoin has now been below the medium-term trend and also below $550 for some time. This means that a move down is still possible but we’re not seeing signs of such a move at present. Our stop is in place at $440 to shield you from depreciation.

The fact that we haven’t seen a move below $500 suggests that the local bottom might already be in.

On the long-term BTC-e chart, we haven’t seen much change since yesterday. If anything, the move up further suggests that the local bottom might already be behind us and the fact that Bitcoin is moving away from $500 might be an indication that we might see a more powerful rally in the weeks to come. To answer the question from earlier in the this alert, the situation has now slightly improved and our bet is still on a move up.

Summing up, in our opinion speculative long positions might be the way to go now.

Trading position (short-term, our opinion): long, stop-loss at $440, take-profit at $620.

Regards,

Mike McAra
Bitcoin Trading Strategist
Bitcoin Trading Alerts at SunshineProfits.com

Disclaimer

All essays, research and information found above represent analyses and opinions of Mike McAra and Sunshine Profits' associates only. As such, it may prove wrong and be a subject to change without notice. Opinions and analyses were based on data available to authors of respective essays at the time of writing. Although the information provided above is based on careful research and sources that are believed to be accurate, Mike McAra and his associates do not guarantee the accuracy or thoroughness of the data or information reported. The opinions published above are neither an offer nor a recommendation to purchase or sell any securities. Mr. McAra is not a Registered Securities Advisor. By reading Mike McAra’s reports you fully agree that he will not be held responsible or liable for any decisions you make regarding any information provided in these reports. Investing, trading and speculation in any financial markets may involve high risk of loss. Mike McAra, Sunshine Profits' employees and affiliates as well as members of their families may have a short or long position in any securities, including those mentioned in any of the reports or essays, and may make additional purchases and/or sales of those securities without notice.


© 2005-2022 http://www.MarketOracle.co.uk - The Market Oracle is a FREE Daily Financial Markets Analysis & Forecasting online publication.


Post Comment

Only logged in users are allowed to post comments. Register/ Log in