Best of the Week
Most Popular
1. Gold vs Cash in a Financial Crisis - Richard_Mills
2.Current Stock Market Rally Similarities To 1999 - Chris_Vermeulen
3.America See You On The Dark Side Of The Moon - Part2 - James_Quinn
4.Stock Market Trend Forecast Outlook for 2020 - Nadeem_Walayat
5.Who Said Stock Market Traders and Investor are Emotional Right Now? - Chris_Vermeulen
6.Gold Upswing and Lessons from Gold Tops - P_Radomski_CFA
7.Economic Tribulation is Coming, and Here is Why - Michael_Pento
8.What to Expect in Our Next Recession/Depression? - Raymond_Matison
9.The Fed Celebrates While Americans Drown in Financial Despair - John_Mauldin
10.Hi-yo Silver Away! - Richard_Mills
Last 7 days
Coronavirus is America's "Pearl Harbour" Moment, There Will be a Reckoning With China - 6th Apr 20
Coronavirus Crisis Exposes Consequences of Fed Policy: Americans Have No Savings - 6th Apr 20
The Stock Market Is Not a Magic Money Machine - 6th Apr 20
Gold Stocks Crash, V-Bounce! - 6th Apr 20
How Can Writing Business Essay Help You In Business Analytics Skills - 6th Apr 20
PAYPAL WARNING - Your Stimulus Funds Are at Risk of Being Frozen for 6 Months! - 5th Apr 20
Stocks Hanging By the Fingernails? - 5th Apr 20
US Federal Budget Deficits: To $30 Trillion and Beyond - 5th Apr 20
The Lucrative Profitability Of A Move To Negative Interest Rates - Pandemic Edition - 5th Apr 20
Visa Denials: How to avoid it and what to do if your Visa is denied? - 5th Apr 20 - Uday Tank
WARNING PAYPAL Making a Grab for US $1200 Stimulus Payments - 4th Apr 20
US COVID-19 Death Toll Higher Than China’s Now. Will Gold Rally? - 4th Apr 20
Concerned That Asia Could Blow A Hole In Future Economic Recovery - 4th Apr 20
Bracing for Europe’s Coronavirus Contractionand Debt Crisis - 4th Apr 20
Stocks: When Grass Looks Greener on the Other Side of the ... Pond - 3rd Apr 20
How the C-Factor Could Decimate 2020 Global Gold and Silver Production - 3rd Apr 20
US Between Scylla and Charybdis Covid-19 - 3rd Apr 20
Covid19 What's Your Risk of Death Analysis by Age, Gender, Comorbidities and BMI - 3rd Apr 20
US Coronavirus Infections & Deaths Trend Trajectory - How Bad Will it Get? - 2nd Apr 20
Silver Looks Bearish Short to Medium Term - 2nd Apr 20
Mickey Fulp: 'Never Let a Good Crisis Go to Waste' - 2nd Apr 20
Stock Market Selloff Structure Explained – Fibonacci On Deck - 2nd Apr 20
COVID-19 FINANCIAL LOCKDOWN: Can PAYPAL Be Trusted to Handle US $1200 Stimulus Payments? - 2nd Apr 20
Day in the Life of Coronavirus LOCKDOWN - Sheffield, UK - 2nd Apr 20
UK Coronavirus Infections and Deaths Trend Trajectory - Deviation Against Forecast - 1st Apr 20
Huge Unemployment Is Coming. Will It Push Gold Prices Up? - 1st Apr 20
Gold Powerful 2008 Lessons That Apply Today - 1st Apr 20
US Coronavirus Infections and Deaths Projections Trend Forecast - Video - 1st Apr 20
From Global Virus Acceleration to Global Debt Explosion - 1st Apr 20
UK Supermarkets Coronavirus Panic Buying Before Lock Down - Tesco Empty Shelves - 1st Apr 20
Gold From a Failed Breakout to a Failed Breakdown - 1st Apr 20
P FOR PANDEMIC - 1st Apr 20
The Past Stock Market Week Was More Important Than You May Understand - 31st Mar 20
Coronavirus - No, You Do Not Hear the Fat Lady Warming Up - 31st Mar 20
Life, Religions, Business, Globalization & Information Technology In The Post-Corona Pandemics Age - 31st Mar 20
Three Charts Every Stock Market Trader and Investor Must See - 31st Mar 20
Coronavirus Stocks Bear Market Trend Forecast - Video - 31st Mar 20
Coronavirus Dow Stocks Bear Market Into End April 2020 Trend Forecast - 31st Mar 20
Is it better to have a loan or credit card debt when applying for a mortgage? - 31st Mar 20
US and UK Coronavirus Trend Trajectories vs Bear Market and AI Stocks Sector - 30th Mar 20
Are Gold and Silver Mirroring 1999 to 2011 Again? - 30th Mar 20
Stock Market Next Cycle Low 7th April - 30th Mar 20
United States Coronavirus Infections and Deaths Trend Forecasts Into End April 2020 - 29th Mar 20
Some Positives in a Virus Wracked World - 29th Mar 20
Expert Tips to Save on Your Business’s Office Supply Purchases - 29th Mar 20
An Investment in Life - 29th Mar 20
Sheffield Coronavirus Pandemic Infections and Deaths Forecast - 29th Mar 20
UK Coronavirus Infections and Deaths Projections Trend Forecast - Video - 28th Mar 20
The Great Coronavirus Depression - Things Are Going to Change. Here’s What We Should Do - 28th Mar 20
One of the Biggest Stock Market Short Covering Rallies in History May Be Imminent - 28th Mar 20
The Fed, the Coronavirus and Investing - 28th Mar 20
Women’s Fashion Trends in the UK this 2020 - 28th Mar 20
The Last Minsky Financial Snowflake Has Fallen – What Now? - 28th Mar 20
UK Coronavirus Infections and Deaths Projections Trend Forecast Into End April 2020 - 28th Mar 20
DJIA Coronavirus Stock Market Technical Trend Analysis - 27th Mar 20
US and UK Case Fatality Rate Forecast for End April 2020 - 27th Mar 20
US Stock Market Upswing Meets Employment Data - 27th Mar 20
Will the Fed Going Nuclear Help the Economy and Gold? - 27th Mar 20
What you need to know about the impact of inflation - 27th Mar 20
CoronaVirus Herd Immunity, Flattening the Curve and Case Fatality Rate Analysis - 27th Mar 20
NHS Hospitals Before Coronavirus Tsunami Hits (Sheffield), STAY INDOORS FINAL WARNING! - 27th Mar 20
CoronaVirus Curve, Stock Market Crash, and Mortgage Massacre - 27th Mar 20
Finding an Expert Car Accident Lawyer - 27th Mar 20
We Are Facing a Depression, Not a Recession - 26th Mar 20
US Housing Real Estate Market Concern - 26th Mar 20
Covid-19 Pandemic Affecting Bitcoin - 26th Mar 20
Italy Coronavirus Case Fataility Rate and Infections Trend Analysis - 26th Mar 20
Why Is Online Gambling Becoming More Popular? - 26th Mar 20
Dark Pools of Capital Profiting from Coronavirus Stock Markets CRASH! - 26th Mar 20
CoronaVirus Herd Immunity and Flattening the Curve - 25th Mar 20
Coronavirus Lesson #1 for Investors: Beware Predictions of Stock Market Bottoms - 25th Mar 20
CoronaVirus Stock Market Trend Implications - 25th Mar 20
Pandemonium in Precious Metals Market as Fear Gives Way to Command Economy - 25th Mar 20
Pandemics and Gold - 25th Mar 20
UK Coronavirus Hotspots - Cities with Highest Risks of Getting Infected - 25th Mar 20
WARNING US Coronavirus Infections and Deaths Going Ballistic! - 24th Mar 20
Coronavirus Crisis - Weeks Where Decades Happen - 24th Mar 20
Industry Trends: Online Casinos & Online Slots Game Market Analysis - 24th Mar 20
Five Amazingly High-Tech Products Just on the Market that You Should Check Out - 24th Mar 20
UK Coronavirus WARNING - Infections Trend Trajectory Worse than Italy - 24th Mar 20
Rick Rule: 'A Different Phrase for Stocks Bear Market Is Sale' - 24th Mar 20
Stock Market Minor Cycle Bounce - 24th Mar 20
Gold’s century - While stocks dominated headlines, gold quietly performed - 24th Mar 20
Big Tech Is Now On The Offensive Against The Coronavirus - 24th Mar 20
Socialism at Its Finest after Fed’s Bazooka Fails - 24th Mar 20
Dark Pools of Capital Profiting from Coronavirus Stock and Financial Markets CRASH! - 23rd Mar 20
Will Trump’s Free Cash Help the Economy and Gold Market? - 23rd Mar 20
Coronavirus Clarifies Priorities - 23rd Mar 20
Could the Coronavirus Cause the Next ‘Arab Spring’? - 23rd Mar 20
Concerned About The US Real Estate Market? Us Too! - 23rd Mar 20
Gold Stocks Peak Bleak? - 22nd Mar 20

Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Coronavirus-stocks-bear-market-2020-analysis

Gold Safe Haven Play as Credit Crunch Hits Banks Again

Commodities / Gold & Silver Jun 03, 2008 - 08:30 AM GMT

By: Adrian_Ash

Commodities SPOT GOLD PRICES slipped 0.5% as the US open drew near on Tuesday after touching yesterday's three-session high of $897 per ounce early in London .

The European single currency – celebrating its tenth anniversary this week – also rose to its best level vs. the Dollar since Thursday, hitting $1.5630 on the currency markets.


The broad Reuters-CRB index of 17 key commodity prices crept 0.8% higher, but crude oil slipped back after breaching $127 per barrel.

Yesterday the US Energy Information Administration (EIA) forecast oil prices will hold above $100 per barrel to the end of 2009, if not longer.

"The tone in the Gold Market right now is one of cautiousness," says today's note from Mitsui, the bullion dealer, in London .

"The European interest rate decision is due on Thursday, and with inflation concerns looming large, the most likely outcome is unchanged. This could provide some modest support to precious metals."

Asian stock markets fell hard yet again, meanwhile, taking India's BSE30 index almost 3% below last week's close after the prime minister, Manmohan Singh, said his government has "no option" but to cut subsidies on fuel prices, letting the higher cost of crude oil feed through to consumers and business.

In Tokyo the Nikkei index lost 1.6% as Japanese traders caught up with the credit-rating cuts made by Standard & Poor's in New York on Monday to Morgan Stanley, Merrill Lynch and Lehman Brothers.

Last night the KBW Index of US financial stocks closed at a five-year low.

Monday also saw Wachovia Corp. – the fourth largest US bank – force its chief executive, Kennedy Thompson, from his job.


This morning in London Bloomberg reported that Bradford & Bingley – the eighth largest bank in Britain – is obliged under the terms of a 2006 deal to buy £2.1 billion ($4.1bn) of low-quality mortgages from General Motors' finance division, GMAC.

The former building society – which has been forced to sell one-quarter of its equity to a private US fund after hitting trouble with a £300m ($5909m) rights issue – is also obliged to buy £2bn of home loans from Kensington Group, a UK specialist in "self certification" mortgages, otherwise known as "liars loans".

Bradford & Bingley's chairman, Rod Kent, admitted to making "too many mistakes recently" as he issued a profits warning yesterday and knocked 24% off the bank's stock-market value.

"We are starting to see troubles in the financial system again," noted Mario Innecco at MF Global earlier today.

"Gold is moving up against everything...rising more as a safe-haven play."

In Japan and Asia overnight, the cost of credit-default swaps – a measure of fears about the risk of default by corporate borrowers – rose to a six-week high.

"Investor risk aversion could increase," says Manqoba Madinane at Standard Bank in Johannesburg , "which could further boost precious metal investment as equity and bond markets fall out of favor."

Today the Wall Street Journal reports that Lehman Brothers – which raised $4 billion in fresh capital during the first three months of this year – may be looking to raise another $3-4 billion to "help shore up its balance sheet."

( Read more about Gold & Credit Default Risk here... )

On the economic front today, inflation data from Switzerland showed consumer prices rising by 2.9% last month from May 2007 – the fifth month running that inflation has outpaced the Swiss National Bank's target of 2.0%.

New building activity in the United Kingdom was reported sharply below forecast. European economic growth during the first quarter came in at 2.2% anualized.

But input prices for Euro businesses hit 6.1% in the year to April, the Eurostat agency said – the fastest pace of Producer Price inflation since the European single currency was launched 10 years ago this week.

"This relatively short period of time has been rich in successes," claimed European Central Bank chief Jean-Claude Trichet in a speech yesterday.

"These accomplishments call for celebration, for reflection and also for continuous efforts as regards the future."

Trichet speaks again today at the IMF's Central Bankers' Panel in Barcelona , as do Bank of Japan governor Masaaki Shirakawa and US Fed chairman Ben Bernanke.

"The Fed is being attacked for cutting rates too far and causing an oil price spike," notes an editorial from the Financial Times .

But despite US interest rates now standing fully 2.0% below the rate of consumer-price inflation, "this criticism is wrongheaded," the FT concludes, a position supported Paul Krugman, economics professor at Princeton and a former colleague of Ben Bernanke.

"We don't need higher interest rates to get inflation under control," writes Krugman on his blog for the New York Times .

"When the surge in commodity prices levels off – and it will; the laws of supply and demand haven't been repealed – inflation will subside on its own."

By Adrian Ash
BullionVault.com

Gold price chart, no delay | Free Report: 5 Myths of the Gold Market
City correspondent for The Daily Reckoning in London and a regular contributor to MoneyWeek magazine, Adrian Ash is the editor of Gold News and head of research at www.BullionVault.com , giving you direct access to investment gold, vaulted in Zurich , on $3 spreads and 0.8% dealing fees.

(c) BullionVault 2008

Please Note: This article is to inform your thinking, not lead it. Only you can decide the best place for your money, and any decision you make will put your money at risk. Information or data included here may have already been overtaken by events – and must be verified elsewhere – should you choose to act on it.

Adrian Ash Archive

© 2005-2019 http://www.MarketOracle.co.uk - The Market Oracle is a FREE Daily Financial Markets Analysis & Forecasting online publication.


Post Comment

Only logged in users are allowed to post comments. Register/ Log in

6 Critical Money Making Rules