The Cycle Top is holding support for SPX at 2079.26 thus far. It appears to have completed all but the last probe higher to complete the pattern. The target range appears to be 2085.88 to 2086.99. It may happen yet this morning or early afternoon, so stay alert. The first sign of a reversal comes when the Cycle Top no longer provides its support.

The next layers of support appear at the 4.5-year support at 2062.00, while the short-term trendline lies at 2053.00. Each lower support may add confidence to the reversal. Remember, the short-term trendline may bring a bounce, so that may provide additional positioning for a short entry.

VIX has already formed a “base” at 13.00, so I am assuming that level may not be violated. VIX has formed a potential inverted Head & Shoulders pattern suggesting a move to 20.54. Crossing the neckline would give us a confirmed buy signal.

The NYSE Hi-Lo Index has turned back down. It needs a decline beneath the 50-day Moving Average at 21.46 for its sell signal.

TNX is still short of its target at 18.27. The Wave pattern allows a final probe to that level as SPX rallies to its high. A dip below yesterday’s close at 17.62 indicates that the rally is over.

Regards,

Tony

Our Investment Advisor Registration is on the Web.

We are in the process of updating our website at www.thepracticalinvestor.com to have more information on our services. Log on and click on Advisor Registration to get more details.

If you are a client or wish to become one, please make an appointment to discuss our investment strategies by calling Connie or Tony at (517) 699-1554, ext 10 or 11. Or e-mail us at tpi@thepracticalinvestor.com .

Anthony M. Cherniawski, President and CIO http://www.thepracticalinvestor.com

As a State Registered Investment Advisor, The Practical Investor (TPI) manages private client investment portfolios using a proprietary investment strategy created by Chief Investment Officer Tony Cherniawski. Throughout 2000-01, when many investors felt the pain of double digit market losses, TPI successfully navigated the choppy investment waters, creating a profit for our private investment clients. With a focus on preserving assets and capitalizing on opportunities, TPI clients benefited greatly from the TPI strategies, allowing them to stay on track with their life goals

Disclaimer: The content in this article is written for educational and informational purposes only. There is no offer or recommendation to buy or sell any security and no information contained here should be interpreted or construed as investment advice. Do you own due diligence as the information in this article is the opinion of Anthony M. Cherniawski and subject to change without notice.

Anthony M. Cherniawski Archive

Only logged in users are allowed to post comments. Register/ Log in

The Market Oracle is a FREE Financial Markets Forecasting & Analysis web-site.
(c) 2005-2024 MarketOracle.co.uk (Market Oracle Ltd) - Market Oracle Ltd asserts copyright on all articles authored by our editorial team and all comments posted. Any and all information provided within the web-site, is for general information purposes only and Market Oracle Ltd do not warrant the accuracy, timeliness or suitability of any information provided on this site. nor is or shall be deemed to constitute, financial or any other advice or recommendation by us. and are also not meant to be investment advice or solicitation or recommendation to establish market positions. We do not give investment advice and our comments are an expression of opinion only and should not be construed in any manner whatsoever as recommendations to enter into a market position either stock, option, futures contract, bonds, commodity or any other financial instrument at any time. We recommend that independent professional advice is obtained before you make any investment or trading decisions. By using this site you agree to this sites Terms of Use. From time to time we promote or endorse certain products / services that we believe are worthy of your time and attention. In return for that endorsement and only in the cases where you purchase directly though us may we be compensated by the producers of those products.