Best of the Week
Most Popular
1. Gold vs Cash in a Financial Crisis - Richard_Mills
2.Current Stock Market Rally Similarities To 1999 - Chris_Vermeulen
3.America See You On The Dark Side Of The Moon - Part2 - James_Quinn
4.Stock Market Trend Forecast Outlook for 2020 - Nadeem_Walayat
5.Who Said Stock Market Traders and Investor are Emotional Right Now? - Chris_Vermeulen
6.Gold Upswing and Lessons from Gold Tops - P_Radomski_CFA
7.Economic Tribulation is Coming, and Here is Why - Michael_Pento
8.What to Expect in Our Next Recession/Depression? - Raymond_Matison
9.The Fed Celebrates While Americans Drown in Financial Despair - John_Mauldin
10.Hi-yo Silver Away! - Richard_Mills
Last 7 days
AMAZON (AMZN) - Primary AI Tech Stock Investing 2020 and Beyond - Video - 21st Jan 20
What Do Fresh U.S. Economic Reports Imply for Gold? - 21st Jan 20
Corporate Earnings Setup Rally To Stock Market Peak - 21st Jan 20
Gold Price Trend Forecast 2020 - Part1 - 21st Jan 20
How to Write a Good Finance College Essay  - 21st Jan 20
Risks to Global Economy is Balanced: Stock Market upside limited short term - 20th Jan 20
How Digital Technology is Changing the Sports Betting Industry - 20th Jan 20
Is CEOs Reputation Management Essential? All You Must Know - 20th Jan 20
APPLE (AAPL) AI Tech Stocks Investing 2020 - 20th Jan 20
FOMO or FOPA or Au? - 20th Jan 20
Stock Market SP500 Kitchin Cycle Review - 20th Jan 20
Why Intel i7-4790k Devils Canyon CPU is STILL GOOD in 2020! - 20th Jan 20
Stock Market Final Thrust Review - 19th Jan 20
Gold Trade Usage & Price Effect - 19th Jan 20
Stock Market Trend Forecast 2020 - Trend Analysis - Video - 19th Jan 20
Stock Trade-of-the-Week: Dorchester Minerals (DMLP) - 19th Jan 20
INTEL (INTC) Stock Investing in AI Machine Intelligence Mega-trend 2020 and Beyond - 18th Jan 20
Gold Stocks Wavering - 18th Jan 20
Best Amazon iPhone Case Fits 6s, 7, 8 by Toovren Review - 18th Jan 20
1. GOOGLE (Alphabet) - Primary AI Tech Stock For Investing 2020 - 17th Jan 20
ERY Energy Bear Continues Basing Setup – Breakout Expected Near January 24th - 17th Jan 20
What Expiring Stock and Commodity Market Bubbles Look Like - 17th Jan 20
Platinum Breaks $1000 On Big Rally - What's Next Forecast - 17th Jan 20
Precious Metals Set to Keep Powering Ahead - 17th Jan 20
Stock Market and the US Presidential Election Cycle  - 16th Jan 20
Shifting Undercurrents In The US Stock Market - 16th Jan 20
America 2020 – YEAR OF LIVING DANGEROUSLY (PART TWO) - 16th Jan 20
Yes, China Is a Currency Manipulator – And the U.S. Banking System Is a Metals Manipulator - 16th Jan 20
MICROSOFT Stock Investing in AI Machine Intelligence Mega-trend 2020 and Beyond - 15th Jan 20
Silver Traders Big Trend Analysis – Part II - 15th Jan 20
Silver Short-Term Pullback Before Acceleration Higher - 15th Jan 20
Gold Overall Outlook Is 'Strongly Bullish' - 15th Jan 20
AMD is Killing Intel - Best CPU's For 2020! Ryzen 3900x, 3950x, 3960x Budget, to High End Systems - 15th Jan 20
The Importance Of Keeping Invoices Up To Date - 15th Jan 20
Stock Market Elliott Wave Analysis 2020 - 14th Jan 20
Walmart Has Made a Genius Move to Beat Amazon - 14th Jan 20
Deep State 2020 – A Year Of Living Dangerously! - 14th Jan 20
The End of College Is Near - 14th Jan 20
AI Stocks Investing 2020 to Profit from the Machine Intelligence Mega-trend - Video - 14th Jan 20
Stock Market Final Thrust - 14th Jan 20
British Pound GBP Trend Forecast Review - 13th Jan 20
Trumpism Stock Market and the crisis in American social equality - 13th Jan 20
Silver Investors Big Trend Analysis for – Part I - 13th Jan 20
Craig Hemke Gold & Silver 2020 Prediction, Slams Biased Gold Naysayers - 13th Jan 20

Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Nadeem Walayat Financial Markets Analysiis and Trend Forecasts

Gold Miners Arrived At Huge Resistance After An Incredible Rally

Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2016 Apr 15, 2016 - 10:17 AM GMT

By: InvestingHaven


Gold is definitely story of 2016, at least so far. The yellow metal rose some 25% in the first quarter. That rally was impressive, but the performance of precious metals miners was even better, as the rally of most gold miners surpassed 100%  in 2016. Incredible.

Is this the time to enter the gold mining space or stay on the sidelines?

Logically, after such a gold miners rally, every investor would argue that it is recommended to wait for a better entry point. However, that is a logic conclusion in theory, but it is very hard to accomplish in reality, as investors can easily get caught up in the frenzy of the market and the news stream like Bloomberg’s latest article on gold miners. In other words, emotions could lead investors to chase prices higher. That is called FOMO: Fear Of Missing Out.

The daily chart of the GDX mining index ETF, showing short term trends, tells us that this is not the time to become overly enthusiastic. The gold miners rally surpassed the June 2015 high, but a retracement started today. The market should do its work now, and investors should be patient.

Moreover, the weekly GDX ETF chart brings up an additional insight. Gold miners have reached a HUGE resistance level as seen on the next chart (red rectangle). That resistance level coincides with the consolidation area which started right after the collapse of 2013 and lasted until 2015. This is a resistance zone that should not be taken light right after a 100% rally in the last 3 months.

An additional data point which confirms the above observations is the outflow from the GDX ETF. According to Sentimentrader, “money has been leaving the gold miners. Through the week ended Tuesday, more than $300 million had been pulled from GDX despite a gain of more than 13%. There have been a few times that it lost more than $100 million in assets over a week that it gain more than 10% (2009-05-22, 2013-04-23, 2013-07-22, 2013-08-12, 2015-10-08 and 2016-02-04). They mostly led to gains over the next 1-2 weeks but losses over the next 1-3 months.”

In other words, this is not the time to enter the gold mining arena, but rather watch how the retracement unfolds. According to the pattern of the retracement, an entry point should be defined (or not).

--  NOTE: Subscribe to our free newsletter below and receive our quarterly outlook report with the most profitable investment opportunities. Our newsletter is sent twice per week.

Analyst Team
The team has +15 years of experience in global markets. Their methodology is unique and effective, yet easy to understand; it is based on chart analysis combined with intermarket / fundamental / sentiment analysis. The work of the team appeared on major financial outlets like FinancialSense, SeekingAlpha, MarketWatch, ...

Copyright © 2016 Investing Haven - All Rights Reserved Disclaimer: The above is a matter of opinion provided for general information purposes only and is not intended as investment advice. Information and analysis above are derived from sources and utilising methods believed to be reliable, but we cannot accept responsibility for any losses you may incur as a result of this analysis. Individuals should consult with their personal financial advisors.

© 2005-2019 - The Market Oracle is a FREE Daily Financial Markets Analysis & Forecasting online publication.

Post Comment

Only logged in users are allowed to post comments. Register/ Log in

6 Critical Money Making Rules