Will Stock Market Crash 24% in the Next Three Months?
Stock-Markets / Financial Crash Apr 28, 2016 - 04:12 PM GMTWill stocks collapse 24% (a Crash) in the next three months?
For the first time since the 2009 bottom, Earnings Per Share (EPS) have diverged sharply to the downside from stocks.
There are a lot of reasons why investors buy stocks… but at the end of the day, they all boil down to earnings: the company is only a sound investment if it actually makes money.
The above chart shows us that earnings recently peaked and have diverged sharply from stock prices. Here’s a close up of the last three years:
By this analysis, stocks could easily fall to 1600 to return to a proper valuation. That is 24% below current levels and would qualify for a crash.
The time to prepare for this bubble to burst is now. Imagine if you’d prepared for the 2008 Crash back in late 2007? We did, and our clients made triple digit returns when the markets imploded.
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Best Regards
Graham Summers
Phoenix Capital Research
http://www.phoenixcapitalmarketing.com
Graham also writes Private Wealth Advisory, a monthly investment advisory focusing on the most lucrative investment opportunities the financial markets have to offer. Graham understands the big picture from both a macro-economic and capital in/outflow perspective. He translates his understanding into finding trends and undervalued investment opportunities months before the markets catch on: the Private Wealth Advisory portfolio has outperformed the S&P 500 three of the last five years, including a 7% return in 2008 vs. a 37% loss for the S&P 500.
Previously, Graham worked as a Senior Financial Analyst covering global markets for several investment firms in the Mid-Atlantic region. He’s lived and performed research in Europe, Asia, the Middle East, and the United States.
© 2016 Copyright Graham Summers - All Rights Reserved Disclaimer: The above is a matter of opinion provided for general information purposes only and is not intended as investment advice. Information and analysis above are derived from sources and utilising methods believed to be reliable, but we cannot accept responsibility for any losses you may incur as a result of this analysis. Individuals should consult with their personal financial advisors.
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