The VIX gave up 0.98 points last week to close at 14.72 after peaking on the expected short-term cycle high on Wednesday. Since March, the VIX has been turned back by resistance at 16.40 several times highlighting the importance of this level. A breakout from 16.40 will be very bearish for equities. Last Friday was an expected 34-day cycle low. The weekly Coppock is very oversold warning of a tradable rally in the VIX (bearish equities).

S&P500 and VIX Chart

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Ed Carlson, author of George Lindsay and the Art of Technical Analysis, and his new book, George Lindsay's An Aid to Timing is an independent trader, consultant, and Chartered Market Technician (CMT) based in Seattle. Carlson manages the website Seattle Technical Advisors.com, where he publishes daily and weekly commentary. He spent twenty years as a stockbroker and holds an M.B.A. from Wichita State University.

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