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Stock Market Investor Sentiment Turns Bullish Ahead Of U.S. Election

Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016 Nov 07, 2016 - 06:12 PM GMT

By: Paul_Rejczak

Stock-Markets

Briefly: In our opinion, no speculative positions are justified.

Our intraday outlook is neutral, and our short-term outlook is neutral. Our medium-term outlook remains neutral, following S&P 500 index breakout above last year's all-time high:

Intraday outlook (next 24 hours): neutral
Short-term outlook (next 1-2 weeks): neutral
Medium-term outlook (next 1-3 months): neutral
Long-term outlook (next year): neutral


The U.S. stock market indexes lost 0.2-0.4% on Friday, slightly extending their short-term downtrend, as investors reacted to economic data releases, U.S. presidential election uncertainty. The S&P 500 index broke below its September - October local lows last Tuesday. It is the lowest since early July. The nearest important support level is at around 2,075-2,090, marked by previous consolidation. The next important level of support is at 2,035-2,045, marked by the late June daily gap up. On the other hand, resistance level is at 2,100-2,120, and the next resistance level is at 2,150 marked by last month's local highs, as we can see on the daily chart:

Expectations before the opening of today's trading session are positive, as investors react to U.S. presidential election news, with index futures currently up 1.3-1.5%. The European stock market indexes have gained 1.6-1.8% so far. The S&P 500 futures contract trades within an intraday uptrend, as it sharply bounces off its Friday's lows, following today's daily gap up. The nearest important level of support is at around 2,080-2,100, marked by recent fluctuations. On the other hand, resistance level is at 2,120-2,140, marked by previous short-term consolidation:

The technology Nasdaq 100 futures follows a similar path, as it currently trades within an intraday uptrend. The market retraces its recent move down. The nearest important level of resistance is at around 4,750-4,800. On the other hand, support level remains at 4,680-4,700, among others, as the 15-minute chart shows:

Concluding, the broad stock market slightly extended its short-term downtrend on Friday, as investors reacted to economic data releases, among others. We decided to close our profitable short position (opened on July 18 at 2,162 - S&P 500 index) at the opening of Friday's trading session - the average opening price of the S&P 500 index was at 2,085. Overall, we gained 77 index points on that over three-month-long speculative short trade following June - July rally off "Brexit" low. Currently, we prefer to be out of the market, avoiding low risk/reward ratio trades. We will let you know when we think it is safe to get back in the market.

Thank you.

Paul Rejczak
Stock Trading Strategist
Stock Trading Alerts
SunshineProfits.com

Stock market strategist, who has been known for quality of his technical and fundamental analysis since the late nineties. He is interested in forecasting market behavior based on both traditional and innovative methods of technical analysis. Paul has made his name by developing mechanical trading systems. Paul is the author of Sunshine Profits’ premium service for stock traders: Stock Trading Alerts.

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Disclaimer

All essays, research and information found above represent analyses and opinions of Paul Rejczak and Sunshine Profits' associates only. As such, it may prove wrong and be a subject to change without notice. Opinions and analyses were based on data available to authors of respective essays at the time of writing. Although the information provided above is based on careful research and sources that are believed to be accurate, Paul Rejczak and his associates do not guarantee the accuracy or thoroughness of the data or information reported. The opinions published above are neither an offer nor a recommendation to purchase or sell any securities. Mr. Rejczak is not a Registered Securities Advisor. By reading Paul Rejczak’s reports you fully agree that he will not be held responsible or liable for any decisions you make regarding any information provided in these reports. Investing, trading and speculation in any financial markets may involve high risk of loss. Paul Rejczak, Sunshine Profits' employees and affiliates as well as members of their families may have a short or long position in any securities, including those mentioned in any of the reports or essays, and may make additional purchases and/or sales of those securities without notice.

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