Most Popular
1. It’s a New Macro, the Gold Market Knows It, But Dead Men Walking Do Not (yet)- Gary_Tanashian
2.Stock Market Presidential Election Cycle Seasonal Trend Analysis - Nadeem_Walayat
3. Bitcoin S&P Pattern - Nadeem_Walayat
4.Nvidia Blow Off Top - Flying High like the Phoenix too Close to the Sun - Nadeem_Walayat
4.U.S. financial market’s “Weimar phase” impact to your fiat and digital assets - Raymond_Matison
5. How to Profit from the Global Warming ClImate Change Mega Death Trend - Part1 - Nadeem_Walayat
7.Bitcoin Gravy Train Trend Forecast 2024 - - Nadeem_Walayat
8.The Bond Trade and Interest Rates - Nadeem_Walayat
9.It’s Easy to Scream Stocks Bubble! - Stephen_McBride
10.Fed’s Next Intertest Rate Move might not align with popular consensus - Richard_Mills
Last 7 days
Friday Stock Market CRASH Following Israel Attack on Iranian Nuclear Facilities - 19th Apr 24
All Measures to Combat Global Warming Are Smoke and Mirrors! - 18th Apr 24
Cisco Then vs. Nvidia Now - 18th Apr 24
Is the Biden Administration Trying To Destroy the Dollar? - 18th Apr 24
S&P Stock Market Trend Forecast to Dec 2024 - 16th Apr 24
No Deposit Bonuses: Boost Your Finances - 16th Apr 24
Global Warming ClImate Change Mega Death Trend - 8th Apr 24
Gold Is Rallying Again, But Silver Could Get REALLY Interesting - 8th Apr 24
Media Elite Belittle Inflation Struggles of Ordinary Americans - 8th Apr 24
Profit from the Roaring AI 2020's Tech Stocks Economic Boom - 8th Apr 24
Stock Market Election Year Five Nights at Freddy's - 7th Apr 24
It’s a New Macro, the Gold Market Knows It, But Dead Men Walking Do Not (yet)- 7th Apr 24
AI Revolution and NVDA: Why Tough Going May Be Ahead - 7th Apr 24
Hidden cost of US homeownership just saw its biggest spike in 5 years - 7th Apr 24
What Happens To Gold Price If The Fed Doesn’t Cut Rates? - 7th Apr 24
The Fed is becoming increasingly divided on interest rates - 7th Apr 24
The Evils of Paper Money Have no End - 7th Apr 24
Stock Market Presidential Election Cycle Seasonal Trend Analysis - 3rd Apr 24
Stock Market Presidential Election Cycle Seasonal Trend - 2nd Apr 24
Dow Stock Market Annual Percent Change Analysis 2024 - 2nd Apr 24
Bitcoin S&P Pattern - 31st Mar 24
S&P Stock Market Correlating Seasonal Swings - 31st Mar 24
S&P SEASONAL ANALYSIS - 31st Mar 24
Here's a Dirty Little Secret: Federal Reserve Monetary Policy Is Still Loose - 31st Mar 24
Tandem Chairman Paul Pester on Fintech, AI, and the Future of Banking in the UK - 31st Mar 24
Stock Market Volatility (VIX) - 25th Mar 24
Stock Market Investor Sentiment - 25th Mar 24
The Federal Reserve Didn't Do Anything But It Had Plenty to Say - 25th Mar 24

Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

How to Protect your Wealth by Investing in AI Tech Stocks

Make-or-Break: 5 Great Investment Ideas For 2017

Stock-Markets / Investing 2017 Nov 08, 2016 - 04:53 AM GMT

By: InvestingHaven

Stock-Markets

Market conditions are challenging, and investors are facing a hard time with lots of volatility over the course of the last 24 months. Gold, for instance, rallied strongly this year until right after the Brexit. Likewise, crude oil doubled in price this year after it went through its steepest collapse in history.

What can we expect next year? In other words, are which investment ideas do we see for 2017? To answer that question, we identified 5 assets with an amazing chart setup.


Before looking into the details though we have to say that markets will probably not be an easy read in 2017. Our conclusion is based on one of our key strategic indicators: the bonds to stocks ratio. This ratio is a measure for risk among investors, and, as shown on the first chart, it is flirting with a long term trendline. As long as this ratio remains in the triangle pattern, market conditions favor stocks; a trend remains a trend until proven otherwise.

Given the trend in the bonds to stock ratio, which favors stocks until proven otherwise, we tend prefer for stock markets above ‘risk off’ assets. The S&P500 chart setup is about to confirm (or invalidate) that statement. As seen on the chart below, stocks are truly at a make-or-break level. If, and that’s a big IF, the 2100 points level holds, then U.S. stocks will be a great investment idea for 2017, and investors can forget the stock market crash scenario.

Depending on how the stock market will trend in 2017, investors should keep a close eye on the biotechnology sector for two reasons. First, biotech tended to be a leader but became a laggard since last year, and it has been consolidating in a narrow range since then. Second, its chart setup is a text book example of a big move coming, either to the upside or downside. If the stock market as a whole would become bullish, then we expect big profits in biotech stocks in 2017.

Furthermore, we did spot another great stock invesment idea for 2017: financial stocks. After the 2009 crash, the finance sector has been suffering, and the sector was clearly not a market leader. However, that could be changing. With interest rates on the rise, the relative strength of the finance sector is close to breaking out from a secular downtrend.

Watch the following chart, we believe this is truly amazing, as really nobody is expecting the financials to outperform the rest of the market. As it usually goes, big breakouts happen ‘under the radar’, and so we tend to believe that finance stocks could be become a great investment idea for 2017.

The commodities space looks slightly inconsistent at this point.

Copper, for instance, seems to reverse from a cyclical downtrend. The chart below makes that point, as the price of copper broke through a 14-month resistance point today. We see an easy move in copper from $2.30 to $2.60 in the coming months.

On the other hand, gold looks different. Though copper and gold would be expected to move in the same direction, we observe an inconsistent move, at least in recent weeks. The only explanation that makes sense is that ‘risk on’ sentiment is entering the market, which would favor copper as gold is behaving more as a ‘fear asset’ (which is why it rallied in the first months of 2016, driven by panic in markets). Our bearish gold price forecast for 2017 would materialize if the $1250 level does not hold.

In sum, we expect that 2017 will bring investment opportunities in stocks and specifically in financials. Shorter term, copper looks very enticing.

http://investinghaven.com

Analyst Team
The team has +15 years of experience in global markets. Their methodology is unique and effective, yet easy to understand; it is based on chart analysis combined with intermarket / fundamental / sentiment analysis. The work of the team appeared on major financial outlets like FinancialSense, SeekingAlpha, MarketWatch, ...

Copyright © 2016 Investing Haven - All Rights Reserved Disclaimer: The above is a matter of opinion provided for general information purposes only and is not intended as investment advice. Information and analysis above are derived from sources and utilising methods believed to be reliable, but we cannot accept responsibility for any losses you may incur as a result of this analysis. Individuals should consult with their personal financial advisors.


© 2005-2022 http://www.MarketOracle.co.uk - The Market Oracle is a FREE Daily Financial Markets Analysis & Forecasting online publication.


Post Comment

Only logged in users are allowed to post comments. Register/ Log in