XAUUSD failed to break above the descending trend line from 1357.45 to 1334.29 on its 4-hour chart and extended its downside movement to as low as 1293.25.

On the daily chart, the XAUUSD pair moved below a major support trend line from 1204.77 to 1275.64, indicating that the upside movement from 1204.77 had completed at 1357.45 already.

As long as the gold price is below the falling trend line on the 4-hour chart, the downside movement from 1357.45 could be expected to continue and further decline to test 1275.64 key support is possible. A breakdown below this level would confirm that the uptrend from the December 2016 low of 1122.56 is complete, then the following bearish movement could take price back towards the bullish trend line from 1046.27 to 1122.56 on the weekly chart, now at 1177.

However, a clear break above the falling trend line on the 4-hour chart could bring price back to test 1315.96 resistance. Above this level will indicate that the short term downtrend from 1357.45 is complete, then the following correction rebound could take price to next resistance level at 1334.29, only break above this level could trigger another rise towards 1400 important psychological level.

Technical levels

Support levels: 1275.64 (the key support), 1251.44 (the August 8 low), 1204.77 (the July 10 low), 1177 (the support trend line on the weekly chart).

Resistance levels: 1312 (the falling trend line on the 4-hour chart), 1315.96 (near term resistance), 1334.29, 1357.45 (the September 8 high), 1375.11 (the July 2016 high), 1400 (the important psychological level).

This article is written by Franco Shao, a senior analyst at ForexCycle.

© 2017 Copyright Franco Shao - All Rights Reserved Disclaimer: The above is a matter of opinion provided for general information purposes only and is not intended as investment advice. Information and analysis above are derived from sources and utilising methods believed to be reliable, but we cannot accept responsibility for any losses you may incur as a result of this analysis. Individuals should consult with their personal financial advisors.

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