As of yesterday’s (Sunday) 8,528.30 trend high, the Tadawul All Share Index (TASI) has rocketed over 12% in 25 trading days, when counting from the swing low of 7,589.23 on December 23. A long-term bullish trend continuation signal was triggered on the move as the day’s close was at 8,509.43, just above the most recent peak of 8,502.92 from July 2018. Further, yesterday’s close was the highest daily closing price since August 2015.

TASI Daily Chart

During the rally, the index broke out of a head and shoulders bottom trend reversal pattern with a complex right shoulder. You can see from the chart below that there was first a breakout of a head & shoulders bottom as price went through the lower neckline in early-December. Then, the formation continued to evolve, creating a second right shoulder. This led to a breakout of the second neckline three weeks ago. Given that yesterday’s high was just barely above the July peak, it remains to be seen if some resistance may still be seen before the TASI continues higher.

This is all very bullish behavior. Nevertheless, the TASI may have gotten ahead of itself and needs to take at least a short rest before moving higher. Given the rapid ascent over the past five weeks and the fact that the index is hitting potentially significant resistance, it seems like there is a good chance for some sideways movement or a pullback before the TASI is ready to sustain upward momentum. Also, the 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) momentum oscillator is well overbought at this point.

TASI Weekly Chart

Either way, it would be healthy for the advance if the index took a bit of a rest before progressing. This would also give investors a chance to prepare for the next run, as a continuation of the long-term uptrend that began off the October 2016 low. Regardless, so far there is no sign that the TASI will stall or pullback in a more significant fashion than last week’s relatively sideways movement. Investors should be prepared, nevertheless.

Investors in US markets can get exposure to Saudi equities through at least two ETFs. The iShares MSCI Saudi Arabia ETF (KSA) has almost 100% exposure to the Tadawul, while the Wisdom Tree Middle East Dividend Fund (GULF) has approximately 27% exposure, according to ETF Database.

Only logged in users are allowed to post comments. Register/ Log in

The Market Oracle is a FREE Financial Markets Forecasting & Analysis web-site.
(c) 2005-2024 MarketOracle.co.uk (Market Oracle Ltd) - Market Oracle Ltd asserts copyright on all articles authored by our editorial team and all comments posted. Any and all information provided within the web-site, is for general information purposes only and Market Oracle Ltd do not warrant the accuracy, timeliness or suitability of any information provided on this site. nor is or shall be deemed to constitute, financial or any other advice or recommendation by us. and are also not meant to be investment advice or solicitation or recommendation to establish market positions. We do not give investment advice and our comments are an expression of opinion only and should not be construed in any manner whatsoever as recommendations to enter into a market position either stock, option, futures contract, bonds, commodity or any other financial instrument at any time. We recommend that independent professional advice is obtained before you make any investment or trading decisions. By using this site you agree to this sites Terms of Use. From time to time we promote or endorse certain products / services that we believe are worthy of your time and attention. In return for that endorsement and only in the cases where you purchase directly though us may we be compensated by the producers of those products.