Best Financial Markets Analysis Article Our graph this week is of the Dollar Death Ray , which is aimed directly at the value of the U.S. dollar. This plot is an extension of that which was introduced in last week's Gold Thoughts . In the graph is plotted the year-to-year change in Federal Reserve bank credit. In simplest terms, it is the rate of expansion of the asset side of Federal Reserve's balance sheet. Latest data was released Thursday, 25 September. In this case, it has been adjusted for a circular transaction created by Treasury supplemental financing of the Federal Reserve which was recently done. Federal Reserve bank credit, or U.S. base money, has now been expanded at a record level. Rarely, if ever, has a major central bank intentionally inflated its balance sheet in such an inflationary manner.

What the graph tells us is that the Federal Reserve has increased base money by about 20% from a year ago. This has been accomplished by the massive, more than $200 billion, financing of dubious assets held by U.S. banking system. Plan to bailout Wall Street will only exacerbate this development. While it does not translate directly into money supply growth, it gives a good picture of likely future trend.

If you turn it upside down, you get a picture of the future value of the U.S. dollar. A central bank cannot abandon all restraint in financing an economy without the currency losing value. As it is presented, the graph give a “forecast” for the price of $Gold. The bailout of Wall Street is being done with total disregard of the secondary and tertiary consequences.

If you own paper assets instead of Gold, be prepared for the value of your wealth to deteriorate.

By Ned W Schmidt CFA, CEBS

GOLD THOUGHTS come from Ned W. Schmidt,CFA,CEBS, publisher of The Value View Gold Report , monthly, and Trading Thoughts , weekly. To receive copies of recent reports, go to http://home.att.net/~nwschmidt/Order_Gold_EMonthlyTT.html

Ned W Schmidt Archive

Comments

C.R.RAJEEV
26 Sep 08, 23:54

economics

my comment is to reduce the value of money by percent basis and attract foreign investment as early as possible.concentrate on production industry such as agriculture , deconcentrate on computer technology.accept and attract investments from reliable persons from reliable countries. investigate the history of persons, source of money,and the strength of thier industry.make friendly countries and give them the new technologies to develop the maximum out put in minimum input like asian countries in agricultural sectors.thanking you sir

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