Best Real Terms Asset Price Growth Countries for the Next 10 Years
Forecasts / Investing 2021 Nov 15, 2021 - 10:51 AM GMTWhat one wants to see is what is likely to happen over the next 10 and years, so after much number crunching here are my tables as a rough guide for which are the best nations in terms of relative strength of asset prices in real terms i.e. housing and stocks and which are the worst over the next 10 and 20 years based on the ageing population metric. However, a single metric even though a very important one is just not enough so I have also included a nations climate change risk profile that is expected to increasingly impact on GDP as well as GDP per capita where the lower the GDP the greater the potential for real terms growth i.e. it is much easier for Nigeria to double the size of their economy per capita than Malaysia. Whilst nations with very low GDP Per capita such as Afghanistan have a huge mountain to climb before they become stable enough for sustained growth spurts.
So the best nations to invest in for the next 10 years based on demographics also carry an elevated climate change risk. Thus it is best to pursue those most likely to be politically stable so as to allow GDP to grow i.e. the likes of Nigeria, Pakistan, Egypt, South Africa, Malaysia, Israel, Algeria, Mexico, Indonesia and then the first western nation on the list New Zealand, not far behind is Australia where both actually see their average age FALL due to continuing immigration. The right wings of those nations will never admit to it that their over performance over the next 10 years and likely for the past few decades is primarily due to immigration reversing the ageing process for those nations.
Whilst Canada, US and the UK are closely clustered with their bacon again being saved by HIGH IMMIGRATION! Especially the UK which would be on its way to becoming Germany 2.0 without the industrial heartland. Whilst Canada as is the case with New Zealand and Australia reaps the rewards of a falling average age. Though western european nations have it in their means to increase immigration i.e. it would not take much for the likes of France to join the UK and the US.
Worst Real Terms Asset Price Growth Countries for the Next 10 Years
Japan and most of Europe tops the charts. Surprisingly Taiwan and South Korea have ticking demographic time bombs worse than that of China, which means to adjust ones exposure else to wake up one morning to find one is invested in the next Japan. So on this metric one should seek to reduce exposure to those corporations that derive their earnings from those nations, or are subject to heavy taxation as on average are likely to under perform, definitely Japan, and it remains to be seen how much more of Syria Germany is willing to import to effectively become like the UK in immigration terms.
Best Real Terms Asset Price Growth Countries for the Next 20 Years
This article is an excerpt from my recent extensive analysis of why inflation will be far from transitory, so batton down the hatches for whats to come- Protect Your Wealth From PERMANENT Transitory Inflation
Contents:
- Best Real Terms Asset Price Growth Countries for the Next 10 Years
- Worst Real Terms Asset Price Growth Countries for the Next 10 Years
- The INFLATION MEGA-TREND
- Ripples of Deflation on an Ocean of Inflation!
- Stock Market Trend Forecast Current State
- US Dollar - Stocks Correlation
- US Dollar vs Yields vs Dow
- Stock Market Conclusion
- 34th Anniversary of the Greatest Crash in Stock Market History - 1987
- Key Lesson - How to REALLY Trade Markets
- AI Stocks Portfolio Current State
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- HIGH RISK STOCKS INVEST AND FORGET PORTFOLIO
- Can US Save Taiwan From China?
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The China Syndrome
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Stock Market Trend Forecast Current State
INVESTING LESSON - BUYING VALUE
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INVESTING LESSON - Give your Portfolio Some Breathing Space
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How Stagflation Effects Stocks
INTEL Bargain - 15.5% Discount Sale
Why Intel stock price dropped 15%?
FACEBOOK - 10% DIscount
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APPLE 4% Discount
AMD $136 on Route to $200
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Crypto's 20% Discount Event
Bitcoin Trend
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Contents:
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- Crypto Portfolio Current State
- The BITCOIN NEW ALL TIME HIGH Changes EVERYTHING!
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- What am I doing?
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- Earnings Noise Delivers INTEL And IBM Buy Opps
- Facebook and Google Could CRASH 10% Post Earnings Day
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And access to why inflation will be far from transitory, batten down the hatches for what's to come-
And my extensive analysis of Silver concluding in a trend forecast into Mid 2022.
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- My Next Analysis
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Nadeem Walayat has over 35 years experience of trading derivatives, portfolio management and analysing the financial markets, including one of few who both anticipated and Beat the 1987 Crash. Nadeem's forward looking analysis focuses on UK inflation, economy, interest rates and housing market. He is the author of five ebook's in the The Inflation Mega-Trend and Stocks Stealth Bull Market series that can be downloaded for Free.
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