Most Popular
1. It’s a New Macro, the Gold Market Knows It, But Dead Men Walking Do Not (yet)- Gary_Tanashian
2.Stock Market Presidential Election Cycle Seasonal Trend Analysis - Nadeem_Walayat
3. Bitcoin S&P Pattern - Nadeem_Walayat
4.Nvidia Blow Off Top - Flying High like the Phoenix too Close to the Sun - Nadeem_Walayat
4.U.S. financial market’s “Weimar phase” impact to your fiat and digital assets - Raymond_Matison
5. How to Profit from the Global Warming ClImate Change Mega Death Trend - Part1 - Nadeem_Walayat
7.Bitcoin Gravy Train Trend Forecast 2024 - - Nadeem_Walayat
8.The Bond Trade and Interest Rates - Nadeem_Walayat
9.It’s Easy to Scream Stocks Bubble! - Stephen_McBride
10.Fed’s Next Intertest Rate Move might not align with popular consensus - Richard_Mills
Last 7 days
Why President Trump Has NO Real Power - Deep State Military Industrial Complex - 8th Nov 24
Social Grant Increases and Serge Belamant Amid South Africa's New Political Landscape - 8th Nov 24
Is Forex Worth It? - 8th Nov 24
Nvidia Numero Uno in Count Down to President Donald Pump Election Victory - 5th Nov 24
Trump or Harris - Who Wins US Presidential Election 2024 Forecast Prediction - 5th Nov 24
Stock Market Brief in Count Down to US Election Result 2024 - 3rd Nov 24
Gold Stocks’ Winter Rally 2024 - 3rd Nov 24
Why Countdown to U.S. Recession is Underway - 3rd Nov 24
Stock Market Trend Forecast to Jan 2025 - 2nd Nov 24
President Donald PUMP Forecast to Win US Presidential Election 2024 - 1st Nov 24
At These Levels, Buying Silver Is Like Getting It At $5 In 2003 - 28th Oct 24
Nvidia Numero Uno Selling Shovels in the AI Gold Rush - 28th Oct 24
The Future of Online Casinos - 28th Oct 24
Panic in the Air As Stock Market Correction Delivers Deep Opps in AI Tech Stocks - 27th Oct 24
Stocks, Bitcoin, Crypto's Counting Down to President Donald Pump! - 27th Oct 24
UK Budget 2024 - What to do Before 30th Oct - Pensions and ISA's - 27th Oct 24
7 Days of Crypto Opportunities Starts NOW - 27th Oct 24
The Power Law in Venture Capital: How Visionary Investors Like Yuri Milner Have Shaped the Future - 27th Oct 24
This Points To Significantly Higher Silver Prices - 27th Oct 24
US House Prices Trend Forecast 2024 to 2026 - 11th Oct 24
US Housing Market Analysis - Immigration Drives House Prices Higher - 30th Sep 24
Stock Market October Correction - 30th Sep 24
The Folly of Tariffs and Trade Wars - 30th Sep 24
Gold: 5 principles to help you stay ahead of price turns - 30th Sep 24
The Everything Rally will Spark multi year Bull Market - 30th Sep 24
US FIXED MORTGAGES LIMITING SUPPLY - 23rd Sep 24
US Housing Market Free Equity - 23rd Sep 24
US Rate Cut FOMO In Stock Market Correction Window - 22nd Sep 24
US State Demographics - 22nd Sep 24
Gold and Silver Shine as the Fed Cuts Rates: What’s Next? - 22nd Sep 24
Stock Market Sentiment Speaks:Nothing Can Topple This Market - 22nd Sep 24
US Population Growth Rate - 17th Sep 24
Are Stocks Overheating? - 17th Sep 24
Sentiment Speaks: Silver Is At A Major Turning Point - 17th Sep 24
If The Stock Market Turn Quickly, How Bad Can Things Get? - 17th Sep 24
IMMIGRATION DRIVES HOUSE PRICES HIGHER - 12th Sep 24
Global Debt Bubble - 12th Sep 24
Gold’s Outlook CPI Data - 12th Sep 24

Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

How to Protect your Wealth by Investing in AI Tech Stocks

Congress Moves against Totalitarian Central Bank Digital Currency Schemes

Currencies / cryptocurrency May 25, 2024 - 02:02 PM GMT

By: MoneyMetals

Currencies

As hopes for rate cuts fade, metals markets are giving back some of their recent gains.

On Wednesday, minutes from the Federal Reserve’s latest policy meeting showed central bankers are frustrated by the lack of progress on inflation. After several months of official inflation readings coming in hotter than expected, the Fed has been forced to back off on previous plans to ease multiple times throughout the year.

Remarks by Fed policymakers were widely interpreted as hawkish, with some even suggesting that rate hikes might be necessary. 



It’s not clear what the Fed’s next move might be or when it might occur.  What is clear is that the Fed lacks credibility when it comes to inflation forecasting. 

Chairman Jerome Powell failed to anticipate an inflation problem following the massive fiscal and monetary stimulus unleashed in response to the COVID pandemic.  Then after consumer prices shot up rapidly, he wrongly claimed elevated inflation would be transitory. 

He acted too late in raising interest rates. Then when inflation finally began to come down last year, he prematurely took a victory lap and projected it would continue to go down after the Fed stopped hiking.

But Consumer Price Index readings started inching back up this year, making rate cuts impossible under the Fed’s own policy framework.  So, Jay Powell offered up a bizarre reimagining of the Fed’s longstanding 2% inflation target, declaring it could be met even if inflation stays elevated above 2%.  

Now he basically admits he doesn’t know where inflation will be headed in the months ahead or what he will do about it.

In recent weeks, of course, gold and silver markets have been reflecting a lot of built-up inflation – which is just another word for currency depreciation. Gold made an all-time high in terms of fiat Federal Reserve notes, but it is pulling back here in this week’s trading.

In other news, the U.S. House of Representatives this week narrowly passed a bill to prohibit the Federal Reserve from issuing a central bank digital currency. The CBDC Anti-Surveillance State Act, as it has been named, now heads to the Senate where it faces an uncertain fate.

Democrats control the Upper Chamber. Just three lone Democrats in the House voted for the measure.

Many politicians apparently like the idea of one day replacing paper notes and physical coins with a digital dollar.

It could enable the IRS to track just about every transaction in the whole economy. That, of course, brings with it the prospect of more tax revenue for the government.  It also brings with it grave privacy concerns and the risk of authoritarian controls over what people are allowed to purchase using their digital wallets.

And any new power handed over to central bankers that pushes the monetary system further away from sound money grounded in gold and silver enables larger scale depreciation of the currency.

For example, a CDBC could enable the Fed to inject so-called stimulus into the economy more rapidly by crediting the digital wallets of individuals or institutions it deems worthy.

The leading privately circulated digital token, Bitcoin, has the virtue of being limited in terms of its supply. Yet while the number of Bitcoins that can ever be mined into existence is capped, scarcity alone doesn’t guarantee that Bitcoin will retain value over time.

Since Bitcoin isn’t backed by anything and has no utility outside of its digital ecosystem, what its purchasing power will be years or decades from now is a matter of pure speculation.

True, it has seen a meteoric rise unlike anything else in the financial universe. That has drawn the ire of many in government – including some of the same politicians and bureaucrats who dream of imposing a CBDC. Congressman Brad Sherman, for one, has pushed for a total ban on Bitcoin.

If people can’t legally trade Bitcoin or it falls out of favor for whatever reason, then there could be nothing left to support it having any value at all. Physical gold and silver, by contrast, will always have value even if in the future nobody chooses to recognize or hold them as money. They have real utility to industry, to jewelers, to artisans, and more. 

And they have a centuries-long track record of retaining their value better than any other form of money that has ever been produced. Will Bitcoin be the one exception, the thing that really is different this time -- the “new gold” as its promoters believe?

You can speculate on that happening if you wish.  But just in case it doesn’t, you’d be well served to hold onto at least some hard money in the form of physical bullion.

By Mike Gleason

MoneyMetals.com

Mike Gleason is President of Money Metals Exchange, the national precious metals company named 2015 "Dealer of the Year" in the United States by an independent global ratings group. A graduate of the University of Florida, Gleason is a seasoned business leader, investor, political strategist, and grassroots activist. Gleason has frequently appeared on national television networks such as CNN, FoxNews, and CNBC, and his writings have appeared in hundreds of publications such as the Wall Street Journal, Detroit News, Washington Times, and National Review.

© 2024 Mike Gleason - All Rights Reserved

Disclaimer: The above is a matter of opinion provided for general information purposes only and is not intended as investment advice. Information and analysis above are derived from sources and utilising methods believed to be reliable, but we cannot accept responsibility for any losses you may incur as a result of this analysis. Individuals should consult with their personal financial advisors.


© 2005-2022 http://www.MarketOracle.co.uk - The Market Oracle is a FREE Daily Financial Markets Analysis & Forecasting online publication.


Post Comment

Only logged in users are allowed to post comments. Register/ Log in