U.S. Oil Funds Bullish Structure Quashed
Commodities / Crude Oil Dec 12, 2008 - 11:42 AM GMT
For the upmove off of Wednesday's upside pivot reversal (34.07) into Thursday's high (39.82) to be considered bullish, I needed to see the US Oil Fund ETF (NYSE: USO) weakness hold at or above 38.00, which was the case yesterday afternoon. However, this morning's gap down open and plunge beneath 35.78 has quashed the potentially bullish pattern structure into something considerably less constructive -- and possibly has initiated a new downleg within the still dominant bear trend.
At this juncture, I would NOT be surprised to see the USO attempt to fill the gap between 37.25 and 38.00, but thereafter to resume its decline towards a test of the December low.
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By Mike Paulenoff
Mike Paulenoff is author of the MPTrader.com (www.mptrader.com) , a real-time diary of Mike Paulenoff's trading ideas and technical chart analysis of Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs) that track equity indices, metals, energy commodities, currencies, Treasuries, and other markets. It is for traders with a 3-30 day time horizon, who use the service for guidance on both specific trades as well as general market direction
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