Category: Stocks Bear Market
The analysis published under this category are as follows.
Sunday, January 24, 2016
First Uptrend of Stocks Bear Market / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: Tony_Caldaro
The week started off at SPX 1880. After a Monday holiday the market gapped up to SPX 1901 on Tuesday, and then immediately headed lower. On Wednesday the market gapped down at the open, hit a new low for the downtrend at SPX 1812, and then began to rally. The rally continued through Thursday and Friday with the SPX clearing 1900, and ending the week at 1907. For the week the SPX/DOW gained 1.05%, the NDX/NAZ gained 2.60%, and the DJ World gained 0.90%. Economic reports for the week were mostly negative. On the uptick: existing homes sales and the Q4 GDP estimate. On the downtick: the NAHB, CPI, housing starts, building permits, leading indicators, the WLEI, the Philly FED, plus weekly jobless claims rose. Next week the FED meets Tuesday and Wednesday, and we get our first look at Q4 GDP.
Wednesday, January 20, 2016
Can Stock Values Simply "Disappear"? Yes / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: EWI
And it's happened before, too -- just think back to the 2007-2099 financial crisis
On Wednesday (Jan. 13) CNBC reported that,
Read full article... Read full article..."Almost $3.2 trillion has been wiped off the value of stocks around the world since the start of 2016, according to calculations by a top market analyst. U.S. stocks are now off $1.77 trillion, while overseas stocks are down $1.4 trillion."
Tuesday, January 19, 2016
Warning: Stocks Bear Market Rally Trap Ahead / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: Chris_Vermeulen
Technical Evidence Indicates Major Price Movement Just Getting Started!
Stocks around the globe were pummeled again last week.
This is no surprise to our subscribers as our predictive trend analytics model gave us clear technical evidence that important multi-year highs had completed back in the middle of 2015.
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Saturday, January 16, 2016
Stocks Bear Market Underway / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: Tony_Caldaro
First things first. An equity bear market has been confirmed on Friday by OEW. The market started the week at SPX 1922. After three gap up openings the market gyrated its way up to SPX 1950 by Wednesday, then started to head lower. Thursday also had a gap up opening, and the market recovered to SPX 1934. Friday, however, we had a big gap down opening and the market traded down to SPX 1858 before recovering to end the week at 1880. For the week the SPX/DOW lost 2.20%, the NDX/NAZ lost 3.15%, and the DJ World index lost 3.0%. Economic reports for the week were nearly all negative. On the uptick only Consumer sentiment. On the downtick: export/import prices, retail sales, the PPI, the NY FED, industrial production, capacity utilization, business inventories, the WLEI, the GDPn, plus the treasury deficit and weekly jobless claims rose. Next week we get reports on the Philly FED, the CPI, and Housing.
Friday, January 15, 2016
Major Stocks Bear Market Awakening / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: Zeal_LLC
The US stock markets have suffered their worst early-year losses in history in young 2016, an ominous proof that a major trend change is underway. The Fed’s new tightening cycle is already slaying recent years’ extraordinary easy-Fed-fueled stock-market levitation. Unfortunately the only possible reckoning after such a record artificial stock boost is a long-overdue major bear market that is finally awakening.
Just a month ago, the stock markets looked radically different. The Federal Reserve’s Federal Open Market Committee that sets monetary policy mustered the courage to hike rates, ending exactly 7 years of a record zero-interest-rate policy. Stock traders rejoiced, interpreting the first rate hike in 9.5 years as a sign the Fed had great confidence that the US economy was improving. So they bid stocks higher that day.
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Friday, January 15, 2016
Stocks Bear Market Gaining Momentum / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: Christopher_Quigley
On the 15th. of December last we noted that the Dow Transports had given a re-confirmed bear signal and accordingly we advised caution. Since then the Dow Industrials have fallen 989 points (approx). The Industrials need to break the 15,750 level for a full bear market to be re-confirmed. Based on yesterday’s price action, in all probability, this will happen sooner rather than later. (Remember our initial Dow Theory sell signal was triggered January 2015).
Monday, January 11, 2016
A Stock Market Bear Party Perhaps / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: Bob_Loukas
This blog post is a continuation of the bearish theme I highlighted and posted for you back in December, titled: Game Changing Action
Maybe 2016 will be the year when equity bears finally get to celebrate. Although I wouldn’t call an end to the “buy the dip” era quite yet, the current market has a different type of feel and vibe to it. Many people believe – and there is supporting historical evidence – that as January goes for equities, so goes the year. Bulls should hope this axiom doesn’t hold in 2016. The month is still young, but the first week of January ushered in the worst 5-day start to a year in the S&P 500’s history. The last time the market started a year this poorly was 2008, and we know how that turned out.
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Sunday, December 20, 2015
Fed Might Have Nailed End of Cyclical Stocks Bull Market, Beginning of Next US Recession / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: Jas_Jain
On April 5, 2015 I suggested that One of the Longest Cyclical Bull Market In US Stocks May be Coming to an End with an update on August 16, 2015. Now, it seems that Janet Yellen has nailed the end of the cyclical bull market with her telegraphing the specific date for change in policy and then acting on it. Fed Vice Chairman Stanley Fisher's statement, few months ago, that the Fed is data dependent and not date dependent (emphasis in his voice) was part of Fed propaganda to cover up the real reasons behind the change in policy. If the cyclical bull market were coming to an end, as Yellen has concluded, and the bear market is to begin in early 2016 the recession would follow. As one can see in Fig. 1, S&P 500 is where it was approximately 16 months ago and the market has been struggling.
Tuesday, December 15, 2015
Dow Transports Re-Enters Stocks Bear Market, Caution Warranted / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: Christopher_Quigley
Arnold Toynbee “A Study of History”:
“Civilizations die by suicide not by murder”.
Very few people today know that between 1934 and 1961 the British historian Arnold Toynbee wrote “A Study of History” describing the rise and fall of the 23 civilizations he had identified in human history. In contrast to Oswald Spengler, who thought that the rise and fall of civilizations was inevitable, Toynbee maintained that the fate of civilizations is determined by their response to the challenges facing them. In fact the unifying theme throughout the book is challenge and response. One of the ground-breaking discoveries by Toynbee is the fact that there have been so many highly developed civilizations. Understandably in the West our history lessons focus on our own civilization with its roots in Greek and Roman cultures, but in addition there have been Chinese, Indian, Mayan, Islamic, Sumerian and Orthodox civilizations, to name but a few.
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Wednesday, December 09, 2015
Buckle Up, It’s Very Likely the Bull Market in Stocks is Over / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: Graham_Summers
As I warned last week… it’s very likely that the
Bull Market in stocks is over.
Stocks have broken their bull market trendline. Not only that, but they’ve been rejected by this line TWICE, indicating that the momentum is GONE.
The next move will be SHARPLY DOWN.
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Sunday, December 06, 2015
Is the Stocks Bull Market Over? These Charts Say So / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: Graham_Summers
For weeks we have been warning not to trust the bounce in stocks. We were worried that a Bear Market had begun.
The most critical item we were concerned with was the fact that the S&P 500, despite its massive bounce, had failed to regain its former trendline. This would suggest a Bear Market was possibly about to begin
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Tuesday, November 10, 2015
What is Needed for a Stocks Bear Market Scenario / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
Wave (i) is jumbled and overlapping, but there are 5 clear waves. Leading Diagonal Waves may account for that. Wave (iii) is cleaner and a bit more convincing as an impulse. However, what we don’t want to see is Wave (iv) overlapping Wave (i) at 2083.74. Wave (iv appears to be an a-b-c correction. Wave a went to 2083.09, while Wave c went to 2083.67. An impulsive decline without overlapping 2083.74 with a bounce to the vicinity of Short-term resistance at 2086.85 would be needed to set up the bear market,
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Wednesday, November 04, 2015
The Stocks Bear Market Meter is Running / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: EWI
Taxicab medallions and margin debt: A similar reversal in the making
As a native New Yorker, I can say with complete confidence: It's true; there's no place on earth like The Big Apple. It's also true that, until recently, most New Yorkers would trip a nun if it meant hailing a Yellow cab first.
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Tuesday, October 13, 2015
Gold for Stocks Bear Market? / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: Axel_Merk
While some continue dancing, the music might have already stopped: are we already in a bear market in stocks? In this context, we study past bear markets to see whether gold may serve as a valuable diversifier for what's ahead.
Thursday, October 08, 2015
How to Profit from the Coming Stocks Bear Market / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: MM
MoneyMorning.com By Shah Gilani, Everyone loves a bull market, and it seems that almost everyone fears a bear market.
Not me… I love them both.
In fact, I especially love it when stocks, or bonds, or commodities, or just about any asset class, goes down.
That's because I make what I call "easy money" (and a lot of it) by flipping the securities I trade and invest in when markets head south.
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Friday, October 02, 2015
Don't be Fooled by the Recent Equity market Rallies. Its a Bear Market, Stupid! / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: Brian_Bloom
The daily chart below, of the Dow Jones Industrial Index, shows a significant technical non-confirmation: The On Balance Volume segment of the chart has been falling in the face of a rising Index, which indicates that sellers have been taking advantage of rising prices in the past couple of weeks to increase the rate at which they have been offloading their stocks.
Wednesday, September 30, 2015
A Stocks Bear Market Is Now More Likely Than Not / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: Richard_Shaw
- A Bear market from this Correction is more likely than not
- Yield Curve suggests Bull has further to go
- Breadth measures suggest Bull is exhausted
- Triple top and Head & Shoulders pattern suggests breakout to the downside
- 4 Factor Technical indicator suggests Bear is around the corner
Tuesday, September 29, 2015
This Stocks Bear is Just Waking from Hibernation / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: James_Quinn
“Every man has a right to his own opinion, but no man has a right to be wrong in his facts” ― Bernard M. Baruch
“The main purpose of the stock market is to make fools of as many men as possible.” ― Bernard M. Baruch
As the market drops 200 to 300 points daily on a fairly frequent basis these days, and has now dropped 13% in the last four months, John Hussman’s valuation analysis based upon historical facts is proving to be accurate. He’s not an “I told you so” type of person, but I am. The MSM stories follow the same old storyline – this is just a correction, time to buy the dip, stocks are undervalued, the Fed won’t let the market fall. We’ve been here before, twice in the last fifteen years. Wall Street and their media mouthpieces attempted to spread misinformation about the nature of the markets in 2000 and 2007, as epic bear markets were just getting underway. John Hussman cut through their crap then and he is cutting through it now.
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Thursday, September 24, 2015
The Stocks Bull Market is Over / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: Casey_Research
By Justin Spittler
Stocks had a horrible day Tuesday…
The S&P 500 lost 1.23%. The Dow Jones Industrial Average lost 1.09%.
Indices around the world also fell…
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Thursday, September 24, 2015
US Stock Bubble Bursts As The US Fed Begins To Shrink Its Balance Sheet / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: I_M_Vronsky
All serious students of economics well know there are several factors that can inflate stock values…and even cause them to soar beyond common sense and corresponding fundamentals. However, there is one factor that dwarfs all others in its disproportionate material effect on pumping up stock prices beyond all historical and reasonable metrics: AND THAT IS EXCESSIVE GROWTH IN THE FED’S BALANCE SHEET.