Category: Financial Markets 2009
The analysis published under this category are as follows.Saturday, December 05, 2009
Stock Market Losing Traction on Lack of Fundamentals / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2009
The employment situation suggests an improvement - The unemployment rate edged down to 10.0 percent in November, and nonfarm payroll employment was essentially unchanged (-11,000), the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. In the prior 3 months, payroll job losses had averaged 135,000 a month. In November, employment fell in construction, manufacturing, and information, while temporary help services and health care added jobs.
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Thursday, December 03, 2009
Global Currency Warfare, Financial Markets Review / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2009
This past week was one of utmost turmoil in world markets. In the midst of an American holiday, Dubai faced bankruptcy for some $100 billion. Another unsuspected untoward event. The exposure of the Dubai event coming as it did could have been discovered at any given time, thus, we question the timing. We can understand why the London market was off some 300 Dow points, but exposure to Dubai was very limited in Europe, the US and in Asia. Could it have been an excuse to take down the US and European markets and gold and silver? We do not know, but we have come to question everything that happens.
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Tuesday, December 01, 2009
ETF's Signaling Negative Divergence Cluster Warnings for Markets / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2009
For those of us without a crystal ball, we have to rely upon techniques or signals to get in and out of the markets. These could be moving average crossovers or other more "sophisticated" methods like counting negative divergences, which I have developed and discussed previously. Regardless of what you do, just have a plan. Honor the signals; know where you would get back in if you are wrong.
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Sunday, November 29, 2009
Stocks, Commodites and Bond Inter-Market Relationships / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2009
Ten Year Yields have been tracking in the same direction as stocks for years – until this summer. Now they are moving in opposite directions. What gives?
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Sunday, November 29, 2009
Will Dubai Debt Crisis Crack Uber Bullish Stock Market Sentiment? / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2009
As shoppers were emptying their purses on Black Friday bargains, Dubai’s attempt to reschedule its debt roiled financial markets, plunging risky assets into the red. The government of Dubai requested a six-month payment freeze on the $59 billion debt issued by Dubai World - a state-owned conglomerate that has become known for its extravagant real estate projects.
Worries about Dubai’s debt woes rattled investors’ confidence, precipitating a sell-off in equities, high-yielding corporate bonds, commodities and the Baltic Dry Index, while mature-market government debt, the US dollar and the Japanese yen attracted safe-haven buyers. On Thursday and Friday, many emerging-market and high-yielding currencies declined sharply.
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Sunday, November 29, 2009
Dubai Property Crash Delivers Debt Black Swan to Deflationists / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2009
This weeks major market event came late in the week whilst American's took the day off on Thursday for Thanksgiving, Dubai declared that it will be freezing repayments for at least 6 months on part of its approx $90 billion or so of visible debt at the state run Dubai World company ($20 billion). The ratings agencies responded by cutting the ratings on Dubai bonds to junk status.
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Thursday, November 26, 2009
U.S. Dollar Break Triggers Sharp Moves in Financial Markets / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2009
Wow
Wednesday break of the dollar triggered a lot of strong moves...
Wednesday, November 25, 2009
Danger and Opportunities for the Stock Market, Gold and U.S. Dollar / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2009
Gold is now pushing deeply into critically overbought territory on its RSI indicator, so consolidation/correction can be presumed to be imminent. Look for the gap with the 20-day moving average, shown on our 1-year chart (the green line), to be closed in the near future.
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Wednesday, November 25, 2009
Barry Ritholtz, Bad Economy Could Spell Good News For Wall Street for Years / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2009
It has been a very typical Thanksgiving week thus far; remember the winning percentage on Wed & Fri around Thanksgiving Thursday is over 80% since 1950. So the indexes have been up each day this week, and speculative fervor has hit pockets of the small cap, speculative universe. It's textbook action. All the computers are waiting on for now, is that break over S&P 1112-1113 so we can all pile in like lemmings for the next leg up.
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Monday, November 23, 2009
Stock Market Climbing a Wall of Worry / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2009
The news could not be worse considering the economy is constantly touted to be recovering by a price / expectation managing bureaucracy and sympathetic media. From bursting bailouts to bulging budget deficits to growing needs to crashing consumer credit – observers are subjected to a constant flow of bad news. And while this is having little effect on price focused small speculators, as mentioned on Monday in our options analysis, it has caused the pros an more educated large investors to at least hedge long positions, which has been bringing put / call ratios up. Of course the net effect of this is for stocks to remain stubbornly resilient, as has been the case, climbing the proverbial ‘wall of worry’.
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Monday, November 23, 2009
U.S. Housing, Dollar and Bonds / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2009
If this is the recovery, I would hate to see what a recession looks like!! Housing data released in the last week showed a still lousy housing market – from home builder confidence index that declined by a point to remain well under 20 (50 is “balanced”). Even traffic for new homes was near record lows. Housing starts and permits (a leading indicator of future starts ) both fell again. The Mortgage Bankers report of home purchases fell to a new low and are still down 15% vs. year ago levels.
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Monday, November 23, 2009
Don’t Miss Out on the Looming Gold Bubble / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2009
Jon D. Markman writes: Gold was all the rage again last week. But why is it rising, and does anyone really know what it’s worth?
According to the way I calculate momentum, gold has just barely entered the gravity-free zone – where it has the potential to start advancing a lot, with much more fluidity.
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Monday, November 23, 2009
Marc Faber, Wall Street Is Living It Up, Everyone Else Is Suffering / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2009
It has been a tumultuous phase for the markets globally in the recent past with major contractions in the private sector and huge stimulus packages. The question remains whether the markets are going to rally from here or is it bracing itself for a correction. Commenting on the same, Investment Guru Marc Faber says that the US economy did not respond well to stimulus packages. However, he adds, “The asset markets responded well to stimulus. The US Fed is keen to push the asset markets.”
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Monday, November 23, 2009
Stock Market Bearish Gravestone Doji Pattern, Dollar Spikes on Middle East Intrigue / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2009
The The FDIC seems to be having a slow weekend! Keep checking on the FDIC Failed Bank List over the weekend. So far there is only one failed bank this weekend.
David Rosenberg points out that the world’s reserve currency is being used to fund just about every asset beyond cash on the risk spectrum.
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Sunday, November 22, 2009
Stocks Enter Correction Zone, Gold and Silver Next to Follow? / News_Letter / Financial Markets 2009
The Market Oracle Newsletter November 21st, 2009 Issue #87 Vol. 3Read full article... Read full article...
Sunday, November 22, 2009
Stock Markets Succumb to Profit Taking / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2009
Stock markets succumbed to a bout of profit-taking last week, sparked by concerns that the rally has overshot the pace of economic recovery. Riskier assets were showing signs of fatigue as the US dollar - the catalyst of many recent moves - stabilized and was perceived to be near its trough (if only short-term in the books of ardent dollar bears).
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Saturday, November 21, 2009
Stock Market Correction Begins / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2009
Do the Feds sense a Wil-e Coyote moment ahead?
Federal Reserve officials are stepping up scrutiny of the biggest U.S. banks to ensure the lenders can withstand a reversal of soaring global-asset prices, according to people with knowledge of the matter.
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Saturday, November 21, 2009
Stocks Enter Correction Zone, Gold and Silver Next to Follow? / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2009
The story of the week was President Obama hopping on a plane to Communist China to learn about Capitalism, the U.S. Bond Market rallied on hopes of an extension to the China funded U.S. overdraft that currently totals $800 billion.
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Friday, November 20, 2009
Traders Holiday Giveway $5,000 Up for Grabs / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2009
INO invites you to enter the “Trader’s Blog Holiday Giveaway.” Enter for your chance to win one of twelve prizes, worth over $5,000.00 total to be given away.
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Tuesday, November 17, 2009
Just Sell Something, Please! / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2009
The act of selling cannot be underestimated. Selling is just as important as any other decision (i.e., buying or money management) involved in trading, but it seems to get less attention in the world of market punditry. I guess it is just better for the ego to say, "I was there. I bought XYZ stock at the bottom tick." However, a buy recommendation is only good if you sell some time later at a profit, and of course, we want that trip from the buy to the time we sell to be accompanied by a tolerable draw down.
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