Category: Credit Crisis 2013
The analysis published under this category are as follows.Wednesday, December 18, 2013
Could Volcker Rule Precipitate Next Financial Crisis? / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2013
I am not certain how we should react out of the gate to the situation with Zions Bancorp. Utah’s largest banking group revealed that it will take a one-time $387 million post-tax charge, based on its interpretation of the Volcker rule. Essentially, Zions believes that the Volcker rule dictates that it can no longer hold CDOs of bank and insurer-issued trust preferred securities (TruPS).
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Thursday, November 21, 2013
Did An Obscure IMF Document Start Global Bail-In Revolution? / Politics / Credit Crisis 2013
When revolutions start, it's not uncommon for almost nobody to notice. It may take years or even decades before historians can look back, point a finger and say "that's where it really began."
An obscure International Monetary Fund "Staff Discussion Note" may have already started a "Bail-In" financial revolution that could transform the global investment world.
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Tuesday, November 05, 2013
Close Look At Bank Bail-Ins And The Black Hole Of Our Financial System / Politics / Credit Crisis 2013
The bank bail-in rumble is growing louder. After the events in Cyprus, a small country and potentially meaningless in the eyes of most people, it seems that bail-in idea has spread like a virus across the Western world.
Only in the last week, we saw the following developments:
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Thursday, October 31, 2013
How Can We Have Record Bad Loans And Record Excess Liquidity At The Same Time? / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2013
We can read these days that Spain has come out of its recession. The Bank of Spain reported last week that GDP expanded by 0.1% in Q3. But in a country with 26% unemployment and 55% youth unemployment, such statements are devoid of any real meaning. They're mere technicality niceties. Because if anything screams recession, it's those kinds of unemployment numbers. Moreover, where do you think that 0.1%, even it you would take it seriously, came from? It's really not that hard. Spain’s return to growth is due to a 15% fall in labour costs since the 2008 financial crisis. In other words: the rich side of the economy gets to look good at the expense of the poor side. A global phenomenon.
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Friday, October 18, 2013
Structured Finance: Sovereign Debt, Banks, and Gold / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2013
The U.S never really minded if a Latin American oil minister took a kickback here or a bribe there to grease the wheels for a foreign oil company or an importer of hard liquor. Latin American taxpayers wouldn’t notice. The money was really just an upfront golden parachute. No U.S. executive ever went to jail just because he voted himself a huge separation bonus as a corporate raider took over a company. Shareholders didn’t complain. The only difference between an executive and a Latin American honcho was the executive got his money after he lost power. But the U.S. minded a lot after Alan Garcia won Peru’s presidential election in 1985. Garcia announced to the world that Peru couldn’t pay back its debt. Garcia was going to mess with U.S. banks, and that was definitely not okay.
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Sunday, October 13, 2013
Repo Market Implosion Financial Collapse Nightmare Scenario / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2013
October 11, 2013 "Information Clearing House - President Barack Obama is determined to prevail in his battle with GOP congressional leaders on the debt ceiling issue, but not for the reasons stated in the media. Obama is less concerned with the prospect of higher interest rates and frustrated bondholders than he is with the big Wall Street banks who would be thrust back into crisis if there is no resolution before October 17. Absent a debt ceiling deal, the repurchase market–known as repo–would undergo another deep-freeze as it did in 2008 when Lehman Brothers defaulted triggering a run on the Reserve Primary Fund which had been exposed to Lehman’s short-term debt. The frenzied selloff sparked a widespread panic across global financial markets pushing the system to the brink of collapse and forcing the Federal Reserve to backstop regulated and unregulated financial institutions with more than $11 trillion in loans and other obligations. The same tragedy will play out again, if congress fails lift the ceiling and reinforce the present value of US debt.
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Thursday, September 26, 2013
No Bank Account, No Pension, Will Ever Be Safe / Personal_Finance / Credit Crisis 2013
Michael Snyder writes: Now that “bail-ins” have become accepted practice all over the planet, no bank account and no pension fund will ever be 100% safe again. In fact, Cyprus-style wealth confiscation is already starting to happen all around the world. As you will read about below, private pension funds were just raided by the government in Poland, and a “bail-in” is being organized for one of the largest banks in Italy. Unfortunately, this is just the beginning. The precedent that was set in Cyprus is being used as a template for establishing bail-in procedures in New Zealand, Canada and all over Europe. It is only a matter of time before we see this exact same type of thing happen in the United States as well. From now on, anyone that keeps a large amount of money in any single bank account or retirement fund is being incredibly foolish.
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Monday, September 23, 2013
Is Risk-Free Banking Possible? / Politics / Credit Crisis 2013
Reader "Nate" noted that Bloomberg columnist Megan McArdle stated that banning Fractional Reserve banking won't work.
Nate asked "What would a future without fractional-reserve banking look like?"
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Thursday, September 19, 2013
Financial Crisis Meltdown Five Years After / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2013
So appropriate that the architect of banking deregulation, Larry Summers pleads that he is not the right person to head up the Federal Reserve. No S$%#. Well, the Fed is certainly the hot seat under normal circumstances. What will it be like when the next crisis directly puts into play the reserve currency status of the dollar? Do not worry, anniversaries are supposed to look at the brighter side. Never mind, our benevolent government is hard at work presenting the public with the kind of assurance that would make anyone start singing happy birthday.
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Monday, September 16, 2013
Credit Crisis Five Years Past or Five More in the Making / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2013
Wall Street is now reflecting upon the fifth anniversary of the Lehman Brothers bankruptcy and the start of the Credit Crisis. In fact, most are celebrating the belief that the complete collapse of the American economy was avoided thanks to a massive intervention of government-sponsored borrowing and money printing.
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Sunday, August 11, 2013
The Detroit Bail-In Template for Fleecing Pensioners to Save the Banks / Politics / Credit Crisis 2013
The Detroit bankruptcy is looking suspiciously like the bail-in template originated by the G20’s Financial Stability Board in 2011, which exploded on the scene in Cyprus in 2013 and is now becoming the model globally. In Cyprus, the depositors were “bailed in” (stripped of a major portion of their deposits) to re-capitalize the banks. In Detroit, it is the municipal workers who are being bailed in, stripped of a major portion of their pensions to save the banks.
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Sunday, August 11, 2013
Effects of Malaysia Credit Squeeze on the Housing and Stock Market / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2013
Malaysia’s current Household debt problem is not the result of our government’s recent policies to encourage private expenditure. In actuality the current debt problem has been accumulated from the past 15 years. The history of Malaysia’s Household debt can be traced back to 1997 where the household debt to GDP was only 39% then. This was also the year Malaysia is engulfed by the Asian Financial crisis.
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Sunday, August 11, 2013
Banking and Financial Collapse - We Can’t Take the Chance / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2013
What would it have been like to be in the decision-maker's seat at a central bank in the midst of the crisis in 2008-09? You'd know that you won't have the luxury of going back and making better decisions five years later. Instead, you have to act on the torrent of information that's coming at you from every quarter, and none of it is good. Major banks are literally collapsing, the interbank market is almost nonexistent, and there is panic in the air. Perhaps you feel that panic in the pit of your stomach. This week we'll perform a little thought experiment to see if we can extrapolate what is likely to happen in when the next crisis kicks in.
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Friday, July 19, 2013
Japan Hyper QE Inflation Wars, Bank of England's Bail-in Secret, Buy Gold, Silver? / News_Letter / Credit Crisis 2013
The Market Oracle NewsletterApril 8th , 2013 Issue # 9 Vol. 7
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Friday, July 19, 2013
Cyprus Shows Your Savings Will be Stolen! UK Theft is by Means of High Inflation / News_Letter / Credit Crisis 2013
The Market Oracle NewsletterMarch 25th , 2013 Issue # 8 Vol. 7
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Thursday, July 18, 2013
Capital Requirements Won’t Save Us From Fundamentally Unstable Monetary System / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2013
On Tuesday July 2, 2013 US central bank policy makers voted in favor of the US version of the global bank rules known as the Basel 3 accord. The cornerstone of the new rules is a requirement that banks maintain high quality capital, such as stock or retained earnings, equal to 7 percent of their loans and assets.
The bigger banks may be required to hold more than 9 percent. The Fed also drafted new “leverage ratio” rules to limit how much banks can borrow to fund their business.
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Sunday, July 14, 2013
Cyprus Deposits Theft Bang Moment Implications for All Bank Deposits / Politics / Credit Crisis 2013
Future shock is the shattering stress and disorientation that we induce in individuals by subjecting them to too much change in too short a time. – Alvin Toffler
What is it about humans that we fail to see a crisis in advance, yet when we look back, its likelihood or inevitability so often seems blindingly obvious? Rather than a flaw, our under-reliance on foresight as opposed to hindsight is perhaps a necessary evolutionary design feature that has allowed us to make rapid progress as a species (especially over the last few thousand years), but in a complex modern society it can really create quite the crisis for individuals. This week we resume our musings about Cyprus, to see what that tiny island can teach us about our own personal need to engage in ongoing critical analysis of our lives and investment portfolios. Cyprus is not Greece or France or Spain or Japan or the US or … (pick a country). I get that. No two situations are the same, but there may be a rhyme or two here that is instructive.
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Sunday, June 30, 2013
Bankster Bankruptcy Bail-Ins Are Retirement Accounts Next? / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2013
One of the biggest concerns of savvy investors since the ongoing crisis began in 2008 has been the safety and longevity of the various types of retirement accounts and systems. Throwing gasoline on the flames have been the decisions rendered by courts of ‘law’ regarding the treatment of customer money in the case of the bankruptcy of several brokerage firms, most notably, MFGlobal. The susceptibility of bank deposits has already been firmly established in prior issues of this column. To our alarm and dismay it appears, at least on the surface, as though few are doing anything to prepare for such an eventuality.
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Tuesday, June 25, 2013
Warning China’s “Lehman” Moment Could Cause Another 2008 Financial Crisis / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2013
The global Central Banks are in damage control mode.
The big story here is China, which is fast approaching its “Lehman” moment with interbank liquidity drying up rapidly and overnight rates are soaring.
As I’ve warned Private Wealth Advisory subscribers before, China’s shadow banking system equal to over $18 trillion (more than 200% of China’s GDP), so this could be the mother of all bubbles bursting.
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Sunday, June 23, 2013
Has the Great Financial Crisis Finally Arrived? / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2013
The technical damage from yesterday’s bloodbath was severe.
Spain, which lead the “Europe is saved” party from the lows last year has just taken out its trendline. So much for the “crisis is over” proclamations. We’re heading back down in a big way.
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