Category: Stock Markets 2014
The analysis published under this category are as follows.
Monday, June 02, 2014
Stocks Continue Long-Term Uptrend, Will It Accelerate Or Reverse? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Paul_Rejczak
Briefly: In our opinion speculative long positions are still favored (with stop-loss at 1,885, S&P 500 index).
Our intraday outlook is neutral, and our short-term outlook is bullish, following a breakout above consolidation:
Intraday (next 24 hours) outlook: neutral
Short-term (next 1-2 weeks) outlook: bullish
Medium-term (next 1-3 months) outlook: neutral
Long-term outlook (next year): bullish
Monday, June 02, 2014
Stock Market Approaching A Short-Term Top / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Andre_Gratian
Current Position of the Market
SPX: Very Long-term trend - The very-long-term cycles are in their down phases, and if they make their lows when expected, there will be another steep decline into late 2014. However, the Fed policy of keeping interest rates low has severely curtailed the full downward pressure potential of the 40-yr and 120-yr cycles.
Intermediate trend - Probably tracing out an ending diagonal pattern.
Analysis of the short-term trend is done on a daily basis with the help of hourly charts. It is an important adjunct to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which discusses the course of longer market trends.
Read full article... Read full article...
Sunday, June 01, 2014
Stock Market Grinding Higher.... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Jack_Steiman
The market continues its dance with higher prices while the bears sit on the sidelines wishing they could partake in the festivities. Just not meant to be even though they have reasons to expect better times, but more on that later. The market tried to sell today a bit, but the bulls refused to let things get out of hand. The Nasdaq 100 slightly under performed today but that's not bad since it has outperformed so much lately as the heavily beaten down stocks are finally getting a bid from severely oversold conditions. The reason for the under-performance today was the large reversal from Apple Inc. (AAPL) as it went from up near points to down a couple when all was said and done. I guess even AAPL has to take the occasional vacation from upside action.
Read full article... Read full article...
Sunday, June 01, 2014
Stock Market Sell in May? 7.5% Drop Possible / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Brad_Gudgeon
Last time, I was looking for an important low on June 3. I believe the normal cycle tops due earlier this month and again last Tuesday have extended. In the past, whenever this has occurred we have seen a more important drop ahead than 4-6%.
On the chart below, there are cycles and lines of resistance noted. Where we are right now is unusually similar to the May 22, 2013 top. The rising bottoms line connects the Mar ’09 and Oct ’11 bottoms and joins the blue descending line from the Jan ’14 top to the April ’14 bottom (marked in E-Wave as X), along with the rising green line.
Read full article... Read full article...
Saturday, May 31, 2014
How to Play This Flat Stock Market / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Investment_U
Alexander Green writes: More than a few investors are scratching their heads over the Dow's performance so far in 2014.
It stumbled out of the gate in January and February, then rallied from March through mid-April, then gave up the ghost in early May and has been bumping up and down ever since as investors swing back and forth from anxiety to complacency.
What's going on here, and how do you play it?
Saturday, May 31, 2014
Stock Market New All Time Highs / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Tony_Caldaro
For a four day trading week the market did fairly well. It opened at new all time highs on Tuesday. Then made higher highs, with small pullbacks along the way, every day this week. For the week the SPX/DOW were +0.95%, the NDX/NAZ were +1.50%, and the DJ World gained 0.75%. On the economic front reports continue to come in higher. On the uptick: durable goods, FHFA housing, consumer confidence/sentiment, pending home sales, personal income, the PCE, Chicago PMI, the WLEI, the monetary base, and weekly jobless claims improved. On the downtick: personal spending, Case-Shiller and Q1 GDP. Next week we get the ISM indices, monthly Payrolls and the FED’s Beige book.
Saturday, May 31, 2014
No Dozing: It’s Time to Profit From the Tech Stock Rebound / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Money_Morning
Michael A. Robinson writes: Back on Feb. 21, in the report “My ‘Sominex Strategy’ for Big Profits In This Rocky Market,” I explained why I was projecting an exceptionally volatile stretch for tech stocks.
And I even showed you the investment strategy to use to traverse it.
I did all this for one reason: I just knew that a strong tech rebound would follow. And the investors who stayed in the game would cash in big when that resurgence began.
Read full article... Read full article...
Saturday, May 31, 2014
Stock Market New High Blasts 'Sell in May and Go Away' Bears Expectations / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Nadeem_Walayat
Even before May began the mantra of 'Sell in May and Go Away' had built up into a crescendo by the blogosfear that always sees a trend, any trend be it bull or bear as always IMMINENTLY TERMINATING as was the case for the current stocks rally that began following the last significant correction's bottom at the end of February 2014 when the highly vocal view was that next great bear market had begun. Instead the stock market has climbed its way to a series of new all time highs the most recent of which was yesterdays close at Dow 16,717 and S&P 1923.
Thursday, May 29, 2014
How Not to Be Scared by the Stock Market / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Investment_U
Marc Lichtenfeld writes: I sat there in stunned silence.
We were having dinner with our friends, when the husband told us he doesn't invest. "I don't trust the markets," he said. He keeps all of his savings in cash.
This isn't some fool we're talking about. He's owns a successful small business that he's operated for years. We had talked about his business for about a half hour before his shocking comments. The man knows how to make money.
Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, May 29, 2014
Stock Market At New Highs – Investors Take Some Profits, Flat Correction Or Topping Pattern? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Paul_Rejczak
Briefly: In our opinion speculative long positions are still favored (with stop-loss at 1,885, S&P 500 index).
Our intraday outlook is still bullish, and our short-term outlook is now bullish, following a breakout above consolidation:
Intraday (next 24 hours) outlook: bullish
Short-term (next 1-2 weeks) outlook: bullish
Medium-term (next 1-3 months) outlook: neutral
Long-term outlook (next year): bullish
Thursday, May 29, 2014
Stock Market Hangs Tough....Sells A Drop.... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Jack_Steiman
You know how bull markets work. They get a bid and after getting very overbought the prevailing view is that it has to have a big pullback. The masses wait for it, but it doesn't come on their time. Of course, the pullback comes when the masses get involved. The market is overbought on the short-term charts to be sure, but they can stay that way when key sectors have taken out critical resistance, such as we have witnessed from the S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100. The S&P 500 took out important horizontal resistance when it closed above 1897, while the Nasdaq 100 took out key resistance when it cleared the 50-day exponential moving average. It has continued to run once cleared, thus, the market has a bid again whenever it tries to sell.
Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, May 28, 2014
Why FOMO Is Every Stock Investor’s Worst Enemy / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Casey_Research
By Dan Steinhart, Managing Editor, The Casey Report
FOMO.
I heard this acronym on a podcast last week. Having no clue what it meant, I consulted Google.
Turns out it stands for “Fear of Missing Out.” Kids use it to describe their anxiety about missing a social event that all of their friends are attending.
Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, May 27, 2014
Stock Market Seeking New Highs / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Andre_Gratian
Current Position of the Market
SPX: Very Long-term trend - The very-long-term cycles are in their down phases, and if they make their lows when expected (after this bull market is over), there will be another steep decline into late 2014. However, the Fed policy of keeping interest rates low has severely curtailed the full downward pressure potential of the 40-yr and 120-yr cycles.
Intermediate trend - Probably tracing out an ending diagonal pattern.
Read full article... Read full article...
Sunday, May 25, 2014
Stock Market Are You Ready? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: WavePatternTraders
SPX
In my last article I wrote that we were looking for more upside, the SPY and ES are the first markets to confirm the upside move we have been expecting, although the SPX has yet to confirm a new all time high, the DAX and DOW are likely to confirm the move that we have seen on the ES and SPY. Both the DAX and DOW have similar patterns to the SPX but they need a bit more upside, which I think will be seen this coming week.
Sunday, May 25, 2014
Stock Market Near All Time Highs / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Tony_Caldaro
The week started with a positive Monday, sold off on Tuesday, then ended within one point of the SPX 1902 all time high. The SPX/DOW were +0.95%, the NDX/NAZ were +2.40%, and the DJ World was +0.90%. On the economic front positive reports outpaced the negative 5 to 1. On the uptick: existing/new home sales, leading indicators, the WLEI and the M1-multipler. On the downtick: weekly jobless claims rose. Next week, holiday shortened by Monday’s Memorial Day, we get the second estimate for Q1 GDP, Personal income/spending and the Chicago PMI.
Saturday, May 24, 2014
Are Some Proven Stock Market Investment Strategies Too Simple To Accept? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Sy_Harding
As goes January so goes the year. Avoid the first two years of the Four-Year Presidential Cycle. Buy in the fall of the 2nd year of the presidential cycle and hold through to the end of the third year. Sell in May and re-enter in October.
Those are all strategies proven to out-perform the market over the long-term. Don’t take my word for it. But also don’t blame the messenger. I am only reporting what hundreds of exhaustive academic and independent studies have clearly shown since forever.
Read full article... Read full article...
Saturday, May 24, 2014
SPX Cycle Top - End of an Era? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
SPX is up against its Cycle Top resistance and appears to have completed its retracement. It may be time for a Dynamic Sell Signal. The current high of 1899.05 is still short of the May 13 high of 1902.17. The pattern does not support a further rally.
Friday, May 23, 2014
Stock Market 4-6% Pullback in S&P 500 Possible Soon / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Submissions
Brad Gudgeon writes: The stock market appears to be on the verge of a 4-6% pullback. All the cycles, wave analysis, technical analysis, sentiment and pattern analysis I analyze point to a quick downdraft over the coming days into early June.
As of this writing on Thursday, May 22, 2014, the S&P 500 appears to want to make a nominal new high above the old high of 1902. We could make that high on Friday and sell-off easily.
Thursday, May 22, 2014
Stock Market Sour Surprise / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Money_Morning
Shah Gilani writes: On Monday, I explained why, when you’re considering investment ideas, you should always keep the bond market in mind. That’s because stocks and bonds are inextricably interconnected.
They’re inextricably interconnected because interest rates matter.
When expected relationships between stocks and bonds (interest rates) diverge, therefore, it’s important to take notice, try to understand what is happening, and consider what the divergences could portend for both stocks and bonds.
Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, May 22, 2014
Stock Market Closer To All-Time High – Make Or Break Moment / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Paul_Rejczak
Briefly: In our opinion speculative long positions are still favored (with stop-loss at 1,850, S&P 500 index).
Our intraday outlook is still bullish, and our short-term outlook remains neutral:
Intraday (next 24 hours) outlook: bullish
Short-term (next 1-2 weeks) outlook: neutral
Medium-term (next 1-3 months) outlook: neutral
Long-term outlook (next year): bullish