Category: Stock Markets 2014
The analysis published under this category are as follows.
Sunday, November 16, 2014
Stock Market 2015 Parabolic Blow off Mania or Crash? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Submissions
François Lenôtre writes: Since June, some financial markets pundits have been vociferously calling for a market top or even a crash. We eventually witnessed a sharp but brief correction in October, which led to one of the most astonishing upside acceleration on record. We are now reaching new highs on a daily basis and, more than ever, we hear words of caution about an impending market catastrophe.
Sunday, November 16, 2014
Stocks Bull Market Grinds Bears into Dust, Is Santa Rally Sustainable? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Nadeem_Walayat
The stock market continues its relentless drive higher as the Dow set a series of new highs virtually every other day, ending the week at 17,634, now up more than 11% from the market low of barely four weeks ago as another supposed new stocks bear market has effectively been ground into dust as illustrated by the following chart.
Saturday, November 15, 2014
Stock Market Inflection Point / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Tony_Caldaro
A quiet week as the market remains in drift higher mode. Monday and Tuesday we saw marginal new highs, a pullback Wednesday, then new highs again on Thursday. For the week the SPX/DOW were +0.4%, the NDX/NAZ were +1.4%, and the DJ World index rose 0.5%. Economic reports for the week were biased to the downside. On the uptick: business/wholesale inventories, consumer sentiment and retail sales. On the downtick: export/import prices, long term investor sentiment, the monetary base, the WLEI, plus weekly jobless claims and the budget deficit were higher. Next week we get the FOMC minutes, Capacity utilization, the CPI/PPI and housing.
Saturday, November 15, 2014
Stock Market Indices Sitting On Top of the World / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Jesse
"It may seem strange that any men should dare to ask a just God's assistance in wringing their bread from the sweat of other men's faces, but let us judge not, that we be not judged. The prayers of both could not be answered. That of neither has been answered fully. The Almighty has His own purposes. 'Woe unto the world because of offenses; for it must needs be that offenses come, but woe to that man by whom the offense cometh.'"
Abraham Lincoln
The stock market has reached nosebleed heights.
Read full article... Read full article...
Saturday, November 15, 2014
Government Banks on Stocks / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: EWI
The following article was adapted with permission from the November 2014 issue of The Elliott Wave Financial Forecast, a publication from Elliott Wave International, the world's largest market forecasting firm. Follow this link for the complete article.
Here's a key principle concerning the role of government in bull and bear markets, as outlined in The Elliott Wave Theorist in 1991:
Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, November 14, 2014
Stock Market S&P Megaphone Top, Huge Volume Bullish Reversal in Junior Gold Miners? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Jeb_Handwerger
In a recent landslide election, Republicans took back control of the Senate and House. President Obama’s approval rating is very low. Although there a few making money in the stock market, the majority of the American people are fed up with close to 100 million people not working. Welfare and entitlement spending is out of control. The debt is still soaring close to $20 trillion and the dollar is rising making it even harder for politicians and banks to avoid default.Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, November 14, 2014
The Case for Stock Market 2014 Year-End Rally / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Money_Morning
Shah Gilani writes: U.S. stocks have been making new highs in recent days. And I believe we’re looking at strong odds for a market rally that lasts to the end of the year.
There are lots of reasons why stocks are headed higher, but one in particular is both surprising and telling.
It’s also a difference maker.
Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, November 14, 2014
Stock Market Year End Rally / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Puru_Saxena
Although the Federal Reserve has now ended its quantitative easing (QE) program, the stock market has taken this in its stride and all eyes are now on the Fed Funds Rate, which will not be increased anytime soon. Make no mistake, the Federal Reserve has repeatedly stated that it will pursue an accommodative monetary policy for the foreseeable future and this suggests that the ongoing party on Wall Street will continue for as far as the eye can see. For sure, the primary uptrend will be punctuated by periodic pullbacks to the key moving averages, but the bull market will probably continue for at least another 2-3 years.
Thursday, November 13, 2014
Stocks and the Unfolding Economic Crisis in Europe / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Christopher_Quigley
Since October 24th Der Spiegel the German newspaper has been running a fascinating series of essays on the unfolding economic crisis in Europe. The scope and detail of the series has caused a bit of an online stir in that this bastion of German mainstream journalism painted a very negative view of the future and accordingly many are wondering whether the German elite are finally beginning to question the sustainability of the current monetary paradigm. To get a sense of the tone of these articles here a few excerpts:
Thursday, November 13, 2014
Stock Market Indices Reaching Cycle Tops / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
I just wanted to relay to you that SPX had reached its daily Cycle Top resistance at 2044.34 this morning. Generally, only wave threes (of any degree) may exceed the Cycle Top on any consistent basis. So we may expect to see SPX make several attempts at the Cycle Top, but it should not close above it.
What is helpful here is that the upper trendline of the Orthodox Broadening Top is at the same level, if not a few points above it. That should be the secondary stopper of this rally.
Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, November 13, 2014
Stock Market Uncertainty Following Recent Up Move - Will Rally Extend Even Further? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Paul_Rejczak
Briefly: In our opinion, speculative short positions are favored (with stop-loss at 2,085 and profit target at 1,950, S&P 500 index).
Our intraday outlook is bearish, and our short-term outlook is bearish:
Intraday (next 24 hours) outlook: bearish
Short-term (next 1-2 weeks) outlook: bearish
Medium-term (next 1-3 months) outlook: neutral
Long-term outlook (next year): bullish
Thursday, November 13, 2014
Stock Market Same Old... Bulls Still In Control... So Is Yellen... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Jack_Steiman
When a market is topping out at least temporarily you want to see certain things occur technically to verify the bears are gaining back control. The number one thing you always want to see is a gap down, and a decent one at that. Well, that's what we got early this morning, blamed mostly to Fed Plosser, the great hawk, who said we need to start raising rates. He always says it, but with the market overbought, it was an excuse to get those futures lower. The question that arises once the gap down has occurred is will the gap down hold meaning if it sells off after the gap down and closes near or on the lows. Volume needs to pick up and the gap down needs to remain open. No filling it and then collapsing. Leave a strong, nasty technical headache for the bulls to have to overcome.
Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, November 12, 2014
Aggressive Stock Market Sell Signal Given / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
I have been used to the NYSE Hi-lo index offering end-of-day results in the past. Only recently I noticed a change to intra-day information. Based on that, I converted the data to hourly and boy, was I surprised!
This chart clearly shows an unmistakable distribution pattern. This shows massive institutional selling in the after-hours followed by yen-carry ramps just prior to the open that is picked up by the algos and short-covering to boost the NYSE Hi-Lo index higher during daytime hours. The pattern began to weaken on November 3, leaving the top in the Hi-Lo index on October 31. Today we saw the Hi-Lo index open beneath the 50-day Moving Average and Intermediate-term support at 32.18.
Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, November 12, 2014
Stock Market New Panic Cycle Begins / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
SPX is down 8 points in the Premarket at the present time.
Bloomberg attributes the “pullback” to concerns about the European economy weighing down the U.S.
ZeroHedge claims that the drop in U.S. futures came from mixed signals from the powers-that-be in Japan.
Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, November 12, 2014
Why the U.S. Congressional Elections Won't Change Anything / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Clif_Droke
The recent mid-term elections gave Republicans control of both the House and the Senate. Many economists and investment strategists are cheering the Republican takeover since they believe it will mean positive changes ahead for the U.S. economy. If history teaches us any lesson, however, they are likely to be disappointed.
Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, November 11, 2014
Stock Market Is Overvalued By 100%, Financial Repression Revisited / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Mike_Shedlock
Guest Post from Peak Prosperity
In an exclusive interview of John Hussman by Peak Prosperity's Chris Martenson, Hussman says Stock Market Is Overvalued By 100%.
Chris Martenson: John Hussman is highly respected for his prodigious use of data and adherence to what it tells him about the state of the financial markets. His regular weekly market commentary is widely regarded as one of the best-researched, best-articulated publications available to money managers.
Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, November 11, 2014
Same Old... Stocks Bulls Still In Control... So Is Yellen... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Jack_Steiman
So where is that top that's so talked about? The excuses are everywhere, but the bottom line isn't about excuses, it's about results and real price. Not wished for price, but real price. Real price is still up trending overall with lots of little pullbacks that get bought up very quickly. Yes, at some point, this will all end badly for the longs, but the gains we've made are adding up so we'll deal with the losing plays if, and when, they occur because you should keep some scratch in the game. That means you basically have to get caught, at some point, or you simply wouldn't be taking advantage of the trend in place, which we have. No human being can catch the exact top and get out without having a few losing long plays unless you're other worldly. I'm not. So we know it's coming, but we just don't know when it's coming. It should be here based on many obstacles that are out there. Take those weekly negative divergences or those overbought monthly charts not to mention a ridiculous spread on froth.
Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, November 10, 2014
Stocks Extend Short-Term Consolidation - Which Direction Is Next? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Paul_Rejczak
Briefly: In our opinion, no speculative positions are justified.
Our intraday outlook is neutral, and our short-term outlook is neutral:
Intraday (next 24 hours) outlook: neutral
Short-term (next 1-2 weeks) outlook: neutral
Medium-term (next 1-3 months) outlook: neutral
Long-term outlook (next year): bullish
Monday, November 10, 2014
Stock Market Minor Correction Expected / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Andre_Gratian
Current Position of the Market
SPX: Long-term trend - Bull Market
Intermediate trend - Intermediate structure unclear
Analysis of the short-term trend is done on a daily basis with the help of hourly charts. It is an important adjunct to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which discusses the course of longer market trends.
Read full article... Read full article...
Sunday, November 09, 2014
Stocks Bear Market Catastrophe as Stocks Flash Crash to New All Time Highs / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Nadeem_Walayat
The stock market has once more confounded all expectations by resolving to NEW ALL TIME HIGHS, this at a time when most market commentators had convinced themselves for much of October that the Top was in and that a new bear market had begun that in fact many proclaimed was on the verge of a crash given the accelerating rate of decent, and October was not extraordinary for such has been the case for the WHOLE of 2014! for EVERY MONTH of this year was meant to mark and END to the stocks bull market! Where the greater the deviation from its high the more vocal the doom calls became.