Category: Financial Markets 2014
The analysis published under this category are as follows.
Sunday, January 04, 2015
Most Popular Financial Markets Analysis of 2014 - Stocks Bull Market Raged On! / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2014
By: Nadeem_Walayat
The stocks bull market raged on for another year to close at Dow 17,823 near the markets all time high set just a few days earlier at 18,103, this despite widespread calls of bear markets and even crashes that coalesced around a series of bad news events such as surrounding the US debt ceiling triggering a government shutdown and not forgetting Octobers end of QE apocalypse, with such doom calls always reaching their most vocal just at the end of every correction.
Friday, December 19, 2014
U.S. Economy is in a Sweet Spot! / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2014
By: Puru_Saxena
BIG PICTURE - The world's prominent central banks are pursuing an accommodative monetary policy and this bodes well for the stock market. Remember, when it comes to investing, monetary policy trumps everything else and the risk free rate of return determines the value of every asset. When interest rates are low and credit is cheap and plentiful, asset prices tend to inflate. Conversely, when interest rates are high and credit is tight, asset prices tend to deflate.
Tuesday, December 16, 2014
Wall Street’s Big Boys Bulldoze Through the Spending Bill They Want / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2014
By: Money_Morning
Shah Gilani writes: We’ve got a spending bill, folks!
The government of the United States will remain open for business thanks to the usual suspects in Congress being open to being bought.
Sometimes it only takes a few phone calls from a deep-pocketed giant bank CEO to remind legislators who butters their bread.
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Sunday, December 14, 2014
Money Managers - If They Only Knew How Little You Know / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2014
By: John_Rubino
Pretend, for a minute, that you’re a money manager in today’s manipulated world. You understand that most of what’s happening is the result of governments and central banks forcing down interest rates and pumping up asset prices. You don’t trust this process but since “the markets are recovering” you’ve felt compelled to play along, putting your clients into a standard mix of stocks, bonds and cash.
Friday, December 12, 2014
Mastering the Art of Financial Backtalk / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2014
By: Dennis_Miller
Alan Greenspan has popped back into the limelight and confirmed some of my worst fears (not that they needed much confirming). Here’s a recap of statements Greenspan made at the New Orleans Investment Conference:
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Thursday, December 11, 2014
When the Market Moves Fast, Stuff Blows Up / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2014
By: John_Mauldin
One of my old rules of trading is that whenever a major asset class, index, or other benchmark has a sudden, rapid move in price, something blows up. Sky high.
That’s because people get used to regimes. They get used to a certain state of affairs with a lack of volatility. They become complacent. Maybe they stop hedging. Maybe they allow themselves to have unbounded downside risk. Maybe they start gambling.
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Wednesday, December 10, 2014
US Dollar and SP 500 Rally Fizzling Out? Gold Breaks Five Month Downtrend / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2014
By: Jeb_Handwerger
In a recent article I wrote, "Gold and silver could gap higher by the end of 2014 and the top notch juniors could skyrocket." I expected a breakout at $1205. It appears gold may be breaking that downtrend today.
Monday, December 08, 2014
Crude Oil Panic Knock-on Effects / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2014
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
Crude just broke below its prior low at 63.72, hitting 63.47 as I write this memo. It appears that it will decline to its Wave [iii] target of 58.45 in the next 24 hours, creating another 10% down day panic.
Monday, December 08, 2014
The 3 Grinch that stole Xmas. Why were they flying upside down? / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2014
By: Submissions
Nicholas Migliaccio writes: I think it was the pilot from Colorado brought in his kit. No it was really not marijuana related
t was an auroral storm of the century, trashed their instruments, in the middle of a 12 hour white out left them flying blind, and upside down, the wrong way into the West Flank of Mt.Elbert, where no one knew to look for them. Their instruments must have been trashed by the storm as the black box showed them impacting the mountain, upside down, at 550 knots. There was not much in the way of big pieces left.
Sunday, December 07, 2014
Financial World - The Most Elementary Question Must Not Be Asked / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2014
By: Raul_I_Meijer
We’re in dire need of fresh blood and smart new ideas to clean up the mess the present ideologies and their puppets and puppetmasters have created. The present crew has made a neverending series of ‘mistakes’, intentional or not, and they are dead set on making more, if only because they refuse to change the tack that led to all these ‘mistakes’.
I say mistakes because that’s what they are from the point of view of all those who live in the real economy, not because I think the puppetmasters are mistaken from their own point of view. After all, all they do, literally all they do, is take care of their own interests. Where they will find themselves mistaken is down the line, when there is no longer a functioning real economy, and they will of necessity end up going down with it.
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Thursday, December 04, 2014
What's Next for the U.S. Dollar and Gold? / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2014
By: Axel_Merk
Who would have predicted oil prices in the sixty-dollar range a year ago? Something is not right about these markets. Our take: don't get burned when markets add fuel to the fire. Here's what to watch out for as we head into 2015; ignore at your own peril.
Tuesday, December 02, 2014
Reversal in TNX as USD Breaks Out / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2014
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
Good Morning!
TNX is racing to challenge Short-term resistance at 22.83 this morning. I had not reported on TNX yesterday, since it had only made three waves from its low and closed at hourly Cycle Bottom resistance at 22.15. This morning the reversal is clear and the Cycles Model verifies it. It also suggests that the rally may continue through mid-December, once a pullback to the Cycle Bottom is made. Those who are long treasuries may find a more comfortable exit there, while those wishing to short treasuries may find a better entry point at the Cycle Bottom.
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Monday, December 01, 2014
US Dollar Goes Parabolic Vs. Russian Ruble and Japanese Yen / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2014
By: Jeb_Handwerger
Despite the junior resource sector being near a major bottom and going through a bear market of epic proportions, I still believe that this may be one of the best times to add to quality positions. Nothing perfects one's craft in the financial markets like a bear market. In a bear market one has to refine their skills in stock picking. The emergence of a new bull market is usually the most propitious time for outsized gains.
Monday, December 01, 2014
SPX Gaps Down, Crude Oil Price Continues to Slide / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2014
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
Good Morning!
As indicated on Friday, the SPX Premarket has declined beneath both the lower trendline of its Ending Diagonal formation and the upper trendline of the Orthodox Broadening Top. It appears to have bounced off Short-term support at 2052.12 and remains between its new support and resistance lines.
ZeroHedge reports, “Another day full of global macroeconomic disappointments is certain to send the S&P500 to all time-higherest records as 100,000 or so E-mini contracts exchange hands between central banks and Citadel's algos.
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Monday, December 01, 2014
The World Has Become Obdurate, Central Bankers Hell Bent on Creating Inflation / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2014
By: Michael_Pento
There is a perfect word that describes the current condition of governments and consumers around the world today. The word is obdurate, and it means to be stubbornly persistent in wrongdoing.
The word comes to mind when witnessing the renewed enthusiasm of central banks to re-inflate old asset bubbles and to endlessly debase their currencies with the misguided belief that inflation will engender sustainable economic growth. In the case of the Fed, it has so far to date made at least three QE efforts and six years of ZIRP to achieve this goal. But what it has actually achieved is to create asset bubbles and render the nation insolvent. Governments have failed to grow economies in any viable manner. But today's central bankers have become the very embodiment of the word obdurate, as they stubbornly persist in the effort to pursue inflation as a panacea, despite all available evidence that it will fail to achieve their desired results.
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Thursday, November 27, 2014
Harry Dent's Simple Strategy for Surviving Withdrawals from Markets on Crack / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2014
By: The_Gold_Report
An aging world is a deflationary one, according to "The Demographic Cliff" author Harry Dent. In this interview with The Gold Report, he predicts a major, painful crash in the next two years based on population statistics and historic patterns. He has some positive short-term predictions for gold, and investment suggestions for how to be one of the ones still standing after the dust settles.
The Gold Report: Your book, "The Demographic Cliff: How to Survive and Prosper During the Great Deflation of 2014–2019," predicted a great deflation based on demographic trends. Were you surprised by the strong stock market over the last year?
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Tuesday, November 18, 2014
An Epiphany From Hell - Buy Gold and Silver / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2014
By: Richard_Daughty
Proving that I never have an original thought, I recently received an epiphany from Alan Greenspan, evil erstwhile chairman of the Federal Reserve who is directly responsible for the fatal mess we are in. He was recently casually “explaining” how it was absolutely necessary for him to destroy the United States by creating so much excess cash and credit that it created horrendously huge bubbles in stocks, bubbles in bonds, bubbles in business and personal debt, bubbles in size of governments and their growing legions of dependents, and an expensive housing/real estate market, all adding up to an incomprehensibly gigantic Huge Freaking Boatload (HFB) of debt, all made possible by the evil Federal Reserve, and all priced to yield at negative real (inflation-adjusted) rates!
Wednesday, November 12, 2014
Interest rates, oil prices, earnings, GDP, wars, peace, terrorism, inflation, monetary policy, etc. / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2014
By: EWI
Don't Get Ruined by These 10 Popular Investment Myths (Part IX)
Interest rates, oil prices, earnings, GDP, wars, peace, terrorism, inflation, monetary policy, etc. -- NONE have a reliable effect on the stock market
You may remember that after the 2008-2009 crash, many called into question traditional economic models. Why did they fail?
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Monday, November 10, 2014
Why Gold, Hard Money Types Are Wrong / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2014
By: Investment_U
Alexander Green writes: Listen to the typical perma-bear - if you must - and you'll find that they are generally wrong five ways at once.
They are wrong on the economy, wrong on the dollar, wrong on inflation, wrong on the stock market and wrong on gold.
Elmer Fudd had a better track record.
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Sunday, November 09, 2014
US Dollar mid-term top makes Precious Metal and Energy Stocks a Buy / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2014
By: David_Petch
I decided to do an important update of the US Dollar Index, because Friday’s rise in Gold and gold stocks alongside oil indicated a likely top. I have been extremely bearish on energy and precious metal stocks the past few months because of the upside strength potential in the US Dollar. I still am bullish on the US Dollar, but as this analysis will indicate, a top has been put in place that should see a correction minimally last until early to mid-March 2015.