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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Economics

Tuesday, September 19, 2017

The Fed’s 2% Inflation Target Is Pointless / Economics / Inflation

By: Kelsey_Williams

Within the Federal Reserve sometime in 1996, a discussion took place among FOMC (Federal Open Market Committee) members regarding the subject of inflation targeting. Federal Reserve District Governor (San Francisco) Janet Yellen believed that a little inflation “greases the wheels” of the labor market. Her preferred “target” was 2%. She asked Chairman (at the time) Alan Greenspan his preference. 

The Chairman replied.  “I would say the number is zero, if inflation is properly measured.”

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Politics

Tuesday, September 19, 2017

How To Resolve the Korean Conundrum  / Politics / North Korea

By: Dan_Steinbock

As the US policy has failed in the Korean Peninsula, dark scenarios cast a shadow over the region – but could also pave way for peace.

Recently, U.S. UN Ambassador Nikki Haley called for “the strongest sanctions” to pressure North Korea into giving up its nuclear arsenal “before it's too late.”
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Politics

Tuesday, September 19, 2017

A World Doomed to a Never Ending War / Politics / War on Terror

By: BATR

Are you disappointed with Donald Trump's bellicose continuing with the deployment in Afghanistan? Well, if you are not; you should be. Predicting a non-ideological President, who prides himself on making pragmatic decisions, raises prognostication to a new level of mystical proportions. Instilling hope during an election campaign seldom translates into dynamic action on every pledge made. Defending Trump no matter how many times he walks back on a promise is not the standard to judge his administration. Call him a turnaround artist if you wish, but the reality of the power elite inside the military, intelligence agencies and the state department is showing just how far they are willing to go to maintain their force of destructive rule.

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InvestorEducation

Tuesday, September 19, 2017

What is Backtesting? And Why You Need Backtesting System? / InvestorEducation / Forex Trading

By: Kavinesh_A

If you be familiar with Currency trading backtesting or always considered how to do it, then this information is for you. Just like everything in dealing, and in life, there is no one-size-fits-all. Backtesting will not work for every investor or every dealing plan. It is considered the specified information to backtesting Currency dealing techniques, to help get you began. This information is the effect of my personal expertise with backtesting and speaking with a multitude of expert Currency trading investors over the years. it can help you begin and see the value in the procedure. Even more important perhaps, It is also wished that it is something that carries on to help you take your dealing activity to new stages, even when you have become continually effective.
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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, September 19, 2017

What Does "Desperate Complacency" Look Like? See For Yourself... / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2017

By: EWI

What Does "Desperate Complacency" Look Like? See For Yourself...

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Politics

Monday, September 18, 2017

The Sum of Risks – Global, Strategic, Political, and Financial / Politics / GeoPolitics

By: Raymond_Matison

Never before, not since the founding of America even including our Civil War of the 1860’s, not in the history of the entire world has a confluence of risks risen and coalesced to the degree that makes the next few years the most dangerous on this planet since monkeys evolved to walking upright. Immense risks are prevalent in America, Europe, Middle East, and Asia – essentially covering most of our globe. 

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Stock-Markets

Monday, September 18, 2017

Elliott Wave Analysis of COMPQ (Nasdaq Composite) / Stock-Markets / Tech Stocks

By: WavePatternTraders

The relentless trend from the Feb 2016 could be close to a pause on some tech markets. Particularly the NDX and COMPQ. Both markets can suggest the trend is close to ending either wave [3] or wave [5] from the Feb 2016 lows. Personally I think the better idea is to suggest it’s close to ending wave [3]. Although I can see the merits of the other idea when I look at a weekly chart, it can clearly be counted as a 9 swing move from the Feb 2016 lows.

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Stock-Markets

Monday, September 18, 2017

These Two Articles Debunk The Biggest Financial Nonsense I See In The Media / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2017

By: John_Mauldin

For this week’s Outside the Box (subscribe here for free), we have a two-parter of short essays. They are unrelated but equally important. First, in “Time to Drain the Fed Swamp,” Brian Wesbury and colleagues at First Trust make the case that it was the private sector, not the federal government or the Fed, that saved the economy after the panic of 2008.

The Fed has outgrown its britches, they argue, and it’s time to fill the Board of Governors chair and vice-chair positions with people who will hold the Fed to account for its mistakes. They conclude with this trenchant line:

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Commodities

Monday, September 18, 2017

Most Investors Won’t Be Buying Gold & Silver until AFTER Big Gains Occur / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017

By: MoneyMetals

Physical demand for bullion rounds, coins, and bars remains somewhat soft in the U.S. This year’s run higher in prices as well as rising geopolitical tensions has whet the appetites of some investors, but it has not yet triggered broad participation.

With strong gains both this year and last, metals prices have been responding to a host of issues – from unrestrained federal borrowing to the prospect of nuclear exchange. But they haven’t moved up as much as many expect.

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Currencies

Monday, September 18, 2017

Bitcoin Price Crash 40% In 3 Days Underlining Gold’s Safe Haven Credentials / Currencies / Bitcoin

By: GoldCore

– Bitcoin price action shows cryptos vulnerable to commentary and government policies
– Bitcoin falls to low of $2,980, down by $1,000 in week as China flexes muscles
– Volatility major issue: In 3 days btc fell 40% before bouncing 25% off lows
– BIS state risks of cryptos cannot yet be fully assessed and says technology still unproven
– Apple and Google developing a payment API for cryptos – may give governments full oversight
– Bitcoin and cryptos current volatility and exposure to governments underlines gold’s safe haven status

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Commodities

Monday, September 18, 2017

Gold Price is Facing Trend Line Support / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017

By: GoldCore

XAUUSD stays below a bearish trend line on its 4-hour chart and remains in the short term downtrend from 1357.45. As long as the price is below the trend line, the downside movement could be expected to continue.

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Companies

Monday, September 18, 2017

The Netflix Of Canada’s Cannabis Boom / Companies / Cannabis

By: OilPrice_Com

...

 


Stock-Markets

Monday, September 18, 2017

Stock Market Sentiment Speaks: Either You Learn From The Events Of The Past Week, Or You Are Hopeless / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017

By: Avi_Gilburt

Back in mid-July, we called for the market to top within 3 weeks between 2487-2500. And, 3 weeks later, the market topped at 2490SPX within one day of the topping date we expected. And, since we struck that high, the market has followed through in an almost textbook fashion for the entire month of August, as we caught just about every twist and turn during the month.

Coming into the last week of August, we were expecting the market to drop down to support within the 2425-2430SPX region, and then rally back towards the 2465-2475 region, before it set up to drop back down to the 2400SPX region. As we now know, dropped hard and bottomed early that week at 2428SPX, and then rallied back to 2480SPX. When the market topped out at 2480 on September 1st, our expectation was that we would see a drop down to the 2400SPX region next.

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Stock-Markets

Monday, September 18, 2017

SPX 2500 … At Last! / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017

By: Andre_Gratian

Current Position of the Market

SPX Long-term trend:  The uptrend has pushed a little higher, near-term.

SPX Intermediate trend:  By rising past 2491 the start of the (inevitable) intermediate correction has been delayed. .

Analysis of the short-term trend is done on a daily-basis with the help of hourly charts. It is an important adjunct to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which discuss longer market trends.

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Economics

Monday, September 18, 2017

Inflation Lies, Lies and OMG More Lies / Economics / Inflation

By: James_Quinn

“There are three types of lies — lies, damn lies, and statistics.” – Benjamin Disraeli

Every month the government apparatchiks at the Bureau of Lies and Scams (BLS) dutifully announces inflation is still running below 2%. Janet Yellen then gives a speech where she notes her concern inflation is too low and she needs to keep interest rates near zero to save humanity from the scourge of too low inflation. I don’t know how I could survive without 2% inflation reducing my purchasing power.

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Currencies

Monday, September 18, 2017

How to Choose right Forex Trader? / Currencies / Forex Trading

By: Kavinesh_A

Market makes up more than $4 billion in average exchanged value every day, making it the world's biggest economical market. Since there is no central sell for forex dealing, traders must select a fx agent to help them conduct their dealing activity. There are a large and growing number of fx agents, deciding on the right one requires very carefully searching through a massive number of journal and internet ads. In this article, we'll look at when selecting a fx agent in today's aggressive forex dealing industry at Admiral Markets Deutschland.

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Stock-Markets

Sunday, September 17, 2017

Believe Your Own Eyes: Central Banks FOLLOW the Market - Video / Stock-Markets / Central Banks

By: EWI

Believe Your Own Eyes: Central Banks FOLLOW the Market

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Politics

Sunday, September 17, 2017

Who Has Shaped the World the Most? The Dozen Greatest Achievers / Politics / Education

By: Stephen_Merrill

As tough Teddy Roosevelt famously said more than hundred years ago:

“It is not the critic who counts; …. The credit belongs to the man who is actually in the arena, …. who does actually strive to do the deeds …. who .... best knows, in the end, the triumph of high achievement ....”

Who have been the top movers and shakers prevailing in the global arena?

It is a lasting result that counts the most in achieving things in broad social terms. Never great style only, ala JFK. Seldom genius alone, at least in things social.

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Commodities

Sunday, September 17, 2017

Australian Dollar vs Japanese Yen Signalling Commodity Inflation / Commodities / CRB Index

By: Submissions

The $AUD Australian Dollar continues to strengthen against the $JPY, Japanese Yen. All the commodity currencies are strong against the $USD also. Below is a weekly chart of $AUDJPY showing a break of the downtrend, a backtest and now price moving higher. We had a yearly cycle low last June, so the next yearly cycle low is not due until mid 2018, so there is plenty of TIME for the $AUDJPY to continue to strengthen.

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Stock-Markets

Sunday, September 17, 2017

Riding the ‘Slide’: Is This What the Next Stocks Bear Market Looks Like? / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market

By: F_F_Wiley

Even as the Fed’s decision makers are beginning to worry less about recession and more about bubbly stock prices, we’re not yet moved by their attempts to curb the market’s enthusiasm. After all, the fed funds rate sits barely above 1%, which not too long ago qualified as a five-decade low. And other indicators, besides interest rates, aren’t exactly predicting the next bear, either. Inflation is subdued, credit spreads are tight, banks are mostly lending freely and the economy is growing, albeit slowly. It just doesn’t feel as though we’re close to a major market peak.

All that being said, we’re not so much about feelings as we are about delving into history (nerds that we are) and seeing if there’s anything we can learn. Let’s look at the last 90 years to see if any bear markets began under similar conditions to those today.

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