Thursday, August 24, 2017
The Next Oil Price Spike May Cripple The Industry / Commodities / Crude Oil
By: OilPrice_Com
Two diametrically opposed views dominate the current debate about where the oil price is heading. On the one hand, there is the view that the price of oil will be "lower for longer", or even "lower forever", as the electrification of transport will eat away at oil demand more and more while, at the same time, technological innovation (shale in particular) will greatly increase economically recoverable resources. On the other hand, however, there is the view that the price of oil is set to explode, primarily due to underinvestment in the upkeep of brownfields, development of greenfields, and exploration for new resources.
Thursday, August 24, 2017
USDCHF Is Waiting For Breakout / Currencies / Forex Trading
By: Franco_Shao
USDCHF moved sideways in a trading range between 0.9583 and 0.9772 on the 4-hour chart for several weeks. All we can do is wait for the breakout to occur.
Thursday, August 24, 2017
Conspiracy Theorists Can Relax! Steve Mnuchin Peers Through Ft. Knox Window And Confirms Gold Is Still There! / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017
By: Jeff_Berwick
Imagine it was 1937 and you stored your gold with someone… let’s call them Uncle Sam.
After about 20 years you told Sam that you’d like to see the gold and make sure it was still there. He said sure; you can come and take a quick look. And you did… and you were satisfied that it looked like the gold was still there.
Decades then went by… more than 40 years in fact… and you told Sam that you’d like to make sure the gold is still there.
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Thursday, August 24, 2017
Trump’s Fall - The Eclipse of the Presidency? / Politics / US Politics
By: Dan_Steinbock
As violent demonstrations linger domestically and nuclear risks loom abroad, the White House has flamed new domestic divisions, while paving the way for international trade wars. The coming fall will be the hottest - and potentially most violent - in decades in America. America is amid a great unease. While Charlottesville’s white supremacists and violent riots brought forward old race divisions and seemingly new hate groups, North Korea’s nuclear threats prevail.
In the fall, the White House and the Congress must also cope with a set of political time bombs, including the impending fight for the nation’s debt ceiling (US debt amounts to $20 trillion, or 105% of GDP), the 2018 federal budget, polarizing tax reforms, infrastructure spending and possibly another effort to overthrow Obamacare (i.e., The Patient Protection and Affordable Care Act, ACA).
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Thursday, August 24, 2017
Bridlington Harbour, Child Injured on Purla Speed Boat August 2017 / Politics / Holidays
By: N_Walayat
Everyone loves going to the sea side on a hot summers day. Just be careful if you pop down to Bridlington Harbour and decide to take a ride on the speed boats such as Purla, as our experience was that they cram too many people onto the boat i.e. 5 on the front row. Unfortunately this increases the risks of getting injured as was 12 year old Sami's experience.
The problem is that if your sat at to close to the ends of the front row then there is a good chance your going to get your face banged on the rim that curves round to the front, especially if your a child. Luckily it could have been worse. Also the staff just wanted us to move on because our bleeding son was apparently putting off other people from riding their speed boat, even shouting at us to move on!
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Thursday, August 24, 2017
The Dow Is Down But Not Yet Out / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
By: Submissions
Mike Golembesky writes: The Dow Jones Industrial Average has moved down close to 600 points off of the high that was struck on August 8th into August 21st lows. Now in percentage terms, this 600 point move is quite a small only representing a move of just 2.6%. In fact, at today’s close, the Dow was only down some 1.2% off of the August 8th high. Furthermore, the move down into the August 21st lows has still not even breached the top of the upper support zone.
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Thursday, August 24, 2017
China's Get the Gold Plan: Part II / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017
By: MoneyMetals
By David Smith : Money Metals readers may remember my November 2014 report in which I discussed how gold flowed into China in "tributary fashion" like small streams flowing into a giant one. In this case, the gold has been streaming into China's increasingly massive thousands-of-tons gold hoard.
In January, 2015, I penned an essay titled "China's Global Gold Supply "Game of Stones" outlining China's long-range goal to dominate the world's physical gold market.
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Thursday, August 24, 2017
Urgent: “Double Play” Energy Profit Scenario Is Now Rapidly Unfolding / Commodities / Lithium
By: WallStreetNation
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Thursday, August 24, 2017
GCSE Exam Results 2017, Silverdale School, Sheffield - Adnaan's Story / Politics / Education
By: N_Walayat
It's GCSE results day today, so 16 year olds across England and Wales will have been busy popping down to their secondary schools to find out if they managed to get their requisite GCSE grades for the courses they intend enrolling on for September start.
Overall minimum pass grades awarded of C/4 are marginally down on last year by 0.6% to 72%. Whilst a C is a pass, given the competition to get accepted on courses then the ultimate objectives are to achieve the A* and 9 grades for selected subjects. So if a student is choosing to enrol on 3 A-levels in September than objective would be to achieve 3 A*'s in those 3 chosen subjects as a sign of having the capability in achieving a similar grade at A level.
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Wednesday, August 23, 2017
These 2 Charts Reinforce My Belief That We’ll Face A Recession In 12–18 Months / Economics / Recession 2018
By: John_Mauldin
Stock valuations are the discounted values of future earnings. Future earnings depend on future revenue, which may diminish whenever the future includes a recession. So, broad economic conditions are a big factor to watch in stock valuation.
Broad economic conditions depend ultimately on the consumer’s ability and willingness to spend money. And July’s retail sales report gave us a peek at that.
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Wednesday, August 23, 2017
Global Financial Crisis 10 Years On: Gold Rises 100% from $650 to $1,300 / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017
By: GoldCore
– Gold up over 100% in major currencies since financial crisis
– Gold up 100% in dollars, 124% in euros and surged 200% in sterling
– Gold has outperformed equity, bonds and most assets
– Gold remains an important safe-haven in long term
Wednesday, August 23, 2017
GBPUSD Moved Below Major Trend Line / Currencies / British Pound
By: Franco_Shao
GBPUSD Broke below a major bullish trend line from 1.2109 to 1.2589 on its daily chart. Further decline would likely be ween over the next several days.
Wednesday, August 23, 2017
GBP/USD Extends Losses / Currencies / British Pound
By: Nadia_Simmons
Earlier today, the British pound extended losses against the greenback, which pushed GBP/USD to a fresh multi-month low. How low could the exchange rate go in the coming days?
Wednesday, August 23, 2017
British Pound Rallies Higher Against US Dollar / Currencies / British Pound
By: Richard_Cox
Currency markets are starting to shake the summer doldrums that are typically characterized by weak trading volumes and low price volatility, and one of the primary beneficiaries has been the British Pound (GBP). Markets are still being forced to deal with the potential implications that could unfold after the next round of Brexit negotiations but the broader global interest rate story still seems to be setting the tone for the currency relative to the US Dollar. When viewing the forex markets in terms of the GBP/USD, bullish trends look much more pronounced and investors are wondering about whether or not it is time to establish larger positions in the cable.
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Wednesday, August 23, 2017
Donald Trump Terrorist in Chief, “We Aren’t Nation-Building Again, We Are Killing Terrorists” / Politics / US Politics
By: Jeff_Berwick
Fear not, Donald Trump is just trying to rid the world of those pesky terrorists. But, wait a minute, if he’s using violence to annihilate the “terrorism” the US government created with the help of the CIA, Mossad, and Saudi Arabia, then who really are the terrorists?
That was a rhetorical question; we already know that all wars are a complete racket and that the major aim of all this violence is to continue to destabilize the middle eastern countries and continue to prop up the military industrial complex. Oh, and guard the poppy fields of course.
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Wednesday, August 23, 2017
Do Not Feed The Stock Market Bears - Until 2018 / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
By: Avi_Gilburt
Back on July 15th, the title to my weekend update to members of my market analysis service was “Market Will Likely Top Within The Next Three Weeks.” My initial target region for this top was between 2487-2500SPX. One of the factors I considered in my timing for this potential top was Luke Miller’s Bayesian Timing model, which was looking for a top to our wave (3) on August 9th. And, as we know, the market topped on August 8th at 2491SPX, and we seem to have begun the multi-month pullback/consolidation we have been expecting.
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Wednesday, August 23, 2017
USDJPY Recoil Rally On The Cards / Currencies / Japanese Yen
By: Enda_Glynn
My Bias: LONG
Wave Structure: rally in wave [C]
Long term wave count: wave [C] is underway, upside to above 136.00
Important risk events: JPY: N/A. USD: New Home Sales, Crude Oil Inventories.
Wednesday, August 23, 2017
Stock Market SPX at its 61.8% Fib Retracement / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
SPX exceeded its 50-day Moving Average, but is very close to its 61.8% Fibonacci retracement at 2453.08. This is yet another “sell the rally” opportunity.
Tomorrow appears to be our expected turn date, according to the Cycles Model.
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Wednesday, August 23, 2017
How Planned Fed Rate Increases Impact The National Debt & Deficits / Interest-Rates / US Debt
By: Dan_Amerman
The United States national debt is currently about $20 trillion, and the federal government is paying some of the lowest interest rates in history on that debt. The Federal Reserve has raised interest rates four times now, and is publicly considering another five increases, for a total increase of roughly 2.25%.
What will be the impact on the national debt and deficits if the interest payments on the debt jump upwards because of the actions of the Fed?
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Wednesday, August 23, 2017
Bitcoin Price Stalls / Currencies / Bitcoin
By: Mike_McAra
The fact that Bitcoin has recently hit an all-time high has already fueled wild speculation in the market and we are now seeing increased interest in the currency. The mainstream media are now full of articles on the meteoric rise of Bitcoin, Bitcoin Cash, Ethereum and the prospects of cryptocurrencies. In an article on Bloomberg, we read:
It seems like everyone is coming up with a price forecast these days, with some of the biggest banks including Goldman Sachs Group Inc. jumping into the action, while speculators to long-time investors are also making their bets.
The consensus is that the biggest cryptocurrency will face some resistance around $4,500 to $4,800 and correct, to then continue rallying. How high? Pantera Capital Management’s Paul Veradittakit, Tom Lee at Fundstrat Global Advisors and John Spallanzani at GFI Group Inc. see it going to $6,000 by year-end, while Ronnie Moas at Standpoint Research says it will keep rising to $7,500 in 2018.