Sunday, September 17, 2017
Riding the ‘Slide’: Is This What the Next Stocks Bear Market Looks Like? / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: F_F_Wiley
Even as the Fed’s decision makers are beginning to worry less about recession and more about bubbly stock prices, we’re not yet moved by their attempts to curb the market’s enthusiasm. After all, the fed funds rate sits barely above 1%, which not too long ago qualified as a five-decade low. And other indicators, besides interest rates, aren’t exactly predicting the next bear, either. Inflation is subdued, credit spreads are tight, banks are mostly lending freely and the economy is growing, albeit slowly. It just doesn’t feel as though we’re close to a major market peak.
All that being said, we’re not so much about feelings as we are about delving into history (nerds that we are) and seeing if there’s anything we can learn. Let’s look at the last 90 years to see if any bear markets began under similar conditions to those today.
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Sunday, September 17, 2017
Stocks and Gold; Macro Pivot Window Upon Us / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2017
By: Gary_Tanashian
On August 11 the potential and reasoning for anticipated pivots in the US stock market and the gold sector were noted in this article: Potential Pivots Upcoming for Stocks and Gold
As for the stock market, several reasons were put forward in support of a 2nd half of September through Q4 danger period, for a correction (no need yet to talk bear market because that would be pure promotion of an agenda). Please note that standard technical analysis was not among those reasons. The stock market was then and is now, in an uptrend across all important time frames.
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Sunday, September 17, 2017
Gold Up, Markets Fatigued As War Talk Boils Over / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017
By: The_Gold_Report
By Jan Skoyles:
- North Korea threatens to reduce the U.S. to ‘ashes and darkness’
- Markets becoming used to ongoing provocations from North Korea
- Russia and China continue to support watered down versions of sanctions on Kim’s regime
- Both NATO and Russia running war games on one another’s borders
- Putin says Russia will “give a suitable response” to NATOs threatening behaviour
- Gold set to climb as fears over economy and war will drive safe haven demand
Saturday, September 16, 2017
Gold And The Need To Explain Price Action / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017
By: Kelsey_Williams
People are obsessed with the price of gold. And the demand for answers to the question “Why?” continues to grow. Why did gold go up/down $20.00 today? Why?
All too eager to provide the answer, journalists respond as follows:
Quote: “A weak U.S. inflation print may be just what gold prices need to finally stay above $1,300.” …WSJ Aug 2016
Seriously? I thought higher gold prices were the result of inflation.
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Saturday, September 16, 2017
Predicting the Future of the U.S. and the World / Economics / Demographics
By: Harry_Dent
Predictability.People.
Those are the two keystones of my research and forecasting successes: cycles and demographics.
It can all be traced back to the day I was studying several charts that I’d laid out on my desk. I’d been looking at the Dow Jones Industrial Average adjusted for inflation when I glanced up and spotted the Baby Boomer’s birth wave.
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Saturday, September 16, 2017
Deceit in the Financial Food Chain / Stock-Markets / Market Regulation
By: Rodney_Johnson
I recently watched The Big Short, the 2015 movie recounting the housing crisis. I avoided the movie, and the book of the same name, for years. But I saw the title on Netflix and thought, “Now’s the time.”I didn’t sidestep it for lack of interest. Just the opposite. As a former bond trader I have a keen interest in the debt markets.
I followed the crisis’ every twist and turn, starting in the summer of 2007 when a quiet little corner of the bond market – municipal bond floating-rate note auctions – blew up. I found the steps leading to the crisis, and the events in the aftermath, appalling.
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Saturday, September 16, 2017
Gold GLD ETF Investment Resuming / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017
By: Zeal_LLC
Gold has surged dramatically to major breakouts since its usual summer-doldrums lows. That’s naturally rekindled interest in this leading alternative investment, despite the record-high stock markets. Investors are starting to return to gold again to prudently diversify their stock-heavy portfolios. That’s very bullish for gold, as investment capital inflows can persist for months or even years. This shift is most evident in GLD.
The American SPDR Gold Shares is the world’s leading and dominant gold exchange-traded fund. Since its birth way back in November 2004, it has acted as a conduit for the vast pools of stock-market capital to migrate into and out of physical gold bullion. The marginal gold investment demand, and sometimes supply, via GLD can be big and varies wildly. Thus GLD-share trading is often gold’s primary short-term driver.
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Saturday, September 16, 2017
Will Eurozone Growth Boost Gold Prices? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017
By: Arkadiusz_Sieron
The euro has appreciated about 13 percent against the U.S. dollar so far this year, as the chart below shows. Although it seemed ready to reach parity with the greenback or even to break up, the shared currency was the top-performing currency in the G10 in the first half of the year. Now, there is a hot debate about the future of the euro. As the EUR/USD exchange rate is one of the crucial drivers of gold prices (see the chart below), let’s analyze the outlook for the Eurozone and its currency.
Saturday, September 16, 2017
Bitcoin Drops After China Ban / Currencies / Bitcoin
By: Mike_McAra
Bitcoin is now present in mainstream media. On the Bloomberg Markets website, we read:
Bitcoin fell for a fifth day, the longest losing streak in more than a year, after one of China’s largest online exchanges said it would stop handling trades by the end of the month amid a government crackdown on cryptocurrencies.
BTC China will immediately stop accepting new account registrations on its BTCChina Exchange, Chief Executive Bobby Lee said Thursday in a tweet. The decision was made after “carefully considering” the Sept. 4 announcement by Chinese regulators that outlawed initial coin offerings, he said.
(…)
Friday, September 15, 2017
Here’s Why The Defense Stocks Sector Is The Best Trade Today / Companies / Sector Analysis
By: John_Mauldin
BY PATRICK WATSON : September is not unfolding as expected.
Just a few weeks ago, this month was supposed to bring an angry stand-off in Washington and possibly a government shutdown or debt default. Those could still happen, but President Trump’s deal with the Democrats pushed it back to December.
And then we have the threat of nuclear war.
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Friday, September 15, 2017
US Government’s Promised Entitlements Exceed the Budget Seven Times in Some States / Politics / US Debt
By: John_Mauldin
The US government balance sheet features $80 trillion to $200 trillion in unfunded liabilities. This amount stems from future entitlement program burdens that are, in effect, government promises.
No one is going to vote to reduce their entitlements. (Well, other than the very well-off, who don’t actually need those entitlements.)
Unfunded pension liabilities at the state and local have swollen to roughly $4–$6 trillion in the United States. And that may be understating the severity of the problem.
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Friday, September 15, 2017
EURGBP Broke Below Trend Line Support / Currencies / Euro
By: Franco_Shao
EURGBP recently broke below the bullish trend line at 0.9050 on its daily chart. The subsequent fall had taken price to as low as 0.8866, indicating that the upside movement from 0.8313 had completed at 0.9306 already.
Friday, September 15, 2017
Extreme Weather & Energy Markets: What's Next? - Video / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
By: EWI
Given the recent hurricanes and intense volatility across commodity markets, anticipating fluctuations in crude and natural gas has rarely been this challenging. In this new interview, Steve Craig, the editor of our Energy Pro Service, explains how he uses the Elliott Wave Principle to make sense of it all.
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Friday, September 15, 2017
Trump’s Path to IP Wars / Politics / Protectionism
By: Dan_Steinbock
As the White House is about to escalate trade friction in intellectual property, it has opted for a flawed, partisan approach. In mid-August, President Trump asked U.S. Trade Representative Robert Lighthizer, a veteran Reagan administration trade hawk, to open an investigation into China's intellectual property (IP) practices.
The first public hearing about Chinese trade conduct is scheduled for October 10 in Washington.
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Friday, September 15, 2017
GBP USD Approaches Fibonacci Target / Currencies / Forex Trading
By: Enda_Glynn
Good evening to you all.
Another day, another all time high in the DOW, and another step closer to the target zone.
The wave count is working well on this front,
And I am sure we will see a break above 22300's before long,
But what amazes' me everyday,
is the sheer lack of interest in questioning this now eight year long rally.
It is taken for granted like milk in the supermarket.
Friday, September 15, 2017
Higher US Interest Rates May Force Higher Inflation Rates / Economics / Inflation
By: Dan_Amerman
Summary:
1) Financial analysis of the three way relationship between interest rates, inflation and the U.S. national debt.
2) Higher interest rates causing higher interest payments on the $20 trillion national debt would ordinarily cause soaring deficits over time.
3) Detailed analysis of the "loophole", which is that if inflation even moderately increases - then interest rates can rise without exploding the real debt.
4) This simultaneous increase in interest rates and inflation would have a major impact on all markets, as well as long term retirement planning.
5) The logical response to rising interest rates may be to sharpen one's focus on how to better deal with higher rates of inflation over the long term.
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Friday, September 15, 2017
Stock Market Investors: Taking the Road "Less Traveled" Has Its Perks / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
By: EWI
Using the same market indicators everyone else uses can lead you to make the same mistakes everyone else makes. Here's a chart that proves the point -- you won't see this one elsewhere.
Friday, September 15, 2017
The 3 Best P2P Lending Platforms For Investors In 2017—Detailed Analysis / Companies / Investing 2017
By: John_Mauldin
BY STEPHEN MCBRIDE : Peer-to-peer lending (P2P) is a new method of debt financing that allows people to borrow and lend money without a financial institution. Harnessing technology and big data, P2P platforms connect borrowers to investors faster and cheaper than any bank.
P2P lending has grown rapidly in recent years and is a new source of fixed income for investors (download our new special report on investing in P2P loans for more). Compared to stock markets, P2P investments have less volatility and a low correlation. They also offer higher returns than conventional sources of yield.
With interest rates at all-time lows since 2008 and many historically “safe” investments like government bonds offering measly returns, investing in P2P loans in 2017 is a no-brainer.
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Friday, September 15, 2017
The US Debt Bubble Will Soon Warrant Serious Measures / Interest-Rates / US Debt
By: John_Mauldin
There is big debate over the exact amount of global debt.
Parts of it get hidden in many out-of-the-way pockets. But broadly speaking, global debt is about 325% of GDP, and likely over $225 trillion as I write.
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Friday, September 15, 2017
US Budget Deficit Swindling Futurity / Interest-Rates / US Debt
By: James_Quinn
“The principle of spending money to be paid by posterity, under the name of funding, is but swindling futurity on a large scale.” ― Thomas Jefferson
Yesterday the government reported a “modest” August budget deficit of $108 billion. That’s one month folks. This is another example of how the government and their mainstream media mouthpieces portray horrifically bad, extremely abnormal financial data as normal and expected. They pretend everything that has happened since 2008 is just standard operating procedure. They follow the Big Lie theory to the extreme. The masses have been so dumbed down, desensitized, and taught to believe delusions, they can’t distinguish the abnormal from the normal.
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