Monday, July 03, 2017
Nikki Haley: Warmonger Extraordinaire! / Politics / US Politics
It must now be a prerequisite of those who become an American ambassador to the UN to possess certain characteristics and traits, the most important of which are rabid warmonger, child killer, and outright liar.
Remember it was Madeleine Albright when asked about the US blockading Iraq which prevented medicine and medical equipment from entering the country that resulted in the estimated death of a half a million children who coldly responded: “I think that is a very hard choice, but the price, we think, the price is worth it.” Then there is Colin “Weapons of Mass Destruction” Powell who told a bald-face lie about Iraq’s nuclear capabilities which paved the way for the US destruction of the country.
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Monday, July 03, 2017
Gold Up 8% In First Half 2017; Builds On 8.5% Gain In 2016 / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017
– Gold up 8% in first half 2017; builds on 8.5% gain in 2016
– U.S. dollar down 6.5% – worst quarter in seven years
– Gold higher in all currencies except Draghi’s euro
– Gold outperforms bonds; similar gains as stock indices
– S&P 500 and Dax outperform gold marginally
Monday, July 03, 2017
Wall Street Stock Market Correction Looms on the Horizon / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
The following S&P500 Index - 90 Year Historical Chart shows the yearly gain or loss from 1929 through 2016. The following conclusions may be drawn from this very illustrative bar chart of Wall Street’s yearly stock performance during this prolonged period.Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, July 03, 2017
Stock Market Positive Expectations Ahead Of Shortened Trading Session / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
Our intraday outlook is bearish, and our short-term outlook is bearish. Our medium-term outlook remains neutral, following S&P 500 index breakout above last year's all-time high:
Intraday outlook (next 24 hours): bearish
Short-term outlook (next 1-2 weeks): bearish
Medium-term outlook (next 1-3 months): neutral
Long-term outlook (next year): neutral
Monday, July 03, 2017
UK Average Fixed Mortgage Arrangement Fee Breaches £1,000 / Housing-Market / Mortgages
Competition in the mortgage market has reached full throttle, with borrowers seeing some of the lowest rates on record, particularly in the fixed rate market. However, despite this ongoing price war, the latest research from moneyfacts.co.uk shows that fees on fixed rate mortgages are on the rise, having now reached their highest point since August 2013.
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Monday, July 03, 2017
USDCNH Is In Correction Pullback / Currencies / Forex Trading
After breaking above the support-turned-resistance at 6.8450 on the daily chart, the USDCNH pair failed to extend its bullish movement from 6.7210 and pulled back from 6.8583, indicating that correction for the uptrend is underway.
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Monday, July 03, 2017
Precious Metals Sector On Major Buy Signal / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017
Technical analyst Jack Chan charts the latest moves in the gold and silver markets.
Our proprietary cycle indicator is down.
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Monday, July 03, 2017
Are Advanced Economies Ready for Recovery, Really? / Economics / Global Economy
Or Global Reflation As China Begins Tightening
Until recently, the conventional wisdom was that China’s contribution to global reflation would be increasingly accompanied by those of the US and Europe. Yet, the realities may look grimmer than anticipated.
Usually, the term ‘reflation’ is used to describe the first phase of economic recovery after a period of contraction. More recently, ‘global reflation’ has been deployed to refer to the post-crisis past decade, which has been characterized by lingering recovery from the global crisis, despite ultra-low rates and quantitative easing.
Monday, July 03, 2017
Gold: Are We All Dead Wrong? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017
The natural resource sector is the most volatile sector to invest in, says Lior Gantz, editor of Wealth Research Group, and he discusses factors to take into consideration when investing.
The fact remains that the natural resource sector is the most volatile sector we can invest in.
In your brokerage account, if you see reds and not greens, as you did between January 2016 and August, then make sure you read today's piece thoroughly.
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Monday, July 03, 2017
Copper New Intermediate Cycle : Bullish / Commodities / Copper
Copper confirmed a new Intermediate Cycle this week with a breach and close above my Red Yearly Cycle Down trend line (see first two charts). Given that this last Yearly Cycle was extremely Right Translated, cycle methodology would indicate we should expect Copper to make new highs in the year ahead of us.
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Monday, July 03, 2017
Kuwait Stock Exchange Index (KWSE): Watch out below! / Stock-Markets / Middle East
The Kuwait Stock Exchange Index (KWSE) is sitting on the edge of a cliff. We may soon see a decisive reversal of the uptrend begun from the January 2016 low. Following the January 2016 low the KWSE advanced as much as 44.4 per cent as of the 7,091.46 peak reached in early-April. That high completed a 61.8% Fibonacci retracement of the long-term downtrend.
During the rally the index moved well above the pivotal 40-week exponential moving average (ema), and as of January broke out above the long-term downtrend line. This is all bullish behavior for the long-term.
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Monday, July 03, 2017
Is this the Stock Market Top? / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
Current Position of the Market
SPX Long-term trend: Uptrend continues with a serious loss of upside momentum in weekly indicators.
SPX Intermediate trend: An ending diagonal appears to be forming.
Analysis of the short-term trend is done on a daily-basis with the help of hourly charts. It is an important adjunct to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which discuss longer market trends.
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Sunday, July 02, 2017
Central Bankers Just Lit the Fuse on a $217 TRILLION Debt Bomb / Interest-Rates / Global Debt Crisis 2017
As we noted yesterday, the world’s Central Banks have begun sending signals that the price of money in the financial system (bond yields) is going to be rising.
Why is this a big deal?
Because globally the world has packed on $68 TRILLION in debt since 2007. And ALL of this was issued based on the assumption that bond yields would be remaining at or near record lows.
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Sunday, July 02, 2017
Are Central Bankers Going to Intentionally Crash the System? / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
Since 2007, the world has packed on a truly staggering amount of debt. That year (2007) is now commonly referred to as a debt bubble. And at that time, global debt was $149 trillion.
Today, 10 years later, it stands at $217 trillion.
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Sunday, July 02, 2017
UK Election 2017 Disaster, Fake BrExit Chaos, Forecasting Lessons for Next Time / ElectionOracle / UK General Election
During Mid April everything appeared to be going smoothly for Britain, Article 50 had been triggered without any political opposition apart from Sturgeons shrill cry's for another Independence referendum from north of the Scottish border. But then Theresa May made the fatal mistake of believing the tripe that calls itself Britain's polling industry, that convinced her that a snap general election would yield a landslide victory, thus strengthening her hand in the about to begin BrEXIT negotiations.
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Sunday, July 02, 2017
The China-EU-US-Triangle Déjà Vu / Economics / Global Economy
The new rapprochement between Brussels and Beijing involves converging economic interests between Europe and China – and diverging strategic interests between Europe and America.A day after the terror attacks of September 11, 2001, Le Monde declared that “we are all Americans.” But the honeymoon of shared suffering ended quickly when US military revenge raged across Afghanistan, Iraq, and elsewhere. Instead, a deep and broad transatlantic rift emerged, thanks to bitter disagreements about President Bush’s foreign policy revolution.
Today, many feel an odd sense of déjà vu.
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Sunday, July 02, 2017
Janet Yellen Just Said The Most Ridiculous Thing We’ve Heard All Year! / Interest-Rates / US Interest Rates
Of all people, the last person you should ever ask about what is going to happen in the economy is a central banker or a Keynesian economist.
They are, after all, communists trying to centrally plan the economy. Commies are always clueless about economics.
And, their track record of predicting the economic future is almost perfect in that they almost always say “this time things are different” just moments before another crash happens.
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Sunday, July 02, 2017
USD Intermediate Cycle Update / Currencies / US Dollar
Cycle Status/Outlook: Long term I believe the USD found a 15 Year Super Cycle top in early 2015. To confirm this we need to see the USD find a Yearly Cycle Low soon and bounce high enough to break the YC down trend line on my first chart, a three year weekly that shows Price has dropped below my Blue 2014 uptrend line and now the 30ema is starting to roll over and should start to cap rallies acting as resistance rather than support.
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Sunday, July 02, 2017
Gold Price Trend Line Broken / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017
Gold has closed below its intermediate uptrend line. This is the first confirmation that a larger intermediate degree decline has begun.
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Saturday, July 01, 2017
US Stock Market Correction Appears to be Underway / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
The market started this volatile week at SPX 2438. After a gap up opening on Monday the market rallied to SPX 2450 before reversing into a 2419 low of Tuesday. Wednesday provided another gap up opening as the SPX hit 2443. After retesting that high early Thursday the market sold off to SPX 2406 before reversing into the close. Friday had another gap up opening as the market rallied to SPX 2433, before declining to 2423 to end the week. For the week the SPX/DOW lost 0.40%, and the NDX/NAZ lost 2.35%. Economic reports were slightly positive. On the downtick: durable goods, Case-Shiller, pending home sales, the Q2 GDP estimate, the WLEI, plus weekly jobless claims rose. On the uptick: consumer confidence/sentiment, Q1 GDP, personal income/spending, the CPI and the Chicago PMI. Next week, shortened by the 4th July holiday, we’ll get reports on Payrolls, the ISMs, and the FOMC minutes. Best to your weekend!
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