Wednesday, September 23, 2015
Stock Market Decline May Begin Without Warning / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
Good Mornoing!
SPX Premarket is flat. It closed beneath its daily Cycle Bottom at 1962.59. I had thought that it might go back for a retest this morning, but it doesn’t seem to have the energy.
In a nutshell, SPX may begin to sell off without further warning.
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Wednesday, September 23, 2015
Fed, Central Banks Trapped – Gold Bullion Will Protect / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015
By David Bryan
The future direction of the planet is between the central bank’s counter-party paper Ponzi currency or the independence of real money.
Foresighted central banker John Exter is famous for his classification of risk assets. Using Exter’s Golden Pyramid the riskiest assets are those at the bottom of the pyramid and situated at the top of the apex is gold bullion – independent from the counter-party risk of central bank’s paper and electronic currency.
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Wednesday, September 23, 2015
Tech Stock Bargains Will Pay Off for the Next Decade… and Beyond / Companies / Tech Stocks
MoneyMorning.com Michael A. Robinson writes: Not investing in technology right now means missing one of the greatest bull markets of all time.
Over the last 10 years, the tech-centric Nasdaq Composite Index has beaten the broader market by more than double.
That outperformance will continue. The American economy now runs on high tech – from chips to cloud computing to biotech to Bluetooth and Wi-Fi, these advanced systems form the backbone of our nation's growth.
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Wednesday, September 23, 2015
Federal Reserve Under Yellen / Interest-Rates / US Federal Reserve Bank
Now that the big bluff from the Federal Reserve that interest rates were poised to start their eventual rise has been played, when will the trigger actually be pulled? Assumptions that the Fed act as custodians of the national trust to balance and maintain the economic stability has been proven wrong time and again. Just how well has their efforts translated into the real economy of business activities that reflects positively for the average American? Obviously, if you are not a hedge fund speculator, your response will be guarded at best.
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Wednesday, September 23, 2015
Indonesian Rupiah Is In Trouble, Again / Currencies / Fiat Currency
The rupiah is plumbing the depth it last visited in 1998 during the Asian financial crisis. The accompanying chart of the rupiah’s value against the U.S. dollar tells the tale. Although the rupiah’s recent plunge is not as dramatic as the post-July 1997 float of the rupiah, it is ugly nevertheless.
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Wednesday, September 23, 2015
GBP Basing For New Rally? / Currencies / British Pound
This year, we have seen a large amount of weakness and selling pressure that has been directed as the British Pound (GBP). There have been a few different explanations for why this has been the case, as the policy trajectory is still largely unclear with respect to the stated policy stance exhibited by the Bank of England.
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Wednesday, September 23, 2015
How Investors Can Profit from China's New Normal / Companies / Investing 2015
MoneyMorning.com Michael A. Robinson writes: hinese President Xi Jinping plans to kick off his U.S. visit today with a stop in Seattle where he will meet with top American tech executives.
The list of execs Xi is meeting with includes big names like Microsoft Inc. (Nasdaq: MSFT) CEO Satya Nadella and Apple Inc. (Nasdaq: AAPL) CEO Tim Cook.
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Wednesday, September 23, 2015
Stock Market Trading Bands are Being Squeezed / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
I like to observe the indices from all degrees of trend, from hourly to monthly and even yearly. The charts can tell you a lot. I am using the hourly charts less these days, because the moves in the market often require a larger perspective. However, the hourly charts caught my eye and, thanks to Roy, a subscriber, his nudge prompted me to view all the pertinent charts.
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Wednesday, September 23, 2015
U.S. Stocks: Volume, Volatility -- and What Should Come Next / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
We should soon see more "all or nothing" days in the stock market
Bespoke Investment Group uses an interesting term to describe recent stock market action: "all or nothing." In the stock market, "all or nothing" days occur when at least 80% of the stocks in the S&P 500 index advance or decline.
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Wednesday, September 23, 2015
New Wave of Lithium and Graphite Winners in Wake of Tesla Deal / Commodities / Graphene
Don't buy things that are trending on Twitter or the front page of USA Today, warns Gold Stock Trades publisher Jeb Handwerger. Buy them when they are unloved and on the back page. In this interview with The Energy Report, he singles out the unloved companies that could become media darlings in the coming boom in energy metals, uranium and—eventually—oil sectors. And he stresses the importance of the single most important commodity in the investing space ever—time.
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Wednesday, September 23, 2015
Gold Price No Bottom Yet / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015
I'll begin this week's commentary with a follow up on last week's Hybrid Lindsay forecast for a high in equities. Last week's commentary gave the details of the forecast for a high in the Dow on September 11 or very early last week. Equities pushed that forecast to the limit with last week's closing high on Wednesday followed by a decline of over 350 points. Short bounces notwithstanding, it seems reasonable to assume Wednesday was the high I was looking for.
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Wednesday, September 23, 2015
Gold Prices Are Set To Jump or Maybe Not / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015
Hasten slowly and ye shall soon arrive. ~ Milarepa
We were very bullish on gold starting from 2002 and our bullishness continued until the beginning of 2011. In 2011, we started to voice concern as the Gold camp was chanting "Kumbaya my love", and almost every Tom, Dick and Harry in the Gold market were all busy issuing higher targets. Towards the middle of 2011, there were many signs that all was not well. Key technical indicators were issuing negative divergence signals, the dollar was generating strong signals that a bottom was close at hand, and as we already stated the Gold camp was simply too ecstatic for our liking. We advised our clients to close the bulk of their bullion positions and to embrace the dollar as it was getting ready to break out; the rest as they say is history.
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Wednesday, September 23, 2015
Designing the Common Stock Portion of Your Retirement Portfolio: Concentrated or Diversified / Companies / Pensions & Retirement
Designing the common stock portion of your retirement portfolio is very challenging. For starters, there is no absolutely perfect or even best way to design a stock portfolio. However, there are many effective strategies that have produced successful long-term results. The key to success is to find and implement the strategy that best fits your own unique goals, objectives, needs, and most importantly - risk tolerances.
There are many aspects associated with designing a common stock portfolio that need to be considered. The number of individual companies to include in your portfolio is a big one. In addition to the number of companies, how much weight you should put in each one. Should they be equally weighted? In other words, should you put the exact same percentage of your portfolio in each company? Or, does it make more sense to overweight some and underweight others? Moreover, should you own stocks from every sector or just the ones you like the best?
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Tuesday, September 22, 2015
Gold: The End and The Beginning / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015
Gold prices peaked in January 1996 and then fell for 3.5 years into a multi-decade low. It was the age of stocks, debt, leverage, and good times; nobody needed or wanted gold.
Since the gold price peak in 2011 the Federal Reserve has “generously” supplied the world with trillions of dollars of newly created digital and paper debt, all backed by nothing but faith and credit. Bonds have rallied and the S&P is higher by 50% or so. The Japanese Central Bank has similarly produced trillions of yen, bought stocks and bonds, and extended their recession several more years.
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Tuesday, September 22, 2015
The Great Deflation Will Destroy All Bubbles – These Too / Stock-Markets / Deflation
It’s not enough that jobs are less stable, or that the ones we’re adding are increasingly more part-time…
It’s not enough that rapidly growing student loan costs are plaguing more young echo boomers and millennials…
It’s not enough that the high costs of education are increasing the inequality gap and making upward mobility impossible…
Tuesday, September 22, 2015
Behind the Fed’s Decision: The Government Numbers Don’t Add Up / Interest-Rates / US Interest Rates
After keeping the markets on edge in the days and weeks leading up to today’s decision, the Fed has decided once again to leave interest rates unchanged.As we’ve spent this week discussing “all things Fed,” it’s worth spilling a little ink on what the quasi-government-but-really-private organization is supposed to do.
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Tuesday, September 22, 2015
NYSE Margin Debt Raise Stock Market Key Questions / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
It's happening again. The amount of margin debt balances at New York Stock Exchange member firms fell to $473,412 billion in August, down 2.9% from September. It is the 2nd consecutive monthly decline and the first back-to-back monthly drop since December-January.
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Tuesday, September 22, 2015
Stock Market Plunge Begins / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
Good Morning!
The SPX Premarket is down over 30 points as I write. There is another hour left before the cash market opens, so the probability of a “limit down” at the open or during the trading session is rising. If such a circuit breaker is reached, the market is halted for 15 minutes. The triggers are set at 7%, 13% and 20%.
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Tuesday, September 22, 2015
Steps from a Deep October Stock Market Selloff / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
For some reason there was a late flurry of expectations that the FED was going to raise rates this past week. Many in the media would like us to believe that we've finally transitioned out of an economic intensive care and that the economy is ready to stand on its own two feet. Evidence to support the idea is the employment picture, which when taken on the surface provides the illusions that we're in a healthy and thriving economy.
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Tuesday, September 22, 2015
The Massive Debt Bubble Will Push Silver Prices Much Higher / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015
Silver had a spectacular rise in price from about August 2010 to April 2011. In fact, it was so impressive that some thought the peak was the end of the bull market for silver. After all, silver had risen about 12.33 times from its bottom in 2001.
However, from the fact that the April 2011 did not surpass the all-time high of 1980, it should have been evident that this was no end of a bull market. Real bull markets form peaks much higher than any previous highs.
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