Friday, May 07, 2021
Stock Market Transportation Index Continues To Grind Higher / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2021
By: Chris_Vermeulen
If the face of last week’s sideways price action and almost in a rebellious manner today (May 4, 2021), the Transportation Index is moving higher while the US major indexes are all broadly lower. VIX has shot up over 20 again (over +13% higher) and the NASDAQ is off by more than 300 points (-2.75%) as I write this article. Yet, the Transportation Index is bucking the trends and trading higher.
What Does It Mean When The Transportation Index Bucks The Major Index Trends?
My team and I have often highlighted the Transportation Index in our past research article. The reason we watch this index so closely is that it tends to lead market trends by at least 30 to 60 days. In short, the Transportation Index is a measure of future expectations related to freight, shipping, transportation, and the movement of goods and commodities across the US and across the globe.
When an economy contracts, the Transportation Index will likely follow major indexes lower as future expectations related to economic activity contract. When a recession or deep price correction happens, the Transportation Index usually moves sharply lower as the sudden shock of an unexpected economic contagion vastly alters future economic expectations. But generally, the Transportation Index tends to front-run economic expectations.
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Friday, May 07, 2021
SPX Stock Market Correction Arriving or Not? / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2021
By: Monica_Kingsley
One more day of upside rejection in S&P 500, in what is now quite a long stretch of prices going mostly sideways. As unsteady as VIX seems at the moment, it doesn‘t flash danger of spiking in this data-light week, and neither does the put/call ratio. As I wrote yesterday about the selling pressure, these tight range days accompanied by 30-ish point corrections is as good as it gets when the Fed still has its foot on the accelerate pedal.
Yes, you can ignore the Kaplan trial baloon (have you checked when he gets to vote on the FOMC?) that spiked the dollar on Friday but didn‘t put all that a solid floor before long-dated Treasuries as seen in their intraday reversal.
Highlighting the key Treasury, inflation and reflation thoughts of yesterday, as these are still here to power stocks higher:
(…) the 10-year yield has been quite well behaved lately, closing at 1.65% only on Friday. The April calm seems to be over, and I‘m looking for the instrument to trade at 1.80% at least at the onset of summer. Then, let‘s see how the September price increases telegraphed by Procter & Gamble influence the offtake – will the price leader be followed by its competitors? That‘s one of the key pieces of the inflation stickiness puzzle – and I think others will follow, and P&G sales and profitability won‘t suffer. The company is on par with Coca Cola when it comes to dividends really.
Friday, May 07, 2021
How to Invest in an Online Casino? / Personal_Finance / Gambling
By: Submissions
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Thursday, May 06, 2021
Gold & Silver Begin New Advancing Cycle Phase / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2021
By: Chris_Vermeulen
Before going into detail regarding my latest research and cycle phases, I want you to think of these cycle phases as Advancing and Declining cycle trends. They act as a “build-up of trend”, then an “unwinding of trend”. In each instance, trends can be either Bullish, Bearish, or Neutral in nature. My research team and I believe a new Bullish Cycle Phase has begun in Gold and Silver. If our research is correct, the next Advancing Cycle Phase may prompt a broad rally in Gold and Silver.
Understanding Cycle Phase Analysis & Trends in Metals
We interpret these cycle phases as unique trend segments involved in a broader cycle scope. For example, over a longer-term rally, we may see many Bullish Advancing and Declining cycle phases take place – one after another. Conversely, we may see many Bearish cycle phases take place in an extended downtrend. Another type of cycle phase can also exist, the Reversal Cycle Phase – where price Advances in one direction and Declines in the opposite direction. This type of Rotation Cycle Phase exists as the current completed Cycle on the Gold chart, below.
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Thursday, May 06, 2021
Vaccine Economic Boom and Bust / Economics / US Economy
By: Stephen_McBride
By the numbers, the US looks much better than it did than a few months ago. Jobless claims dropped to their lowest levels of the pandemic; COVID-19 vaccine shots went into arms at a record rate.But we’ve seen how this goes. The virus spreads in waves that recede and then return, often stronger. Some areas of the US are experiencing their fourth wave of coronavirus cases.
Vaccinations are supposed to break this cycle. And maybe they will. Unfortunately, that looks less likely as vaccine demand shows signs of peaking.
That means some establishments have, or will soon, close their doors … to mass vaccinations.
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Thursday, May 06, 2021
USDX, Gold Miners: The Lion and the Jackals / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2021
By: P_Radomski_CFA
The USD Index let out a roar heard across all markets. The king of the financial jungle arrived, along with the greenback’s largest single-day gain.
Just as the African landscape sometimes needs to show the strongest of its inhabitants, so does the less remote but equally ferocious financial environment. This time, the USDX seems to have won the fight – its fangs and claws turned out to be the sharpest, and so are the rallies. There is nothing left for gold and its acquaintances than to run through the forest… run.
Sometimes, even jackals need to find shelter to lick their wounds in patience, waiting for a better time to come back to fight. However, they will come back eventually – they always do.
Thursday, May 06, 2021
What If You Turn Off Your PC During Windows Update? Stuck on Automatic Repair Nightmare! / Personal_Finance / Microsoft
By: HGR
If you turn off your computer or it loses power while it's WIndows is updating does that automatically spell disaster?
Find out in this video !
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Thursday, May 06, 2021
4 Insurance Policies You Should Consider Buying / Personal_Finance / Insurance
By: Steve_Barker
The word insurance tends to scare off a lot of people. Most say that it’s a scam that drains you out of your money. On the other hand, other people say that the amount you spend for insurance isn’t equal to what you get for investing in it. However, insurance is definitely something worth spending your money on.
To say that insurance is a scam is a big mistake. True enough, there are some insurance policies and packages that aren’t worth it. Some are literal scams too. It all really depends on who you get your insurance from and what types of insurance you get for yourself or for your belongings.
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Wednesday, May 05, 2021
Fed Taper Smoke and Mirrors / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2021
By: Monica_Kingsley
Once in a while, stocks closed in red – is that a reversal or the most the bears could hope for these days? Thursday‘s hanging man got its follow through, yet the bulls staged a rebound into the close. Perhaps that‘s as good as the selling pressure gets, for I think the path of least resistance is still higher in S&P 500.
If you look at the VIX or the put/call ratio, Friday‘s setback is readily apparent, and stocks seem ripe for an upswing now. Fed‘s Kaplan did its job s with the taper talk, yet I think he played the bad cop part – the Fed will really act ostrich in the face of not so transitory inflation, for as long as the Treasuries market doesn‘t throw a tantrum.
And the 10-year yield has been quite well behaved lately, closing at 1.65% only on Friday. The April calm seems to be over, and I‘m looking for the instrument to trade at 1.80% at least at the onset of summer. Then, let‘s see how the September price increases telegraphed by Procter & Gamble influence the offtake – will the price leader be followed by its competitors? That‘s one of the key pieces of the inflation stickiness puzzle – and I think others will follow, and P&G sales and profitability won‘t suffer. The company is on par with Coca Cola when it comes to dividends really.
Once there, we would progress further in the reflation cycle when inflation is no longer benign and anchored. We‘re though still quite a way from when the Fed tries to sell rising rates as proof of strengthening economic recovery – once the bond market would get to doubt this story though, it would be game over for its recent tame behavior.
Friday‘s retreating Treasuries though didn‘t lift gold, and neither helped miners – it‘s not that inflation expectations would be sending a conflicting signal, as these slightly receded too. Inflation at the moment is probably still too low for the complacent market lulled to sleep by the transitory story, but look for that to change.
Wednesday, May 05, 2021
Global Economic Recovery 2021 and the Dark Legacies of Smoot-Hawley / Economics / Protectionism
By: Dan_Steinbock
In 2021, China’s economic momentum will drive global economic prospects. But new trade wars could derail global recovery, again.In the 1st quarter of the ongoing year, China’s GDP rose to a record 18.3% year-on-year. Despite the base effect, due to the pandemic plunge a year ago, the performance reflects strong momentum. In April, China’s economy continued to boom, with strong exports and rising business confidence supporting the recovery.
U.S. economic growth accelerated in the 1st quarter, thanks to a rush of consumer spending. The GDP expanded at a 6.4% annualized rate; the second-largest since 2003. But it missed the estimates by 0.3 percent. Moreover, it was fueled by two rounds of huge stimulus payments, ultra-low interest rates and historical debt-taking.
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Wednesday, May 05, 2021
Utility Stocks Continue To Rally – Sending A Warning Signal Yet? / Companies / US Utilities
By: Chris_Vermeulen
We have experienced an incredible rally in many sectors over the past 5+ months. My research team has been pouring over the charts trying to identify how the next few weeks and months may play out in terms of continued trending or risks of some price volatility setting up. We believe the Utilities Sector may hold the key to understanding how and when the US markets will reach some level of stronger resistance as many sector ETFs are trading in new all-time high price ranges.
Utilities Sector Resistance At $71.10 Should Not Be Ignored
The Utilities Sector has continued to rally since setting up a unique bottom in late February 2021. A recent double top setup, near $68, suggests resistance exists just above current trading levels. Any continuation of this uptrend over the next few weeks, targeting the $70 Fibonacci 100% Measured Move, would place the XLU price just below the previous pre-COVID-19 highs near $71.10 (the MAGENTA Line).
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Wednesday, May 05, 2021
ROIMAX Trading Platform Review / Currencies / cryptocurrency
By: S_N_Chatterjee
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Wednesday, May 05, 2021
Gas and Electricity Price Trends so far in 2021 for the United Kingdom / Personal_Finance / Household Bills
By: Dylan_Moran
With all of the major suppliers increasing their prices, consumers are becoming stressed in the United Kingdom. No one is certain what lies ahead and if the recent price increases will continue for the rest of 2021. With the average increases rising around £96 a year, people are feeling the sting to their wallets. Many are looking to experts to impart wisdom on what can be expected as the year goes on.Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, May 04, 2021
Crypto Bubble Mania Free Money GPU Mining With NiceHash Continues... / Currencies / Crypto Mining
By: Nadeem_Walayat
Here is another reminder if you have not already done so to consider crypto mining in the background on your desktop PC with Nice Hash Quick Miner (payout's in Bitcoin), it's safe to do so, I do it with my desktops yielding £150 per month per pc after electricity costs, the requirement being an Nvidia GPU with at least 6gb of vram. Whilst AMD GPU's can use the regular Nice Hash miner that uses third party algorithms.
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Tuesday, May 04, 2021
Stock Market SPX Short-term Correction / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2021
By: Andre_Gratian
Current Position of the Market
SPX Long-term trend: There is some evidence that we are still in the bull market which started in 2009 and which could continue into the first half of 2021 before major cycles take over and it comes to an end.
SPX Intermediate trend: SPX has completed the next phase of its intermediate uptrend and should correct.
Analysis of the short-term trend is done daily with the help of hourly charts. They are important adjuncts to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which determine longer market trends.
Tuesday, May 04, 2021
Gold & Silver Wait Their Turn to Ride the Inflationary Wave / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2021
By: MoneyMetals
As President Joe Biden pushed massive new spending initiatives in his address before Congress, investors shrugged off rising inflation risk. They pushed the S&P 500 up to a new record close on Thursday.
Gold, meanwhile, continues to be capped under the $1,800 level – at least for the time being. Silver shows a slight weekly gain and trades a little over $26 per ounce.
As trading closes out for the month of April, precious metals bulls will be hoping for a more fruitful May. Although May is typically a quiet month in markets – not known for producing major crashes or price spikes – it can represent a seasonal turning point.
The old adage, “sell in May and go away” is premised on the stock market entering a seasonally weak period that typically lasts through October.
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Tuesday, May 04, 2021
Gold Can’t Wait to Fall – Even Without USDX’s Help / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2021
By: P_Radomski_CFA
Gold started its decline without anyone’s assistance. And when the USDX takes off, that downhill tumble can only increase.
The USDX declines and the precious metals sit by idly, twiddling their thumbs. If they had the strength that’s being talked about, they should be soaring by now, or getting ready to. So, what’s their problem?
In the previous days, I discussed the signals coming from the precious metals market or for the precious metals market, as they kept on emerging, and we just received yet another round of indications. And yes, they also confirm the bearish outlook for the following weeks - or a few months.
Tuesday, May 04, 2021
Stock Market Investor Psychology: Here are 2 Rare Traits Now on Display / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2021
By: EWI
Stock market newcomers revel in their ignorance
In the past year, the stock market has been flooded by inexperienced investors.
Here's a May 12, 2020 CNBC headline:
Young investors pile into stocks, seeing 'generational-buying moment' instead of risk
The message of that headline matches up with the sentiment among many investors that the stock market is at the start of a boom -- not near an end.
Yes, financial history shows that the same psychology has been on display before, i.e., the heralding of "The New Economy" in 2000 -- just as stocks were topping. And, if you want to go all the way back to the 1929 top, the proclamation of "A New Era."
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Tuesday, May 04, 2021
Sheffield Peoples Referendum May 6th Local Elections 2021 - Vote for Committee Decision's or Dictatorship / ElectionOracle / Sheffield
By: N_Walayat
The Sheffield's Peoples referendum is on May the 6th when Sheffielders get to decide who runs our city. Break the cycle of a defacto dictatorship, the strong leader model of governance. Where the leader of the council and their 9 hand picked besties form a cabinet and now this small group gets to decide what happens in our city.
Such as the maniac policy right in the midst of a climate emergency decides to fell tens of thousands of Sheffield's street trees that literally prompted the people of Sheffield to stand up and protest under threat of imprisonment against the strong leader dictatorship.
So what does the peoples referendum want to see happen?
Watch the video and find out.
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Tuesday, May 04, 2021
AlphaLive Brings Out Latest Trading App for Android / Personal_Finance / Trading Systems
By: S_N_Chatterjee
Leading cryptocurrency trading brokerage house AlphaLive has introduced its new trading app designs for all Android users. The latest version of the app featuring the most cutting-edge technology is available for free to traders worldwide, downloadable through Google Play.AlphaLive’s spokesperson shared that the broker has been fine-tuning the mobile trading app for some time now as part of its effort to make crypto trading readily available for traders on all devices. Although fairly new, the trading app has been receiving rave reviews from clients, mainly for its user-friendly interface, which is ideal for beginners and seasoned traders alike.
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