Monday, March 22, 2021
Stock Market After The FOMC – What’s Next? / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2021
I have received numerous emails and questions regarding the market’s set up and what to expect after the Triple-Witching event (FOMC, Futures/Options expiration) last week. It appears many traders/investors are seeking some clarity related to price trends and the potential opportunities that are setting up in the US markets right now. In this research article, my research team and I provide some greater detail related to what we believe is likely to happen over the next 5 to 8+ weeks.
Our recent Gann/Fibonacci research article drew quite a bit of attention from readers. Their biggest concern was that we were suggesting a major peak in the markets could setup in early April 2021. We want to be clear about this longer term market setup to make sure our readers and followers fully understand the implications of this technical pattern.
A peak/top could start to setup anytime after April 1, 2021, based on the Gann/Fibonacci research we’ve completed. But, that peak/top setup could also happen anytime between April 2021 and August 2021 (or slightly later). Timing this pattern is not something we can accomplish very easily as the range of dates where this Gann/Fibonacci inflection level exists consists of about 5+ months. The one key factor we continued to stress in that article was to “watch for a technical breakdown in price above the $379 to $380 price level on the SPY”. Many readers may be able to comprehend what we are trying to say by this statement, but we’ll try to help clarify it by showing what it would look like on a price chart.
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Monday, March 22, 2021
The No.1 Crypto Stock for 2021? / Companies / BlockChain
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Monday, March 22, 2021
US House Prices Real Terms BUY / SELL Indicator Trend Forecast / Housing-Market / US Housing
What does my primary indicator on the health of the US housing market say that has proven accurate for literally decades! Catching every major bull and bear market of the past 30 years! From it's first SELL signal in 1990 to it's last BUY in 2012. What do real terms US prices say for the prospects for 2021?
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Saturday, March 20, 2021
Does AstraZeneca Vaccine Make You IMMORTAL? Getting Vaccinated - Get the Call Get the Jab! / Politics / Coronavirus 2021
I got the call to get the jab earlier this week and booked my jab for the same day and roughly at same time as Boris Johnson Friday 19th, that little prick (not the Prime Minister) gives one a sense of release from the pandemic (I now it takes weeks to work), so has the Astra Zeneca vaccine made me immortal? Meanwhile the French do what they always do which is why they lost to Nelson at Waterloo! It's like they would rather die then use a British vaccine.
Porterbrook Medical centre, Sheffield, very efficient in the delivery of jabs into the people arms, contrast this to a year ago when the government and NHS were all fumbling in the dark for the light switch whilst tends of thousands died each week.
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Saturday, March 20, 2021
Why I’m “Doubling Down” on The Trade Desk Tech Stock / Companies / Tech Stocks
They laughed Steve Jobs’s team out of the room. In early 2009, Apple’s founder wanted to give app developers a way to make money by allowing them to sell ads.Keep in mind, most Americans didn’t even own a smartphone at the time. Mobile ads were the Wild West. But Jobs demanded his team get the world’s best brands to sign multimillion-dollar deals.
The first advertising agency execs they visited literally giggled as they made their pitch. Ads on a tiny phone screen? Are you serious? Apple’s ad team eventually met with Citibank, which bought the first ever App Store ads. The team phoned up Jobs to tell him about the $1 million contract. Jobs wasn’t impressed and told them: “I didn’t say a million dollar deal; tell them we’re not taking it unless its $10 million.”
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Saturday, March 20, 2021
Best CPUs for Crypto Mining 2021 - Bitcoin, Ethereum, Ripple with Nice Hash / Personal_Finance / Crypto Mining
Crypto mania is reaching new heights with the likes of Bitcoin trading and holding above $60,000 which means virtually anyone with a decent ebough GPU in their PC can make money from their very own desktop computers. However what about your CPU, can that too make money to maximise income crypto craze?
Can cpus generate enough hash rates to make them profitable as virtually all modern GPUs are?
Let's find out in my latest video in this how to crypto minbe with your PC ceries. Where the likes of Nice Hake crypto mining EASY, and where you get paid in BITCOIN, so useless obscure coins. do check out Nicehash to start crypto mining with your desktop PC.
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Saturday, March 20, 2021
History of Slingo / Personal_Finance / Gambling
No matter what kind of thrill you are looking for, slingo can offer you more than you expected. This game has become seductive in the UK gambling industry with countless websites available for aficionados. Created in 1994 by New Jersey real estate developer, Sal Falciglia, slingo is, actually, a combination of slots and bingo. The popularity of this arcade game has boomed since 2015 when the London-based gaming company Gaming Realms acquired the game. You can have a unique experience with the Bingo Slingo the UK as it guarantees fast-paced fun and real money in prizes. How the slingo has changed the face of the online bingo site and the iGaming industry?
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Friday, March 19, 2021
Are We Days Away From Potential Gann/Fibonacci Stock Market Price Peak? / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2021
We have received many emails from members and readers asking us to follow-up on our December 30, 2020, Gann/Fibonacci research article entitled “Price Amplitude Arcs/Gann Suggest A Major Peak in Early April 2021 – Part II“. In that article, my research team suggested a major price peak may set up in early April 2021. Now we are only a few weeks away from the start of April and we believe the US major indexes have already started to make their move related to the Gann/Fibonacci peak prediction. Let’s review our original research and then take a look at what is happening on the charts right now.
Before we get started, please know that this article talks about the long-term trend and pattern forming. This topping setup may drag out until later this year, possibly August and beyond. As always, we do not trade or invest based on predictions. We simply follow the price. Until the market price confirms a new downtrend, we will remain long stocks.
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Friday, March 19, 2021
Have the Ides of March Come for Silver? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2021
Gold’s volatile little brother had an interesting run thus far, with internet forums buoying its price. But will fundamentals prevail? Where is silver headed?
“The Ides of March are come,” said Caesar. “Aye Caesar; but not gone,” replied the soothsayer. The Ides of March quotation is often bandied about in financial articles midway through the month. Caesar was assassinated on March 15 th in 44BC (or BCE), at a meeting of the Roman Senate. Written about by Plutarch and further popularized by Shakespeare (who dramatized the event), the day has been used as a harbinger of ill fortune. So, if we’re to look at silver, should we be concerned about anything at this time?
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Friday, March 19, 2021
America Is Transforming Before Our Eyes / Companies / Tech Stocks
Have you watched the news lately? A new Covid strain, stories of botched vaccine rollouts, political turmoil, the list goes on and on. On the surface, it seems like nothing but doom and gloom.
But today, I want to show you why the world isn’t ending like the media would have you believe. When you tune out the news, you’ll start to see all the incredible things happening in our world.
In fact, I believe the 2020s are shaping up to be the most transformational decade in a century. Let me explain.
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Friday, March 19, 2021
Gold Prices Then March 2020 and Now March 2021 / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2021
A year ago this past week marked the onset of the Covid-19 Pandemic. It also was the last full week of trading in the financial markets preceding crashes in all markets and a near-complete, albeit temporary, shutdown of economic activity.
Subsequent rebounds in stocks, bonds and real estate took valuations to levels as high or higher (much higher for stocks and gold) than before the turbulence took hold. Some might refer to those valuations as nose-bleed levels, although the summit for peak ascension is always moving when the effects of inflation are factored in.
Gold had its day in the sun, too. After falling sympathetically with other markets, gold’s price began an aggressive climb of more than 40% in just four months time.
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Friday, March 19, 2021
What the "Sudden, Dramatic" Surge in Googling "Inflation" Tells You / Economics / Deflation
It likely "typifies the end of an old economic trend and the beginning of a new one"
In the news, you hear that the big monetary fear these days is the prospect for a jump in inflation.
Here are some headlines since the start of the year:
- Inflation Is Coming. That Might Even Be a Problem. (Bloomberg, Jan. 13)
- Inflation concerns put Biden, Fed on defensive (TheHill.com, Feb. 23)
- Stocks tumble as Powell signals inflation is ahead (CNN Business, March 5)
Friday, March 19, 2021
Celebrate the Return of the Gold Bull / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2021
Sector expert Michael Ballanger considers how recent market moves have influenced investment in the precious metals markets. I had not intended to hit the keyboard today, having worked all week to prepare the Special Situations Report on my top-performing Norseman Silver Ltd. (NOC:TSX.V) (whose 65% year-to-date advance and 869% advance since the March 2020 lows has been a pleasant surprise), but Friday's COT (Commitments of Traders) report grabbed me by the throat and slammed me into the chair.
The bullion bank behemoths that manage gold prices in the Crimex futures pits are particularly adept at bullying, and unlike the schoolyard, where bulging biceps and menacing unibrows command fear and obedience, it is the bulging wallets that send the meek scurrying for cover. I have watched the COT over the years, and whereas I used to make all trading decisions from the COT numbers, that has tempered somewhat since the world went into "manic mode" with the arrival of that nasty flu bug a little over a year ago.
Had I let the actions of the bullion banks be the sole determinant of my trading decisions last March, the 375,000-contract net short position would have sent me screaming under the bed. Fortunately for me (and those that follow me), other inputs weighed in heavily and it was the weekend of March 14–15 of last year that I ignored the Commercials and went "all-in." As they say, the rest is history. The biggest rally in the miners in many years ensued and one of the best performance years since 2011 unfolded, and continues here in 2021.
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Friday, March 19, 2021
ECB Accelerates Its Asset Purchases. Gold Needs Fed to Follow Suit / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2021
The ECB accelerated its asset purchases, but unless the Fed follows suit, gold may continue its bearish trend.On Thursday (Mar. 11), the European Central Bank decided to accelerate its asset buying under the Pandemic Emergency Purchase Program :
Based on a joint assessment of financing conditions and the inflation outlook, the Governing Council expects purchases under the PEPP over the next quarter to be conducted at a significantly higher pace than during the first months of this year.
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Thursday, March 18, 2021
Dow Stock Market Long-term Trend Analysis / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2021
FED Balance Sheet
Not to forget the inflation mega-trend courtesy of rampant central bank money printing to monetize government debt coupled with the fake inflation indices. So you really think US inflation is just 1%? it's more like 6%! Anyway the money printing binge now totals $7.4 trillion, up from $4 trillion at the start of 2020.
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Thursday, March 18, 2021
Stock Bulls Run – Will Gold Ones Too? / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2021
Resting on Friday, surging on Monday. Feeble downswing attempt defeated right after the open, and then just bullish price action. Retail data today, and another FOMC meeting tomorrow – I view the former as not too likely to spoil today‘s market action. About the latter, remembering the latest reactions to Powell pronouncements, I look for the markets to be affected to a much greater degree.
Don‘t look for material surprises, or be spooked by bets on the Fed tightening through dot plot adjustment or other forward guidance tools.I expect no change from what I wrote yesterday:
(…) Who could be surprised, given the modern monetary theory ruling the economic landscape? The Fed amply accomodative, one $1.9T stimulus bill just in, and a $2T infrastructure one in the making. That‘s after the prior Trump stimulus, and who would have forgotten how it all started in April 2020? The old congressional saying „a billion here, a billion there, and pretty soon you‘re talking real money“, needs updating.
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Thursday, March 18, 2021
Are The US Stock Markets Sending A Warning Sign? / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2021
After an incredible rally phase that initiated just one day before the US elections in November 2020, we’ve seen certain sectors rally extensively. Are the markets starting to warn us that this rally phase may be stalling? We noticed very early that some of the strongest sectors appear to be moderately weaker on the first day of trading this week. Is it because of Triple-Witching this week (Friday, March 19, 2021)? Or is it because the Treasury Yields continue to move slowly higher? What’s really happening right now and should traders/investors be cautious?
The following XLF Weekly chart shows how the Financial sector rallied above the upper YELLOW price channel, which was set from the 2018 and pre COVID-19 2020 highs. Early 2021 was very good for the financial sector overall, we saw a 40%+ rally in this over just 6 months on expectations that the US economy would transition into a growth phase as the new COVID vaccines are introduced.
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Thursday, March 18, 2021
Stock Market March Rally Was Good - April Will Be Even Better / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2021
Oftentimes, I will peruse the articles being published on Seeking Alpha to gain a perspective as to whether others “in the know” are bearish or bullish, and why. But, the “why” aspect is the most entertaining to me.
When I decide to click on an article discussing the market, I find that the article most often explains what the market has done either yesterday or the week before. Then it goes into a discussion of the reasons the market did what it did. In other words, most articles are primarily concerned with trying to explain the past action of the market. But, here is the kicker. They then attempt to extrapolate the reasons of the past into the action of the future. This is where most fail.
First, one is only assuming they have an understanding as to why a market dropped or rallied in the past week. Simply because there is an event or news item that occurred during that week, they superficially assume that it caused the market move we experienced.
What is truly absurd is when the exact opposite event or news item is reported, and the market continues in the same path as before, they then have the gall to explain to us that this exact opposite event or new item caused the market to continue to rally.
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Thursday, March 18, 2021
The 50th Anniversary of Nixon’s Colossal Gold Standard Error / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2021
It seems fitting that the year we are expecting to see an unprecedented rise in US government spending and money-printing to spur an economic recovery, marks the 50th anniversary of the end of the gold standard.
Done at the time to fight an economic crisis, we are still feeling the effects of this disastrous decision, five decades on.
In this article, we explain why President Nixon did what he did, and why every promise that unshackling the US government from the requirement of maintaining the dollar’s value in terms of gold would mean for the United States, has been broken.
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Wednesday, March 17, 2021
Dow Stock Seasonal and Presidential Trend Analysis / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2021
The seasonal pattern suggests after a pause in Feb, then higher into late April the correct from early May into late June followed by a volatile summer terminating in a swing low during September that should set the scene for a bull run into the Christmas Holidays with of course intra month volatility during October that tends to resolve to the upside just as the perma-bears crow their loudest about the market having topped.
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