Friday, February 21, 2020
Coronavirus China Infection Statistics Analysis, Probability Forecasts 1/2 Million Infected / Politics / Pandemic
We in the West are in still the CALM before the Coronavirus STORM stage, both in terms of infections and in terms of economic impact as we witness China's economy effectively grind to a halt, a harbinger of what to expect to come that the financial markets are STILL NOT discounting! For China's Coronavirus statistics grossly under report the number of infections by several multiples that this analysis will attempt to determine the true magnitude of China's outbreak which even the Chinese CDC now admits that their statistics are under reporting by significant degree the actual number of infected. Which has not just been my consistent view since the Coronavirus story first broke a month ago, but many scientists around the world have questioned China's data as measured across several metrics such as the unrealistic day to day change in infection numbers that for want of a better word were unnatural.
Basically China cannot test all suspected cases for the virus, instead only those who make into hospital tend to get tested, and thus excluding all those who either don't turn up to hospital i.e. told to self quarantine at home or are turned away from hospitals because there is no capacity to deal with more people clogging up the corridors, that and the tendency to brush bad news under the carpet then be reasonable for passing it up the command chain.
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Thursday, February 20, 2020
Is Crude Oil Firmly on the Upswing Now? / Commodities / Crude Oil
It appeared that the bears firmly took the reins of yesterday’s session, but most of their gains were history before the closing bell. Have we seen an important turning point for oil?
Let’s start with the daily chart examination (charts courtesy of http://stockcharts.com and http://stooq.com ).
Crude oil opened yesterday’s session with the green bullish gap that’s slightly below the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement. Although the bulls took the commodity a bit higher after the market open, this strong resistance encouraged the sellers to act.
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Thursday, February 20, 2020
What Can Stop the Stocks Bull – Or At Least, Make It Pause? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2020
Stocks are entering the holiday-shortened week on a strong note. There was no selloff on Friday, as has been the case three preceding weeks in a row. This weekend, there were no spooky coronavirus headlines. Stocks finished on Friday close to their yearly highs, and the beat goes on. In light of today’s premarket decline, the following question is in order. Does the beat really go on?
We’ll start the thorough examination with the weekly chart (charts courtesy of http://stockcharts.com).
Stocks built on last weeks’ gains, and keep trading farther and farther away from the upper border of the rising purple trend channel. While weekly volume doesn’t flash any warning signs of an impending reversal, what about the other indicators?
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Thursday, February 20, 2020
Trump and Economic News That Drive Gold, Not Just Coronavirus / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2020
Coronavirus, the topic du jour. It is still the major threat for the global health and economy. But we should not forget about other geopolitical and economic developments. What do they imply for the gold market?
Coronavirus, China’s Economy and Gold Prices
The number of cases of coronavirus reported by the WHO have increased from 45,171 cases and 1,115 deaths by February 12 to 51,867 cases and 1,669 deaths by February 16, 2020. However, the number of new cases is slowing down, which suggests that the epidemic could reach a turning point within weeks. This is of key importance not only for the global health but also for the global economy, as the sooner the epidemic is over, the quicker China’s economy will recover. As a reminder, the quarantines of the whole cities like Wuhan and other compulsory measures disrupted the supply chains and hampered the Chinese economy.
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Thursday, February 20, 2020
Coronavirus COVID19 UK Infection Prevention, Boosting Immune Systems, Birmingham, Sheffield / Politics / Pandemic
Unfortunately the Coronavirus storm is going to come to every nation, including the UK which is currently in the calm before the storm stage, perhaps become a little complacent due to the virus having been contained to date, all whilst the virus continues to spread globally courtesy of infected Chinese travelers escaping the peoples republic of China.
This video details strategies for preventing catching the virus in the first instance, and strategies for boosting ones immune system, so that if infected we won't be one of the unlucky 20% who need hospitalisation following infection.
So watch the video so that we are all prepared for when the inevitable outbreaks start taking place across Britain's cities, Birmingham, Manchester, Sheffield, London.
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Thursday, February 20, 2020
Silver’s Valuable Insights Into the Upcoming PMs Rally / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2020
The analysis of the precious metals market isn’t just gold analysis – there are times when silver rises to the forefront of everyone’s attention. And we fully expect such a moment of the white metal stealing the spotlight to arrive shortly. What lessons can we draw from the silver chart?
The key analogy in silver (in addition to the situation being similar to mid-90s) continues to be the one between 2008 and the 2016 – now periods.
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Wednesday, February 19, 2020
Coronavirus Coming Storm Act Now to Protect Yourselves and Family to Survive COVID-19 Pandemic / Politics / Pandemic
This video detals how to protect ourselves from the coming Coronavirus strom and unfortunately as the video also explains, COVID-19 IS coming to ALL nations. We outside of asia are probably no more than a couple of weeks away from when the Coronavirus pandemic starts to inflict damage on our soeciety and economy as we have been witnessing take place in China as the virus outbreaks take hold.
Two strategies are deployed, the first being to reduce risks of becoming infected. And the second is to prepare the way to survive the virus if infected with as mild an illness as possible.
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Wednesday, February 19, 2020
David Smith: Future Silver Prices Will Shock People, and They’ll Kick Themselves for Not Buying Under $20… / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2020
Mike Gleason: It is my privilege now to welcome back David Smith, Senior Analyst at The Morgan Report and regular contributor to MoneyMetals.com. David, it's good to talk to you as always and how are you my friend?
David Smith: I'm just fine and it's great to be back, Mike.
Mike Gleason: Yeah, well it's been a handful of months since we had you on, and I've got a lot of topics to discuss today so we'll get right into it. Now to start out, here we are about a month and a half into the new year. Metals prices perked up in December but haven't really done much since that first week in January when it looked like we were about to head to war with Iran, which was a short-lived crisis thankfully. But in our view, markets are incredibly complacent, David. Stock prices just keep moving higher and higher. Nobody seems to be worried about risk, this despite there being plenty of reason for concern. To name a few, we've got a virus outbreak. There continues to be extraordinary activity in the repo markets – officials still haven't really bothered to explain what's going on there. And Brexit is finally happening. Maybe we're missing something, but it really feels like markets ignore all this stuff completely.
Wednesday, February 19, 2020
What Alexis Kennedy Learned from Launching Cultist Simulator / Personal_Finance / Gaming
Alexis Kennedy’s Cultist Simulator launched on May 31, 2018 to love-it-or-hate-it reviews and sales of 50,000 copies within the first month. After the launch, Alexis and his business partner Lottie Bevan started to see retaining the momentum for the game as their biggest challenge, with bumps in sales predominantly coming from price markdowns, occasional releases of new content and newfound attention from either streamers playing the game or events on Steam.
Data from the game’s release showed that most of the traffic and attention for the game came from Steam’s home page, “Friend is in game” notifications, and recommendations yielding over 100M impressions over the game’s lifetime.
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Tuesday, February 18, 2020
Stock Market Potential Short-term top / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2020
Current Position of the Market
SPX Long-term trend: Uptrend from the 2009 low continues.
SPX Intermediate trend:
Analysis of the short-term trend is done on a daily-basis with the help of hourly charts. It is an important adjunct to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which discuss longer market trends.
Tuesday, February 18, 2020
Coronavirus Fourth Turning - No One Gets Out Of Here Alive! / Politics / US Politics
In Part One of this article I exposed the numerous false narratives being peddled to the masses, as this Fourth Turning is entering the intense phase headed towards an unknown climax.
I’ve been expecting the next shoe to fall in this Fourth Turning for years, but the financial elite have pulled the debt levers to keep the Ponzi scheme alive far longer than a reasonable person would expect. We are only six weeks into 2020 and it seems like a year’s worth of major events have already occurred. The year started with the assassination of Qasem Soleimani in Iraq.
For the next week the world was awash in rhetoric about World War III and possible revolution in Iran. Accusations of Trump using the Wag the Dog method to deflect the negative press from the impeachment hearings were rampant among the half of the country that despises Trump. Soleimani was lauded as a hero by the left and a terrorist by the right. Now, the entire episode seems like ancient history, as more interesting squirrels have arisen for the propaganda media to chase.
The entire month of January was occupied by the ongoing coup/impeachment against Donald Trump. Schiff, Nadler and Pelosi doing their best impression of the three stooges, conducted a laughable prosecution in the House, revealing this was nothing more than a desperate attempt to avoid losing to Trump in a November landslide. The predictable trial in the Senate resulted in an acquittal and Trump’s popularity soaring to all-time highs, as independents realized the Democrats misused the power of impeachment for purely political purposes. Trump’s SOTU address infuriated Pelosi to such an extent it provoked her into acting like a petulant child, tearing up the speech. Future campaign ads wrote themselves.
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Tuesday, February 18, 2020
Gold Price Is Getting Ready For Its Next Breakout / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2020
In late October and again in November, I began preparing my subscribers for the last rally phase we experienced in the metals complex. I even penned a number of public articles outlining my expectations for the same. In fact, on November 11, I published an article entitled "Gold Is Likely Approaching A Local Bottom." As we now know, gold actually struck its bottom at the time within 24 hours of that article. And, I then reiterated my expectations in a blog post at the end of November entitled "Buy Gold On Black Friday." Even at that time, the GLD was in the 137 region before it began its run almost 10% higher since that time.
Then, on January 5 of this year, I published another article entitled "We Are Approaching A Pullback In Gold."
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Tuesday, February 18, 2020
The Stocks Hit Worst From the Coronavirus / Companies / Pandemic
Coronavirus concerns are on the rise, and the stock market has taken a hit. The fast-spreading respiratory virus, which was first identified in Wuhan, China, has so far killed more than 630 people and infected 31,40 people globally.
It seems the victims of the virus are far more than the infected – a large number of stocks have been impacted since mid-January.
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Tuesday, February 18, 2020
Tips on Pest Control: How to Prevent Pests and Rodents / Personal_Finance / Home Maintenance
Have you had rodents, insects, or any other pest inside your home lately? Here are a few pest controls tips to stop rodents and pests from invading your home.
The fewer rodents or pests you have breeding and feeding outside of your home, the less problems you will experience inside.
Eliminating or preventing the condition inside a home that usually appeal to these types of pests will help to lower the attraction to your residential property and eliminate the probable damages they can do to your home.
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Monday, February 17, 2020
Buying a Custom Built Gaming PC From Overclockers.co.uk - 1. Delivery and Unboxing / Personal_Finance / Reviews
Here's the first video in a series of 5 of what to expect when buying a custom built PC from a major UK custom PC builder, OverClockers.co.uk . So 10 calendar days after placing the order delivery day has arrived. But how reliable will the days delivery window be? And then after delivery it's unboxing time to find out exactly what's been delivered, has it all survived transit intact? Find out now of what to expect when ordering from OverClockers UK and probably most similar custom PC builders.
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Monday, February 17, 2020
BAIDU (BIDU) Illustrates Why You Should NOT Invest in Chinese Stocks / Companies / China Stocks
The juggernaut that is Artificial Intelligence continues to rumble along towards an inexorable future, one that most still fail to grasp the magnitude of the changes that are just around the corner as humans think in linear terms whilst the AI trend is EXPONENTIAL. Where developments that even the proponents of AI thought would take several years are taking place in mere MONTHS! That is the power of the unfolding AI MEGA-TREND!
AI has already CHANGED THE WORLD! EXPONENTIALLY! You have an AI super computer right in your pocket for likely less than £1000!
Especially, when one marries AI with other big world changing tech mega-trend "Quantum Computing"! Put the 2 together and we are literally going to see an explosion in SUPER INTELLGENCE that would soon far exceed that of human intelligence, following which it won't be that many years before the AI exceeds the intelligence of the sum of ALL humans! For better or worse, that's the path we are on.
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Monday, February 17, 2020
Financial Markets News Report: February 17, 2020 - February 21, 2020 / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2020
The financial markets continued trading in a risk-on mode last week, as China virus fears were easing and economic data was supporting Fed’s easy monetary policy. This week we will have another series of quite important economic data releases. Let’s take a look at the details.
The week behind
The corona virus fears have almost disappeared last week, as investors’ sentiment has been improving following record-breaking U.S. stock market rally. Tuesday’s-Wednesday’s Testimony from the Fed’s Jerome Powell reassured global financial markets that easy monetary policy will be continued in the future. And we highlighted it in our last week’s Market News Report. Thursday’s Consumer Price Index came in as expected, so inflation remains very low. However, Friday’s Retail Sales number wasn’t that good. And the price of gold remained within a short-term uptrend last week.
Monday, February 17, 2020
NVIDIA (NVDA) GPU King For AI Mega-trend Tech Stocks Investing 2020 / Companies / Tech Stocks
The juggernaut that is Artificial Intelligence continues to rumble along towards an inexorable future, one that most still fail to grasp the magnitude of the changes that are just around the corner as humans think in linear terms whilst the AI trend is EXPONENTIAL. Where developments that even the proponents of AI thought would take several years are taking place in mere MONTHS! That is the power of the unfolding AI MEGA-TREND!
AI has already CHANGED THE WORLD! EXPONENTIALLY! You have an AI super computer right in your pocket for likely less than £1000!
Especially, when one marries AI with other big world changing tech mega-trend "Quantum Computing"! Put the 2 together and we are literally going to see an explosion in SUPER INTELLGENCE that would soon far exceed that of human intelligence, following which it won't be that many years before the AI exceeds the intelligence of the sum of ALL humans! For better or worse, that's the path we are on.
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Monday, February 17, 2020
Stock Market Bubble - No One Gets Out Of Here Alive! / Stock-Markets / Liquidity Bubble
“The seasons of time offer no guarantees. For modern societies, no less than for all forms of life, transformative change is discontinuous. For what seems an eternity, history goes nowhere – and then it suddenly flings us forward across some vast chaos that defies any mortal effort to plan our way there. The Fourth Turning will try our souls – and the saecular rhythm tells us that much will depend on how we face up to that trial. The saeculum does not reveal whether the story will have a happy ending, but it does tell us how and when our choices will make a difference.” – Strauss & Howe – The Fourth Turning
As we wander through the fog of history in the making, unsure who is lying and who is telling the truth, seemingly blind to what comes next, I look to previous Fourth Turnings for a map of what might materialize during the 2nd half of this current Fourth Turning. After a tumultuous, harrowing inception to this Crisis in 2008/2009, we have been told all is well and are in the midst of an eleven-year economic expansion, with the stock market hitting all-time highs.
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Sunday, February 16, 2020
British Pound GBP Trend Forecast 2020 / Currencies / British Pound
This is the final part of my British Pound Analysis that concludes in a detailed trend forecast for 2020
- British Pound 2019 Review (Part1)
- Political Implications
- Fundamentals
- US Dollar Index
- GBP Long-term analysis
- GBP Trend Analysis
- Elliott Wave Theory
- GBP 2020 Forecast Conclusion
However the whole of analysis was first made available to Patrons who support my work: British Pound GBP Trend Forecast 2020
So for immediate first access to ALL of my analysis and trend forecasts then do consider becoming a Patron by supporting my work for just $3 per month. https://www.patreon.com/Nadeem_Walayat.
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