Monday, June 10, 2019
How Can Stock Market Go Up When We’re Headed Towards a Recession? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2019
By: Troy_Bombardia
The common assumption is that bonds are screaming RECESSION right now, while the stock market refuses to hear it. This isn’t entirely true. While the stock market’s long term risk:reward is certainly not bullish, the economic data suggests that a U.S. recession is not imminent.
Various technical factors also suggest that the medium term is still bullish.
And lastly, the biggest short term risk is still trade war news. If this week demonstrated anything, it is that you cannot trade by guessing the news. Focus on the data & facts.
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Monday, June 10, 2019
If You Invest in Dividend Stocks, Do This to Double Your Returns / Companies / Dividends
By: Robert_Ross
If it seems too good to be true, it usually is. But when I say you can juice your investment returns with the click of a button, it’s the plain truth. I’m talking about reinvesting your dividends.
It may seem like a minor thing. But if you’re not doing it, you’re leaving a lot of money on the table.
In fact, investors who reinvest their dividends can outright double their investment gains.
Let me show you how…
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Monday, June 10, 2019
UK Housing Market BTL Products at Highest Number Since October 2007 / Housing-Market / Buy to Let
By: MoneyFacts
Moneyfacts UK Mortgage Trends Treasury Report data, not yet published, shows that the number of buy-to-let (BTL) products available, currently 2,396 products, is the highest on record since the beginnings of the financial crisis in October 2007, when the total number of available products stood at 3,305. Since June 2018, the total number of available BTL products has increased by 21%, and in the past month alone it has risen by 143 products, from 2,253 to 2,396.
Meanwhile, average BTL mortgage rates have also risen over the past 12 months, with the average two-year BTL fixed rate mortgage increasing by 0.17% from 2.88% in June 2018 to 3.05% this month, while the average five-year BTL fixed rate has risen by 0.11% to stand at 3.54% (June 2018: 3.43%). Both rates still stand significantly lower than in October 2007 however, when the average two-year BTL fixed rate stood at 6.36% while its five-year counterpart stood at 6.39%.
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Monday, June 10, 2019
Reasons for the Success of the Dating Market / Personal_Finance / Internet
By: Submissions
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Monday, June 10, 2019
Gold Price Trend Analysis - Video / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2019
By: Nadeem_Walayat
The Gold Price began 2019 with a continuation of it's strong December 2018 rally towards resistance at $1300 that was soon overcome propelling the Gold price higher to next resistance at $1350 by Mid February. Since when entered into a shallow downtrend all the way to the recent low of $1269. Which is particularly disappointing given that many Gold bugs had pinned hopes on safe haven demand in the aftermath of Trump trade war chaos tumbling stock markets since the start of May, not to mention a aircraft carrier group steaming towards the Persian Gulf, none of which is being reflected in the Gold price to date.
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Monday, June 10, 2019
US Stock Markets Rally Hard – Could Another Big Upside Leg Begin? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2019
By: Chris_Vermeulen
Closing out the first week in June 2019, the US stock market rallied hard from recent lows and prompted many traders/investors to rethink their future plans. At the same time, Gold and Silver began a decent price rally of their own while Oil found support just above $50. It certainly has been an interesting week for traders. One that was full of incredible opportunity as many symbols rotated 6 to 12% or more over the past 10+ days.
The fact that Oil is finding support above $50 while Gold and Silver continue to rally suggests that fear may be entering the metals market while Oil may have found a temporary price bottom near $50 to $51. Weakness in the US Dollar is also helping both Oil and Metals to push higher. Our recent research suggests that the US Dollar will find support near $95 indicates the US Dollar may fall a bit further – pushing Oil and Metals a bit higher.
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Monday, June 10, 2019
Stock Market Huge Cosmic Cluster Ahead: Buckle Up! / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2019
By: Brad_Gudgeon
The cosmic cluster is June 10th-14/16-June 24th. June 10-18 sees a large drop to around 2668/70ish (especially after June 14). The 18th (Merc conj. Mars) is the midpoint of the next Bradley Jun 16-20 (last Bradley June 2-4). June 21 Neptune turns retrograde so we see a secondary low on the 20th right before OPEX (see Nov 23).
The 19-20th sees a tag team cluster with Merc/Mars opposite Pluto: the first one Mars opp Pluto as an 'a' wave top on FED day and Mercury shores it up ('b') down on Thursday reversing into the Neptune retrograde Friday June OPEX, which could be up around 60 pts!!
June 23/24 (top on the 24th) revisits the problems we saw with Jupiter and Neptune (June 10/14-16) and down we go again especially after the G20 summit into July 1, a doozy of a drop as we hit a Jup/Sat secondary top that Saturday (works Friday) with a Sun sextile Uranus on Thursday (hopeful topping action before the summit?).
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Monday, June 10, 2019
Stock Market Higher To Go? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2019
By: Andre_Gratian
Current Position of the Market
SPX: Long-term trend – Final long-term phase on the way? How much longer, is the question.
Intermediate trend – The anticipated intermediate-term correction has started. C-wave in process.
Analysis of the short-term trend is done on a daily basis with the help of hourly charts. It is an important adjunct to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which discusses the course of longer market trends.
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Monday, June 10, 2019
The Gold Price Golden Neckline… / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2019
By: Rambus_Chartology
It’s hard to believe that the massive H&S consolidation pattern we’ve been following for several years began to develop all the way back in 2013 during the initial crash off the 2011 high. This weekly line chart shows the price action closing this week right on the neckline at 1350. Note how many touches the neckline has experienced from below with each one backing off. Now the question remains, how may bears are left to defend the 2013 neckline? There is a good chance that if they are exhausted that the price action could just spike right through the neckline this time around completing the massive H&S base which would be long term bullish. Big patterns lead to big moves.
Sunday, June 09, 2019
Gold Price Seasonal Trend Analysis / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2019
By: Nadeem_Walayat
SEASONAL ANALYSIS
The most reliable seasonal patterns are for a strong January and February, weak April, May and July followed by a strong August and September which tends to be the best month of the year. Then the trend is expected to continue into the end of the year with variable reliability for October and November.
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Sunday, June 09, 2019
The Fed Stops Pretending / Interest-Rates / US Interest Rates
By: Peter_Schiff
Well, it didn't take much and it didn't take long. After years of delays, a tentative start, many cautious pauses along the way, and a top speed that never really hit cruising velocity, the Fed has taken the first available off-ramp on the road towards policy "normalization." In a speech on Tuesday this week in Chicago, Fed Chairman Jerome Powell delighted Wall Street by signaling that the Fed may soon deliver the gift that investors had been hoping for...the first interest rate cut in almost a decade.
While many savvy economists should have seen this coming, as late as October of last year, almost no one in the financial world thought that the Fed would so easily abandon its long-held bias without a gale force recession blowing them off course. But, in reality, all it took was a light breeze to force a 180-degree turnaround.
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Sunday, June 09, 2019
Fed Rate Cuts Soon; Bitcoin Enthusiasts Join Wall Street in Bashing Gold / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2019
By: MoneyMetals
Welcome to this week’s Market Wrap Podcast, I’m Mike Gleason.
Coming up David Morgan of The Morgan Report joins me to discuss the ticking time bomb that is the trade war with China, why he believes flooding in the Midwest could lead to serious price inflation in food, and also gives us his outlook for the precious metals. Don’t miss my conversation with our good friend David Morgan, resource expert and silver market guru, coming up after this week’s market update.
It was a big week for gold, as prices for the yellow metal advanced toward new highs for the year. The gold market is putting in a 3.0% gain this week to trade at $1,345 an ounce.
Gold does face some formidable multi-year resistance in the $1,350 to $1,375 area. But if it can clear that hurdle and then blow through $1,400, it may be off to the races.
Turning to the white metals, silver has a lot more work to do get back on bullish technical footing. Silver’s price performance has lagged behind gold’s so severely that it trades at its biggest discount to gold in nearly 30 years. It could be a once-in-a-generation opportunity to buy silver on the cheap.
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Sunday, June 09, 2019
1990s vs. 2010s - Which Expansion Will be Better for Gold? / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2019
By: Arkadiusz_Sieron
Ladies and Gentlemen, we have a tie! The current expansion already lasts as long as the economic boom that started in March 1991 and ended in March 2001. We invite you to read our today’s article, which compares both expansions and find out whether the current boom will be better for gold than the 1990s.
Ladies and Gentlemen, we have a tie! The current expansion already goes on 120 months, the same as the economic boom lasting from March 1991 to March 2001. However, in the previous edition of the Market Overview, we suggested that the current expansion still has room to run. After all, the ongoing boom is very long, but this is because it is very weak. If the US economy is to replay the robust recovery of the 1990s in terms of GDP growth and not merely in terms of number of months, it could grow for additional couple of years.
Now, let’s compare our growth leaders in a more detailed way and draw valuable conclusions for the economic outlook and the gold market.
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Saturday, June 08, 2019
Gold Price Trend Analysis, MACD, Trend Channels, Support / Resistance / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2019
By: Nadeem_Walayat
TREND ANALYSIS
The gold price trend off the February $1350 high to the recent low of $1269 appears corrective which implies that the Gold price should at least resolve in a trend back to $1350. The downtrend so far has retraced 44% of the rally to $1350 which suggests that downside is limited to 50% at $1259 that is confirmed by recently constructed support in the $1270 region. So it appears the Gold price is forming a bottom right now in preparation for a breakout higher above the down trendline currently at $1290 that compares against the last close of $1286.
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Saturday, June 08, 2019
Gold Surges Near Breakout / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2019
By: Zeal_LLC
Gold surged sharply over this past week or so, nearing a major bull-market breakout! Nearly everyone was surprised by this violent awakening, which erupted suddenly as gold languished around year-to-date lows. If this dramatic rally has staying power, gold has good odds of achieving decisive new bull-market highs. That would change everything psychologically, ushering gold and its miners’ stocks back into favor.
Gold has largely flown under traders’ radars this year, mostly drowning in apathy. Actually this unique asset had a strong start, climbing 4.6% year-to-date by mid-February to hit $1341. While merely a 10.1-month high, gold was close to a major bull-market breakout. For several years now, gold has faced stiff resistance around $1350. It has repelled gold multiple times, looking like an impregnable Maginot Line.
But gold’s promising ascent was short-circuited from there, unleashing a disheartening slump over the next 10 weeks or so. By early May, gold had retreated 5.2% to $1271. The primary culprit was resurgent euphoria in the US stock markets. Equity exuberance has long proven gold’s mortal nemesis. When stock markets are high and expected to continue climbing on balance, gold investment demand often withers.
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Saturday, June 08, 2019
Could Gold Rally Above $3750 Before December 2019? / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2019
By: Chris_Vermeulen
We asked our researchers a question recently, “Could Gold rally above $3750 before the end of 2019?”. We wanted to see what type of research they would bring to the table that could support a move like this of nearly 200% from current levels. We wanted to hear what they thought it would take for a move like this to happen and if they could support their conclusions with factual conjecture.
Now we ask you to review these findings and ask yourself the same question. What would it take for Gold to rally above $3750 (over 200% from current levels) and why do you believe it is possible?
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Saturday, June 08, 2019
Stock Market Crash Averted - For Now / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2019
By: Avi_Gilburt
In my last article, I outlined how the same news event can “cause” the market to rally 9% at one time, and drop 5% another time. And, then I noted how I am quite certain there will be some of you that will try to explain away this clear lack of consistency with some form of convoluted “logic.”
And, true to form, some of you did. One such commenter noted:
For about eight months, the market stupidly rose in spite of the China trade war because it was in denial. . . I said, the market would fall. The longer the denial continued and the more the market rose, the harder it would fall when it FINALLY realized that China is NOT going to capitulate.
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Saturday, June 08, 2019
5 Big Lies About Precious Metals Investing Exposed / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2019
By: MoneyMetals
Physical precious metals serve a unique role in an investment portfolio. Unlike stocks and bonds, gold and silver coins can be held entirely outside of the financial system. They carry zero counterparty risk. They are the ultimate “buy and hold” safe-haven assets.
Unfortunately, investors must often navigate through a barrage of fake news, myths, misinformation, and fraudulent pitches surrounding precious metals before arriving at the simple truth.
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Friday, June 07, 2019
ADL Predictive Modeling Suggests A Big Move In Silver / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2019
By: Chris_Vermeulen
Our Adaptive Dynamic Learning (ADL) predictive modeling system is suggesting that Silver is currently well below the projected ADL price level. We believe the current pricing pressure in Silver is related to global central banks attempt to regulate precious metals prices over the past 24+ months. We believe the upside move in Gold will eventually roll into Silver and the ADL predictive modeling system is suggesting Silver is currently 34% undervalued.
Our ADL predictive modeling system is capable of identifying highly probable price outcomes in the future by tracking and mapping historically accurate similar price DNA patterns. The chart below shows exactly why we believe Silver is setting up an ADL price anomaly where a big upside price reversion should take place over the next 30 to 90 days.
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Friday, June 07, 2019
US China Trade War Will Start a Recession, or Worse… / Economics / Protectionism
By: Patrick_Watson
The logic of Donald Trump’s multi-front trade war, if there is any, is increasingly obscure.
The tangled mix of policies isn’t accomplishing its stated goals and seems unlikely to ever do so. Meanwhile, it hurts the Americans it should supposedly help.
Regardless, it’s happening, and it has consequences… none of them good.
The president’s latest move to impose escalating tariffs on imports from Mexico is the trade equivalent of “going nuclear.”
Judging by his tweets, Trump thinks it will solve multiple problems: trade, drugs, immigration, and crime.