Wednesday, September 12, 2018
This Will Be the Mother of All Minsky Moments / Stock-Markets / Financial Crisis 2018
By: John_Mauldin
We have all had the fun as kids of going to the beach and playing in the sand. Remember taking your plastic bucket and making sandpiles? Slowly pouring the sand into ever bigger piles, until one side of the pile starts to collapse?In his very important book Ubiquity, Why Catastrophes Happen, Mark Buchamane wrote about an experiment with sand that three physicists named Per Bak, Chao Tang, and Kurt Wiesenfeld conducted in 1987.
In their lab at Brookhaven National Laboratory in New York, they started building sandpiles, piling up one grain of sand at a time. It’s a slow process, so they wrote a computer program to do it. Not as much fun but a whole lot faster.
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Wednesday, September 12, 2018
Gold Nuggets And Silver Bullets / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018
By: Kelsey_Williams
It is very difficult to let go of someone – or something – when we have invested so much time and energy in it. It is even harder when we have invested so much of ourselves in it; when the outcome is not what we expected; when our reputation is at stake.
In this particular case, that something is gold and silver.
The emotional proclamations just a few weeks ago seemed quite strong, almost being religious in their fervor. But after two thrusts of the dagger to the heart, the explanations afterwards seem a bit hollow.
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Wednesday, September 12, 2018
For Gold, It's All About the Dollar / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018
By: The_Gold_Report
Rudi Fronk and Jim Anthony, cofounders of Seabridge Gold, discuss the factors that they believe could cause a powerful rally in gold.
Positioning, sentiment and market structure favor a powerful rally in gold. The COTs released by the CME on September 7, 2018, show the gross speculative short position grew 1.3% to 213,259 contracts, just shy of the all-time record set two weeks ago. On a net basis, speculators are short 13,500 contracts, the largest short position since December, 2001. The commercial net short position collapsed into negative territory for the first time since December, 2001 at -6,525 contracts. In other words, commercials are now net LONG, a very rare occurrence historically seen only at major turning points.
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Wednesday, September 12, 2018
How Bitcoin Will Make You Big Money Again / Currencies / Bitcoin
By: Chris_Vermeulen
If you are a Bitcoin fan or looking for the next opportunity for a Bitcoin rally, you may not have long to wait before a price breakout takes place. Our research team, at www.TheTechnicalTraders.com, believes a price breakout may occur before the end of 2018 – the only question is will it be a breakout rally or a breakdown crash before the next mega rally?
Cryptos and, in particular, Bitcoin has increased in popularity and adoption over the past 24 months across the globe. Recently, Citigroup has announced new technology making Crypto transactions more secure and reducing the risk of such transactions. Additionally, Circle recently announced a US Dollar based Crypto-currency that is backed by Goldman-Sachs. News from Europe is that the EU has been urged to adopt common Crypto-Currency rules that will fuel more attention and enterprise on developing suitable Crypto solutions for the European markets.
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Wednesday, September 12, 2018
Bitcoin Trading - SEC Strikes Again / Currencies / Bitcoin
By: Mike_McAra
Bitcoin has moved up a bit since the very recent decline. The SEC has just suspended two Bitcoin vehicles. The volume is pretty thin. Is a new rally budding? Or do these events point to a precipitous decline?
The memory of the SEC turning down prospective Bitcoin ETFs is still fresh in memory and now the agency has made the headlines again as it halted two Bitcoin trading vehicles in the U.S. In an article on CoinDesk, we read:
Announced on Sunday, the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) has issued an order seeking to suspend the trading of the Bitcoin Tracker One and Ether Tracker One exchange-traded notes, issued by XBT Provider AB, a Swedish-based subsidiary of the U.K. firm CoinShares Holdings.
Tuesday, September 11, 2018
Gold Price Trend Analysis / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018
By: Nadeem_Walayat
This is the second article in a series of 5 to conclude in a detailed trend forecast for the Gold price for the whole of the remainder of 2018.
- Gold Price Trend 2018 Recap
- Trend Analysis
- Seasonal Analysis
- US Dollar
- Forecast Conclusion
However the whole of this analysis was first made available to Patrons who support my work on the 9th of September. So to get immediate First Access to ALL of my analysis and trend forecasts then do consider becoming a Patron by supporting my work for just $3 per month. https://www.patreon.com/Nadeem_Walayat.
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Tuesday, September 11, 2018
USD/JPY - Profitable Opportunity Just Ahead of the Bulls? / Currencies / Japanese Yen
By: Nadia_Simmons
Despite the Thursday’s closure below the lower border of the consolidation and the Friday's drop to the lowest level for more than two weeks, the bulls kept cool and reborn in recent days, erasing almost entire recent move to the downside. Will the pro-growth formation that is drawing on the horizon encourage them to fight for higher values of USD/JPY in the coming days?
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Tuesday, September 11, 2018
China Extends its Stocks Bear Market / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
Starting off with the Shanghai Index, which probed beneath the August low this morning. This confirms that Wave (3) may not be complete. Three other indicators of that analysis are, First, Head & Shoulders, when the neckline rests at the bottom of a Wave (1), indicate the minimum target for Wave (3). Next, the Cycles Model does not indicate a Master Cycle low until late October. Finally, a Wave (3) should terminate well beneath the daily Cycle Bottom. There’s still work to do!
Tuesday, September 11, 2018
Best Car Jump Starter 2018 Review - Oittm 1500A Peak Current Battery Booster / Personal_Finance / Motoring
By: HGR
This a review of the Oittm car jump starter that can apparently jump start a 6.5 litre diesel engine that I bought from Amazon for £80. My wife's car battery fails every few months probably because of the way she drives with lights permanently on. So I was hunting for a compact car battery jump starter so I don't need to come out and Jump start the car every few months and finally settled on this one by Oittm because it also has 2 USB ports so I can use to for more than just Jump starting cars i.e. a mega battery pack when out and about.
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Tuesday, September 11, 2018
The Downside For Oil Price Is Limited / Commodities / Crude Oil
By: OilPrice_Com
More than two weeks of nearly uninterrupted price gains for crude oil ended this week, with the rally running out of steam. The question is what happens next?
Oil prices posted steep losses just as the bulls were back on the march. WTI briefly topped $70 per barrel in recent days and Brent was flirting with $80. But the rally was kneecapped by a variety of factors, and it could be challenging to break above those key pricing thresholds in the near future.
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Tuesday, September 11, 2018
AUD/USD Remains in Downtrend and AUD/NZD in Uptrend / Currencies / Austrailia
By: FXOpen
The daily chart of AUD/USD suggests that the pair is in a significant downtrend below 0.7200.
Key Points
- The Aussie dollar started a major downtrend from the 0.8000 barrier against the US Dollar.
- The AUD/USD pair recently broke a crucial declining channel with support at 0.7140 on the daily chart.
Tuesday, September 11, 2018
Index Put/Call Ratio spiked. What this Means for the Stock Market / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
By: Troy_Bombardia
The CBOE’s Index Put/Call Ratio spiked yesterday to 1.78
The Index Put/Call Ratio (CPCI) is different from the Equity Put/Call Ratio (CPCE). The Index Put/Call Ratio measures index options as opposed to equity options. For a more detailed explanation, go to Stockcharts.
The stock market made a short-medium term rally the last 2 times the Index Put/Call Ratio spiked to at least 1.77
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Tuesday, September 11, 2018
ALERT: Gold-to-Silver Ratio Spikes to Highest Level in 27 Years! / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018
By: Jason_Hamlin
The gold-silver ratio has been one of the most reliable technical ‘buy’ indictors for silver, whenever the ratio climbs above 80. The gold-to-silver ratio has now spiked above 85, which is the highest level of this entire 18-year bull market! In fact, you have to go back 27 years to 1991 for the ratio to be higher than it is today. Amazingly, the ratio is currently higher than it was at the depths of the 2008-09 financial crisis (circled in the chart below).
Tuesday, September 11, 2018
Obama's Zombie Followers / Politics / US Politics
By: BATR
Barack Hussein Obama has emerged from his crypt. One of the time-honored practices when a President leaves office has been that they fade into the obscurity of retirement. As witnessed with George W. Bush, the public has not been burdened with his political involvement or wisdom of his years as commander and chief. The same cannot be said about Obama, the perpetual narcissist former head of state. This globalist CIA President caused severe damage to the Republic that any rational citizen would readily admit. Yet, this failed X-President has never shed his vision of grandeur. If anyone doubts about this assessment just reflect on his latest 64-minute speech. President Barack Obama Rips President Donald Trump: Full Speech 9/7/2018.
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Tuesday, September 11, 2018
Stock Market Trend Forecast Update / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
By: Nadeem_Walayat
It's now nearly 2 months since I published my stock market trend forecast for the whole of the remainder of 2018 on the 21st of July 2018 which was first made available to Patrons who support my work. So to get immediate First Access to ALL of my analysis and trend forecasts then do consider becoming a Patron by supporting my work for as little as just $3 per month. https://www.patreon.com/Nadeem_Walayat.
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Tuesday, September 11, 2018
Transportation Index Leads Stock Market Higher / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
By: Chris_Vermeulen
The recent upside breakout seen in the US Transportation Index is a very important signal for traders. Our research team has been following these moves for many months and we believe the recent upside breakout in the $TRAN is a strong sign of future US Equities price moves and all traders should be paying very close attention.
The Transportation Index typically leads the US Equities markets by about 3 to 6 months. Transportation is one of the core elements of economic activity. Items entering the US or distributed throughout the US must rely on transportation to ship/deliver these goods to resellers, wholesalers, and ports. When the Transportation Index rises, one should expect the economic activity to continue to increase.
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Tuesday, September 11, 2018
What Personality Traits Do You Need to Be a Successful Trader? / InvestorEducation / Trader Psychology
By: Boris_Dzhingarov
When you first start trading, you’ll find there are tons of resources out there. While this can be a good thing, it can also become quite overwhelming. In order to be a successful trader, you need a mix of knowledge and the right personality traits to succeed. All the knowledge in the world won’t help you if you’re impatient and blow your money quickly. In this article, we’re going to look at the personality traits you need to become a successful trader.
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Monday, September 10, 2018
Stock Market Upward Reversal or Just Rebound? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
By: Paul_Rejczak
The broad stock market slightly extended its short-term downtrend on Friday, as investors continued taking profits off the table after the recent record-breaking rally. However, the S&P 500 index remains relatively close to its record high. Is this a topping pattern or just a pause before another leg up?
The U.S. stock market indexes lost 0.2-0.3% on Friday, slightly extending their short-term downtrend, as investors reacted to the monthly jobs data release. The S&P 500 index has reached the record high of 2,916.50 on August the 29th. It currently trades 1.5% below that high. Both, Dow Jones Industrial Average and the technology Nasdaq Composite lost 0.3% on Friday.
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Monday, September 10, 2018
How Trump Could Fire Powell and Rebuild the Fed / Politics / US Federal Reserve Bank
By: John_Mauldin
BY PATRICK WATSON : In recent weeks, Trump criticized Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell several times. He doesn’t like that Powell is leading the Fed to raise interest rates.Past presidents avoided such comments so they wouldn’t appear to be interfering. But Trump doesn’t care about appearances.
The Fed is somewhat insulated from electoral politics. The chair and board members have fixed terms. Its composition changes slowly... but it doesn’t have to.
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Monday, September 10, 2018
Why the US Navy Is the Best Sector to Invest in Now / Companies / US Military
By: John_Mauldin
BY ROBERT ROSS : Defense stocks are booming big time.The iShares US Aerospace & Defense ETF (ITA) just hit an all-time high last week:
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