Thursday, October 04, 2018
Gold and Silver Bottoming Pattern May Be in Process / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018
By: The_Gold_Report
Technical expert Jack Chan updates the gold and silver charts, including what he believes to be a bottoming pattern.
Our proprietary cycle indicator is now up.
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Thursday, October 04, 2018
Eurozone Debt Crisis - Italy and the Euro Unplugged / Interest-Rates / Italy
By: Axel_Merk
Why is it that Italy causes such a stir in financial markets when proposing a budget? Is it politics or is the stability of the financial system at stake? In our assessment, the best way to avert a crisis is to allow market forces to play out. Let me explain.
We all “know” Italy is in trouble. Well, before we jump to conclusions, let’s look at a few charts. Above is the Italian unemployment rate; it’s come off a high level, but still elevated. When policy makers call for structural reform, it is a codeword for increasing flexibility in the labor market, i.e. making firing easier. If firing workers is difficult, companies won’t hire workers. It’s also in this context that providing a so-called basic income is criticized by some as providing a disincentive to join the labor force (aside from cementing higher deficits for years to come). Basic income means you get paid, whether you work or not. In practice, the devil is in the details, as European workers have long enjoyed unemployment benefits; streamlining such benefits might actually save the government money. That said, Germany’s low unemployment, to a significant extent, may be due to the fact that welfare benefits were curtailed in 2002 (with a social democrat as chancellor), providing an incentive for workers to join the workforce.
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Thursday, October 04, 2018
Divergence Between Stock Market Indexes: What’s next for Stocks / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
By: Troy_Bombardia
Small cap stocks have significantly underperformed large cap stocks recently.
Yesterday, I demonstrated that this divergence tells you that the bull market’s top is probably 1 year away.
However, this divergence typically means that the bull market’s rally still has some room left (e.g. approximately 6-12 months). As we all know, the stock market can go up a lot during the final 6-12 months of its bull market.
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Thursday, October 04, 2018
How A Global Trade War Would Derail Economic Recovery Worldwide / Economics / Protectionism
By: Dan_Steinbock
As the international community is becoming more aware of the threat the U.S.-Sino trade war poses to global growth, what was originally a bilateral tariff conflict is spreading across regions.During a press conference on September 26, President Donald Trump disclosed why he believes China, despite the U.S. tariff wars, respects him – because of his “very, very large brain.”
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Thursday, October 04, 2018
How Much Longer Can the Stock Market Hold Up? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
By: Graham_Summers
More and more “bells are ringing” for this market rally.
The microcap index, called the Russell 2000, typically leads the overall market in risk on/ risk off moves. With that in mind, what does the below chart suggest?
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Thursday, October 04, 2018
Quantitative Tightening Killing The Stock Market Is 'Fake News' / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
By: Avi_Gilburt
Recently, I read an article which stated that quantitative tightening is the “death knell” to the stock market. Can this be true?
So, allow me to show you why this is just another market fallacy which has been propagated by market analysts and the general media, and then regurgitated from one investor to another until it has risen to the point of “fact.” However, at the end of the day, this too is simply “fake news.”
While I am sure it would seem “logical” to most people that if the Fed takes money out of the system that the stock market would certainly drop. This premise is based upon the common belief that the cause of the market rally was the Fed’s quantitative easing process. So, if you remove the cause of the rally, then obviously the rally will reverse.
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Thursday, October 04, 2018
US Bond Yields Positioned for Upside Acceleration / Interest-Rates / US Bonds
By: Mike_Paulenoff
Ten-year Yield has climbed to a new post-July 2016 (1.32%) high at 3.17%, the highest yield since July 2011, over 7 years ago!
From a technical perspective, today's surge above May-Oct 2018 resistance at 3.11% is a reaction to very strong recent data showing strong ADP Payrolls for September (230,000 vs. 185,000 expected), and impressive ISM Non-manufacturing data across the Headline data (61.6 vs. 58 expected), as well as the sub-surveys in Business Activity, Prices, Orders and Employment for September.
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Wednesday, October 03, 2018
Ratcheting Up the Gold Friendly COT Tension / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018
By: The_Gold_Report
Precious metals expert Michael Ballanger discusses the most recent gold COT report and movements in the market. Once again the COT report from last Tuesday has revealed continued pressure on the already taut firing pins of the gold and silver markets with more shorts added by the Large Spec algobots and more longs/fewer shorts reported by the Commercials largely represented by the bullion banks. If it is the gold cartel that has capped rallies in the $1,350-1,375 range since August 2016, it is that same gold cartel that are actually positioned for a rally today and where the market is baffling everyone is the failure of the Crimex Criminals to launch the rally. The answer lies in the ascent of the machines in dictating direction in any and all markets. Whereas the algos have been focused on all things non-metal in recent years, they have taken to the gold and silver markets lately and are displaying phenomenal power and control in thwarting the intentions of the bullion bank cartel.
Wednesday, October 03, 2018
U.S.- Mexico - Canada Trade Agreement / Politics / US Politics
By: BATR
Now that the most disastrous aspects of NAFTA have been removed from the new U.S. Mexico Canada Agreement; traders, business managers and the public will get to see the true sentiments of the globalists, who will feel the pain of losing their special commercial protections. Restricting genuine free trade has always been the main objective of the corporatists and internationalists. The basic question: has President Trump bucked the financial monopolists and transformed commerce with a dose of business reciprocity or is USMCA just a back door to establish a North American Union?
Wednesday, October 03, 2018
Successful Traders "Learn to Do Something That Almost No One Else Can Do" / InvestorEducation / Learn to Trade
By: EWI
Why successful financial speculators are so rareMost market speculators dream about trading their way to wealth.
But, also, most discover very quickly that their list of trading "dos" and "don'ts" are just not sufficient.
The hard, cold truth is that most will fail. According to brokers' statistics, up to 90% of all traders will end up losing money. It's a steep hill to climb.
But, there is a way. As you keep reading, you'll discover how to get important insights into what makes traders successful.
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Wednesday, October 03, 2018
Thorium, Uranium’s Ugly Stepsister for Nuclear Reactor Fuel / Commodities / Nuclear Power
By: Richard_Mills
Most junior resource investors know uranium, and many got in on the action when NexGen Energy and Fission Uranium made their discoveries in the Athabasca Basin of Saskatchewan, the region with the highest grades of uranium in the world. Smart, or lucky, shareholders of NXE enjoyed a cumulative share price rise of around 430% between 2014 and 2016, while Fission Energy - famous for its Patterson Lake South property that yielded the open-pittable Triple R deposit - jumped from 91 cents in November 2013 to $1.62 a share in April 2014, for a gain of 78%.
Uranium is the fuel needed to create the nuclear reaction that can either create nuclear power or nuclear weapons. To make nuclear fuel from uranium ore, the uranium is first extracted from the rock, then enriched with the uranium-235 isotope, before being made into pellets that are loaded into assemblies of nuclear fuel rods. In a nuclear reactor, several hundred fuel assemblies containing thousands of small pellets of uranium oxide are in the reactor core. The nuclear chain reaction that creates energy starts when U-235 splits or “fissions”, which produces a lot of heat in a controlled environment.
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Wednesday, October 03, 2018
This Stocks Sector Is Like Buying Apple or Microsoft in 2002 / Companies / Tech Stocks
By: Stephen_McBride
From 1996–2000, the Nasdaq shot up 380%.Investors got rich and partied. The party stopped when the bubble popped and the Nasdaq cratered over 80%, wiping out millions of retirement accounts:
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Wednesday, October 03, 2018
Bitcoin Time for More Action? / Currencies / Bitcoin
By: Mike_McAra
Bitcoin has been moving up for some time now. The path to higher values has been a rocky one and Bitcoin bulls might be getting some encouragement. Whether this translates to a bullish outlook is another question entirely.
Not all governments are hostile to Bitcoin. Actually, a lot of governments are simply not sure what Bitcoin is and how to approach it. The government of Malta stands out as an example of how officials might actually try to understand the currency and regulate it. In an article on CoinDesk, we read:
Now, in an address to the United Nation's General Assembly, Malta Prime Minister Joseph Muscat has said he sees blockchain technology as the tool which will allow bitcoin and crypto to "inevitably" gain widespread, mass adoption and become the future of money.
Wednesday, October 03, 2018
How America Can Free Itself From Wall Street / Politics / Banksters
By: Ellen_Brown
Wall Street owns the country. That was the opening line of a fiery speech that populist leader Mary Ellen Lease delivered around 1890. Franklin Roosevelt said it again in a letter to Colonel House in 1933, and Sen. Dick Durbin was still saying it in 2009. “The banks—hard to believe in a time when we’re facing a banking crisis that many of the banks created—are still the most powerful lobby on Capitol Hill,” Durbin said in an interview. “And they frankly own the place.”
Wednesday, October 03, 2018
Your invitation to Guy Cohen’s Hidden Money Masterclass / Stock-Markets / Learn to Trade
By: Submissions
Dear Reader,
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A successful, self-made trader (who once turned £10,800 into £38,500 in 10 days)…
Tuesday, October 02, 2018
RUT vs. Dow: Stock Market Today is Just Like 1999? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
By: Troy_Bombardia
The U.S. stock market has made a breadth divergence recently. We examined the S&P 500’s breadth divergence yesterday. While this isn’t necessarily bearish, there are a cluster of signals in 2007 (near the previous bull market’s top).
We are seeing more and more of a breadth divergence.
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Tuesday, October 02, 2018
How to Keep the Philippine Economic Future on Track / Economics / Phillippines
By: Dan_Steinbock
The Philippines is on the right path, if the government can continue to balance between strong growth amid international uncertainty, while pushing reforms that raise living standards. Inflation and foreign investment tell the story.According to the just-released report by the International Monetary Fund (IMF), Philippine real GDP grew by 6.7% in 2017 and by 6.3% in the first half of 2018 on a year-to-year basis, led by strong public investment.
The current challenge is inflation, which rose to 6.4% in August 2018. That’s an average of 4.8% percent year to date, which is above the inflation target band of 2−4%.
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Tuesday, October 02, 2018
China Is a Growing Force That Many Grossly Underestimate / Economics / China Economy
By: John_Mauldin
We hear a lot about the China’s vast problems. They are very real and could have major consequences. But economic reality isn’t black and white.At any given time, both good things and bad things are happening. Ignoring one side because it doesn’t fit your preferred outlook is an excellent way to go badly wrong.
This article is my attempt to demonstrate that China has good news, and even some fabulously great news, much of it quite compelling.
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Tuesday, October 02, 2018
The Silver Exclamation Mark / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018
By: P_Radomski_CFA
Rallying mining stocks? Forget about them. Silver is the new cool kid in the neighborhood. Having rallied by almost 50 cents in just one day, silver stole the spotlight and seems to be ready to move much higher… Or much lower. Does anyone still fall for silver’s fake rallies? Based on the size of the rally and the corresponding volume, it certainly seems to be the case. But you don’t have to fall for it – that is if you prefer to analyze the market’s emotionality instead of acting on it. It’s not an easy thing to do, because each silver rally seems to be “it”. But what’s easy and what’s profitable is rarely the same thing.
Today’s analysis will be quite specific, because we already wrote about “the silver signal” several times in the past several days. We did emphasize our take on the silver market more than once, because the market itself provided us with the signal more than once.
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Tuesday, October 02, 2018
IKEA Flat Pack Wardrobe vs Land Rover Discovery Sport Boot / Personal_Finance / Motoring
By: N_Walayat
Whilst shopping at IKEA to buy a TV stand on the spur of the moment I also bought a large wardrobe because it was cheap (£65). However, I had not measured whether the two big flat pack boxes at 1.89 metres long and 60 or so cm wide would fit in the Land Rover Discovery Sport. I hoped they would, anyway watch the video to see what happened which acts as a good guide as to how long an object one can get into a Land Rover Discovery Sport.
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