Wednesday, April 18, 2018
The Stock Market “Turn of the Month Effect” Exists in 11 of 11 Countries / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
Dear Investor,
I first discussed the “turn-of-the-month effect” in Seasonal Insights issue 6 of March 21, 2018. The term describes the fact that price gains in the stock market tend to cluster around the turn of the month.
By contrast, the rest of the time around the middle of the month is typically less profitable for investors.
With respect to the US stock market, I also showed how the “turn-of-the-month effect”” evolved over time, when it was particularly pronounced and when it tended to wane.
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Wednesday, April 18, 2018
Winter is Coming - Coming Storms Will Bring Out the Best and Worst in Humanity / Politics / Social Issues
“The very survival of the nation will feel at stake. Sometime before the year 2025, America will pass through a great gate in history, commensurate with the American Revolution, Civil War, and twin emergencies of the Great Depression and World War II.” – Strauss & Howe – The Fourth Turning
In Part One of this article I laid out the reasons for Gray Champions arising to meet challenges during crisis periods in history. In Part Two of this article I assessed the configuration of Gray Champions throughout the world and the potential impact on the course of this Fourth Turning.
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Wednesday, April 18, 2018
The Bullish And Bearish Case For Oil Prices / Commodities / Crude Oil
Oil prices could rise due to the “perfect storm of stagnant supply, geopolitical risk, and a harsh winter,” according to an April 12 note from Barclays.
Geopolitical events specifically could help keep Brent above $70 through April and May, which comes on the back of a substantial decline in oil inventories.
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Wednesday, April 18, 2018
UK Savings Accounts that Finally Beat CPI Inflation / Personal_Finance / Savings Accounts
At a time when savers are striving to get their nest egg to work harder for them, they may be disappointed to know that monthly interest accounts are failing to offer the same rates available as alternative interest payment options. So, while they may assume they are getting more interest, this may not always be the case. If annual interest is offered, it usually pays more than the monthly option.
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Wednesday, April 18, 2018
How China Can Respond to Trump’s Tariff Trade War / Politics / Protectionism
In the trade war against China, the White House’s “America First” advocates are relying on trade instruments that contained Japan’s rise in the 1980s. But China is not Japan. It has ten ways to hit back.On Tuesday, China said it would impose anti-dumping duties on imports of U.S. sorghum. As the largest buyer of U. sorghum - about $1 billion annually - China holds substantial leverage. Currently, China relies almost solely on the US for its sorghum. As bilateral trade relations erode, that kind of reliance may soon be a thing of the past.
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Wednesday, April 18, 2018
Stock Market Short Squeeze/Melt-Up We Predicted Started Today / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
The US majors are all nearly 1% higher for the day with the NASDAQ up over 2.25%. Our analysis of the markets was DEAD ON. We called the 2678 level on the ES as a key resistance level to watch before any breakout to the upside would potentially happen. We also called this market bottom nearly three weeks ago on March 28, 2018 and we are up over 15% on a position to take advantage of it with our followers. We have been nailing these market reversals with incredible accuracy all year and we are just getting started with our Advanced Dynamic Learning systems we have developed.
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Wednesday, April 18, 2018
What Does it Take to Create Living Wage Jobs? / Politics / Wages
For those with the practical experience of being an employer, it is well established that in order for an enterprise to survive, profitability is a primary objective. Employing labor is a function of fulfilling a needed task and matching the skills of the worker with the ability of making or running equipment in order to produce the end product for sale. These conditions are the basics when applicants are hired. Putting aside cultural values of work itself, the methods for training the expertise to become productive are often overlooked by managers in the fast paced and changing work environment. Resolving this problem is the practical path on how to build a viable workforce, which in turn would go a long way to be able to pay a living wage.
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Wednesday, April 18, 2018
5 "Core" Elliott Wave Patterns, Hershey (NYSE: HSY) / Companies / Company Chart Analysis
The choppy rise in the stock of Hershey -- and the sharp recent breakdown -- speak volumes to an observant Elliott wave investor. See if you can spot the tell-tale signs...
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Wednesday, April 18, 2018
Gold and Silver Buy Signals / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018
Technical analyst Jack Chan updates the gold and silver charts and finds buy signals for both gold and silver.
Our proprietary cycle indicator is up.
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Wednesday, April 18, 2018
Investor Alert: How to See Through the Fog of War / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2018
The U.S. fired 105 Tomahawk missiles into Syria on Friday night.
In other times, the salvo would have put Americans on edge over the prospect of war with nuclear-armed Russia. Our former Cold War adversary is actively defending the Syrian regime and warning the U.S. to mind its own affairs.
But, these days not much can command the attention of the complacent public.
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Wednesday, April 18, 2018
WINTER IS COMING - The Ongoing Fourth Turning Crisis Part2 / Politics / US Politics
“Don’t think you can escape the Fourth Turning the way you might today distance yourself from news, national politics, or even taxes you don’t feel like paying. History warns that a Crisis will reshape the basic social and economic environment that you now take for granted. The Fourth Turning necessitates the death and rebirth of the social order. It is the ultimate rite of passage for an entire people, requiring a luminal state of sheer chaos whose nature and duration no one can predict in advance.” – Strauss & Howe – The Fourth Turning
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Tuesday, April 17, 2018
Gold Resists Strikes / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018
Boom! The U.S. and its allies struck Syria in response to a suspected deadly chemical attack several days ago. Gold should be the safe haven in such situations, right? But the price of gold was practically unchanged on Monday. What happened?
U.S. Strikes Syria. Gold Yawns
A lot has happened in recent days. Luckily, we have kept an eye on the most important developments for you, so let’s analyze their potential impact for the gold market. First of all, Syria is again on the investors’ radar. Or actually on the military’s radar – on Friday, the U.S. lead allies – France and the UK – and launched a missile attack on Syria for an alleged chemical weapon attack on a town near Damascus on April 7. It was probably the most significant attack against President Bashar al-Assad’s government by Western powers in seven years of Syria’s civil war, so investors worried about the repercussions.
Tuesday, April 17, 2018
A Stock Market Rally on Low Volume is NOT Bearish / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
Conventional trading “wisdom” states that a rally that occurs on falling volume is bearish. Conventional “wisdom” states that sustainable rallies should occur on rising volume.
This simply isn’t true. As we said in Don’t use volume for trading,
Rising/falling volume isn’t a bullish sign or a bearish sign. It just is. Volume is mostly irrelevant. It doesn’t give you much of an edge in the markets.
The S&P 500 is rallying on falling volume right now.
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Tuesday, April 17, 2018
Three Gold Charts, One Big Gold Stocks Opportunity / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2018
This week’s about knowing when it’s a low risk time to buy gold stocks.
We’ve had two things happening over the past several years…
One… The S&P 500 has soared to record heights as the economy came out of the housing crisis dungeon.
Two… Gold stocks, plus other commodities went into the dungeon due to a multi-year bear market in commodities.
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Tuesday, April 17, 2018
Inflation Is Not Our Biggest Threat / Economics / Inflation
You wouldn’t know that by listening to current commentary on the economy.
There is a bigger threat, though. But first, there is some clarification about inflation that is necessary.
Most people infer rising prices when they hear the term inflation. That is not correct. The rising prices are the ‘effects’ of inflation. The inflation, itself, has already been created.
It is notcreated, or caused, by companies raising prices. And it is not created by ‘escalating wage demand’.
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Tuesday, April 17, 2018
Crude Oil Price As Bullish as it Seems? / Commodities / Crude Oil
A fresh 2018 high, an unbroken resistance and negative divergence. What does this interesting mix tell us about oil bull’s strength and further increases?
Technical Analysis of Crude Oil
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Tuesday, April 17, 2018
Eliminate Trump Unites the Deep State Establishment / Politics / Conspiracy Theory
Any assessment of the Never Trump cabal produces some inescapable conclusions. The War Party is emphatically in control of the military-industrial complex, the Deep State is thoroughly entrenched and manipulates the techno/bureaucracy, and the Shadow Government runs the levers of real and underlying government institutions. The Trump election was a reflection of a populist movement. As the unending condemnation of the President is heard nonstop from a coordinated media script, the uninformed often concludes that all the ills of his administration is a direct result of the man himself.
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Tuesday, April 17, 2018
‘Tin soldiers and Nixon coming, We’re finally on our own’ / Politics / US Politics
Neil Young pinned those lyrics to his song, ‘Ohio’. The tin soldiers were the National Guard and Nixon was the President. The song was about the Guard’s execution of four students at Kent State in 1970. But today, these lyrics seem truer than ever. Governments for the governed have turned on the governed. Governments conduct the business of governed in secrecy for the benefit of the government. Governments initiate acts of aggression against other peoples who have no representation in their government. The media is a propaganda arm of the government. The governed have no idea what is really happening. How do we ‘know’ anything today? In a vacuum of leadership, it does feel like ‘we are finally on our own.’
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Tuesday, April 17, 2018
Why the Fed is Worse for the Market than Trade Tariffs / Interest-Rates / US Federal Reserve Bank
“Always tell the truth.”In addition to being number eight on the Top 10 list of things we should always do, being truthful is just a great way to avoid trouble in life.
You never have to remember what lie you told to whom, and you never have to make up more lies to cover those you’ve already put out into the universe.
But we don’t.
I don’t know a single person who is completely honest. And this goes way beyond, “Do these clothes make me look fat?”
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Tuesday, April 17, 2018
A Good Time to Buy Facebook? / Companies / Tech Stocks
As I watch Mark Zuckerberg testify in Congress today, I’m reminded of theEconomy & Markets article I wrote on the subject two weeks ago. At the time, shares of Facebook (Nasdaq: FB) were dropping fast.Since then, we’ve had plenty of ink spilled on the subject of data privacy and the role of Facebook in keeping our information under wraps. None of it has changed my view. There’s a reason our data, which we freely post in many places, bounces around the internet like a pinball.
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