Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.
Saturday, January 03, 2009
Stock Market Wave 4 Rally Scenario Intact / Stock-Markets / Elliott Wave Theory
By: Mike_Shedlock
The "wave 4 theory" is alive and fine. Here is the chart from December 8th Bullish Looking Charts: S&P 500, Nasdaq, BKX describing possible targets for Wave 4.
In Elliott Wave terms we are looking for a "wave [4]" bounce. The short term implications are bullish with possible retrace targets of 1008 for a 38.2% retrace or 1090 for a 50% retrace of "wave [3]". The long term implications are rather nasty. Our "Wave [5]" target back down is approximately 600.
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Friday, January 02, 2009
An Unappy New Year for the Financial Markets / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2008
By: Professor_Emeritus
Another forgotten anniversary that haunts the nation is the re-establishment of the gold standard in the United States by the Roosevelt administration on January 1, 1934. What? -- you may ask incredulously. Roosevelt re-introducing the gold standard in the United States? You had better believe it. That's exactly what he did. He fixed the statutory price of gold at $35 per ounce 75 years ago. This price was observed until 1971 as it was also incorporated in several international treaties, and confirmed by the solemn promises of several presidents following Roosevelt. It is a great pity that Roosevelt-worshippers frown upon the idea of following the leader. They should demand a return to the gold standard now, 75 years after Roosevelt showed the way out from the economic quagmire. Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, January 02, 2009
Stock Market What's in Store for 2009? / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets
By: Marty_Chenard
If you have been listening to CNBC or Bloomberg, you have probably picked up on a "growing expectation" that we will come out of the recession in the 3rd. Quarter of this year. Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, January 02, 2009
Gloomy Corporate Earnings Prospects Hold Key to Stock Market Investing / Stock-Markets / Investing 2009
By: Money_Morning
Martin Hutchinson writes: The consensus estimate of earnings for the Standard and Poor's 500 Index for 2009 is currently about $83. The index itself is currently standing at about 904. That means the market is trading on only 10.6 times next year's forecast earnings, far below the historical average multiple.
So it is a screaming buy, right?
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Friday, January 02, 2009
Stock, Commodities and Currency Futures Markets Analysis 2nd January 2009 / Stock-Markets / Futures Trading
By: INO
The March NASDAQ 100 was higher overnight as it extends Wednesday's rally. From a broader perspective, March continues to extend last month's trading range. Stochastics and the RSI are turning bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. If March extends this week's rally, the reaction high crossing at 1254.00 is the next upside target. Closes above the reaction high crossing at 1254.00 are needed to renew the rally off November's low. Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, January 02, 2009
2008 a Humiliating Year for Global Investors, Grim Outlook for 2009 / Stock-Markets / Global Stock Markets
By: Oxbury_Research
Good-bye 2008: Wish We Never Knew Ya! - Much like an embarrassing family member or friend, or humiliating past pictures taken of you in a ridiculous outfit or pose, we'd all like to pretend that 2008 never happened and it was just a figment of our imagination.
Personally, we've had friends lose their jobs, watch their business nosedive, pull their hair at sharply reduced retirement incomes and/or be abandoned by their wives. And everyone's investment portfolio got blasted to one degree or another.
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Wednesday, December 31, 2008
Most Popular Financial Markets Analysis of 2008 / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets
By: Nadeem_Walayat
As the abysmal investment and economic year of 2008 draws to a close the following represent the 10 most popular financial markets analysis articles out of a pool of 5000 published during the year. For my financial markets outlook and forecasts special for 2009, subscribe to our always free newsletter.Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, December 31, 2008
The Last Hour of 2008, an Extraordinarily Long Year / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets
By: Mike_Shedlock
2008 is rapidly winding down. If it seems like it's been a long year, it's because it has been. Tick tock ... tick: Extra second added to 2008
Those eager to put 2008 behind them will have to hold their good-byes for just a moment this New Year's Eve.
The world's official timekeepers have added a "leap second" to the last day of the year on Wednesday, to help match clocks to the Earth's slowing spin on its axis, which takes place at ever-changing rates affected by tides and other factors.
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Wednesday, December 31, 2008
Stock Market Forecast and Strategy for 2009 / Stock-Markets / Investing 2009
By: Michael_Swanson
This is the time of year where everyone gives out stock market forecasts and this year in particular they are all over the map. David Bianco of UBS AG is calling for a 53% rally for the S&P 500 in 2009. He claims that the first "signs of a dawn of confidence" will cause a total surge in stock prices thanks to cheap valuations and Fed intervention. On the other hand regular CNBC talking head Vince Farrell thinks that "the stock market will take its time forming a bottom - at best. Damage like we have seen takes months to repair." Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, December 31, 2008
Stock, Commodities and Currency Futures Markets Analysis 31st December / Stock-Markets / Futures Trading
By: INO
The March NASDAQ 100 was steady to slightly higher overnight as it extends Tuesday's rally. Stochastics and the RSI are turning neutral signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. If March extends this week's rally, the reaction high crossing at 1254.00 is the next upside target. Closes above the reaction high crossing at 1254.00 are needed to renew this month's rally. If March renews Monday's decline, the reaction low crossing at 1135.00 is the next downside target. Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, December 31, 2008
Stock Market Panic's The Greatest Investment Opportunities in History / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
By: Money_and_Markets
Sean Brodrick writes: Happy New Year's Eve. What a year, eh? Speculation causes a massive market collapse … gold prices soar … leading bankers fail …
But I'm not talking about today's market woes! I'm talking about the Panic of 1873.
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Wednesday, December 31, 2008
Stock Market Internals Point to Continuing Base Building into 2009 / Stock-Markets / Global Stock Markets
By: Prieur_du_Plessis
As investors ring out the old year, trading volume should remain light until battle-weary traders return from the holidays next week. Not much weight should therefore be placed on market movements during this “thin” period, and the S&P 500 Index will probably not deviate a great deal from its three-week trading range. Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, December 31, 2008
Seismic Geopolitical Impacts on Stock and Commodity Markets / Stock-Markets / GeoPolitics
By: Oxbury_Research
There's no doubt that geopolitical events have the potential to roil markets. And it's equally true that consideration of the broader sweep of history and its attendant social transformations can offer intelligent investors a chance to profit.
So, too, however, is it easy to miscalculate the impact of politics – and even significant military events – on the course of bull and bear markets. Especially in a world driven by 24 hour, live-hype media that would have you believe the sky is falling every time Mahmoud Ahmadinejad hiccups.
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Tuesday, December 30, 2008
Stocks, Interest Rates, Dollar and Commodities Mega-trend Forecasts 2009 / Stock-Markets / Investing 2009
By: Money_and_Markets
Tony Sagami writes: 2008 has been a very difficult year for investors. And most are eager to put it behind them while hoping for a better 2009.
I don't have a crystal ball. But I believe there are five powerful trends that can destroy or enrich your portfolio next year …
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Tuesday, December 30, 2008
Bombed Out Markets Ready to Bounce in 2009 / Stock-Markets / Investing 2009
By: Aden_Forecast
THE END OF A BAD YEAR - As the year draws to a close, we can only say that we're sure this will be a year we'll all remember for a long time. It'll probably fall into the category of 1974, when the country was in a steep recession and gas lines wrapped around blocks, or like 1979. At that time, inflation was raging and interest rates soared to 20%. Even though the circumstances were very different, those landmark times are well remembered and this year will be similar.Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, December 30, 2008
Financial Market Forecasts for 2009 / Stock-Markets / Investing 2009
By: Oxbury_Research
The year 2008 is coming to a close. Good riddance! 2008 will be remembered as the year that the chickens came home to roost for America's brand of “elitist capitalism” and will long be remembered as the year where the greed of so few penalized so many. Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, December 30, 2008
Foundations of the Financial Crisis / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2008
By: John_Mauldin
This week I have a special Outside the Box for you. My long-time friend Doug Casey wrote a very prescient piece back in 1997. He has updated it somewhat for today's times. The critical part is a summary of the work of Richard Strauss and (friend) John Howe and their book The Fourth Turning, which I consider one of the more important and prescient (that word again) books of the last 25 years. (Amazon.com). It should still be read today. It is seminal to understanding the times we live in.
Doug summarized the book and makes some observations based on that understanding, many of which turned out to be true and some of which may well be in out future. I think you will find this to be very useful and enlightening if you are not familiar with their work, and a great review if you are.
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Monday, December 29, 2008
Stock Market Investor Sentiment: Sell Into Strength / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: Guy_Lerner
This is the third week in a row where the "dumb money" is neutral and the "smart money" is bearish, and this is not a scenario that is generally supportive of higher prices especially with prices on the S&P500 under their 40 week moving average. The ideal situation for higher equity prices would be for the "smart money" to be bullish and the "dumb money" bearish (i.e., bull signal). Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, December 29, 2008
Martin Armstrong and the Stocks Bear Market / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: Brian_Bloom
Armstrong's “It's just time” - A friend was kind enough to send me the following link to an article dated October 10 th 2008, written by Martin Armstrong. http://www.scribd.com/.. For those who have never heard of him, Armstrong is possibly the most knowledgeable man on the planet regarding the subject of cycles as they apply to social behaviour. He developed a complex forecasting model – based on fractal natural cycles (cycles within cycles within cycles) – which was so accurate according to Armstrong that it came to the attention of the CIA who sought to acquire ownership of and control over it. As Armstrong tells it, when he turned the CIA down they contrived to ensure that he was sidelined and they took his computer anyway, which led to his source code self-destructing when it was tampered with. Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, December 29, 2008
Stock Markets Heading for Test of Lows in January 2009 / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: Andre_Gratian
Current Position of the Market
SPX: Long-term trend -
Down! The very-long-term cycles have taken over and if they make their lows when expected, the bear market which started in October 2007 should continue until 2012-2014. This would imply that much lower prices lie ahead.
SPX: Intermediate trend - An intermediate low may have been reached in November, but this remains to be confirmed. There is good possibility that January 2009 will bring a new low, or at least a test of the lows.
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