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Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Stock-Markets

Wednesday, January 31, 2018

How Will The S&P 500 Reach 4000? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018

By: Avi_Gilburt

There is no real secret to the market. In fact, it is rather simple. But, that does not mean the specific smaller degree moves in the market will be just as simple.

You see, markets are no different wherever you look. Whether that be metals, equities, Forex, crypto-currencies, etc, they all react in the exact same way. Markets simply move from one extreme to another. And, we need to be able to identify where those extremes can cause a turn.

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Stock-Markets

Wednesday, January 31, 2018

Crises and Opportunity – Possible End of the Line for Stocks! / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018

By: Enda_Glynn

There is not one person living today that has seen a period of overvaluation such as the onewe are living through right now.
And there are few people still alive who witnessed a crash similar to the one we are about to experience.

The market hit such an extreme level last week
that it brought the long term valuation metrics I follow
To a level higher than the property bubble highs of 2007,
the DOTCOM bubble highs of 1999,
the cocaine highs of 1987,
the space age highs of 1966,
and the roaring 20's highs of 1929.

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Stock-Markets

Wednesday, January 31, 2018

Stock Market Short-term Support May Come Into Play / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

SPX is getting some lift at the Short-term support level at 2815.25. It suggests that may be the downside limit for this decline. If so, it may have its work cut out for it at the gap, which refused to be filled this morning. My best estimate is that SPX may make a probe (lower) to the Short-term support level before attempting a bounce.

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, January 30, 2018

Stock Market Sell Signal Confirmed / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

SPX has a substantial gap down this morning. It is likely that there will be an attempt to fill the gap. However, should this be the beginning of Super Cycle Wave (C), the gap may not be filled. Find the best level you can to place your short positions, but don’t try to outguess what happens next. You are likely to beat the crowd by being early and let the market do the rest.

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, January 30, 2018

Stock Market Trendlines are Violated. SPX Sell is On / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

Good Morning!

USD futures are sown this morning as the index probes toward a new low. Yesterday it back-tested its Cycle Bottom resistance prior to the resumption of its decline. As mentioned, USD is likely to overshoot its target before the main reversal. The Cycles Model implies that the turn may come on Monday February 5. If so, I suggest taking downside profits on Friday.

ZeroHedge reports, “The global selloff that started on Monday as traders were spooked by the double whammy of surging interest rates and fears about iPhone X demand, and resulting in the biggest drop in US stocks since September, accelerated overnight and as seen below world stocks and US equity futures are a sea of red this morning:”

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Stock-Markets

Monday, January 29, 2018

Are Bond Yields About to Slap Stocks Out of Their Euphoria? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018

By: Graham_Summers

Rates continue to rise, though stocks remain oblivious.

The yield on the 10-Year US Treasury continues to soar, with a confirmed breakout from its 10-year downtrend.

Now, cynics would ask, “why does this matter? The yield is at the same level as it was in 2009, 2010, 2011, 2013, and 2014.”

It matters because throughout this time period, corporates and governments were adding debt.

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Stock-Markets

Monday, January 29, 2018

Don’t Fight the Fed! Or the Rest of the World’s Central Banks / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2018

By: Michael_Pento

On March 9, 2009, The Wall Street Journal’s Money and Investing section posed this ominous question: "How low can stocks go?" The stench of economic malaise was suffocating as the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) rounded off its fourth straight week of losses, and the S&P 500 touched below 700 for the first time in 13 years. Goldman Sachs cautioned the S&P could fall to 400, while CNBC’s Jim Cramer was busily calculating the stock valuations of the DJIA components based on balance sheet cash levels. 

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Stock-Markets

Monday, January 29, 2018

Stocks are Down, VIX is Higher, But No Signal This Morning / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

Good Morning!

TNX futures are higher this morning as to blows out prior resistance levels into a clear Wave (5) rally that is still in its early stages. It is approaching its Weekly Cycle Top resistance at 27.80, but is likely to blow through it. The Head I Shoulders pattern usually indicates the terminus of Wave 3. The Monthly Cycle Top is near 35.00 and may be the ultimate target of this final Primary Wave [1] off its all-time low.

ZeroHedge reports, “The recent frantic moves in Treasurys and the dollar continued on Monday as we enter what is set to be a juggernaut of a "rollercoaster week", and while the dollar collapse seems to have slowed for now, this is as a result of an acceleration in the Treasury selloff, with 10Y yields blowing out to 2.72% for the first time since early 2014, and now deep into what Jeff Gundlach called the "danger zone" for equities.”

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Stock-Markets

Monday, January 29, 2018

More New Record Highs, But Stocks Bull Market May Die On That Euphoria / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018

By: Paul_Rejczak

The U.S. stock market indexes gained between 0.9% and 1.3% on Friday, extending their uptrend despite worse-than-expected advance GDP number release, as investors' sentiment remained very bullish.

The S&P 500 index has reached new record high at the level of 2,872.87. It broke above its Wednesday's high of 2,852.97. The Dow Jones Industrial Average has also reached new record high at the level of 26,616.71. It was relatively weaker than the broad stock market, as it gained 0.9%. The technology Nasdaq Composite reached new record high of 7,505.77, as it gained 1.3% on Friday.

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Stock-Markets

Monday, January 29, 2018

Analysis and Market Setups - Stocks Rising, GDP Rising but things Not Straightforward / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2018

By: Abalgorithm

US GDP rose at a 2.6% annual rate in the fourth quarter. Output grew 2.5% in 2017 as a whole, the most in three years, and the Federal Reserve predicts 2.5% growth again in 2018. Business executives have reported solid quarterly earnings in recent weeks and pointed optimistically to investment and hiring plans for 2018, supported in part by federal tax cuts. Stock prices keep churning higher. And on Friday the Commerce Department reported that U.S. economic output remained on an above-trend path in the final three months of last year.

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Stock-Markets

Monday, January 29, 2018

Stock Market Still Strong! / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018

By: Andre_Gratian

Current Position of the Market

SPX: Long-term trend – The bull market is continuing with a top expected in the low 3000s.
 
 Intermediate trend –  A new surge  of buying has moved ahead the forecast for an intermediate term top.

Analysis of the short-term trend is done on a daily basis with the help of hourly charts.  It is an important adjunct to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which discusses the course of longer market trends

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Stock-Markets

Sunday, January 28, 2018

Stock Market Once in a Lifetime Rally / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018

By: Rambus_Chartology

“With the rally continuing to power higher in the stock markets I’m going to update the portfolio combo charts so you can see how this once is a lifetime rally in unfolding. When this impulse move finally burns itself out we will get a decent sized correction that may take a year or two build out. Until then the hardest thing for most investors riding this bull is to hang on for dear life.

For over six months or longer we’ve heard the never ending story about how overbought this market is, but the stock market doesn’t care what we think. The investors that have missed this rally are crying the loudest that the stock market has to crash because they’re not in it, if they were they would be enjoying the ride of a lifetime. At any rate the correction is going to come at some point and I can guarantee you that we won’t hit the absolute top tick. We have some price objectives that hopefully will get us out in time to enjoy our profits.

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Stock-Markets

Sunday, January 28, 2018

Stocks and Commodities Reached Significant Resistance Levels, May Signal End of the Rally / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2018

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

VIX performed an inside consolidation, closing above Long-term support at 10.83 and on a buy signal.  The calm may be broken.  A breakout above the Ending Diagonal trendline suggests a complete retracement of the decline from January 2016, and possibly to August 2015. 

(Bloomberg)  Just as the rapper Curtis Jackson III captures attention for realizing he’s made millions on Bitcoin, the buyer of volatility options that shares his moniker is a window shopper in VIX options no longer.

Trading patterns associated with the trader dubbed “50 Cent” resurfaced on Friday as 50,000 March VIX calls with a strike price of 24 were purchased for 49 cents a pop.

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Stock-Markets

Sunday, January 28, 2018

US Stock Markets Living In A Bubble / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018

By: WMA

Signs that U.S. equities are in a bubble continue to proliferate. Although a bubble can only be confirmed in retrospect, prudent investors need to adjust their investment approach for this eventuality.  

It is said that the earlier you buy in a bubble, the better off you’ll be when the bubble bursts. Or, an investor could simply just avoid buying the assets in a bubble all together. The latter option makes more sense to us today. This implies not doing buy & hold investments in the popular indexes (Dow, S&P 500, Nasdaq-100) heavily weighted in assets that are among the most crowded trades on the planet: Boeing, Caterpillar, 3M, Amazon, Microsoft, Google, etc.  As investors, all of our strategy portfolios are oriented towards relatively attractive foreign companies and resources stocks.  For traders (or investors who can’t stand watching the equity markets advance without them), beware of sharp pull-backs. A bubble market does not back-up to give outsiders a nice opportunity to get onboard. Getting a -3% dip on the S&P 500 at this stage probably has more chance of being the beginning of a downdraft rather than a buy-the-dip opportunity. 

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Stock-Markets

Sunday, January 28, 2018

Share Market That Constantly Drives The Economy Forward With Very Important Forces Of Financial Development / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018

By: Kavinesh_A

 What share market offers in the longer run in the longer run is without comparison the best possible results but today, when identifying the very best of its performance, one needs to analyze the concepts and conclusions of its very nature in a broad and elaborate manner. Taking into consideration the very steps that constitute one’s question to effectively manage proper backup documents in creating a reasonable chance, one can be very sure that stock exchange markets are here for the longer run to define and multiply the profits in the very levels, to ensure that the gain is maximized. When Waiting for very efficient and considerable options and opportunities there needs to be a notion that will define the principles of how and why the very concepts of how effectively one can manage the very reason to believe in the constituent of making profits without much loss. Learning and understanding about stock exchange is very relevant in today’s times of gamble where nobody knows how they could become and overnight millionaire just by investing in the right stocks and shares.

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Stock-Markets

Friday, January 26, 2018

Davos – My Personal Experience of the $100,000 Event, $60 Burgers, Massive Inequality and Blockchain Revolution / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2018

By: GoldCore

– Davos elite hear warnings of complacency akin to 2007 as economic risks grow
– Toxic mix of infallible belief, arrogance, megalomania and economic ignorance
– Some express concern economies are vulnerable due to imbalances, trade, geo-political tensions
– Soros: Trump creating ‘mafia state’ & ‘set on a course towards nuclear war’ with N Korea
– Bond bear market, rising interest rates and massive $233 trillion debt are some of the many threats to global stability
– Davos theme explores massive inequality across the globe while eating $60 hamburgers
– Thousand private jets fly as some attendees lecture poor and middle classes about their fossil fuel consumption

– Blockchain has potential to revolutionise the world of money and foster equality – if not co-opted by elites 
– Better spending $100,000 on physical gold stored in vault in Switzerland then $100k to attend Davos

By Jan Skoyles. Editor Mark O’Byrne

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Stock-Markets

Friday, January 26, 2018

Sell the Stock Market Rally! / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

Good Morning!

SPX futures are higher, but no new records. Today is day 253 of the Master Cycle that began at the May 18, 2017 low. As mentioned, we may call this an inverted Master Cycle because of its uninterrupted rally since then. An inverted Master Cycle may also mean the end of a trend, since it sows the seeds of its own destruction. While the uptrend hasn’t yet been broken, the range of the consolidation is becoming narrower and may lead to a breakout or breakdown.

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Stock-Markets

Friday, January 26, 2018

2018: Yearly Forecasts for Systemic Breakdown / Stock-Markets / Financial Crisis 2018

By: Jim_Willie_CB

The following Jackass forecasts listed within the article for this new year are fully consistent with the Hat Trick Letter analysis over the last few years. All are on the verge of occurrence. If even one quarter of these calls comes into reality, the world will become a better place. In the current year upon us, the following events will begin to take form in some path with recognized progress. The result will be truly frightening, as all known tenets are either swept aside or profoundly questioned. Many of the listed events have begun to take form with some initial progress. The magnificent event that occurred ten years ago has been called the Global Financial Crisis, centered and triggered by the Lehman Brothers failure as a firm. It was actually a suffocation event with killjob, whereby both Goldman Sachs and JPMorgan bought several $billion in Lehman mortgage bonds and never paid for them, thereby killing Lehman from a very severe sudden liquidity drain. What happened in 2007 (initial bust symptoms) and 2008 (final crisis unfolding) was horrible and quite devastating. What comes in 2018 in the systemic breakdown and global crisis will be triple in magnitude of damage and triple in breadth with range of extended wreckage. This year will see sovereign bonds enter failure, in an unprecedented manner.

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Stock-Markets

Friday, January 26, 2018

Here Is A Trusted Brokerage Business / Stock-Markets / Investing 2018

By: Kavinesh_A

Beginners should have the involvement to practice various trading strategies and also understand about trading policies. They can either take up a course or use books to learn. Practicing the strategies using a demo account gives better support. A number of online websites provide guidance to beginners in getting used to the market. Starting up with a reliable broker gives great advantages and people gain confidence to move ahead in the market. With demo accounts, traders can invest virtual money and see what happens and then get trained.  Choosing the right brokerage firm is currently one of the most important risk factors.

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Stock-Markets

Friday, January 26, 2018

Key Trends for Trading Markets 2018: This Will be a “Gold”en year / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2018

By: Submissions

Abalgorithm: Inflation around the world is starting to pick up. Only a matter of time before policy makers will start to get nervous. All the bond market money is about to pour into commodities and stocks. Gold is pushing the envelope. Charts below.

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