Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.
Monday, February 15, 2016
Is Stock Market Phase Low in Place? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Andre_Gratian
Current Position of the Market
SPX: Long-term trend - Severe correction underway.
SPX: Intermediate trend - Possible phase low. Needs confirmation.
Analysis of the short-term trend is done on a daily basis with the help of hourly charts. It is an important adjunct to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which discuss longer market trends.
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Monday, February 15, 2016
Ron Paul on What the Stock Markets Are Telling Us / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Dr_Ron_Paul
Last week US stock markets tumbled yet again, leaving the Dow Jones index down almost 1500 points for the year. In fact, most major world markets are in negative territory this year. There are many Wall Street cheerleaders who are trying to say that this is just a technical correction, that the bottom is near, and that everything will be getting better soon. They are ignoring the real message the markets are trying to send: you cannot print your way to prosperity.
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Sunday, February 14, 2016
Financial Meltdown 2008-style in 2016? / Stock-Markets / Financial Crisis 2016
By: Clif_Droke
As the global market crisis continues, the danger posed by this crisis to the U.S. economy continues to be underestimated by economists and central bankers. A report recently showed that U.S. job openings surged in December and the number of American voluntarily quitting work hit a nine-year high. According to the report, this data points to “labor market strength despite a slowdown in economic growth.”
Further commenting on the supposedly improving labor market, Reuters stated: “The signs of a robust jobs market could ease concerns about the health of the economy, which were underscored by other reports on Feb. 9 showing a drop in small business confidence in January to a two-year low and further declines in wholesale inventories.”
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Saturday, February 13, 2016
France CAC40 Stock Market Technical Outlook / Stock-Markets / European Stock Markets
By: Austin_Galt
The French stock index, the CAC40, has traded more or less as outlined in analysis produced back in May 2015. That analysis called the top in place and outlined expectations of a bear market to play out.
Price hit a low this past week at 3892 which was just over 26% down from the May 2015 high and I believe that may well represent the final low to the bear market.
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Saturday, February 13, 2016
Stock Market Rally Time Off Retest?.......Still Some Positive Divergences... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Jack_Steiman
If we study the market charts we can see quite clearly that we're seeing bear-market action. That said, you can't go straight down forever. The Nasdaq fell 18% in just six weeks. By any bear-market measurement this is too much too fast. Price isn't the problem. It's the speed of the move along with price. Such a short time frame to have that size of a loss without some type of exhaustion. One would think anyway. There are missing ingredients to a short-term bottom, such I have recently discussed. Nothing with regards to a high put-call ratio for several hours over 1.5. No trin at 3.0 or higher, and clearly no dramatic VIX spike.
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Saturday, February 13, 2016
Potential Stocks Bear Market Uptrend Underway / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: Tony_Caldaro
Another wild week! The market started the week at SPX 1880. After a gap down opening on Monday the market dropped to SPX 1828, but reversed course in the afternoon. By Wednesday it turned slightly positive for the week when hitting SPX 1882. Thursday, however, started off with a gap down opening as the market hit a new downtrend low at SPX 1810. By late Thursday into Friday the market was rallying back up again, and ended the week at SPX 1865. For the week the SPX/DOW were -1.10%, the NDX/NAZ were -0.55%, and the DJ World index was -2.70%. Economic reports for the week were biased negatively again. On the uptick: retail sales, business inventories, GNP, plus the budget and weekly jobless claims improved. On the downtick: wholesale inventories, export/import prices, consumer sentiment, investor sentiment and the WLEI. Next week, after a Monday holiday, we get reports on Industrial production, FOMC minutes, the Housing market and it’s Options expiration.
Saturday, February 13, 2016
SPX Challenging its Orthodox Broadening Top Formation / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
SPX at the hourly level is still challenging its Orthodox Broadening Top formation. Earlier I had reported that I was expecting two Primary Pivot days. The first was Wednesday where SPX made the Wave B high at 1881.60. The second was today, where it appears to be making a Wave [ii] high that may be complete at 1864.28.
Friday, February 12, 2016
Stock Market Observations / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
I am showing the larger charts because they display the big picture more clearly. It is now clear that Intermediate Waves (1) through (5) of Primary Wave [C] are A-B-C Waves and not impulsive in the strict sense. We would normally expect to see a clean 5-wave decline in Wave C. This is either a rare variation or an outright aberration. Which is it? I don’t know.
This has Elliott Wavers tied in knots, since an A-B-C move is normally corrective and in this case tells the Elliottician that the next move is a rally! In fact, most analysts would say that today’s decline is a Wave B-with- rally-to-follow. What no one else is watching is the natural resistance at the cycle Bottom at 1868.20 which has been stopping the retracement rallies all week long.
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Friday, February 12, 2016
Will Capital Controls Return? / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2016
By: Dan_Amerman
The average person may have no interest in capital controls, but to rephrase a well-known saying, capital controls are interested in you. The residents of Greece found this out in 2015 when capital controls were imposed, and they could not legally send the money in their bank accounts out of the country.
Like the rest of the world, they had been encouraged to move their data to the Cloud, and their software to subscriptions, each of which required small monthly payments. But if all our data is in the Cloud and we can't pay to access it as a matter of law, because the money would have to leave the country - what can we do next?
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Friday, February 12, 2016
Looking For The Next Financial Crisis; Try Student Debt / Stock-Markets / Student Finances
By: Sol_Palha
"Calamities are of two kinds: misfortune to ourselves, and good fortune to others." ~ Ambrose Bierce
Student debt is increasing at the rate of almost $3000.00 per second; this is stunning considering that education tour system does not even rank in the top 10 globally ; we are ranked 18 out of 20. Worse yet, it indicates that colleges are simply forcing young individuals to take on mind-boggling amounts of debt in the hopes of landing a good job when they graduate. Getting a student loan is about as easy it was to get a loan during the booming housing market cycle and look how that story ended.
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Friday, February 12, 2016
The Stock Market Dow Elevator; 18, 17, 16.... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Doug_Wakefield
"Whatever the stock index, whatever the country, whatever the security, prices only rarely follow the predicted normal pattern. My student, Eugene Fama, investigated this for his doctoral thesis. Rather than examine the broad market index, he looked one by one at the thirty blue-chip stocks in the Dow. He found the same disturbing pattern; big price changes were far more common than the standard model allowed. Large changes, of more than five standard deviations from the average, happened two thousand times more often than expected. Under Gaussian rules, you should have encountered such drama only once every seven thousand years; in fact, the data showed, it happened once every three or four years." [The (Mis) Behavior of Markets (2004) World Renown mathematician Dr. Benoit Mandelbrot, pg 96]
Friday, February 12, 2016
Where to Hide Your Money From Reckless Governments / Stock-Markets / Financial Crisis 2016
By: Casey_Research
By Justin Spittler
A major central bank just made a desperate move…
If you’ve been reading the Dispatch, you know we’re living through a gigantic “global monetary experiment.”
In short, global central banks cut interest rates to zero to fight the 2008 financial crisis. They’ve held interest rates near zero ever since.
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Thursday, February 11, 2016
More Bankruptcy For Your Retirement Portfolio / Stock-Markets / Pensions & Retirement
By: Rodney_Johnson
There’s an old saying that if you owe the bank $1 million, you have a problem. But if you owe the bank $100 million, then the bank has a problem.
That’s the situation we’re in today.
States around the country have racked up outrageous unpaid balances for their pensions. Few of them have any plan for digging out of the hole. Since they have no plan, they’re creating issues for everyone who might be called upon to help them make good on their obligations.
Thursday, February 11, 2016
Stock Market Progress on the Downside... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
SPX bounced from a lower low and retraced to challenge its Cycle Bottom at 1931.58. The bounce may be over. The next target is the Head & Shoulders neckline near 1798.00 to complete Wave [i] of C. This may be accomplished later today, with a Wave [ii] bounce at the close. I expect Wave [ii] to challenge the hourly Cycle Bottom again before the next big decline. Notice the opening gap wasn’t closed, denoting weakness and distribution.
Thursday, February 11, 2016
Janet Yellen, the Japanese Yen and the Dead Cat Bounce / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2016
By: Mario_Innecco
Transcript excerpt: Thursday February 11 2016 it's nine o'clock London time so 4 a.m. New Yorktime with eastern standard time very interesting developments this morning in
the financial markets mostly I think in response a bit in response to chairwoman
Janet Yellen testimony to the U S Congress to the house and the markets
prior to that testimony yesterday I think it was around the morning New York
time the market prior to that works stronger dollar was up almost 200 points
you know people expect and Janet Yellen 2012 the market and admit that the
economy was weakening and that imply that they would start raising rates but
she didn't do any of that she basically said that yeah we still we are watching
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Thursday, February 11, 2016
Stock Market Gap Down... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
The SPX Premarket is down below the Wave A low at 1828.45. The Elliott Wave pattern has morphed into another A-B-C, due to overlap in the Wave structure. What we are looking at is a hybrid Wave pattern that I have not seen before…but it is consistent and repeating. There is not enough time to complete an impulse down to the bottom of Wave (3). However, there is enough time for a Wave C. It appears that a gap down open is in the cards.
Thursday, February 11, 2016
Australian Stocks Bear Market Just Beginning / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: AnyOption
The selloff in global equity benchmarks has been swift and punishing for long only investors as asset reallocation comes after the hangover of accommodative monetary policy. Australia in particular has not been immune from these developments, between dealing with a downturn in trade across the Asia-Pacific region and softer commodity prices. Aside from external factors, domestically, uneven growth and slowing inflation have seen the Reserve Bank of Australia ease policy multiple times in an effort to make conditions more attractive and insulate the region. However, as evidenced by the reaction in the Australian ASX 200 over the last week, global conditions and sentiment remain a key driver of momentum. With circumstances only set to worsen, the bearish outlook facing the Australian ASX will likely prevail over the medium-term.Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, February 11, 2016
Stock Market Sells Yellen's 'Deer in Headlights' Congressional Testimony / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Mike_Shedlock
Saxo Bank CIO and chief economist Steen Jakobsen phrased Fed Chair Janet Yellen's testimony before Congress this way: "The politicians were rude and pretty much clueless ... and Yellen often looked like a deer in headlights. Her performance today is probably the worst I have ever seen from seasoned central banker!"
Thursday, February 11, 2016
Stock Market Positive Divergences...Market Wants Higher....Banks Atrocious....Fed Scary.... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Jack_Steiman
The market is begging to move higher based on how far it has fallen in such a short period of time. Quite the intense move lower, but what makes it look so technically bullish short-term is the very powerful positive divergences that exist in many areas of the market. While the S&P 500 and Dow didn't make new lows you can see by the MACD's, if they had, they would have created massive, positive divergences. The Nasdaq has been lagging badly and did make a new low. That new low has the potential for a positive divergence to kick in. The divergence is nowhere near as powerful as those of the S&P 500 and Dow, but a divergence is a divergence, and the Nasdaq has one, smaller in size though it may be.
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Thursday, February 11, 2016
With A Gloomy Start To 2016, A Bust Seems Just Around The Corner / Stock-Markets / Financial Crisis 2016
By: Submissions
Taki Tsaklanos submits: Markets have corrected substantially since the beginning of the year as most of the gains of the past two years have been erased. According to Bloomberg, 40 out of the largest 63 markets have dropped over 20%! The image below shows the performance of markets word-wide since their last peaks. Most markets are in a bear market phase or at best are experiencing a market correction. The world is red!