Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.
Sunday, November 09, 2014
Understanding the U.S. Election Stock Market Rally / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Money_Morning
Michael E. Lewitt writes: The week was dominated by the mid-term elections that produced a sweeping victory for Republicans. Whether this will translate into meaningful economic policy initiatives remains to be seen, however.
The Republican agenda includes the Keystone XL pipeline, corporate tax reform, lifting trade barriers, peeling back the Affordable Care Act and potentially making some changes to the Dodd-Frank law.
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Sunday, November 09, 2014
Major World Stock Market Indices Analysis: SPY, QQQ, DAX, FTSE, CAC, HSI / Stock-Markets / Global Stock Markets
By: Michael_Noonan
There can be one reason only for putting your money into the stock market and that is to earn a return on capital. Back in 2008-2009, many were faced with what would be their return OF capital once the market decline came to an end. Many never recovered their losses. For what lies ahead, from our perspective, a similar choice, but worse is in store for market participants. As context, it is worth remembering that no country can keep printing [actually now digitally creating] money-to-infinity, creating more debt than has ever existed, and with interest rates at near zero, without disastrous consequences. It defies common sense, and it defies prudent investing. Now there is a term we have not heard in quite some time. Our approach to markets is reading developing market activity in the form of price and volume without resorting to conventional technical analysis tools like moving averages, relative strength, MACD, Elliott Wave, whatever. The very best and most accurate source of information comes from the market itself, and it is available to everyone at the same time, as price and volume develop each minute, hour, day, week, month, etc, for whatever time frame one chooses.
Sunday, November 09, 2014
US Dollar mid-term top makes Precious Metal and Energy Stocks a Buy / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2014
By: David_Petch
I decided to do an important update of the US Dollar Index, because Friday’s rise in Gold and gold stocks alongside oil indicated a likely top. I have been extremely bearish on energy and precious metal stocks the past few months because of the upside strength potential in the US Dollar. I still am bullish on the US Dollar, but as this analysis will indicate, a top has been put in place that should see a correction minimally last until early to mid-March 2015.
Sunday, November 09, 2014
Stocks Bull Market Continues / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bull Market
By: Tony_Caldaro
Another week of all time new highs in the US indices. The week started off quietly from SPX 2018. Hit SPX 2024 on Monday, made its first lower daily low of the entire uptrend on Tuesday, then hit 2034 on Friday. For the week the SPX/DOW were +0.90%, the NDX/NAZ were +0.05%, and the DJ World index was -0.20%. Economics reports for the week were mixed. On the uptick: ISM manufacturing, the ADP, consumer credit, plus weekly jobless claims and the unemployment rate improved. On the downtick: construction spending, factory orders, ISM services, monthly payrolls, the WLEI, plus the trade deficit increased. Next week we get wholesale/business inventories, export/import prices and retail sales.
Saturday, November 08, 2014
FrankenFed Stock Market Non-Farm Payroll Flop / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Jesse
There was intraday commentary on the Non-Farm Payrolls report.
It was fine, if you want less jobs than expected at lower wages that can sustain anything like a recovery.
Things are not going smoothly for those required to live in the real world.
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Saturday, November 08, 2014
Gold and Silver Short Squeeze / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Jesse
"Oh what a tangled web we weave,
When first we practise to deceive!"
Walter Scott, Marmion, Canto vi, Stanza 17
Watching the trade in gold and silver last night was interesting.
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Saturday, November 08, 2014
Destroy A Currency, Extend A Stock Market Rally / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Doug_Wakefield
What was I thinking? Goodbye All Time Highs? I must have lost my mind to have forgotten that central bankers have unlimited tools to inflate stock bubbles.
Actually, the last 2 weeks have only shown me even more, how desperate the actions of central banks, and how passionate the majority of traders just to hear the words, "all time high" one more time.
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Friday, November 07, 2014
U.S. Election, Fed, and Stocks / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Zeal_LLC
Americans spoke loudly and clearly at the polls this week, repudiating Obama’s and the Democrats’ failed big-government policies. This huge Republican victory has serious implications for the Fed and US stock markets. Republican lawmakers have long opposed this easy Fed, and they will put great pressure on it to normalize its balance sheet and interest rates. This is an ominous omen for these Fed-inflated stock markets.
Prior to Tuesday, the mainstream media dominated by Democratic sycophants did its best to downplay the American anger at Obama and the Democrats. There were endless reports about how awesome the US economy is, despite the fact most Americans aren’t feeling it in their pocketbooks. Recent Republican polling gains were ignored. Without honest coverage leading into the elections, the results seemed shocking.
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Friday, November 07, 2014
Stock Market Secular Cycles / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Donald_W_Dony
Many investors and analysts are expecting a resurgence in commodity prices. Yet a review of historical data would suggest that the current movement in natural resource prices, the US$, stock markets and the business cycle are all part of a well-defined pattern.
The relative performance between commodities and stocks, based on a 135 years of data, indicates that the two asset classes shift in leadership on average about every 18 years.
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Thursday, November 06, 2014
The Stock Market Great Volatility Crush / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: John_Mauldin
Ten years ago, when I worked on the equity index derivatives desk at Lehman, we used to sit around and dream things up. Like, we wondered out loud if you could actually create a volatility ETF.
It seemed like a brilliant idea. Who wouldn’t want to buy volatility? There were some studies going around that said holding volatility as an asset class alongside a diversified portfolio could improve the portfolio’s risk characteristics.
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Thursday, November 06, 2014
Steps for Avoiding a Stock Market Capital “Crash” Catastrophe in the Next Downturn / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
By: Don_Miller
When the tech and real estate bubbles burst, many of my friends lost 40-50% of their retirement portfolios almost overnight. Is a similar downturn looming?
Take a look at the chart below showing the S&P’s performance since 2008.
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Thursday, November 06, 2014
Japan Stock Market Flash Crash Signals Things are Changing / Stock-Markets / Japanese Stock Market
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
All eyes are on Europe this morning as Mario Draghi makes even more promises that he cannot keep. Expect more of the same out of Europe.
However, the real story is on the other side of the globe as the Yen makes its final plunge to its target, having barely missed its upper range target of 87.06. The final fifth wave is not yet finished, so we could see a further decline as today progresses.
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Thursday, November 06, 2014
Further Stock Market Fluctuations As Indexes Remain Close To Record Highs - Which Direction Next? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Paul_Rejczak
Briefly: In our opinion, no speculative positions are justified.
Our intraday outlook is neutral, and our short-term outlook is neutral:
Intraday (next 24 hours) outlook: neutral
Short-term (next 1-2 weeks) outlook: neutral
Medium-term (next 1-3 months) outlook: neutral
Long-term outlook (next year): bullish
Thursday, November 06, 2014
Stock Market S&P 500 Index Makes New High.... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Jack_Steiman
And that could basically be the end of this letter, and I'm not kidding. Really folks, what's there to add that I haven't yet spoken about the past many weeks. We have quite interestingly a very bullish set-up on the S&P 500, known as an inverse head-and-shoulders pattern that measures up to 2200, but, I have to admit, it doesn't seem possible to me. But what I think doesn't matter to the market. All the market wants to do is fool the masses as much as humanly possible. The volume trends on both sides of the pattern are what we normally look for, so you have to respect the possibilities. With froth so high, and I mean really out of control, it just doesn't fit with what the pattern is showing. But you still have to say it's possible.
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Tuesday, November 04, 2014
Don't Be Spooked by Stock Market Volatility - Investor Opportunity Is Still Knocking! / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Frank_Holmes
One of the greatest fears this October--possibly the most volatile month of the year--has been the correlation between the S&P 500 Index's ascent in the first three quarters of the year and the possible ramifications of the end of quantitative easing (QE).
It's well known that Japan and Singapore have been buying their countries' blue chip stocks with their excessive money printing. Today, about 1.8 percent of the Japanese market is owned by the Bank of Japan. American investors fear the Federal Reserve might do the same and take away the punch bowl, so to speak.
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Tuesday, November 04, 2014
SPX at Trendline Support / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
SPX may bounce at the trendline, but if this is a third wave, it may not overlap Micro Wave I at 2013.68. Look for a break of the trendline beneath 2000.00. There may be some squiggles beneath the trendline as it “proves” resistance at that level, which is also a probable round number resistance level.
Tuesday, November 04, 2014
Stock Market Deflationary Vortex Taking Hold / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
The major stories this morning are all about the price of oil. WTI futures fell overnight to a low of 75.91. The Cycles Model suggests a near-term low near November 11-13. That provides ample time for the Head & Shoulders to be met or exceeded. That should be a wrap for Wave 3 of (3).
Deflationary tendencies have been strengthening since mid-Summer. July 3 has been the peak for many of the most sensitive indexes. This is creating a vortex that may draw in all asset classes as it gets stronger.
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Tuesday, November 04, 2014
Stock Market Inflowing Liquidity is Trending Higher. Is That Good? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Marty_Chenard
Well, it is is good on the short term, but unless the medium term changes, it won't be good.
In order to understand what we mean, take a look at today's chart.
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Monday, November 03, 2014
Don’t Let Greed Lure You Into Stock Market Scams / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Sy_Harding
The market’s favorable winter season has arrived. The market is breaking out to new highs. Investor optimism and confidence are very high.
Unfortunately, this is opportunity time not just for normal investing, but also high season for those perpetrating frauds on unwary but confident investors.
Hampered by limited time, experience, and access to data and information on which to base research, the investment choices of most busy middle-class investors comes down to investing based on brief recommendations gleaned from various sources.
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Monday, November 03, 2014
Stock Market Indexes At Record Highs Following Economic Data Announcements / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Paul_Rejczak
Briefly: In our opinion, no speculative positions are justified.
Our intraday outlook is neutral, and our short-term outlook is neutral:
Intraday (next 24 hours) outlook: neutral
Short-term (next 1-2 weeks) outlook: neutral
Medium-term (next 1-3 months) outlook: neutral
Long-term outlook (next year): bullish