Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Thursday, October 25, 2012

Stock Market Excitement Begins Here / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

Yesterday I commented that the SPX may make one more attempt at the Head & Shoulders neckline at 1421.00 before resuming the decline.  Well, here it is. 

Thursday, October 25, 2012

Based on Real Math The SP 500 Stock Market Index Is Fairly Valued / Stock-Markets / Stock Market Valuations

By: Charles_Carnevale

As investors, we do not believe in forecasting stock markets or stock prices on individual stocks. Instead, we approach investing as the process of calculating intrinsic value based on fundamentals. To us, the most important fundamental to be considered when evaluating the True Worth™ of a market or a common stock is earnings. Therefore, it's important that the reader understands that this article is offered as a mathematical calculation of what the S&P 500 is actually worth based on earnings. The reason we believe this to be important is because we also believe that any deviations from fair value will ultimately self-correct.

Wednesday, October 24, 2012

Next Stock Market Crash Will Be Bigger Than 1987 "Black Monday" / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash

By: Money_Morning

Martin Hutchinson writes: Friday was the 25th anniversary of Black Monday. On October 19, 1987 the Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 508 points, or a mind-numbing 22.6%.

How bad was it?...

Let's put it this way, if it happened today the Dow would drop 2,965 points on the session to finish at roughly 10,158. You can imagine the depression.

Wednesday, October 24, 2012

Protect Yourself from the U.S. Dollar Crisis With Land Investments / Stock-Markets / US Housing

By: DailyWealth

Porter Stansberry writes: In the last three years, precious metals have soared.

They're soaring in response to a prediction I've been making since 2008 – that the U.S. government will do everything in its power to prevent a deflation in asset prices. This includes the shameless printing of dollars in order to prop up our rotted banking system... which is the plan, according to the Fed's most recent statement, out last month.

Wednesday, October 24, 2012

Stock Market In The Belly Of The Beast / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012

By: Toby_Connor

Asset markets should now be in the final 3-5 days of this intermediate degree profit-taking event. We are moving into the belly of the beast, so to speak. This is that period of time during an intermediate decline where things start to look really bad. The media always confirms the decline with multiple stories of gloom and doom. Don't be fooled though, this is just a normal profit-taking event and it happens like clockwork about every 20-22 weeks (although sometimes QE can stretch the cycle to over 30 weeks).

Tuesday, October 23, 2012

The World’s Largest, Most Toxic Banking System… / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2012

By: Graham_Summers

As noted earlier in yesterday’s article, the entire European banking and corporate system is over-burdened with debt.

Germany sports a real Debt to GDP of over 200% (this from the former head of the Bundesbank), and the rest of Europe is in even worse shape.

Tuesday, October 23, 2012

Mounting Fears of 'Cyber-Pearl-Harbor', Escalating Attacks on Banks / Stock-Markets / Cyber War

By: DK_Matai

From Bank of America to HSBC and from JPMorgan Chase to Wells Fargo bank a growing wave of cyber attacks has disrupted and crippled the customer-facing online presence of some of the biggest and most powerful high-profile Western financial institutions over the past several weeks.  Ally Financial, BB&T, Capital One Financial, PNC Bank, Regions Financial, SunTrust Bank and US Bank have also been targeted.  Customers trying to use the online systems of those banks after the latest digital attacks were denied access or faced long delays.  Some of the digital attacks appear to have originated in Iran and Russia.  Security experts now believe that multiple well-organised digital attackers rather than a single attacker are behind the events that caused day-long slowdowns and, at times, complete online outages at various top banks. 

Tuesday, October 23, 2012

Financial Crash, Econcomic Crash, We Have Been Warned Part2 / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash

By: DeviantInvestor

Voltaire said in 1729: “All paper money eventually returns to its intrinsic value – ZERO.” WE were warned – almost 3 centuries ago. Bernanke announced QE3 on September 13, 2012 – the next step in the process of pushing the dollar down toward its intrinsic value. Not only is the Fed making a commitment to purchase $40 Billion per month of MBS (mortgage backed securities) from large banks with “newly printed money,” it is also making an open ended commitment – there is no end date. Ultimately this is highly inflationary for the American public and very beneficial for the banks holding what is often referred to as “toxic waste” (MBS) that can be dumped onto the Fed at full face value. Hopefully the bailouts to the banks will allow them to loan that newly created money into the economy so it benefits real people and “Main Street.” Regardless, we have been warned about the consequences of printing money and the resulting consumer price inflation.

Tuesday, October 23, 2012

Why 71% of the Big Money Fears the Next Lehman Black Swan / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash

By: Money_Morning

Peter Krauth writes: Five years have passed since the financial crisis brought the world to its knees.

Gone are likes of Lehman Brothers and Bear Stearns among others who were driven into ruin by the epic collapse of the housing bubble.

Tuesday, October 23, 2012

Is Financial Crime A Systemic Risk? / Stock-Markets / Global Debt Crisis 2012

By: Ron_Hera

Famed Austrian economist Ludwig von Mises wrote in his seminal work, Human Action (originally published by the Yale University Press in 1949), that “There is no means of avoiding the final collapse of a boom brought about by credit expansion.  The alternative is only whether the crisis should come sooner as the result of voluntary abandonment of further credit expansion, or later as a final and total catastrophe of the currency system involved.”  The collapse of a historic credit bubble occurred in 2008.  However, despite years of further credit expansion, “a final and total catastrophe” of the U.S. dollar system has yet to occur.

Tuesday, October 23, 2012

Lessons From Stock Market Crash Black Monday / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash

By: Peter_Schiff

25 years ago, on another Monday in late October, the financial world seemed to disintegrate in a heartbeat. Though the 205 point drop in the Dow last Friday (the technical anniversary of the '87 Crash) was somewhat reminiscent of its 108-point drop on Friday, October 16, 1987, the real action in '87 was on the Monday that followed. And while this Monday is not nearly as black, it is important that we use the opportunity to recall the circumstances that nearly sent the stock market into cardiac arrest.

Tuesday, October 23, 2012

Stock Market Bulls vs. Bears At The 50's................. / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012

By: Jack_Steiman

Oversold. That's the word on the short-term charts, yet the market was threatening to break decently, or let's call it forcefully, below the 50-day exponential moving average, which sits basically right on 1430. The S&P 500 broke below with a bit of force today, but the RSI on the 60-minute short-term chart reached 22. It's hard to break an index down forcefully when you're that oversold. Not an easy chore to be sure. The bears tried, and although they didn't forcefully take the S&P 500 down below those critical 50's, it's not as if the bulls burst back above with any power of their own. A drop of the right or wrong news could tip the way this breaks. It won't take much either way. If we do lose those 50's, then the S&P 500 has a shot at testing the 1370 area in time. That would not be a death knell for the market, but it would sure create a lot more pessimism. Today was a great fight and it's not over.

Monday, October 22, 2012

MAP Analysis – Europe Collapse and Common Sense! / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012

By: Marc_Horn

Everything has its time due to the fractal nature of time . I am not saying it will happen tomorrow and it will not be a single catastrophic drop. We need to unwind the mistakes of the past one step at a time. I hope as you read this you will gain a better understanding of how the future will unfold.  There always are bull and bear phases – that depends on the fractal time frame!

Following the updating of my charts an interesting picture is evident from MAP analysis I like to check the common sense approach!

Monday, October 22, 2012

Stock Market Finally Rolling Over! / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012

By: Andre_Gratian

Current Position of the Market

SPX: Very Long-term trend - The very-long-term cycles are down and, if they make their lows when expected (after this bull market is over) there will be another steep and prolonged decline into late 2014. It is probable, however, that the steep correction of 2007-2009 will have curtailed the full downward pressure potential of the 120-yr cycle.

SPX: Intermediate trend - SPX has now made a triple top, which is a bearish pattern. For confirmation of a downtrend, it will need to close below 1420 on a daily basis.

Monday, October 22, 2012

Markets Breaking Supports, Stock Market Waterfall Drop Ahead? / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

-- Using the 10-week moving average as support, VIX staged a breakout above its two previous highs.  It found resistance at its 40-week moving average, which produced a brief respite late on Friday.  Once above the 40-day resistance, VIX has a shot at Cycle Top resistance at 34.07 and possibly much higher. 

Monday, October 22, 2012

Stock Market Continues to Correct / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012

By: Tony_Caldaro

Another wild week! After we posted last weekend that the SPX/DOW appeared to be declining in a downtrend. The market promptly rallied, from monday thru thursday, to within 1% of the bull market highs. Then, suddenly, gave all of those gains back in 24 hours. For the week the SPX/DOW were +0.2%, and the NDX/NAZ were -1.4%. For a change, the Foreign markets did much better. Asian markets gained 1.5%, European markets gained 3.0%, and the DJ World index rose 1.3%. On the economic front positive reports outnumbered negative reports 13 to 3. On the downtick: the NY FED, existing home sales and weekly jobless claims rose. On the uptick: retail sales, business inventories, the CPI, industrial production, capacity utilization, the NAHB housing index, housing starts, building permits, the Philly FED, leading indicators, the M1 multiplier, the monetary base and the WLEI. Next week the FED meets tuesday/wednesday, plus we get the first report on Q3 GDP.

Monday, October 22, 2012

US Presidential Election Too Close to Call Causing Stock Market Uncertainty / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012

By: Christopher_Quigley

The charts below clearly show that the Dow Transport and the Dow Industrial indices continue to exhibit divergent modalities. Since November 2009 the charts indicate that the Industrials have reached higher highs but the Transports have failed this test and have been range bound for nearly all of 2012. The direction and the momentum with which the Trannies break from this range will be most significant. I believe the market is awaiting with trepidation the results of the November presidential election. As we speak the polls are indicating that either candidate can win and this is bringing a fair degree of uncertainty into price action. The major concern is the position of Mr. Romney with regard to Iran given his predisposition to quickly consider war as a policy option. A new Middle Eastern conflagration is the last thing the world economy needs right now but unfortunately he has been boxed in by powerful interests. It is hard to see how he can march himself down the hill of imminent warfare, formal or covert, should the hand of destiny finally fall upon him.

Sunday, October 21, 2012

Thoughts on the Anniversary of the Stock Market Crash of 1987 / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash

By: Jesse

Friday was the anniversary of the Crash of '87. As I recall it occurred on a 'Black Monday' after a 'Blue Friday' in which the DJIA lost 100 points for the first time I believe. The markets were wobbly.

It is hard to remember exactly what happened in the market that day except in the retrospect in which I have studied it in detail. But I remember vividly how I heard about what was happening that day.

Saturday, October 20, 2012

Stock Market Correcting... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012

By: Jack_Steiman

You probably expected a much more dramatic title, but there's nothing bad going on here. The market is barely down off the recent highs, so a pullback of a few percent doesn't mean very much. Things look worse than they really are off the top. That doesn't mean things aren't about to get worse as they probably are to some degree, but it's important to make the distinction between something being bearish or just pulling back to unwind things. If you're wondering what I'm talking about, look at the charts folks. S&P 500 is 3% off the top. That's it. Yes, the Nasdaq 100 is leading down, but the majority of the market is hardly down enough worth talking about off the recent highs. We got very overbought for a long period of time. We had sentiment getting stretched out. Nearly 30% spread in the bull-bear war, now in the teens. But the numbers were up there on everything from sentiment to just about every last oscillators.

Saturday, October 20, 2012

Trumping Tricks with No Treats = Investor Opportunities / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2012

By: DeepCaster_LLC

“I don’t see Silver going below $30…” David Morgan, Silver Guru

Understandably so, David Morgan.

Just a week ago 3.6 Million Ounces of Physical Silver were removed from the COMEX Registered Inventory – fully 17% of the Total Registered Inventory of Silver. There are Big Buyers of Physical Silver.